2022-02-09 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0703

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.69%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

79.1%

in alpha space · 84.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.17%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.034987	-6.63%	0.028284	-24.52%	0.1976	✓	1.28	114k	2022-02-16
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.6427	-4.49%	5.046	-14.59%	0.1000	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-16
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.134	-4.13%	2.348	-28.17%	0.2769	✓	1.00	67k	2022-02-16
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.3605	-4.04%	2.34	-4.88%	0.0031	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.788704	-3.84%	0.625	-23.80%	0.2110	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-02-16
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.045399	-3.39%	0.04583	-2.47%	0.0212	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.5962	-3.07%	5.8668	-13.79%	0.1137	✓	0.29	407k	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.056522	-2.87%	0.056084	-3.62%	0.0063	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-02-16
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.3124	-2.86%	1.2019	-11.04%	0.0761	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3928	-2.60%	1.12	-21.68%	0.2021	✓	1.35	523k	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.7732	-2.49%	3.7402	-3.34%	0.0016	✓	0.88	28k	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	30.193	-2.41%	28.51	-7.85%	0.0443	✓	1.11	96.8M	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.0000322	-2.36%	0.00003095	-6.16%	0.0231	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.4183	-2.33%	3.17	-9.43%	0.0590	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-02-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	9.0931	-2.33%	8.24	-11.49%	0.0944	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.353	-2.33%	1.6305	+17.71%	0.2048	✗	1.55	107k	2022-02-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.553331	-2.32%	0.4482	-20.88%	0.1895	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.7957	-2.30%	3.9514	+1.71%	0.0516	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	22.5781	-2.26%	22.08	-4.42%	0.0088	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.7552	-2.23%	16.75	-7.76%	0.0500	✓	0.70	919k	2022-02-16
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.125376	-2.05%	0.116	-9.37%	0.0659	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-16
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.685	-2.04%	1.55	-9.88%	0.0717	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.7036	-1.89%	10.78	-1.19%	0.0154	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.590446	-1.87%	0.602	+0.05%	0.0320	✗	1.07	1.2M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.6779	-1.72%	4.3	-9.66%	0.0681	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	25,849.93	-1.69%	23,690.00	-9.90%	0.0761	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.033137	-1.67%	0.0335	-0.59%	0.0286	✗	1.50	490k	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.9352	-1.66%	2.2822	+15.97%	0.1722	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0722	-1.64%	1.05	-3.67%	0.0020	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	1.0049	-1.63%	0.8933	-12.56%	0.1054	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.3712	-1.61%	4.0382	-9.11%	0.0638	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.7487	-1.56%	4.9	-16.10%	0.1453	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	8.1343	-1.56%	7.454	-9.79%	0.0754	✓	1.01	460k	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.9781	-1.53%	4.58	+13.37%	0.1447	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.0321	-1.51%	6.52	-8.68%	0.0661	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.227201	-1.47%	0.17624	-23.57%	0.2353	✓	1.59	36k	2022-02-16
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002287	-1.43%	0.00000218	-6.03%	0.0360	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.085479	-1.41%	0.09	+3.81%	0.0678	✗	1.38	548k	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.317356	-1.38%	0.285	-11.44%	0.0893	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.2955	-1.38%	3.2632	-2.35%	0.0016	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	47.3154	-1.36%	46.38	-3.31%	0.0062	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	25.4522	-1.35%	24.03	-6.86%	0.0390	✓	1.57	398k	2022-02-16
