8=======>

2022-03-15 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0979
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
22.4%
in alpha space · 3.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2372.2465+0.42%2.762+23.47%0.1253✓1.08534k2022-03-22
MINAMina Protocolnative1.641.6379-0.13%2.15+31.10%0.1958✗1.01336k2022-03-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.94106.7159-0.21%122.81+14.84%0.0650✗1.0025.9M2022-03-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,619.152,613.58-0.21%2,970.51+13.42%0.0504✗1.03501.7M2022-03-22
DASHDashDash95.1494.9149-0.24%130.57+37.24%0.2434✗1.001.6M2022-03-22
XVGVergenative0.008720.008688-0.37%0.00999+14.56%0.0521✗1.161.5M2022-03-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.713.6494-0.37%15.43+12.63%0.0426✗1.0642.8M2022-03-22
ADACardanoCardano0.79920.796094-0.39%0.9753+22.03%0.1274✗1.0066.9M2022-03-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,298.1039,140.09-0.40%42,378.26+7.84%0.0040✗1.00645.2M2022-03-22
TRXTRONTron0.0605530.060309-0.40%0.063447+4.78%0.0009✓0.66282k2022-03-22
KSMKusamaHydration125.47124.9592-0.41%158.4+26.25%0.1536✗1.11664k2022-03-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6110.608378-0.43%0.722+18.17%0.1022✗0.912.4M2022-03-22
XYMSymbolnative0.13170.131106-0.45%0.1371+4.10%0.0146✓0.79296k2022-03-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.0817.9925-0.48%18.261+1.00%0.0535✓0.917.5M2022-03-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8117.7134-0.54%20.22+13.53%0.0510✗1.0824.2M2022-03-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.498.4427-0.56%9.38+10.48%0.0265✗1.043.2M2022-03-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71630.712266-0.56%0.8268+15.43%0.0731✗1.0118.1M2022-03-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1826270.181586-0.57%0.20689+13.29%0.0554✗0.9918.9M2022-03-22
GTGateEthereum6.3056.2686-0.58%6.4277+1.95%0.0239✓0.653.0M2022-03-22
FTTFTXEthereum41.0240.7772-0.59%45.28+10.39%0.0262✗1.0415.5M2022-03-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.8475.3835-0.60%91.76+20.99%0.1406✗0.74974k2022-03-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.612.5235-0.61%16.17+28.33%0.1740✗1.08388k2022-03-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1125620.111873-0.61%0.122365+8.71%0.0285✗0.812.8M2022-03-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.192.1765-0.61%2.44+11.42%0.0417✗0.96140k2022-03-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.344.313-0.62%4.97+14.52%0.0765✗0.86521k2022-03-22
XEMNEMnative0.09450.093909-0.63%0.1082+14.50%0.0789✗0.8339k2022-03-22
SCSiacoinnative0.008670.008614-0.65%0.0096+10.73%0.0259✗1.09472k2022-03-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011767-0.70%0.01287+8.61%0.0363✗0.719,6662022-03-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1062.0912-0.70%2.255+7.08%0.0171✗0.7721k2022-03-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011060.010982-0.71%0.01179+6.60%0.0209✓1.223.1M2022-03-22
SUSHISushiEthereum2.922.8991-0.72%3.45+18.15%0.0867✗1.165.7M2022-03-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,353.6039,067.73-0.73%42,512.10+8.03%0.0123✗0.9652k2022-03-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9414.9051-0.73%5.986+21.15%0.1296✗0.9276k2022-03-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06820.067691-0.75%0.0759+11.29%0.0447✗0.92151k2022-03-22
STORJStorjEthereum10.992187-0.78%1.1249+12.49%0.0425✗1.10112k2022-03-22
QNTQuantEthereum110.23109.3596-0.79%127.12+15.32%0.0813✗0.924.6M2022-03-22
AAVEAaveEthereum122.06121.0564-0.82%152.91+25.27%0.1422✗1.217.0M2022-03-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.25360.251497-0.83%0.31+22.24%0.1240✗1.13192k2022-03-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3251.314-0.83%1.457+9.96%0.0012✓1.35565k2022-03-22
GITCOINGITCOIN5.3635.3174-0.85%6.962+29.82%0.1726✗1.2825k2022-03-22
SOLSolanaSolana82.8582.1443-0.85%90.48+9.21%0.0035✓1.2496.5M2022-03-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.711.695-0.87%1.93+12.87%0.0342✗1.271.3M2022-03-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021620.000021431-0.88%0.00002344+8.42%0.0013✓1.172.9M2022-03-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.8225.594-0.88%51.65+100.04%0.6289✗0.974.3M2022-03-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash289.44286.8972-0.88%375.54+29.75%0.1992✗0.936.6M2022-03-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001760.000001744-0.90%0.00000186+5.68%0.0188✗0.6013.2M2022-03-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.100084-0.91%0.105+3.96%0.0085✓0.5239k2022-03-22
DIADIAEthereum0.890.881829-0.92%0.95+6.74%0.0475✗0.36271k2022-03-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.19170.189905-0.94%0.218+13.72%0.0412✗1.281.9M2022-03-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.024520.02429-0.94%0.02633+7.38%0.0251✗0.743.0M2022-03-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02643.9873-0.97%4.8022+19.27%0.1161✗0.93198k2022-03-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.8415.6836-0.99%18.02+13.76%0.0623✗1.0114.4M2022-03-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.3413.2057-1.01%17.58+31.78%0.1909✗1.262.2M2022-03-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045530.045068-1.01%0.05567+22.27%0.1313✗1.06440k2022-03-22
