8=======>

2021-12-25 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1505
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.5%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.081557-0.19%0.076625-6.23%0.0105✓0.94655k2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4050,849.66-0.31%47,429.60-7.02%0.0160✓0.988,5662022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158157.5052-0.31%150.83-4.54%0.0317✗1.3756.9M2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0236.886-0.36%35.88-3.08%0.0275✗1.0022.7M2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36453.4493-0.42%445.07-2.26%0.0365✗1.0013.1M2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.718-0.44%2.53-7.33%0.0184✓0.974.4M2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.2605-0.46%5.069+18.43%0.2182✗0.81719k2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21127.6028-0.47%123.03-4.04%0.0166✗0.973.2M2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4434.2733-0.48%32.46-5.75%0.0195✓0.63611k2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1222.0122-0.49%20.75-6.19%0.0080✗1.2269.7M2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum195.44194.3828-0.54%179.87-7.97%0.0273✓0.9212.0M2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5306-0.61%3.7989+6.94%0.0684✗-0.09384k2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4355-0.63%5.211-4.73%0.0077✓0.63846k2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3150,090.88-0.67%47,733.43-5.34%0.0067✓1.00750.8M2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.4469-0.69%40.2-5.94%0.0007✓1.0021.2M2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.122402-0.75%0.11476-6.95%0.0054✓1.0829k2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023629-0.75%0.022463-5.65%0.0163✗1.222.2M2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana193.06191.5258-0.79%179.21-7.17%0.0162✓0.91257.1M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,064.10-0.81%3,765.72-8.10%0.0203✓1.02768.5M2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.4049-0.84%24.52-4.29%0.0032✓0.702.7M2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.1035-0.85%3.1-0.96%0.0686✗1.273.2M2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.2908-0.86%1.276-2.00%0.0402✗0.943.7M2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.1370.135807-0.87%0.126-8.03%0.0173✓1.05199k2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.4415-0.87%1.3797-5.12%0.0128✗1.03120.7M2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.057.9787-0.89%7.24-10.06%0.0627✓0.631.0M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7457-0.91%3.58-5.29%0.0118✗1.04819k2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.240154-0.93%0.2245-7.38%0.0407✓0.49393k2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.3896.3291-0.94%6.7635+5.86%0.1068✗0.744.3M2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.054.0117-0.94%4.221+4.22%0.0898✗0.71473k2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.5863-0.95%28.61-0.87%0.0676✗1.2277.3M2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero211.35209.3339-0.95%250.04+18.31%0.2276✗0.912.8M2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.8229-0.97%5.98+1.70%0.0867✗1.094.6M2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.215235-1.00%0.2061-5.20%0.0031✓0.85756k2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.287-1.00%2.133-7.66%0.0097✓1.093.3M2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.5144-1.00%3.35-5.63%0.0048✓0.961.2M2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44226.1342-1.01%210.69-7.77%0.0124✓1.06239k2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.9097-1.01%8.39-6.79%0.0102✗1.28455k2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.188723-1.06%0.173118-9.24%0.0261✓1.106.1M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.8274-1.07%15.4-9.47%0.0514✓0.681.4M2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2926.997-1.07%25.61-6.16%0.0226✗1.3724.1M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.2831-1.07%16.08-2.31%0.0489✗1.124.9M2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.088537-1.08%0.0839-6.26%0.0038✓1.0519k2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.8418-1.09%8.94-10.15%0.0599✓0.661.0M2022-01-01
DASHDashDash150148.3568-1.10%138.03-7.98%0.0048✓1.232.1M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.2744-1.12%17.47+0.00%0.0814✗1.2814.6M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000119880.000118525-1.13%0.00011077-7.60%0.0140✓0.9811.6M2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.137.6621-1.15%34.87-8.48%0.0221✓1.005.9M2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.2303-1.17%8.65-7.39%0.0245✓0.74934k2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.928-1.23%1.748-10.45%0.0266✓1.307.9M2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.928893-1.29%0.875-7.01%0.0182✗1.428.9M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.5242-1.30%4.7494+3.61%0.1183✗1.275.4M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.464162-1.31%0.4264-9.33%0.0066✓1.421.1M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.2122-1.31%4.7558-9.95%0.0174✓1.355.4M2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.755.6745-1.31%5.18-9.91%0.0282✓1.153.0M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.710376-1.32%0.6647-7.67%0.0025✓1.1613.2M2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17065.1018-1.33%4.5517-11.97%0.0768✓0.6828k2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.058226-1.35%0.05488-7.01%0.0013✓1.0516k2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum10.05269.9151-1.37%8.9613-10.86%0.0260✓1.37309k2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.019685-1.38%0.0202+1.20%0.0539✗0.5153k2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.808-1.45%9.193-7.63%0.0282✓0.67388k2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.285825-1.46%0.276802-4.57%0.0225✗0.9935.1M2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.6151-1.46%1.651+0.73%0.0930✗1.294.8M2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration293.74289.4386-1.46%289.04-1.60%0.0567✗1.061.5M2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28107.6288-1.51%94.1-13.89%0.0812✓0.978.4M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.2792-1.56%2.914-12.52%0.0721✓0.8499k2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.018380.018072-1.67%0.01775-3.43%0.0468✗1.182.8M2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.048719-1.70%0.04964+0.16%0.0676✗0.8911.3M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.018489-1.71%0.01654-12.07%0.0444✓1.222.9M2