8=======>

2022-05-11 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.5046
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+81.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.5%
in alpha space · 55.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 21.060.663862-37.37%0.00015-99.99%8.3622✓3.187.5M2022-05-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.255.2299-0.38%4.9753-5.23%0.0471✓0.27284k2022-05-18
GTGateEthereum4.97855.0095+0.62%5.4955+10.38%0.0982✓0.544.7M2022-05-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09240.092992+0.64%0.0885-4.22%0.0407✗0.85169k2022-05-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0011.0075+0.65%0.904-9.69%0.0969✗1.10574k2022-05-18
FTTFTXEthereum29.9430.2022+0.88%29.64-1.00%0.0089✗0.9612.7M2022-05-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,075.932,097.86+1.06%1,911.98-7.90%0.0820✗1.03464.2M2022-05-18
TRXTRONTron0.0741460.074977+1.12%0.070977-4.27%0.0463✗0.82553k2022-05-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.809923+1.24%0.747-6.63%0.0694✗1.113.3M2022-05-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,313.9028,678.46+1.29%28,786.00+1.67%0.0139✓0.9840k2022-05-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.00984.068+1.45%3.8022-5.18%0.0551✗1.21134k2022-05-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,972.3429,404.66+1.49%28,672.94-1.03%0.0148✓1.00634.5M2022-05-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5021.5272+1.68%1.228-18.24%0.2031✗1.445.3M2022-05-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001210.000001231+1.71%0.00000109-9.92%0.1131✗0.797.7M2022-05-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.853.7766+1.85%50.06-5.19%0.0616✗0.962.0M2022-05-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45250.460957+1.87%0.4328-4.35%0.0507✗1.1912.6M2022-05-18
XTZTezosTezos1.77761.8109+1.87%1.676-5.72%0.0645✗1.24866k2022-05-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,348.9911,565.44+1.91%9,070.74-20.07%0.2308✗1.172.6M2022-05-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4373+1.94%1.34-4.96%0.0589✗1.08134k2022-05-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.96197.7234+1.94%186.73-3.73%0.0455✗1.135.2M2022-05-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.70251.7378+2.07%1.6365-3.88%0.0535✗0.6316k2022-05-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1257370.128347+2.08%0.127544+1.44%0.0048✓1.0613.8M2022-05-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.30650.313142+2.17%0.2258-26.33%0.3220✗0.48514k2022-05-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091720.009372+2.18%0.008488-7.46%0.0883✗1.0336k2022-05-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017720.018131+2.32%0.02137+20.60%0.1713✓0.67400k2022-05-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9120.3949+2.44%19.81-0.50%0.0161✓1.254.4M2022-05-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.2614.6214+2.53%13.77-3.44%0.0463✗1.32766k2022-05-18
XYMSymbolnative0.06810.069927+2.68%0.0658-3.38%0.0532✗0.74619k2022-05-18
UNIUniswapEthereum4.895.0264+2.79%4.88-0.20%0.0171✓1.204.1M2022-05-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51452.5847+2.79%2.335-7.14%0.0887✗1.24188k2022-05-18
QNTQuantEthereum64.165.901+2.81%64.77+1.05%0.0065✓1.043.5M2022-05-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4061.4463+2.87%1.296-7.82%0.0993✗1.005.3M2022-05-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0847740.087224+2.89%0.082984-2.11%0.0383✗1.117.1M2022-05-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.373340.384371+2.95%0.37232-0.27%0.0188✓1.26151k2022-05-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8972.983+2.97%2.84-1.97%0.0384✗1.0481k2022-05-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin66.3168.2815+2.97%65.87-0.66%0.0240✓1.1517.5M2022-05-18
KCSKuCoinnative11.3911.7287+2.97%14.375+26.21%0.2131✓0.924.1M2022-05-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.9110.2062+2.99%9.63-2.83%0.0429✗1.46134k2022-05-18
ADACardanoCardano0.51610.531999+3.08%0.5053-2.09%0.0382✗1.2842.0M2022-05-18
DASHDashDash58.0659.8766+3.13%55.59-4.25%0.0620✗1.181.0M2022-05-18