HIVEHivenative0.83410.825581-1.02%0.9224+10.59%0.0270✗1.111.8M2022-03-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091710.090768-1.03%0.09728+6.07%0.0035✓0.8730k2022-03-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.19140.189356-1.07%0.2091+9.25%0.0117✗1.162.3M2022-03-22
ZENHorizenBase35.9335.5444-1.07%45.47+26.55%0.1502✗1.27244k2022-03-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.37550.371466-1.07%0.758+101.86%0.6188✗1.25397k2022-03-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040090.039658-1.08%0.04222+5.31%0.0014✓0.8526k2022-03-22
QTUMQtumQtum5.7215.6583-1.10%7.6005+32.85%0.2100✗1.13102k2022-03-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7710.762514-1.10%0.91+18.03%0.0779✗1.311.9M2022-03-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1991.1855-1.12%1.582+31.94%0.1950✗1.242.5M2022-03-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08630.085329-1.13%0.0905+4.87%0.0339✓1.23522k2022-03-22
ZECZcashZcash136.27134.7151-1.14%174.59+28.12%0.1895✗0.928.6M2022-03-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9521.9296-1.15%2.268+16.19%0.0655✗1.279.4M2022-03-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.8369.0251-1.15%83.98+20.26%0.1009✗1.26116.5M2022-03-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin16.8116.6127-1.17%18.31+8.92%0.0240✗0.976.2M2022-03-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4524.3987-1.20%5.543+24.51%0.1809✗0.67522k2022-03-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,500.0418,276.98-1.21%20,305.82+9.76%0.0356✗0.925.0M2022-03-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.27292.2455-1.21%2.4316+6.98%0.0086✓1.172.1M2022-03-22
NANOnanopayBase1.71271.6919-1.21%2.2499+31.37%0.2032✗1.09118k2022-03-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1341.1202-1.21%1.26+11.11%0.0455✗0.962.9M2022-03-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.12061.1068-1.23%1.1525+2.84%0.0568✓1.292.4M2022-03-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017620.017402-1.24%0.03998+126.90%0.7140✗1.5612.7M2022-03-22
PROPropyEthereum1.421.4024-1.24%1.54+8.45%0.0139✗1.06242k2022-03-22
COMPCompoundEthereum104.05102.7577-1.24%114.7+10.24%0.0274✗1.0946k2022-03-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.9126.5735-1.25%28.03+4.16%0.0319✓1.1341.1M2022-03-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.718.4605-1.28%20.78+11.12%0.0201✗1.30291k2022-03-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.728.6079-1.29%9.76+11.93%0.0497✗1.016.1M2022-03-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.7748-1.29%6.67+14.02%0.0904✗0.71927k2022-03-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70310.694006-1.29%0.7746+10.17%0.0362✗0.987.4M2022-03-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23480.231727-1.31%0.253+7.75%0.0257✗0.822.0M2022-03-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.039170.038651-1.33%0.040562+3.55%0.0237✓0.955.1M2022-03-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023950.02363-1.33%0.026+8.56%0.0164✗1.05319k2022-03-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3541.3355-1.36%1.547+14.25%0.0745✗0.96593k2022-03-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016170.015944-1.40%0.01899+17.44%0.0998✗0.991.3M2022-03-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.126.7094-1.44%29.9+10.33%0.0453✗0.90846k2022-03-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49960.492359-1.45%0.5151+3.10%0.0112✓0.75436k2022-03-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9373.8798-1.45%5.175+31.45%0.1941✗1.242.3M2022-03-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.906607-1.46%1.719+86.85%0.5771✗0.831.0M2022-03-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2210.217669-1.51%0.253+14.48%0.0885✗0.8242k2022-03-22
XMRMoneroMonero183.37180.6043-1.51%193.89+5.74%0.0007✓0.931.7M2022-03-22
XTZTezosTezos2.97672.9315-1.52%3.302+10.93%0.0363✗1.101.2M2022-03-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11950.117649-1.55%0.1349+12.89%0.0482✗1.172.5M2022-03-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.0191.9876-1.55%2.188+8.37%0.0346✗0.81117k2022-03-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.351.3287-1.58%1.466+8.59%0.0073✓1.40289k2022-03-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14510.142807-1.58%0.1543+6.34%0.0003✓1.03244k2022-03-22
STXStacksnative1.211.1909-1.58%1.3+7.44%0.0180✗0.92444k2022-03-22
XECeCashnative0.000079530.000078241-1.62%0.00008348+4.97%0.0074✓0.964.5M2022-03-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9055.8081-1.64%6.1887+4.80%0.0326✗0.41186k2022-03-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2333.1782-1.69%4.168+28.92%0.2173✗0.71344k2022-03-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4906420.482299-1.70%0.561881+14.52%0.0747✗1.031.9M2022-03-22
MOVRMoonriverBase49.27148.4132-1.74%66.9272+35.83%0.2242✗1.32160k2022-03-22
