8=======>

2021-12-24 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0239
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
30.1%
in alpha space · 85.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61114.1204-9.55%12.734-18.43%0.1065✓-0.03133k2021-12-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.714.4707-7.83%12.7-19.11%0.1280✓0.034.8M2021-12-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.708961-6.98%0.9356+22.75%0.4430✗1.7314.6M2021-12-31
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.2728-6.49%3.2677-6.64%0.0832✗0.899.0M2021-12-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.6445-6.08%1.5666-10.53%0.0470✓1.006.7M2021-12-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1541.6575-5.65%39.69-10.10%0.1149✗1.714.7M2021-12-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.5728-5.23%4.55+20.69%0.3375✗1.0011.9M2021-12-31
HIVEHivenative1.5931.5112-5.13%1.4896-6.49%0.1097✗1.3010.4M2021-12-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.02081-5.02%0.02346+7.07%0.2156✗1.0039.8M2021-12-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.5053-4.99%12.22+0.91%0.1109✗0.532.7M2021-12-31
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.1149-4.43%2.0908-5.52%0.1723✗1.922.1M2021-12-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.206065-4.08%0.19688-8.36%0.1069✗1.5924k2021-12-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93110.3711-3.97%109.4-4.81%0.0931✗1.06142.8M2021-12-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.6836-3.92%2.574-7.84%0.0505✗0.962.2M2021-12-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.647236-3.83%0.612-9.06%0.0606✗1.223.0M2021-12-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.8242-3.82%1.62-14.59%0.0498✓0.728.1M2021-12-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1451-3.69%0.9088-23.57%0.1355✓1.00190k2021-12-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.075316-3.56%0.0763-2.30%0.1384✗1.312.5M2021-12-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.348554-3.47%0.3279-9.19%0.0258✓0.91388k2021-12-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7244.1358-3.47%38.92-14.87%0.0510✗1.858.8M2021-12-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.036952-3.39%0.033825-11.56%0.0097✓1.0312.1M2021-12-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.6668-3.33%3.496-7.83%0.0480✗1.003.5M2021-12-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.887-3.08%1.7428-10.48%0.0113✓0.711.3M2021-12-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.736338-3.06%0.6864-9.64%0.0519✗1.285.1M2021-12-31
ZENHorizenBase70.5368.379-3.05%60.57-14.12%0.0136✓1.411.4M2021-12-31
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.6999-3.02%9.42+18.64%0.3314✗1.3614.9M2021-12-31
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33262.2319-3.00%253.92-6.07%0.0659✗1.0211.4M2021-12-31
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.6903-2.89%4.22-12.63%0.0100✓1.001.5M2021-12-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.0404-2.88%5.32+2.50%0.1772✗1.2928.7M2021-12-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.297-2.75%9.11-4.71%0.0832✗1.084.1M2021-12-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6331,684.84-2.74%33,038.28+1.41%0.0931✗0.547.0M2021-12-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.278-2.73%1.2039-8.36%0.1046✗1.721.6M2021-12-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.395303-2.68%0.3547-12.68%0.0297✗1.444.4M2021-12-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.775347-2.67%0.7078-11.15%0.0261✓1.237.7M2021-12-31
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.5084-2.63%4.91+6.05%0.1810✗1.002.5M2021-12-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.1979-2.61%1.13-8.13%0.0373✗1.002.4M2021-12-31
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.5807-2.48%10.85+0.00%0.1163✗0.951.6M2021-12-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5375-2.44%1.6589+5.26%0.1742✗1.0334.9M2021-12-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.379-2.38%4.34-21.23%0.1189✓1.006.5M2021-12-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.00003529-2.35%0.00003342-7.53%0.0412✗1.002.2M2021-12-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.0921-2.34%1.2282+9.83%0.2596✗1.492.5M2021-12-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.107637-2.29%0.1009-8.41%0.0090✓0.58143k2021-12-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.5285-2.28%5.8862-11.89%0.0038✓1.12876k2021-12-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.081055-2.15%0.08513+2.76%0.1628✗1.1921.7M2021-12-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.8424-2.14%10.11-8.75%0.0041✓0.771.5M2021-12-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.295175-2.13%0.2833-6.07%0.0794✗1.266.2M2021-12-31
