2022-02-03 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3550

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.35%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.2%

in alpha space · 8.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00612	0.006194	+1.21%	0.00696	+13.73%	0.2407	✗	2.33	21.3M	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3716	0.375614	+1.08%	0.6635	+78.55%	0.3124	✓	1.67	1.8M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.19	8.2071	+0.21%	9.7	+18.44%	0.0359	✗	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.5146	74.6142	+0.13%	94.3677	+26.64%	0.0368	✓	1.29	351k	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.42	18.441	+0.11%	18.94	+2.82%	0.2551	✗	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8505	0.849902	-0.07%	1.0404	+22.33%	0.0785	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03949	0.039446	-0.11%	0.0397	+0.53%	0.1633	✓	1.10	9.0M	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00935	0.009333	-0.19%	0.01337	+42.99%	0.1619	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.5	48.372	-0.26%	63.35	+30.62%	0.0877	✗	1.19	7.8M	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.327009	-0.30%	0.408	+24.39%	0.0119	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.1013	-0.37%	5.69	+11.13%	0.0517	✓	1.05	971k	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036103	0.035969	-0.37%	0.050395	+39.59%	0.1460	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.00994	0.009899	-0.42%	0.01219	+22.64%	0.0051	✗	1.32	1.4M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05985	0.059596	-0.42%	0.068608	+14.63%	0.0009	✓	0.92	396k	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0772	2.0683	-0.42%	2.3689	+14.05%	0.0511	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,697.59	2,685.95	-0.43%	3,074.85	+13.99%	0.0344	✓	1.10	573.1M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.93	101.4576	-0.46%	106.25	+4.24%	0.1401	✓	1.21	191.4M	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.773	5.7456	-0.48%	6.466	+12.00%	0.0123	✓	0.85	115k	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.718	0.714386	-0.50%	0.845	+17.69%	0.0036	✓	1.07	1.6M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002075	0.000020645	-0.50%	0.00003081	+48.48%	0.1854	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.8752	-0.54%	16.26	+16.56%	0.0053	✓	1.00	731k	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	7.087	-0.58%	8.495	+19.18%	0.1437	✗	0.24	40k	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	101.02	100.4309	-0.58%	124.85	+23.59%	0.0130	✗	1.33	6.6M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1138	0.113119	-0.60%	0.1482	+30.23%	0.0647	✗	1.34	3.4M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.65	5.616	-0.60%	6.43	+13.81%	0.0096	✓	0.94	832k	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.76	161.7673	-0.61%	179.15	+10.07%	0.0794	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.23	94.6339	-0.63%	111.66	+17.25%	0.0160	✓	1.18	2.8M	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.88	6.8357	-0.64%	7.67	+11.48%	0.0773	✗	0.25	1.1M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,210.50	36,968.37	-0.65%	43,566.60	+17.08%	0.0105	✗	1.00	51k	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0807	0.080135	-0.70%	0.0919	+13.88%	0.0506	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2341	-0.71%	2.07	-8.00%	0.2985	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02918	0.028972	-0.71%	0.03045	+4.35%	0.0836	✓	0.87	8.0M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.02	110.2095	-0.73%	134.59	+21.23%	0.0085	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1064	0.105623	-0.73%	0.1163	+9.30%	0.1324	✓	1.49	1.6M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.17	5.1322	-0.73%	5.75	+11.22%	0.0029	✓	0.76	398k	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.936	0.928831	-0.77%	0.9822	+4.94%	0.1240	✓	1.17	31.5M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.37	20.2116	-0.78%	23.14	+13.60%	0.0495	✓	1.20	10.4M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,329.91	37,037.70	-0.78%	43,527.71	+16.60%	0.0079	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2361	0.234152	-0.82%	0.2774	+17.49%	0.0100	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6279	1.6142	-0.84%	1.8836	+15.71%	0.0136	✓	1.09	76k	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0558	-0.84%	4.41	+7.82%	0.1303	✓	1.39	8.5M	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.09	3.064	-0.84%	3.241	+4.89%	0.0690	✓	0.82	237k	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.2104	3.1829	-0.86%	3.5527	+10.66%	0.0596	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.654263	-0.87%	1	+51.52%	0.1359	✗	1.88	1.0M	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.69	38.3525	-0.87%	45.02	+16.36%	0.0860	✓	1.60	596k	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.88	27.6293	-0.90%	34.39	+23.35%	0.0522	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4067	0.403035	-0.90%	0.4615	+13.47%	0.0710	✓	1.34	