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0556	-1.35%	0.97	-9.35%	0.0728	✓	1.00	286k	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	185.7146	-1.32%	170.44	-9.44%	0.0694	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	33.4747	-1.31%	28.63	-15.60%	0.1386	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.7465	-1.30%	3.514	-7.43%	0.0538	✓	0.87	536k	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1171	-1.27%	4.87	+16.79%	0.1829	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8477	-1.26%	3.6017	-7.57%	0.0531	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.2957	-1.26%	4.8292	-9.96%	0.0778	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.4673	-1.24%	17.14	-8.34%	0.0606	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	183.5622	-1.22%	179.36	-3.48%	0.0109	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.0928	-1.21%	6.76	-5.85%	0.0377	✓	0.88	416k	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.751758	-1.20%	0.6989	-8.15%	0.0548	✓	1.53	938k	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	9.2191	-1.18%	8.239	-11.68%	0.1085	✓	0.33	38k	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.292839	-1.17%	0.2693	-9.11%	0.0710	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.165928	-1.12%	0.1678	+0.00%	0.0235	✗	1.04	412k	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	105.883	-1.11%	95.5515	-10.76%	0.0859	✓	1.42	320k	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	6.9644	-1.11%	6.8827	-2.27%	0.0013	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.0492	-1.10%	2.809	-8.89%	0.0661	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.699003	-1.09%	0.677091	-4.19%	0.0183	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	148.5455	-1.09%	129.55	-13.74%	0.1250	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7496	-1.07%	4.803	+0.04%	0.0210	✗	0.83	346k	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2771	-1.06%	1.4263	+10.50%	0.1244	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016828	-1.05%	0.016969	-0.22%	0.0222	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2573	-1.00%	1.86	-18.42%	0.1773	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-02-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.2076	-0.99%	11.22	-9.00%	0.0688	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.5942	-0.99%	6.53	-1.95%	0.0017	✓	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.046339	-0.98%	0.04466	-4.57%	0.0238	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.8145	-0.95%	1.688	-7.86%	0.0587	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	89.3359	-0.94%	95.39	+5.78%	0.0815	✗	1.35	87.1M	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000096301	-0.94%	0.00008539	-12.16%	0.1068	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.120067	-0.93%	0.1142	-5.78%	0.0378	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.236638	-0.93%	0.21874	-8.42%	0.0666	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.238969	-0.92%	0.2202	-8.71%	0.0654	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014951	-0.92%	0.01344	-10.93%	0.0890	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.1404	-0.91%	1.952	-9.63%	0.0770	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.078687	-0.90%	0.0757	-4.66%	0.0259	✓	1.09	21k	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.084965	-0.89%	0.08117	-5.32%	0.0368	✓	0.76	89k	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	28.2295	-0.88%	28.31	-0.60%	0.0142	✗	0.97	566k	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.9474	-0.88%	5.47	-8.83%	0.0744	✓	0.78	377k	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.617867	-0.87%	0.5683	-8.82%	0.0682	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	100.6266	-0.86%	94.6	-6.80%	0.0511	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.106926	-0.86%	0.09789	-9.24%	0.0758	✓	1.06	49k	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1845	-0.85%	1.0833	-9.32%	0.0763	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.157712	-0.84%	0.148737	-6.48%	0.0465	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.077	-0.83%	0.983	-9.48%	0.0752	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.9162	-0.81%	2.65	-9.86%	0.0807	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.085308	-0.80%	0.0695	-19.19%	0.1852	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	343.4279	-0.80%	334.55	-3.37%	0.0142	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.586472	-0.77%	0.539	-8.80%	0.0675	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.4192	-0.76%	1.274	-10.91%	0.0933	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.536561	-0.75%	0.4754	-12.06%	0.1036	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	57.1364	-0.74%	56.02	-2.68%	0.0032	✓	1.41	8.8M	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.9158	-0.74%	1.81	-6.22%	0.0421	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	143.2052	-0.71%	136.01	-5.70%	0.0365	✓	1.27	65k	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.558	-0.71%	20.855	+0.72%	0.0302	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1647	-0.69%	1.1125	-5.14%	0.0286	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	114.1582	-0.69%	115.33	+0.33%	