KCSKuCoinnative22.8122.3258-2.12%21.376-6.29%0.1151✗1.6621.0M2021-12-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3566-2.09%1.2796-7.65%0.0426✗1.061.4M2021-12-31
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.016167-2.07%0.01518-8.06%0.0256✗0.931.4M2021-12-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.5243-2.00%2.397-6.95%0.0526✗1.09152k2021-12-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2592-2.00%1.3658+6.30%0.1777✗1.0122.8M2021-12-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.198755-1.99%0.1752-13.61%0.0167✓1.144.3M2021-12-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.106496-1.94%0.0971-10.59%0.0393✗1.383.0M2021-12-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.375189-1.94%0.3655-4.47%0.0957✗1.276.2M2021-12-31
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748184.5563-1.92%181.8528-3.36%0.0784✗0.97720k2021-12-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.834346-1.91%0.802611-5.64%0.0596✗1.033.7M2021-12-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.061062-1.86%0.063529+2.11%0.1750✗1.419.5M2021-12-31
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4747-1.85%3.54+0.00%0.1131✗0.99807k2021-12-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018426-1.78%0.01579-15.83%0.0375✓1.223.2M2021-12-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.3499-1.74%3.1464-7.71%0.0572✗1.253.4M2021-12-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9653-1.68%1.634-18.26%0.0603✓1.307.9M2021-12-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.048612-1.68%0.04828-2.35%0.0783✗0.8912.1M2021-12-31
ZECZcashZcash165.18162.4201-1.67%146.46-11.33%0.0148✓1.2413.6M2021-12-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3412.1367-1.65%11.78-4.54%0.0551✓-0.264.9M2021-12-31
XVGVergenative0.017980.01769-1.61%0.01703-5.28%0.0751✗1.182.8M2021-12-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.4407-1.60%32.43+20.69%0.2862✗0.8640.2M2021-12-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.213768-1.53%0.2023-6.82%0.0584✗1.196.5M2021-12-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.135834-1.50%0.1283-6.96%0.0442✗1.06445k2021-12-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.8753-1.47%8.873-11.47%0.0433✓0.67455k2021-12-31
KSMKusamaHydration288.88284.7515-1.43%276.22-4.38%0.0709✗1.061.5M2021-12-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.2368-1.42%24.42-11.62%0.0222✗1.3724.1M2021-12-31
DASHDashDash149.49147.4744-1.35%133.78-10.51%0.0200✗1.232.2M2021-12-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.572-1.32%1.542-3.20%0.1047✗1.305.2M2021-12-31
BANDBandEthereum5.635.557-1.30%5.01-11.01%0.0063✓1.153.0M2021-12-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019465-1.29%0.01908-3.25%0.0291✗0.5160k2021-12-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.1527-1.27%4.7425-9.13%0.0179✓0.6829k2021-12-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.457118-1.25%0.4139-10.59%0.0373✗1.431.2M2021-12-31
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.2824-1.24%16.98-2.97%0.1046✗1.2814.6M2021-12-31
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.1001-1.24%2.882-8.19%0.0075✓0.84100k2021-12-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.275246-1.21%0.266478-4.36%0.0629✗1.0036.2M2021-12-31
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.4359-1.21%4.3404-3.33%0.0998✗1.275.4M2021-12-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.057289-1.19%0.05331-8.05%0.0291✗1.0617k2021-12-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62103.3793-1.19%93.21-10.91%0.0108✓0.978.8M2021-12-31
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2227.4954-1.17%199.58-13.30%0.0293✓1.06239k2021-12-31
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.6777-1.17%8.736-10.79%0.0287✗1.37349k2021-12-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.688931-1.16%0.6421-7.88%0.0413✗1.1714.0M2021-12-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.5203-1.14%33.06-5.33%0.0950✗1.441.3M2021-12-31
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.898617-1.14%0.843-7.26%0.0721✗1.429.3M2021-12-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6806-1.14%1.62-4.71%0.1230✗1.671.5M2021-12-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.087798-1.13%0.0823-7.32%0.0358✗1.0521k2021-12-31
