8=======>

2021-12-28 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1728
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.5%
in alpha space · 59.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.542.5411+0.04%2.48-2.36%0.0126✓1.004.4M2022-01-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.3620.3528-0.04%23.43+15.08%0.1876✗1.2669.7M2022-01-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.67145.4779-0.13%146.44+0.53%0.0565✗1.3553.2M2022-01-04
TRXTRONTron0.0772180.077087-0.17%0.075989-1.59%0.0203✗0.93648k2022-01-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6641.6583-0.34%1.678+0.84%0.0611✗1.338.3M2022-01-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.77121.3305-0.36%120.8-0.80%0.0308✗0.953.7M2022-01-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.2536.0891-0.44%36.13-0.33%0.0387✗1.0122.1M2022-01-04
COMPCompoundEthereum209207.9834-0.49%223.02+6.71%0.1110✗1.11236k2022-01-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0219780.021871-0.49%0.022317+1.54%0.0658✗1.232.4M2022-01-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114460.113898-0.49%0.11972+4.60%0.0903✗1.0929k2022-01-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.74436.394-0.53%427.38-2.59%0.0160✗1.0010.8M2022-01-04
QNTQuantEthereum188.78187.7244-0.56%179.48-4.93%0.0102✓0.9411.5M2022-01-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7124.5641-0.59%33.82+36.87%0.3718✗1.4022.9M2022-01-04
SOLSolanaSolana177.27176.1755-0.62%167.72-5.39%0.0139✓0.95257.1M2022-01-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1737450.172667-0.62%0.168474-3.03%0.0161✗1.106.0M2022-01-04
DASHDashDash134.75133.8805-0.65%134.69-0.04%0.0525✗1.252.0M2022-01-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,543.0947,233.67-0.65%45,814.61-3.64%0.0065✗1.00750.8M2022-01-04
FTTFTXEthereum40.0139.7268-0.71%41.35+3.35%0.0771✗1.0020.7M2022-01-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.0927-0.73%2.228+5.69%0.1040✗1.123.3M2022-01-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.79.627-0.75%8.76-9.69%0.0724✓0.591.1M2022-01-04
ADACardanoCardano1.39981.3892-0.76%1.3092-6.47%0.0208✓1.04120.2M2022-01-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,383.6047,023.37-0.76%46,006.00-2.91%0.0147✗0.9910k2022-01-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.577.5124-0.76%7.16-5.42%0.0245✓0.631.1M2022-01-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.033.0064-0.78%3.42+12.87%0.1768✗1.293.0M2022-01-04
XEMNEMnative0.12840.127398-0.78%0.1252-2.49%0.0220✗1.06175k2022-01-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,793.673,763.71-0.79%3,785.00-0.23%0.0433✗1.02766.3M2022-01-04
XYMSymbolnative0.21580.21407-0.80%0.2101-2.64%0.0012✓0.54392k2022-01-04
XECeCashnative0.000109510.00010862-0.81%0.00011292+3.11%0.0754✗0.999.9M2022-01-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.5133.2164-0.88%31.27-6.68%0.0372✓0.63572k2022-01-04
NANOnanopayBase3.74653.7133-0.89%3.7143-0.86%0.0385✗1.03819k2022-01-04
QTUMQtumQtum9.09239.0114-0.89%8.9939-1.08%0.0488✗1.37285k2022-01-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.8427.5919-0.89%28.69+3.05%0.0853✗1.2577.1M2022-01-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19980.198016-0.89%0.1957-2.05%0.0207✗0.88701k2022-01-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054270.053784-0.90%0.05513+1.58%0.0637✗1.0516k2022-01-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089770.088957-0.91%0.08927-0.56%0.0576✗1.464.1M2022-01-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08380.083018-0.93%0.0856+2.15%0.0694✗1.0516k2022-01-04
XMRMoneroMonero208.62206.6261-0.96%222.22+6.52%0.1065✗0.912.8M2022-01-04
BANDBandEthereum5.345.288-0.97%5.66+5.99%0.1111✗1.162.5M2022-01-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.9634.6184-0.98%34.11-2.43%0.0224✗1.005.1M2022-01-04
XVSVenusEthereum15.5415.3874-0.98%15.92+2.45%0.0757✗1.134.8M2022-01-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.855.7922-0.99%6.6+12.82%0.1721✗1.125.1M2022-01-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.343.3055-1.03%3.39+1.50%0.0613✗0.971.2M2022-01-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1716.0017-1.04%15.04-6.99%0.0371✓0.671.4M2022-01-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43010.425595-1.05%0.6206+44.29%0.4292✗1.411.0M2022-01-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.982.948-1.07%3.15+5.70%0.0983✗0.8692k2022-01-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.63.5609-1.09%3.7795+4.99%0.0552✗-0.12405k2022-01-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016510.016329-1.10%0.01947+17.93%0.2223✗1.252.7M2022-01-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.0234.6236-1.13%35.83+2.31%0.0882✗1.461.3M2022-01-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.02924.9722-1.13%4.507-10.38%0.0498✓1.315.2M2022-01-04