0.0236	✗	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2651	-0.65%	2.13	-6.58%	0.0462	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.8297	-0.64%	19.78	-9.97%	0.0827	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	24.1647	-0.64%	23.08	-5.10%	0.0319	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.5923	-0.64%	2.452	-6.02%	0.0432	✓	1.05	22k	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.0309	-0.60%	0.9791	-5.59%	0.0386	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.327	-0.60%	3.217	-3.88%	0.0241	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	139.3788	-0.59%	127.84	-8.82%	0.0710	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.6419	-0.59%	32.25	-4.70%	0.0297	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.9868	-0.57%	1.8241	-8.71%	0.0725	✓	1.10	79k	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.8147	-0.54%	2.67	-5.65%	0.0408	✓	1.02	489k	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	44,255.60	-0.53%	43,960.80	-1.20%	0.0047	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	47.5853	-0.51%	40.62	-15.07%	0.1401	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.936447	-0.50%	0.83537	-11.24%	0.0968	✓	1.48	311k	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.48529	-0.49%	0.4872	-0.10%	0.0194	✗	1.32	9.2M	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3455	-0.48%	1.1915	-11.86%	0.1094	✓	1.03	279k	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	44,210.08	-0.46%	43,895.56	-1.17%	0.0047	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.286678	-0.46%	0.288	+0.00%	0.0159	✗	0.95	70k	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.14225	-0.45%	0.1562	+9.31%	0.1098	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.011995	-0.45%	0.01078	-10.54%	0.0949	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	6.0525	-0.45%	6.07	-0.16%	0.0151	✗	1.04	773k	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.185978	-0.44%	0.1747	-6.48%	0.0542	✓	0.71	423k	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.1735	-0.43%	7.8678	+9.21%	0.1094	✗	1.45	156k	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.40436	-0.40%	0.373	-8.13%	0.0647	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.059178	-0.39%	0.05759	-3.06%	0.0103	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012483	-0.37%	0.01171	-6.54%	0.0479	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	191.5155	-0.37%	166.77	-13.24%	0.1241	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	125.6004	-0.36%	125.58	-0.37%	0.0147	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013196	-0.33%	0.01389	+4.91%	0.0606	✗	0.79	12k	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.317443	-0.33%	0.3067	-3.70%	0.0213	✓	1.11	518k	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.8761	-0.30%	6.358	-7.81%	0.0677	✓	0.90	81k	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	7.0387	-0.30%	6.08	-13.88%	0.1334	✓	1.10	733k	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.02416	-0.30%	0.021773	-10.15%	0.0897	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3932	-0.28%	2.2584	-5.90%	0.0440	✓	1.19	845k	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040885	-0.28%	0.03198	-22.00%	0.2325	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	67.4379	-0.27%	63.42	-6.21%	0.0471	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.094071	-0.24%	0.0851	-9.76%	0.0857	✓	1.23	219k	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.8055	-0.16%	2.4	-14.59%	0.1452	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-02-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.069835	-0.15%	0.066472	-4.96%	0.0388	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0964	-0.11%	0.9602	-12.52%	0.1145	✓	1.54	672k	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.031174	-0.08%	0.03216	+3.08%	0.0416	✗	0.89	6.6M	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,243.96	-0.07%	3,124.45	-3.75%	0.0244	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.826443	-0.07%	0.787	-4.84%	0.0360	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.5151	+0.03%	15.91	-3.63%	0.0250	✗	1.05	590k	2022-02-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.0645	+0.04%	11.78	+17.10%	0.1727	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	114.1448	+0.09%	101.94	-10.61%	0.0985	✗	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.2123	+0.11%	1.86	-15.84%	0.1596	✗	1.18	1.7M	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.123873	+0.14%	0.1052	-14.96%	0.1451	✗	1.55	1.5M	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007458	+0.24%	0.00601	-19.22%	0.1923	✗	2.00	19.8M	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.5064	+0.35%	7.24	-3.21%	0.0323	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.3972	+0.60%	17.65	-17.02%	0.1722	✗	1.72	3.8M	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.