ZENHorizenBase19.6420.2652+3.18%18.99-3.31%0.0491✗1.53173k2022-05-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042950.044334+3.22%0.04358+1.47%0.0073✓0.959,2282022-05-18
ZECZcashZcash83.0985.9251+3.41%99.46+19.70%0.1592✓1.245.1M2022-05-18
NANOnanopayBase1.08021.1174+3.44%1.0587-1.99%0.0410✗1.25161k2022-05-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1750.18112+3.50%0.1813+3.60%0.0161✓1.45634k2022-05-18
COMPCompoundEthereum70.9773.4707+3.52%63.7-10.24%0.1286✗1.3638k2022-05-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03140.032558+3.69%0.0313-0.32%0.0253✓1.36179k2022-05-18
HIVEHivenative0.47720.495156+3.76%0.472-1.09%0.0353✓1.221.5M2022-05-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.463.5921+3.82%3.54+2.31%0.0072✓0.72788k2022-05-18
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8785+3.84%1.566-13.43%0.1674✗1.41537k2022-05-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.937.1986+3.88%6.79-2.02%0.0448✗1.3119.6M2022-05-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.024130.025065+3.88%0.02554+5.84%0.0290✓0.9930k2022-05-18
XMRMoneroMonero140.01145.4458+3.88%155.14+10.81%0.0752✓1.033.0M2022-05-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.059.4026+3.90%9.47+4.64%0.0204✓1.2711.8M2022-05-18
XEMNEMnative0.0490.050915+3.91%0.0537+9.59%0.0658✓1.2184k2022-05-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049180.051116+3.94%0.05016+1.99%0.0088✓0.9726k2022-05-18
SOLSolanaSolana50.8252.8281+3.95%49.87-1.87%0.0432✗1.3987.4M2022-05-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-76.03e-7+3.96%6.83e-7+17.78%0.1303✓0.531.4M2022-05-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7511.1935+4.13%10.1-6.05%0.0889✗1.3419.8M2022-05-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012447+4.16%0.00001147-4.02%0.0681✗1.311.3M2022-05-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.123819+4.22%0.1303+9.68%0.0677✓1.61108k2022-05-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.0681.1133+4.24%1.082+1.31%0.0184✓0.9725k2022-05-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.0560.058399+4.28%0.0578+3.21%0.0014✓1.12416k2022-05-18
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2885.8226+4.31%81.76-0.63%0.0330✓1.498.6M2022-05-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009360.009766+4.34%0.00913-2.46%0.0560✗1.091.0M2022-05-18
PROPropyEthereum1.071.1172+4.41%1.17+9.35%0.0535✓0.70528k2022-05-18
STXStacksnative0.580.605858+4.46%0.51-12.07%0.1608✗1.10260k2022-05-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.111869+4.55%0.1183+10.56%0.0699✓1.351.2M2022-05-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59630.623473+4.56%0.6487+8.79%0.0542✓1.406.1M2022-05-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.427.7606+4.59%7.49+0.94%0.0209✓1.418.0M2022-05-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.11906+4.62%0.1059-6.94%0.1009✗1.561.8M2022-05-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033190.034756+4.72%0.03561+7.29%0.0382✓1.3494k2022-05-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.497160.520838+4.76%0.53494+7.60%0.0414✓1.4193k2022-05-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.8514.5109+4.77%12.73-8.09%0.1216✗0.90483k2022-05-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.149825+4.77%0.1653+15.59%0.1126✓1.38372k2022-05-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.21330.223741+4.90%0.2581+21.00%0.1569✓1.35184k2022-05-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.132.6305+4.92%29.57-4.92%0.0835✗1.4545.0M2022-05-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068180.071535+4.92%0.07027+3.07%0.0071✓1.0418k2022-05-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.197815+4.94%0.1857-1.49%0.0526✗1.022,9402022-05-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.620.651025+5.00%0.643+3.71%0.0028✓1.46344k2022-05-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004803+5.10%0.00461+0.88%0.0288✓1.181.7M2022-05-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0120560.012673+5.12%0.017393+44.27%0.3245✓0.76198k2022-05-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.8472.9931+5.13%3.049+7.10%0.0357✓1.662.2M2022-05-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.220.198+5.20%21.59+12.45%0.0813✓