8=======>

2021-12-21 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1673
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
22.8%
in alpha space · 36.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.4927+0.27%9.7+14.52%0.1512✓0.641.2M2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4436+0.15%2.54+4.10%0.0644✓0.904.8M2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.357367+0.10%0.423+18.49%0.1893✓0.7354k2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.5033-0.12%10.128+34.82%0.3362✗1.27635k2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.4101-0.15%20.36+4.73%0.0816✗1.1969.7M2021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078684-0.21%0.077218-2.07%0.0081✗0.95787k2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9368-0.23%5.349+35.55%0.3288✗0.78734k2021-12-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.1943-0.33%36.25+2.66%0.0581✗1.0021.2M2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94436.2024-0.40%438.74+0.18%0.0345✗1.0114.2M2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8154.0776-0.47%145.67-5.90%0.0170✓1.3860.7M2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2741-0.47%1.3998+9.35%0.1224✗1.00131.8M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0502-0.53%5.695+12.17%0.1376✗0.621.0M2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16185.1759-0.53%252.64+35.71%0.3369✗0.9211.0M2021-12-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,175.76-0.56%47,383.60-2.20%0.0113✗0.9815k2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64123.9378-0.56%121.77-2.30%0.0097✗0.962.5M2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4193.286-0.57%209+7.51%0.1071✗1.02228k2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum186.26185.095-0.63%188.78+1.35%0.0451✗0.8912.3M2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.111126-0.64%0.11446+2.34%0.0602✗1.0830k2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.0048-0.66%27.84+10.61%0.1418✗1.2175.1M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1122.9579-0.66%24.71+6.92%0.1107✗1.3120.8M2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1632.9412-0.66%33.51+1.06%0.0351✗0.63744k2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.4064-0.71%3.7465+9.20%0.1242✗1.02819k2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.169652-0.73%0.173745+1.66%0.0547✗1.095.5M2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022582-0.74%0.021978-3.39%0.0078✗1.231.9M2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero188.96187.5203-0.76%208.62+10.40%0.1314✗0.872.9M2021-12-28
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0614.9426-0.78%18.4+22.18%0.2434✗1.2414.2M2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.3181-0.78%5.85+9.14%0.1257✗1.075.5M2021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.539-0.81%25.42+2.75%0.0549✗0.692.8M2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.1539-0.83%15.54+1.70%0.0573✗1.136.2M2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000108368-0.83%0.00010951+0.21%0.0384✗0.9812.6M2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3335.0232-0.87%34.96-1.05%0.0265✗1.006.5M2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2104-0.87%1.28+4.83%0.0832✗0.964.4M2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.7482-0.88%35.02+9.33%0.1387✗1.431.5M2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.1373-0.88%9.0923-1.37%0.0341✗1.37349k2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.1280.126862-0.89%0.1284+0.31%0.0416✗1.04202k2021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,472.82-0.90%47,543.09-2.80%0.0091✓1.00754.4M2021-12-28
DASHDashDash133.6132.385-0.91%134.75+0.86%0.0521✗1.212.2M2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana179.75178.1087-0.91%177.27-1.38%0.0210✗0.90275.4M2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.5681-0.93%40.01-4.65%0.0096✓1.0125.2M2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7633-0.94%4.564+20.14%0.2122✗0.68544k2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5668-0.95%3.6-0.03%0.0067✓-0.09372k2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.8792-0.95%2.98+2.51%0.0581✗0.83104k2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.8991-1.00%16.17+7.44%0.1005✗0.651.6M2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.6026-1.01%9.08+4.49%0.0749✗0.73934k2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,976.47-1.01%3,793.67-5.56%0.0176✓1.03768.5M2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1063-1.02%2.108-0.94%0.0321✗1.103.3M2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.309956-1.04%0.3781+20.72%0.2378✗1.374.9M2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.240564-1.04%0.2158-11.23%0.0952✓0.47428k2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.2952-1.04%3.34+0.30%0.0407✗0.961.3M2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9085-1.07%3.03+3.06%0.0770✗1.273.1M2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.6117-1.12%1.77+8.59%0.1408✗1.661.8M2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7559-1.13%1.664-6.31%0.0175✓1.286.8M2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.04465.9753-1.15%6.459+6.86%0.0992✗0.754.9M2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.7827-1.15%9.06+54.87%0.4858✗1.3013.8M2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.855014-1.15%0.911+5.32%0.1040✗1.439.9M2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.085104-1.16%0.0838-2.67%0.0146✗1.0624k2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.207467-1.16%0.1998-4.81%0.0134✓0.85756k2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2796.14-1.16%99.74+2.54%0.0642✗0.969.8M2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.325.2563-1.20%5.34+0.38%0.0481✗1.142.8M2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.9182-1.20%4.8047-3.48%0.0038✓0.6931k2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.055526-1.20%0.05427-3.43%0.0073✓1.0622k2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4632-1.27%1.537+3.71%0.0863✗1.315.6M2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.1814-1.28%4.4909+6.03%0.1078✗1.284.7M2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.945-1.32%5.0292+0.37%0.0558✗1.375.2M2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.3247-1.38%26.57+12.35%0.1549✗0.8741.0M2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.264178-1.42%0.274101+2.29%0.0647✗0.9840.4M2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration267.01263.2199-1.42%294.8+10.41%0.1431✗1.051.5M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.200994-1.43%