2022-02-02 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1899

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.67%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

65.5%

in alpha space · 5.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.29%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.37	0.376415	+1.73%	0.8202	+121.68%	0.4701	✓	1.67	1.9M	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00607	0.006155	+1.40%	0.00744	+22.57%	0.2408	✗	2.33	22.6M	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.5972	74.0492	+0.61%	107.0699	+45.48%	0.1305	✓	1.29	383k	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.83	7.8693	+0.50%	10.06	+28.48%	0.0027	✓	1.31	2.7M	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.01	18.0403	+0.17%	21.27	+18.10%	0.1741	✗	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.035872	0.035854	-0.05%	0.05819	+62.22%	0.2536	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8664	0.865872	-0.06%	1.0976	+26.69%	0.1018	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.316	0.31563	-0.12%	0.406	+28.48%	0.0007	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.53	6.5149	-0.23%	7.48	+14.55%	0.0946	✗	0.24	1.1M	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0418	0.041695	-0.25%	0.041	-1.91%	0.2226	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00952	0.009494	-0.27%	0.01509	+58.51%	0.2254	✗	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.12	48.9431	-0.36%	67.62	+37.66%	0.1038	✗	1.19	8.0M	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009739	-0.42%	0.01253	+28.12%	0.0077	✗	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058639	0.058385	-0.43%	0.069943	+19.28%	0.0106	✗	0.92	403k	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1064	2.0963	-0.48%	2.4	+13.94%	0.0901	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.05	92.5947	-0.49%	114.95	+23.54%	0.0016	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.754	5.7254	-0.50%	6.897	+19.86%	0.0293	✗	0.85	116k	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1092	0.108656	-0.50%	0.1429	+30.86%	0.0281	✗	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.76	13.6892	-0.51%	16.51	+19.99%	0.0031	✓	1.00	762k	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.49	5.4617	-0.51%	6.66	+21.31%	0.0052	✓	1.10	2.1M	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,682.66	2,668.20	-0.54%	3,246.22	+21.01%	0.0082	✓	1.11	575.5M	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.22	5.1917	-0.54%	6.08	+16.48%	0.0367	✓	1.05	1000k	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002064	0.000020525	-0.56%	0.00003298	+59.79%	0.2154	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.35	97.7934	-0.57%	126.05	+28.16%	0.0080	✗	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.9	1.889	-0.58%	2.28	+20.00%	0.0911	✓	1.51	3.9M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.719	0.714831	-0.58%	0.827	+15.02%	0.0521	✓	1.07	1.7M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.31	161.2984	-0.62%	192.22	+18.43%	0.0430	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.99	101.3417	-0.64%	114.04	+11.81%	0.1065	✓	1.22	187.6M	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.79	15.6855	-0.66%	18.7	+18.43%	0.0502	✓	1.22	85.9M	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.18	2.165	-0.69%	2.21	+1.38%	0.2452	✓	1.44	2.3M	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.77	5.73	-0.69%	7.06	+22.36%	0.0334	✗	0.95	835k	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.078842	-0.70%	0.0943	+18.77%	0.0465	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.04	5.0041	-0.71%	6	+19.05%	0.0422	✗	0.75	404k	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,883.40	37,607.67	-0.73%	44,492.60	+17.45%	0.0178	✓	1.01	51k	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.19	20.0415	-0.74%	24.32	+20.46%	0.0287	✓	1.20	11.3M	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.36	107.5626	-0.74%	140.21	+29.39%	0.0147	✗	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9235	0.9167	-0.74%	1.0371	+12.30%	0.0929	✓	1.17	34.5M	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0589	-0.76%	4.76	+16.38%	0.0987	✓	1.40	8.8M	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02927	0.029046	-0.76%	0.0312	+6.59%	0.0894	✓	0.87	8.4M	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.22	120.2874	-0.77%	144.23	+18.98%	0.0603	✓	1.31	59k	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2314	0.229604	-0.78%	0.2963	+28.05%	0.0395	✗	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.63476	-0.82%	1.09	+70.31%	0.1948	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.03	3.0052	-0.82%	3.347	+10.46%	0.0423	✓	0.81	262k	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,923.39	36,618.58	-0.83%	44,416.35	+20.29%	0.0083	✓	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	37.8018	-0.86%	47.83	+25.44%	0.0610	✓	1.60	626k	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.29	26.0628	-0.86%	33.84	+28.72%	0.0622	✗	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.564	7.4984	-0.87%	9.329	+23.33%	0.1710	✗	0.26	41k	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.883	