9.7M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0981	6.043	-0.90%	7.1425	+17.13%	0.0545	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.874	0.866104	-0.90%	1.029	+17.73%	0.0384	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6447	-0.92%	1.8	+8.43%	0.1094	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.8	88.9653	-0.93%	98.35	+9.52%	0.0441	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1839	0.18219	-0.93%	0.2242	+21.91%	0.0025	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.71	5.6568	-0.93%	6.28	+9.98%	0.0657	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012244	-0.94%	0.01369	+10.76%	0.0228	✓	0.87	13k	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125	123.8273	-0.94%	132.68	+6.14%	0.1326	✓	1.31	54k	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.251523	-0.98%	0.281	+10.63%	0.0340	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000764	0.000075653	-0.98%	0.0000925	+21.07%	0.0264	✗	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01026	0.010157	-1.00%	0.01138	+10.92%	0.0453	✓	1.03	572k	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	281.46	278.6029	-1.02%	341.1	+21.19%	0.0427	✗	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.89	1.8708	-1.02%	2.16	+14.29%	0.0568	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.31	16.1443	-1.02%	17.51	+7.36%	0.1074	✓	1.23	85.9M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0321	0.031773	-1.02%	0.035	+9.03%	0.1251	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05362	0.053074	-1.02%	0.05799	+8.15%	0.1298	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1423	-1.02%	1.2595	+9.13%	0.0579	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.46	23.2194	-1.03%	28.06	+19.61%	0.0669	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.136	4.0934	-1.03%	4.61	+11.46%	0.0081	✓	0.83	351k	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.37	25.107	-1.04%	33.86	+33.46%	0.0457	✗	1.65	2.3M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.93	18.7314	-1.05%	20.51	+8.35%	0.1235	✓	1.39	46.2M	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020346	0.020132	-1.05%	0.023319	+14.61%	0.0120	✓	1.04	2.7M	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3443	-1.06%	3.9	+15.38%	0.0385	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.28	19.0734	-1.07%	23.69	+22.87%	0.0236	✓	1.56	422k	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6171	0.610448	-1.08%	0.7205	+16.76%	0.0706	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.695	1.6767	-1.08%	1.987	+17.23%	0.0241	✓	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1027	0.101572	-1.10%	0.1139	+10.91%	0.0399	✓	1.01	41k	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.13787	0.136346	-1.10%	0.151631	+9.98%	0.0565	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.49	67.7317	-1.11%	91.18	+33.13%	0.0873	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.49	2.4623	-1.11%	2.76	+10.84%	0.0740	✓	1.22	524k	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.12	6.0516	-1.12%	6.84	+11.76%	0.0115	✓	0.87	503k	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8263	0.816796	-1.15%	0.88264	+6.82%	0.1872	✓	1.72	378k	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014662	0.014492	-1.16%	0.017169	+17.10%	0.0081	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0657	0.064935	-1.16%	0.076	+15.68%	0.0116	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.17	6.0977	-1.17%	6.86	+11.18%	0.0050	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5436	0.537145	-1.19%	0.6038	+11.07%	0.0854	✓	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19506	0.192688	-1.22%	0.23172	+18.79%	0.0259	✗	1.03	25.9M	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.39	10.2624	-1.23%	11.41	+9.82%	0.1005	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.061	1.0479	-1.23%	1.1515	+8.53%	0.0831	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4098	-1.24%	2.7	+10.66%	0.0429	✓	1.02	644k	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07603	0.075081	-1.25%	0.0828	+8.90%	0.0161	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0616	0.060829	-1.25%	0.1041	+68.99%	0.3393	✗	1.29	548k	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.927	17.6996	-1.27%	20.473	+14.20%	0.0857	✓	1.51	10.5M	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2774	-1.29%	1.323	+2.24%	0.1565	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.89	144.9405	-1.33%	179.36	+22.10%	0.0593	✗	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.04	2.0127	-1.34%	2.07	+1.47%	0.2075	✓	1.53	3.9M	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.86	150.8053	-1.34%	175.4	+14.75%	0.0666	✓	1.42	11.9M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1775	0.175101	-1.35%	0.1806	+1.75%	0.0745	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09321	0.09195	-1.35%	0.10255	+10.02%	0.0503	✓	1.04	47k	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8308	0.819516	-1.36%	1.3202	+58.91%	0.2554	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04063	0.040073	-1.37%	0.04451	+9.55%	