1.413.8M2022-05-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.01891.0719+5.21%1.1344+11.34%0.0674✓1.0496k2022-05-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4150.436718+5.23%0.451+8.67%0.0474✓1.47299k2022-05-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11570.121766+5.24%0.1273+10.03%0.0560✓1.111.1M2022-05-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29740.313109+5.28%0.3344+12.44%0.0786✓1.238.5M2022-05-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02090.022008+5.30%0.02797+33.83%0.2506✓1.04227k2022-05-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009730.01025+5.34%0.00898-7.71%0.1238✗0.81238k2022-05-18
XVGVergenative0.004360.004594+5.36%0.00481+10.32%0.0599✓1.34885k2022-05-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22580.238069+5.43%0.3258+44.29%0.3266✓1.24486k2022-05-18
KSMKusamaHydration72.9276.9501+5.53%75.92+4.11%0.0008✓1.231.1M2022-05-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.010580.011165+5.53%0.01331+25.80%0.1864✓1.023.2M2022-05-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39390.415786+5.56%0.3371-14.42%0.1964✗1.2997k2022-05-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.961179+5.62%0.84-7.69%0.1251✗0.93142k2022-05-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.589.0679+5.69%7.59-11.54%0.1648✗1.267.4M2022-05-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.1106+5.77%1.12+6.67%0.0163✓0.75221k2022-05-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07820.08272+5.78%0.0702-10.23%0.1444✗1.89216k2022-05-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22190.234844+5.83%0.2464+11.04%0.0605✓1.20316k2022-05-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.307170.32511+5.84%0.33637+9.51%0.0502✓1.5642k2022-05-18
DIADIAEthereum0.350.370465+5.85%0.74+111.43%0.6998✓0.7670k2022-05-18
STEEMSteemnative0.19560.207076+5.87%0.2515+28.58%0.2047✓1.002.4M2022-05-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004350.004606+5.88%0.00488+12.18%0.0727✓1.43403k2022-05-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3180.336819+5.92%0.34+6.92%0.0199✓1.011.1M2022-05-18
GMTGMTEthereum1.3171.395+5.92%1.384+5.09%0.0025✓1.009.7M2022-05-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7851.8909+5.93%2.081+16.58%0.1129✓1.6584k2022-05-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0780.082636+5.94%0.0684-12.31%0.1787✗1.004.2M2022-05-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3986+5.95%1.26-4.55%0.0890✗1.474.1M2022-05-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141560.015009+6.02%0.015+5.96%0.0109✓1.114.3M2022-05-18
MOVRMoonriverBase21.439222.751+6.12%21.8174+1.76%0.0267✓1.46195k2022-05-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8560.908388+6.12%0.801-6.43%0.1098✗1.548.3M2022-05-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2231.2983+6.16%1.105-9.65%0.1437✗1.69582k2022-05-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08330.088472+6.21%0.0783-6.00%0.1064✗1.513.7M2022-05-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5740.610046+6.28%0.565-1.57%0.0642✗1.2050k2022-05-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.6535+6.31%2.946+18.03%0.1202✓1.51197k2022-05-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.87195+6.34%0.82+0.00%0.0456✓1.52892k2022-05-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.500976+6.36%0.504+7.01%0.0211✓1.45869k2022-05-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.6371.7413+6.37%1.694+3.48%0.0128✓1.422.6M2022-05-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12570.133778+6.43%0.1246-0.88%0.0547✓1.586.2M2022-05-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.4810.0947+6.48%10.48+10.55%0.0537✓1.574.5M2022-05-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4972.6599+6.52%2.49-0.28%0.0486✓1.677.7M2022-05-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1190.126797+6.55%0.1186-0.34%0.0575✓0.9019k2022-05-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.991.0553+6.60%0.977-1.31%0.0628✓1.38755k2022-05-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.282.433+6.71%2.97+30.26%0.2103✓1.04557k2022-05-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.741.8572+6.74%1.62-6.90%0.1191✗