0.2199+7.85%0.1227✗1.158.6M2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.442077-1.43%0.4301-4.10%0.0129✓1.421.8M2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13546.0356-1.63%6.2683+2.17%0.0696✗1.12833k2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.019389-1.63%0.01993+1.12%0.0410✗0.4761k2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.097563-1.65%0.1045+5.34%0.1074✗1.363.3M2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.770014-1.67%0.798687+1.99%0.0654✗1.014.8M2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.017350.01706-1.67%0.0176+1.44%0.0645✗1.173.1M2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.132718-1.69%0.1358+0.59%0.0537✗1.08559k2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.1833-1.75%3.52+8.64%0.1273✗0.94807k2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.25810.0755-1.78%9.798-4.48%0.0086✓0.68388k2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.015477-1.79%0.01563-0.82%0.0358✗0.911.6M2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.3904-1.82%2.4846+2.05%0.0702✗1.11169k2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2412.0172-1.82%12.05-1.55%0.0056✓-0.295.7M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017731-1.82%0.01651-8.58%0.0364✓1.233.6M2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.1319-1.84%3.3661+5.50%0.1064✗1.214.7M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964180.572-1.84%190.178+3.38%0.0795✗0.97853k2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.275108-1.85%0.3033+8.21%0.1328✗1.247.0M2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2603-1.86%1.3011+1.32%0.0619✗1.061.6M2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3318-1.91%1.4667+8.03%0.1250✗1.0035.7M2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.047445-1.93%0.05063+4.65%0.0912✗0.9215.8M2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash162.44159.2634-1.96%149.45-8.00%0.0273✓1.2813.6M2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.362281-2.01%0.3842+3.92%0.0956✗1.306.6M2021-12-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.5453-2.01%7.57-1.69%0.0212✗0.631.1M2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.695044-2.07%0.6659-6.17%0.0096✓1.1715.1M2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.5873-2.07%11.66+19.10%0.2227✗0.951.9M2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.067354-2.10%0.0659-4.22%0.0170✓1.362.7M2021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.060347-2.14%0.05923-3.95%0.0223✗1.4413.0M2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase64.3762.9647-2.18%63.32-1.63%0.0459✗1.421.9M2021-12-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.100005-2.23%0.08977-12.24%0.0651✓1.516.8M2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.703702-2.26%0.7165-0.49%0.0519✗1.197.7M2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.549.3239-2.26%14.64+53.46%0.4492✗-0.073.7M2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.101879-2.33%0.10316-1.10%0.0283✗0.56143k2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.3537-2.38%21.506-1.69%0.0544✗1.6622.7M2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum98.78-2.44%9.59+6.56%0.1193✗1.094.1M2021-12-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.6442-2.51%1.71+1.39%0.0560✗0.598.7M2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.654158-2.54%0.7106+5.87%0.1178✗1.237.1M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.5163-2.54%4.5-20.49%0.1752✓1.007.1M2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0756-2.60%1.2569+13.81%0.1989✗1.523.3M2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000031989-2.62%0.00003492+6.30%0.1161✗1.001.8M2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1346-2.73%1.2203+4.62%0.1211✗1.701.5M2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.323543-2.78%0.342+2.76%0.0807✗0.89544k2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.4857-2.91%4.72+2.16%0.0885✗1.3228.7M2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9239.7094-2.96%39.7-2.98%0.0525✗1.8513.1M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.6603-3.01%10.76+8.03%0.1289✗0.741.9M2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.1779-3.01%14.59+54.18%0.4600✗-0.13119k2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1536-3.06%1.18-0.84%0.0511✗1.002.4M2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.4655-3.14%4.87+5.64%0.1152✗1.002.5M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.604332-3.15%0.64+2.56%0.0915✗1.203.2M2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7524-3.15%1.8135+0.22%0.0544✗0.711.4M2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.3571-3.28%2.754+13.01%0.1814✗0.913.2M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.7072-3.28%3.891+1.51%0.0768✗1.003.6M2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.199076-3.36%0.2085+1.21%0.0918✗1.6034k2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9933,437.14-3.63%28,691.22-17.31%0.1374✓0.556.8M2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2668-3.65%1.4291+8.70%0.1499✗1.0323.6M2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.5249-3.71%11.57+5.86%0.1090✗0.514.1M2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.7444-3.96%4.56-7.69%0.0112✓1.001.9M2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.036748-4.04%0.033967-11.31%0.0496✓1.0215.0M2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.213105-4.18%0.1923-13.53%0.0701✓1.154.2M2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.47581.4108-4.40%1.6115+9.20%0.1697✗1.2911.9M2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5334.8943-4.48%38.45+5.26%0.1462✗1.735.5M2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.0791-4.68%1.027-9.28%0.0210✓1.00215k2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.4408-4.69%4.38+21.33%0.2698✗1.0012.1M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27116.947-5.13%107.05-13.16%0.0576✓1.09164.3M2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.4208-5.32%1.6826+12.13%0.1978✗1.017.8M2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.092401-5.49%0.07538-22.90%0.1689✓1.2222.6M2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28693.0939-5.87%3.3399+1.61%0.1009✗0.8610.1M2021-12-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.561067-6.80%0.7896+31.16%0.3931✗1.8112.4M2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.2361-6.89%2.0752-13.59%0.0185✓1.972.4M2021-12-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.021344-6.96%0.02187-4.66%0.0528✓1.0033.0M2021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.