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash169.64166.7249-1.72%150.36-11.37%0.0356✓1.2312.7M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.138157-1.74%0.1339-4.77%0.0267✗1.06413k2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458182.3159-1.74%189.4715+2.12%0.0919✗0.97704k2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.4749-1.76%2.3965-4.87%0.0278✗1.09147k2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5264-1.77%3.73+3.90%0.1103✗0.99787k2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.099954-1.80%0.093-8.64%0.0085✓1.474.8M2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.3395-1.83%11.76-6.44%0.0627✓-0.274.9M2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.845892-1.92%0.875736+1.54%0.0911✗1.033.4M2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.108707-1.98%0.1001-9.74%0.0070✓1.373.0M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.4984-1.98%9.14+19.48%0.2725✗1.3615.1M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91258.6749-1.98%266.48+0.97%0.0861✗1.0311.4M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.016414-2.01%0.01554-7.22%0.0039✓0.921.3M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7130,566.03-2.02%36,545.69+17.15%0.2082✗0.547.7M2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4138.598-2.06%35.27-10.50%0.0113✓1.441.3M2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.063306-2.06%0.064208-0.67%0.0917✗1.419.2M2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.201543-2.07%0.1885-8.41%0.0042✓1.144.2M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.229639-2.07%0.2128-9.25%0.0113✓1.186.2M2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative22.9222.4413-2.09%22.386-2.33%0.0885✗1.6620.1M2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.3799-2.12%1.3805-2.08%0.0583✗1.051.3M2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.38897-2.12%0.3775-5.01%0.0398✗1.275.3M2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1810.941-2.14%10.37-7.25%0.0112✓0.771.4M2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.5068-2.16%3.2078-10.50%0.0207✓1.253.4M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.5407-2.17%1.7433+10.70%0.1799✗1.0333.5M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.2862-2.19%1.411+7.30%0.1479✗1.0122.8M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.7087-2.21%6.1094-10.94%0.0321✓1.12819k2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.0923-2.31%1.2912+15.48%0.2488✗1.482.4M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7929.0806-2.38%36.33+21.95%0.2693✗0.8539.4M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.295.1627-2.41%4.37-17.39%0.1118✓1.006.5M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.000036801-2.44%0.00003416-9.44%0.0196✓1.002.1M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.109905-2.45%0.10295-8.63%0.0335✓0.58113k2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.407254-2.48%0.3879-7.11%0.0304✗1.444.4M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.771979-2.48%0.7302-7.76%0.0116✓1.227.7M2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.310406-2.48%0.2952-7.26%0.0187✓1.265.8M2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.8895-2.60%1.7-12.37%0.0145✓1.661.5M2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.0857-2.62%0.08625-2.00%0.0715✗1.1921.7M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2362-2.66%1.17-7.87%0.0001✓1.002.4M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.5934-2.68%4.83+2.33%0.1052✗1.002.5M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.3022-2.74%1.2582-6.03%0.0599✗1.721.6M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase70.7768.7477-2.86%63.94-9.65%0.0049✓1.411.3M2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.5002-2.86%9.33-4.60%0.0412✗1.084.1M2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.7673-2.91%4.36-11.20%0.0344✓1.001.3M2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 298.495.4312-3.02%91.66-6.85%0.0146✓1.006.1M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.036679-3.08%0.033863-10.52%0.0235✓1.0311.6M2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.762467-3.10%0.715-9.14%0.0057✓1.274.0M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum11.0810.7324-3.14%11-0.72%0.0768✗0.952.0M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum2.01621.9517-3.20%1.835-8.99%0.0226✓0.711.3M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.353962-3.26%0.3671+0.33%0.0862✗0.91356k2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4144.8297-3.41%40.17-13.45%0.0084✓1.858.6M2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.079751-3.45%0.0797-3.51%0.0712✗1.312.3M2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.1369-3.64%0.9793-17.00%0.0943✓1.00184k2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.6098-3.94%6.21+6.34%0.1720✗1.2828.7M2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86110.2739-3.99%114.26-0.52%0.0940✗1.07136.0M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.207396-4.11%0.20032-7.38%0.0527✗1.5923k2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.9167-4.17%1.6281-18.59%0.1238✓0.727.5M2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.1876-4.22%2.08-8.94%0.0550✗1.921.9M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.689901-4.31%0.633-12.21%0.0194✓1.213.0M2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2924.0896-4.72%3.609-15.91%0.0701✓1.003.6M2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1342.9748-5.08%2.681-14.45%0.0514✓0.962.2M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.021665-5.14%0.02333+2.15%0.1289✗1.0035.6M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.65091.564-5.26%1.5238-7.70%0.0451✓1.308.6M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.6332-5.27%1.5787-8.43%0.0210✓1.006.2M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2312.5023-5.50%13.2-0.23%0.0831✗0.522.7M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5742.0294-5.70%41.07-7.85%0.0706✗1.714.2M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.690299-6.13%1.0026+36.33%0.4684✗1.7317.7M2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.501744-6.39%0.43-19.78%0.1150✓0.7245k2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.507-6.43%3.3501-10.62%0.0027✓0.888.6M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1514.9839-7.22%13.58-15.91%0.0970✓0.035.1M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05714.712-8.38%13.69-14.74%0.0739✓-0.03134k2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.5837-8.51%4.49-10.38%0.0343✓1.0012.1M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.