ZECZcashZcash149.45147.7503-1.14%147.34-1.41%0.0444✗1.2711.8M2022-01-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.66590.658272-1.15%0.6784+1.88%0.0742✗1.1912.5M2022-01-04
GTGateEthereum6.4596.3841-1.16%6.4901+0.48%0.0445✗0.764.3M2022-01-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum99.7498.5629-1.18%92.88-6.88%0.0235✓0.977.6M2022-01-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.088.9672-1.24%8.5-6.39%0.0269✓0.721.1M2022-01-04
XLMStellarStellar0.2741010.270682-1.25%0.279308+1.90%0.0690✗1.0232.3M2022-01-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.771.7478-1.26%1.64-7.34%0.0010✓1.691.5M2022-01-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.281.2638-1.27%1.223-4.45%0.0013✓0.923.1M2022-01-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5371.5174-1.28%1.646+7.09%0.1296✗1.304.1M2022-01-04
XTZTezosTezos4.49094.4333-1.28%5.039+12.20%0.1768✗1.315.4M2022-01-04
DODODODOEthereum0.9110.899288-1.29%0.873-4.17%0.0237✗1.449.2M2022-01-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.4225.0877-1.31%24.02-5.51%0.0173✓0.711.6M2022-01-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4230.417355-1.33%0.409-3.31%0.0071✓0.7446k2022-01-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.075380.074356-1.36%0.08388+11.28%0.1656✗1.2221.1M2022-01-04
XVGVergenative0.01760.017345-1.45%0.01721-2.22%0.0363✗1.192.8M2022-01-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019930.019635-1.48%0.01973-1.00%0.0252✗0.5545k2022-01-04
SCSiacoinnative0.015630.01539-1.53%0.01547-1.02%0.0404✗0.951.2M2022-01-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21990.216518-1.54%0.1995-9.28%0.0378✓1.196.1M2022-01-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,691.2228,249.68-1.54%36,282.47+26.46%0.2722✗0.599.0M2022-01-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.80474.7307-1.54%4.72-1.76%0.0223✗0.6626k2022-01-04
AAVEAaveEthereum252.64248.7076-1.56%251.96-0.27%0.0520✗1.0511.4M2022-01-04
UNIUniswapEthereum18.418.1105-1.57%18.21-1.03%0.0518✗1.2515.5M2022-01-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.26836.1692-1.58%6.0617-3.30%0.0243✗1.13724k2022-01-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5726.1477-1.59%42.05+58.26%0.5086✗0.9040.2M2022-01-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06590.064837-1.61%0.0695+5.46%0.1186✗1.331.9M2022-01-04
KSMKusamaHydration294.8290.0171-1.62%296.29+0.51%0.0617✗1.091.5M2022-01-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36613.311-1.64%3.0903-8.19%0.0237✓1.223.3M2022-01-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.059230.058235-1.68%0.0623+5.18%0.1193✗1.408.2M2022-01-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7989.6333-1.68%9.36-4.47%0.0055✓0.63455k2022-01-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10450.102732-1.69%0.0991-5.17%0.0155✓1.392.0M2022-01-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13580.133409-1.76%0.1324-2.50%0.0316✗1.06344k2022-01-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.37810.371346-1.79%0.3934+4.05%0.1100✗1.414.7M2022-01-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7986870.784271-1.80%0.888431+11.24%0.1636✗1.053.0M2022-01-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.19230.188785-1.83%0.1943+1.04%0.0711✗1.143.6M2022-01-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.6955.5895-1.85%5.107-10.32%0.0694✓0.56798k2022-01-04
MINAMina Protocolnative3.523.4542-1.87%3.71+5.40%0.1092✗1.02787k2022-01-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71650.702868-1.90%0.6945-3.07%0.0340✗1.246.6M2022-01-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38420.37685-1.91%0.3673-4.40%0.0218✗1.284.4M2022-01-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.30330.297473-1.92%0.3025-0.26%0.0643✗1.285.8M2022-01-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30111.2758-1.95%1.3427+3.20%0.0906✗1.071.1M2022-01-04
KCSKuCoinnative21.50621.0859-1.95%22.046+2.51%0.1049✗1.6318.6M2022-01-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46671.4376-1.98%1.6714+13.96%0.1906✗1.0831.7M2022-01-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0511.8111-1.98%11.51-4.48%0.0327✓-0.194.3M2022-01-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.81351.7768-2.02%1.7918-1.20%0.0374✗0.781.1M2022-01-04