0.8752	-0.88%	1.086	+22.99%	0.0385	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6005	1.586	-0.90%	1.9982	+24.85%	0.0293	✗	1.09	79k	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.465	0.460804	-0.90%	0.591	+27.10%	0.0315	✓	1.52	4.6M	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.109005	-0.90%	0.1237	+12.45%	0.1504	✓	1.50	1.6M	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1803	0.178639	-0.92%	0.2412	+33.78%	0.0541	✗	1.33	3.7M	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1357	3.1067	-0.93%	3.8968	+24.27%	0.0233	✗	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6148	-0.94%	1.93	+18.40%	0.0616	✓	1.30	2.0M	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00983	0.009738	-0.94%	0.01205	+22.58%	0.0230	✗	1.03	565k	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4048	0.400977	-0.94%	0.4877	+20.48%	0.0527	✓	1.35	10.0M	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1125	1.1018	-0.97%	1.3519	+21.51%	0.0184	✗	1.01	338k	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.998	3.9589	-0.98%	4.801	+20.09%	0.0412	✗	0.82	351k	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.3366	-0.99%	4.17	+23.74%	0.0085	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	278	275.2352	-0.99%	346.21	+24.54%	0.0375	✗	1.04	6.8M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020246	0.020042	-1.01%	0.024233	+19.69%	0.0000	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90	89.06	-1.04%	101.5	+12.78%	0.0432	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.87	1.8504	-1.05%	2.28	+21.93%	0.0324	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.037204	0.036813	-1.05%	0.03747	+0.71%	0.2632	✓	1.52	149k	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05325	0.052685	-1.06%	0.05941	+11.57%	0.1424	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0126	0.012466	-1.07%	0.01324	+5.08%	0.1023	✓	0.88	13k	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.03	2.9971	-1.09%	2.81	-7.26%	0.3318	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.025	5.9595	-1.09%	7.2042	+19.57%	0.0769	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81012	0.801239	-1.10%	0.94117	+16.18%	0.1577	✓	1.72	419k	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.46	2.4326	-1.11%	2.94	+19.51%	0.0369	✓	1.22	566k	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.76	18.5505	-1.12%	21.97	+17.11%	0.0887	✓	1.40	47.3M	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007582	0.000074962	-1.13%	0.00009721	+28.21%	0.0497	✗	1.14	5.7M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.278	0.27485	-1.13%	0.3185	+14.57%	0.0633	✓	1.14	545k	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.033612	-1.14%	0.0337	-0.88%	0.2668	✓	1.46	513k	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.57	23.2989	-1.15%	28.48	+20.83%	0.0531	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0599	0.059209	-1.15%	0.0867	+44.74%	0.1440	✗	1.29	554k	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1015	0.100329	-1.15%	0.1212	+19.41%	0.0036	✓	1.00	41k	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137104	0.135515	-1.16%	0.159048	+16.01%	0.0358	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07379	0.072932	-1.16%	0.08573	+16.18%	0.0255	✗	0.74	80k	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.696	1.6762	-1.17%	2.16	+27.36%	0.0198	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0643	0.063548	-1.17%	0.0794	+23.48%	0.0199	✗	1.10	21k	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.02	5.9485	-1.19%	7.14	+18.60%	0.0357	✗	0.80	504k	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.87	67.0602	-1.19%	90.18	+32.87%	0.0430	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08941	0.088342	-1.19%	0.10785	+20.62%	0.0088	✓	1.03	46k	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.05	5.9773	-1.20%	7.18	+18.68%	0.0224	✗	0.87	529k	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014783	0.014604	-1.21%	0.017007	+15.04%	0.0618	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.25	0.246948	-1.22%	0.288	+15.20%	0.0201	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0268	1.0142	-1.22%	1.1947	+16.35%	0.0489	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.193151	0.190753	-1.24%	0.238854	+23.66%	0.0340	✗	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.41	2.38	-1.24%	2.83	+17.43%	0.0150	✓	1.02	667k	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03913	0.03864	-1.25%	0.0468	+19.60%	0.0135	✓	1.11	29k	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.54	112.1038	-1.26%	150.18	+32.27%	0.1071	✗	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	10.3961	-1.27%	12.33	+17.09%	0.0787	✓	1.35	12.5M	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.09	19.8327	-1.28%	25.8	+28.42%	0.0279	✓	1.57	438k	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6281	0.620048	-1.28%	0.7609	+21.14%	0.0807	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0423	1.0287	-1.30%	1.2907	+23.84%	0.0072	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	145.08	143.1812	-1.31%	185.83	+28.09%	0.0758	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4277	