0.0662	✓	1.11	28k	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4435	0.4373	-1.40%	0.5118	+15.40%	0.0626	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0898	1.0743	-1.43%	1.2095	+10.98%	0.0766	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.085	5.998	-1.43%	7.756	+27.46%	0.0986	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.618	2.5805	-1.43%	2.821	+7.75%	0.1411	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.139	0.136998	-1.44%	0.1649	+18.63%	0.0319	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19482	0.191999	-1.45%	0.2098	+7.69%	0.1619	✓	1.63	29k	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2929	0.288627	-1.46%	0.3045	+3.96%	0.1229	✓	1.15	590k	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.366	2.3296	-1.54%	2.505	+5.87%	0.0930	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7329	6.6226	-1.64%	6.9043	+2.55%	0.1027	✓	0.94	4.1M	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.23	50.3902	-1.64%	52.32	+2.13%	0.2282	✓	1.73	8.8M	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7256	4.6481	-1.64%	5.0692	+7.27%	0.1133	✓	1.30	364k	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1115	4.0435	-1.65%	6.1336	+49.18%	0.4160	✗	0.00	376k	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.45	14.2101	-1.66%	18.01	+24.64%	0.1291	✗	0.70	879k	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2853	0.280551	-1.66%	0.3093	+8.41%	0.1536	✓	1.64	4.2M	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3373	-1.84%	4.48	+31.76%	0.2587	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0916	3.0339	-1.87%	3.654	+18.19%	0.0276	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03828	0.037551	-1.90%	0.035501	-7.26%	0.2950	✓	1.55	131k	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.629	1.5979	-1.91%	1.719	+5.52%	0.1073	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.57	9.3872	-1.91%	10.6	+10.76%	0.0050	✓	0.76	706k	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,620.52	23,160.02	-1.95%	24,454.91	+3.53%	0.0954	✓	0.98	13.6M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6286	-1.96%	3.1401	+17.11%	0.0306	✗	0.96	3.1M	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.81	20.4	-1.97%	21.59	+3.75%	0.1295	✓	1.21	31.5M	2022-02-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000207	0.000002028	-2.03%	0.00000223	+7.73%	0.0587	✓	1.00	18.2M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9279	0.909084	-2.03%	0.9488	+2.25%	0.1293	✓	1.12	14.7M	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.1218	-2.04%	8.52	+17.19%	0.1348	✗	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.77	41.88	-2.08%	44.55	+4.16%	0.1267	✓	1.23	35.8M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0779	0.076256	-2.11%	0.0744	-4.49%	0.4128	✓	2.53	26.7M	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.613557	0.600223	-2.17%	0.677039	+10.35%	0.0659	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1745	3.1054	-2.18%	3.5386	+11.47%	0.0019	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.526	0.514379	-2.21%	0.562	+6.84%	0.1477	✓	1.54	4.6M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.041	-2.22%	3.2	+2.89%	0.1746	✓	1.47	22.3M	2022-02-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.928712	-2.24%	1.01	+6.32%	0.0697	✓	1.00	391k	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8358	3.7442	-2.39%	4.1273	+7.60%	0.1152	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.547624	-2.42%	0.5753	+2.51%	0.1303	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.748	4.6314	-2.45%	5.533	+16.53%	0.0243	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.456	3.3674	-2.56%	3.584	+3.70%	0.0735	✓	0.88	766k	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	4.9592	-2.57%	5.23	+2.75%	0.1394	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.16	131.6253	-2.62%	140.08	+3.64%	0.0965	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4765	0.46357	-2.71%	0.5138	+7.83%	0.1927	✓	1.92	44.4M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.72	28.8823	-2.82%	29.1	-2.09%	0.1757	✓	1.19	114.8M	2022-02-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.43	1.3876	-2.96%	1.62	+13.29%	0.0012	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0312	1.9691	-3.06%	1.874	-7.74%	0.1601	✓	0.72	3.5M	2022-02-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2058	1.1665	-3.26%	1.3101	+8.65%	0.0375	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04805	0.046482	-3.26%	0.04637	-3.50%	0.1560	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.1994	-3.27%	1.22	-1.61%	0.2049	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.39	3.2773	-3.32%	2.59	-23.60%	0.4627	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0602	1.0225	-3.55%	1.1096	+4.66%	0.1552	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-02-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.114643	-3.66%	0.124	+4.20%	0.0751	✓	1.00	118k	2022-02-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.01	1.9117	-4.89%	2.64	+31.34%	0.1692	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.