MOVRMoonriverBase190.178186.294-2.04%185.4543-2.48%0.0330✗1.01674k2022-01-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.050630.049588-2.06%0.04929-2.65%0.0271✗0.8910.4M2022-01-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034920.000034198-2.07%0.00003245-7.07%0.0154✓1.002.2M2022-01-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.103160.101024-2.07%0.11+6.63%0.1088✗0.6492k2022-01-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.724.6214-2.09%6.08+28.81%0.3227✗1.3126.8M2022-01-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7610.5307-2.13%10.56-1.86%0.0307✗0.761.4M2022-01-04
ZENHorizenBase63.3261.9576-2.15%64.42+1.74%0.0917✗1.421.2M2022-01-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.48462.4302-2.19%2.3398-5.83%0.0010✓1.05147k2022-01-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.22031.1934-2.21%1.2829+5.13%0.1366✗1.741.5M2022-01-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.1289.9036-2.22%8.239-18.65%0.1393✓1.21411k2022-01-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0339670.033168-2.35%0.033406-1.65%0.0460✗1.059.3M2022-01-04
UMAUMAEthereum9.599.3591-2.41%9.03-5.84%0.0059✓1.134.1M2022-01-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71060.693291-2.44%0.7133+0.38%0.0773✗1.323.4M2022-01-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.738.7009-2.52%38.67-2.59%0.0671✗1.837.2M2022-01-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.54.3842-2.57%3.89-13.56%0.0826✓1.004.4M2022-01-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.181.1494-2.59%1.15-2.54%0.0375✗1.002.4M2022-01-04
API3Api3Ethereum4.564.4386-2.66%4.1-10.09%0.0423✓1.001.2M2022-01-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.3420.332468-2.79%0.3574+4.50%0.1072✗0.94328k2022-01-04
LUNATerraTerra 285.1782.7862-2.80%84.56-0.72%0.0582✗1.007.4M2022-01-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.711.6595-2.95%1.4484-15.30%0.1044✓0.855.9M2022-01-04
IMXImmutableEthereum4.874.7216-3.05%4.74-2.67%0.0409✗1.002.5M2022-01-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5644.4249-3.05%4.112-9.90%0.0498✓0.64502k2022-01-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8913.7713-3.08%3.363-13.57%0.0775✓1.003.0M2022-01-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.620215-3.09%0.662+3.44%0.1115✗1.252.9M2022-01-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20850.202007-3.11%0.20404-2.14%0.0686✗1.5813k2022-01-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42911.3829-3.23%1.2788-10.52%0.0436✓0.9423.6M2022-01-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0270.99284-3.33%1.0351+0.79%0.0787✗1.00151k2022-01-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7542.6613-3.37%2.693-2.21%0.0491✗1.002.2M2022-01-04
LRCLoopringEthereum2.07522.0052-3.37%2.0651-0.49%0.1001✗1.911.5M2022-01-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.05103.3823-3.43%103.3-3.50%0.0387✗1.07136.0M2022-01-04
SUSHISushiEthereum9.068.7386-3.55%8.07-10.93%0.0313✓1.3015.8M2022-01-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25691.2108-3.67%1.1872-5.55%0.0335✓1.432.3M2022-01-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.5711.1434-3.69%12.29+6.22%0.1192✗0.571.5M2022-01-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3495.1387-3.93%4.673-12.64%0.0701✓0.67734k2022-01-04
RADRadworksEthereum11.6611.1884-4.04%11.27-3.34%0.0389✓0.861.3M2022-01-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum38.4536.8664-4.12%42.83+11.39%0.2137✗1.723.0M2022-01-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.68261.6081-4.43%1.4602-13.22%0.0604✓0.985.3M2022-01-04
HIVEHivenative1.61151.54-4.44%1.5925-1.18%0.0840✗1.367.1M2022-01-04
MANADecentralandEthereum3.33993.1906-4.47%3.1744-4.95%0.0300✓0.958.0M2022-01-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021870.020848-4.67%0.02111-3.48%0.0495✗1.0039.8M2022-01-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.384.1711-4.77%3.92-10.50%0.0251✓1.0015.2M2022-01-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.6413.8692-5.27%15.7+7.24%0.1235✗-0.014.8M2022-01-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.78960.740544-6.21%0.8381+6.14%0.1887✗1.7528.3M2022-01-04
GITCOINGITCOIN14.5913.651-6.44%15.672+7.42%0.1355✗-0.07129k2022-01-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.