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000116008-1.10%0.00010819-7.77%0.0239✗0.9811.7M2021-12-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4237.025-1.06%34.06-8.98%0.0124✗1.006.1M2021-12-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.213931-1.05%0.1984-8.23%0.0057✓0.85776k2021-12-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4948-1.00%3.21-9.07%0.0069✓0.961.3M2021-12-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.573-1.00%15.07-9.98%0.0300✓0.681.4M2021-12-31
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.242085-0.99%0.1945-20.45%0.1723✓0.49410k2021-12-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.184501-0.97%0.170222-8.64%0.0245✗1.106.1M2021-12-31
GTGateEthereum6.31286.2536-0.94%6.5555+3.84%0.1177✗0.744.6M2021-12-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9665-0.94%4.018+0.35%0.0810✗0.71473k2021-12-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2452-0.92%2.058-9.18%0.0177✗1.103.4M2021-12-31
XEMNEMnative0.13590.13466-0.91%0.1227-9.71%0.0075✓1.05202k2021-12-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.078.9885-0.90%8.41-7.28%0.0042✓0.74836k2021-12-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6691-0.89%5.48-4.20%0.0710✗1.105.0M2021-12-31
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.6914-0.88%15.14-4.36%0.0717✗1.125.0M2021-12-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1727.9286-0.86%26.67-5.32%0.0704✗1.2277.3M2021-12-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.9724-0.83%4.6064-8.13%0.0535✗1.365.2M2021-12-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2765-0.82%1.259-2.18%0.0765✗0.944.1M2021-12-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.091816-0.81%0.08767-5.29%0.0951✗1.484.8M2021-12-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.6115-0.80%8.1-6.69%0.0616✗1.28511k2021-12-31
SOLSolanaSolana190.65189.1444-0.79%169.88-10.89%0.0198✓0.92257.1M2021-12-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0564-0.76%2.93-4.87%0.0793✗1.273.2M2021-12-31
QNTQuantEthereum199.57198.0707-0.75%179.22-10.20%0.0124✓0.9212.0M2021-12-31
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.654,019.31-0.75%3,675.80-9.23%0.0083✗1.02768.5M2021-12-31
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.6151-0.74%3.4015-6.61%0.0387✗1.04819k2021-12-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.121008-0.73%0.11271-7.54%0.0320✗1.0830k2021-12-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,482.51-0.73%46,211.24-9.12%0.0073✗1.00750.8M2021-12-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3425.1594-0.71%24.41-3.67%0.0372✗0.712.7M2021-12-31
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.3811-0.70%38.25-10.38%0.0065✓1.0021.8M2021-12-31
XMRMoneroMonero204.44203.0177-0.70%228.93+11.98%0.2073✗0.912.7M2021-12-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58128.7327-0.65%121.02-6.61%0.0308✗0.973.2M2021-12-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5593-0.62%3.7613+5.02%0.0467✗-0.09384k2021-12-31
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3849-0.61%1.3082-6.12%0.0420✗1.03124.4M2021-12-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023128-0.57%0.021822-6.18%0.0586✗1.222.2M2021-12-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.7185-0.54%7.06-9.02%0.0288✓0.631.0M2021-12-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7366-0.49%2.39-13.09%0.0426✓0.974.7M2021-12-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35160.6156-0.46%146.15-9.42%0.0363✗1.3758.6M2021-12-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.8687-0.42%31.4-7.67%0.0148✓0.64649k2021-12-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2541-0.40%5.023-4.78%0.0154✗0.63846k2021-12-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27450.4956-0.39%430.15-4.89%0.0499✗1.0013.7M2021-12-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.3897-0.37%19.51-9.13%0.0251✗1.2269.7M2021-12-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.3591-0.30%34.24-6.11%0.0363✗1.0123.1M2021-12-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,570.60-0.28%46,060.20-9.18%0.0002✓0.989,2792021-12-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1453-0.28%4.508+8.44%0.1615✗0.81714k2021-12-31
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.080743-0.18%0.075477-6.69%0.0231✗0.95659k2021-12-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.36838+0.10%0.426+15.76%0.2161✓0.7445k2021-12-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.059.0704+0.23%8.8-2.76%0.0334✓0.661.0M2021-12-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.