BANDBandEthereum3.4463.3851-1.77%3.81+10.56%0.0360✗1.09658k2022-03-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035420.034785-1.79%0.03923+10.76%0.0663✗0.71979k2022-03-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074590.07325-1.80%0.07627+2.25%0.0208✓0.819,6412022-03-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62073.5554-1.80%3.8754+7.03%0.0415✗0.593.9M2022-03-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6990.686393-1.80%0.78+11.59%0.1031✗0.33799k2022-03-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4811.454-1.82%1.626+9.79%0.0383✗0.971.7M2022-03-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5111.4821-1.91%2.315+53.21%0.3759✗0.933.4M2022-03-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.0622.6163-1.92%27.98+21.34%0.1185✗1.25749k2022-03-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.813.7354-1.96%4.5+18.11%0.0832✗1.37341k2022-03-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.7712.5155-1.99%13.32+4.31%0.0299✗0.433.1M2022-03-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.866.7212-2.02%6.43-6.27%0.1011✓0.75764k2022-03-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.312.2632-2.03%2.21-4.33%0.0568✓0.44288k2022-03-22
DODODODOEthereum0.3770.369254-2.05%0.446+18.30%0.1071✗1.082.8M2022-03-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33440.327484-2.07%0.3714+11.06%0.0117✓1.5110.5M2022-03-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88733.8066-2.08%4.2393+9.06%0.0606✗0.622.6M2022-03-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.67740.663259-2.09%0.8086+19.37%0.0991✗1.31106k2022-03-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.011450.011209-2.11%0.013307+16.22%0.1002✗0.9511k2022-03-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31170.304805-2.21%0.3622+16.20%0.0736✗1.31857k2022-03-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0196930.019254-2.23%0.025067+27.29%0.2001✗0.84143k2022-03-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.6754.57-2.25%4.907+4.96%0.0251✗0.617.0M2022-03-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072110.070454-2.30%0.07561+4.85%0.0095✓1.0660k2022-03-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2210.9603-2.31%13.41+19.52%0.1623✗0.521.2M2022-03-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5961.5582-2.37%1.793+12.34%0.0782✗0.8255k2022-03-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.7735.6338-2.41%6.545+13.37%0.0745✗1.00460k2022-03-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.43220.421658-2.44%0.5639+30.47%0.2152✗1.004,6242022-03-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003450.003365-2.47%0.00429+24.35%0.1333✗1.455.3M2022-03-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.536.3689-2.47%6.75+3.37%0.0015✓0.75789k2022-03-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.8645.7-2.48%52.46+11.95%0.0443✗1.244.9M2022-03-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.020.994636-2.49%1.31+28.43%0.2010✗0.99553k2022-03-22
LUNATerraTerra 288.5786.322-2.54%93.09+5.10%0.0309✓1.418.4M2022-03-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.42590.414885-2.59%0.4105-3.62%0.1003✓1.198.4M2022-03-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.784470.76409-2.60%0.80946+3.19%0.0263✓1.11111k2022-03-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5593.4657-2.62%4.136+16.21%0.1308✗0.61457k2022-03-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.574012-2.71%0.67+13.56%0.0426✗1.48550k2022-03-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.05542.9724-2.72%3.292+7.74%0.0399✗0.834.7M2022-03-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.37340.363229-2.72%0.4064+8.84%0.0345✓1.952.1M2022-03-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.927.697-2.82%8.37+5.68%0.0307✗0.701.4M2022-03-22
UMAUMAEthereum7.6387.4223-2.82%7.622-0.21%0.0723✓1.316.0M2022-03-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.011.9523-2.87%2.16+7.46%0.0514✗0.66192k2022-03-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5024.372-2.89%5.07+12.62%0.0783✗0.93107k2022-03-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71260.691938-2.90%1.1707+64.29%0.4333✗1.233.4M2022-03-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06530.063271-3.11%0.0724+10.87%0.0480✗1.15402k2022-03-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.365.1801-3.36%6.98+30.22%0.2001✗1.30534k2022-03-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.21510.207869-3.36%0.2408+11.95%0.0716✗1.00168k2022-03-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05440.052469-3.55%0.0657+20.77%0.0973✗1.6942.5M2022-03-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.3595.1639-3.64%6.234+16.33%0.1547✗0.453.4M2022-03-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4022.3128-3.71%2.669+11.12%0.0678✗1.0052k2022-03-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.04681.9674-3.88%2.6489+29.42%0.2446✗0.7016k2022-03-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143610.13797-3.93%0.15608+8.68%0.0613✗0.8215k2022-03-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011290.00000107-5.30%0.000001193+5.63%0.0338✓1.001.7M2022-03-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4620.43667-5.48%0.693+50.00%0.3764✗1.131.8M2022-03-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.2327.6124-7.53%8.8344+7.32%0.0734✓1.0031.1M2022-03-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.