1.69371k2022-05-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.010119+6.74%0.01163+22.68%0.1564✓1.6545.0M2022-05-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.765610.817412+6.77%1.0317+34.76%0.2478✓1.44805k2022-05-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.3651.4588+6.87%1.843+35.02%0.2443✓1.02748k2022-05-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0650.069501+6.92%0.0773+18.92%0.1235✓1.65204k2022-05-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15170.16222+6.93%0.1571+3.56%0.0165✓1.506.8M2022-05-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.863.0598+6.99%4.01+40.21%0.2801✓0.93829k2022-05-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.38620.413306+7.02%0.371298-3.86%0.0935✗1.326.1M2022-05-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1660.177883+7.16%0.147-11.45%0.1756✗1.454.7M2022-05-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4281.5305+7.18%1.748+22.41%0.1426✓0.93858k2022-05-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.252.4118+7.19%3.62+60.89%0.4160✓0.96429k2022-05-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.841.9724+7.19%1.89+2.72%0.0322✓1.01392k2022-05-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3392.5083+7.24%2.221-5.04%0.1040✗1.7022k2022-05-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.5206+7.26%2.25-4.26%0.0955✗1.74357k2022-05-18
XECeCashnative0.00003640.000039153+7.56%0.00004439+21.95%0.1397✓1.366.7M2022-05-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190.20441+7.58%0.18425-3.03%0.0871✗1.61250k2022-05-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6232.8226+7.61%4.622+76.21%0.5036✓1.001.4M2022-05-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.212064+7.65%0.216+9.64%0.0336✓1.474.1M2022-05-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2990.3219+7.66%0.296-1.00%0.0660✓1.721.7M2022-05-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.614.9659+7.72%9.72+110.85%0.6799✓0.801.2M2022-05-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4860.523946+7.81%0.674+38.68%0.2673✓1.491.7M2022-05-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0011.0793+7.82%1.342+34.07%0.2317✓1.3317.4M2022-05-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04120.044495+8.00%0.0531+28.88%0.1887✓1.151.9M2022-05-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.5871.715+8.06%4.449+180.34%0.9605✓0.701.9M2022-05-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.835.2202+8.08%5.93+22.77%0.1415✓1.35666k2022-05-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6531.7877+8.15%1.913+15.73%0.0882✓1.961.0M2022-05-18
XVSVenusEthereum3.683.983+8.23%4.32+17.39%0.0960✓1.422.9M2022-05-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7156.1883+8.28%7.969+39.44%0.2800✓2.6179.5M2022-05-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.378340.410155+8.41%0.35851-5.24%0.1190✗1.501.4M2022-05-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10560.114563+8.49%0.1104+4.55%0.0182✓1.82787k2022-05-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0140.015225+8.75%0.0145+3.57%0.0255✓2.2523.0M2022-05-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.18291.2868+8.78%2.0873+76.46%0.4947✓1.052.5M2022-05-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44861.5779+8.93%2.23+53.94%0.3582✓1.1810.0M2022-05-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.310.337749+8.95%0.32988+6.41%0.0069✓1.61383k2022-05-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001363+9.07%0.00127+1.60%0.0555✓1.493.9M2022-05-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003670.004004+9.10%0.00411+11.99%0.0358✓0.9320k2022-05-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.82191.9894+9.19%3.0646+68.21%0.4484✓1.578.0M2022-05-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.540.590062+9.27%0.537-0.56%0.0791✓1.4528k2022-05-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.274.6692+9.35%6.45+51.05%0.3319✓0.852.8M2022-05-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.062447+9.56%0.06+5.26%0.0292✓1.03115k2022-05-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.1771.2941+9.95%1.893+60.83%0.3911✓1.044.3M2022-05-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.