0.422049	-1.32%	0.5406	+26.40%	0.0164	✓	1.43	2.2M	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5398	0.532582	-1.34%	0.6233	+15.47%	0.0864	✓	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.776	17.5371	-1.34%	20.705	+16.48%	0.1126	✓	1.51	10.6M	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.279	1.2618	-1.34%	1.43	+11.81%	0.1054	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	151.26	149.1823	-1.37%	188.2	+24.42%	0.0297	✓	1.42	12.2M	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.55	26.182	-1.39%	33.92	+27.76%	0.0485	✓	1.66	2.5M	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1756	0.17313	-1.41%	0.1868	+6.38%	0.0506	✓	0.69	457k	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.883	5.8001	-1.41%	8.263	+40.46%	0.1644	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.582	2.5446	-1.45%	3.083	+19.40%	0.0845	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19118	0.188393	-1.46%	0.23058	+20.61%	0.0993	✓	1.63	25k	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8666	0.853556	-1.51%	1.3852	+59.84%	0.2141	✗	1.46	103k	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.5718	0.563158	-1.51%	0.706728	+23.60%	0.0050	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1348	0.132759	-1.51%	0.1678	+24.48%	0.0504	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8404	0.826738	-1.63%	1.0216	+21.56%	0.0076	✓	1.10	15.7M	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.166	3.1133	-1.66%	3.796	+19.90%	0.0377	✗	0.87	766k	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2783	0.273641	-1.67%	0.3218	+15.63%	0.1399	✓	1.63	4.3M	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6307	4.5525	-1.69%	5.3633	+15.82%	0.0765	✓	1.30	365k	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.09	13.8473	-1.72%	18.16	+28.89%	0.1420	✗	0.70	851k	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,029.36	22,630.44	-1.73%	26,293.98	+14.18%	0.0297	✓	0.97	14.8M	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.235	2.1958	-1.76%	2.609	+16.73%	0.0249	✓	1.07	22k	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8016	6.6817	-1.76%	7.0423	+3.54%	0.1219	✓	0.94	4.2M	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	47.6	46.7494	-1.79%	57.56	+20.92%	0.1075	✓	1.71	8.8M	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9455	0.927899	-1.86%	1.1728	+24.04%	0.0479	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.537	2.4895	-1.87%	3.3415	+31.71%	0.1187	✗	0.95	3.1M	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.36	9.1804	-1.92%	10.91	+16.56%	0.0330	✗	0.76	709k	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3343	-1.93%	4.04	+18.82%	0.1491	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0352	2.9723	-2.07%	3.885	+28.00%	0.0779	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.33	25.7779	-2.10%	30.94	+17.51%	0.0343	✓	1.17	120.6M	2022-02-09
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.081	4.9717	-2.15%	5.908	+16.28%	0.0122	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1355	4.0461	-2.16%	6.8052	+64.56%	0.5188	✗	0.01	376k	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.9	41.9482	-2.22%	47.97	+11.82%	0.0933	✓	1.23	37.0M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.041	-2.22%	3.5	+12.54%	0.1316	✓	1.47	23.3M	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.59	21.0976	-2.28%	23.1	+6.99%	0.1346	✓	1.22	34.3M	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5361	0.523774	-2.30%	0.6017	+12.24%	0.0759	✓	1.16	1.7M	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.54	7.3655	-2.31%	9.31	+23.47%	0.1792	✗	0.30	1.8M	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0786	0.076762	-2.34%	0.086	+9.41%	0.3575	✓	2.55	25.7M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.3042	3.2223	-2.48%	3.8694	+17.11%	0.0218	✓	0.87	25k	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.589	1.5489	-2.53%	1.832	+15.29%	0.0485	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-09
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04359	0.042473	-2.56%	0.04699	+7.80%	0.0837	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8613	1.8122	-2.64%	1.9679	+5.73%	0.0482	✓	0.71	3.2M	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4666	0.45413	-2.67%	0.5665	+21.41%	0.1348	✓	1.93	46.2M	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7524	3.6458	-2.84%	4.4429	+18.40%	0.0577	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-09
STX	Stacks	native	1.41	1.3688	-2.92%	1.72	+21.99%	0.0437	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-09
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.24	1.2024	-3.03%	1.351	+8.95%	0.0682	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.33	5.1682	-3.04%	5.84	+9.57%	0.1115	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-02-09
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.114553	-3.74%	0.128	+7.56%	0.0738	✓	1.00	125k	2022-02-09
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.12	2.0217	-4.64%	2.46	+16.04%	0.0115	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.2875	-5.33%	1.43	+5.15%	0.1656	✓	1.46	490k	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.