2022-01-26 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1431

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+14.81%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

53.8%

in alpha space · 55.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.470188	+2.37%	0.37	-19.44%	0.2431	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.007945	+1.85%	0.00607	-22.18%	0.2745	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9453	+1.85%	1.9	-0.52%	0.0268	✗	1.46	5.2M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.813126	+1.64%	1.36	+70.00%	0.5108	✓	1.59	538k	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034455	+1.34%	0.034	+0.00%	0.0166	✗	1.47	927k	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.2385	+1.28%	18.01	+5.82%	0.0397	✓	1.81	4.0M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.564098	+1.17%	0.6281	+12.64%	0.1040	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.044407	+1.15%	0.0786	+79.04%	0.5665	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.1996	+1.14%	6.53	+6.53%	0.0515	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.1058	+1.11%	5.22	+3.37%	0.0199	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.049633	+1.08%	0.05325	+8.45%	0.0670	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	79.2842	+1.02%	73.5972	-6.23%	0.0772	✗	1.22	445k	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	7.0481	+0.95%	7.564	+8.34%	0.0701	✓	0.26	38k	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.6928	+0.94%	5.77	+2.30%	0.0114	✓	0.94	990k	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.324747	+0.85%	0.316	-1.86%	0.0305	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	90.6049	+0.85%	98.35	+9.47%	0.0791	✓	1.32	7.8M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.115972	+0.85%	0.1348	+17.22%	0.1483	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009641	+0.84%	0.00983	+2.82%	0.0171	✓	1.06	630k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	98.4118	+0.80%	113.54	+16.30%	0.1407	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	7.9815	+0.78%	7.83	-1.14%	0.0221	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.2923	+0.76%	4.09	-3.99%	0.0513	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.3457	+0.69%	15.79	+3.61%	0.0258	✓	1.21	84.2M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	49.9461	+0.66%	49.12	-1.01%	0.0194	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.861582	+0.65%	0.883	+3.15%	0.0215	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.674093	+0.61%	0.64	-4.48%	0.0561	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.6537	+0.60%	6.02	+7.12%	0.0610	✓	0.78	531k	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.0775	+0.60%	13.76	+5.85%	0.0486	✓	1.01	841k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.080364	+0.58%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0148	✗	1.24	342k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	19.9741	+0.57%	21.59	+8.71%	0.0750	✓	1.26	34.9M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.9035	+0.57%	5.49	-6.47%	0.0750	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	19.0172	+0.57%	20.09	+6.24%	0.0514	✓	1.55	871k	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	92.697	+0.56%	101.99	+10.64%	0.0929	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	166.1975	+0.53%	162.31	-1.82%	0.0263	✗	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.056455	+0.52%	0.058639	+4.41%	0.0358	✓	0.95	491k	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7386	+0.50%	1.87	+8.09%	0.0698	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	147.3457	+0.48%	151.26	+3.15%	0.0232	✓	1.34	14.8M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.871366	+0.47%	0.9455	+9.02%	0.0783	✓	1.50	3.5M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.406585	+0.47%	0.4048	+0.02%	0.0073	✗	1.28	11.7M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.2096	+0.45%	26.55	+10.17%	0.0886	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000072151	+0.45%	0.00007582	+5.55%	0.0471	✓	1.11	5.9M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.6177	+0.42%	6.025	+7.70%	0.0668	✓	1.42	229k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,460.30	+0.39%	37,883.40	+4.31%	0.0360	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021193	+0.39%	0.00002064	-2.23%	0.0296	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	125.5336	+0.39%	121.22	-3.06%	0.0379	✗	1.29	80k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.0861	+0.38%	3.1357	+2.00%	0.0134	✓	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,474.31	+0.38%	2,682.66	+8.83%	0.0784	✓	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047377	+0.38%	0.0418	-11.44%	0.1282	✗	1.33	9.9M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.351	+0.37%	20.19	+4.72%	0.0398	✓	1.18	14.0M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.8803	+0.36%	3.11	+8.36%	0.0736	✓	1.38	27.8M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.173286	+0.34%	0.1803	+4.40%	0.0366	✓	1.38	4.1M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.4055	+0.32%	1.589	+13.42%	0.1201	✓	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.235735	+0.31%	0.2314	-1.53%	0.0213	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.7295	+0.30%	38.13	+4.12%	0.0339	✓	1.57	626k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.697	+0.30%	6.05	+6.51%	0.0583	✓	0.84	561k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.099372	+0.27%	0.11	+11.00%	0.0983	✓	1.49	1.9M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.029955	+0.25%	0.02927	-2.04%	0.0252	✗	0.93	9.2M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.3257	+0.25%	2.41	+3.88%	0.0333	✓	1.02	800k	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010375	+0.24%	0.00952	-8.02%	0.0889	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.451396	+0.24%	0.4277	-5.02%	0.0570	✗	1.38	2.6M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.4482	+0.24%	3.37	-2.03%	0.0257	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.3055	+0.24%	2.18	-5.22%	0.0595	✗	1.56	2.6M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9496	+0.24%	3.7524	+27.52%	0.2376	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.532	+0.22%	0.5718	+7.72%	0.0694	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0447	+0.22%	3.166	+4.21%	0.0371	✓	0.87	993k	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.014615	+0.19%	0.014783	+1.34%	0.0088	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.9193	+0.19%	5.04	+2.65%	0.0226	✓	0.72	457k	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,909.88	+0.19%	36,923.39	+0.22%	0.0019	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3141	+0.18%	2.46	+6.49%	0.0585	✓	1.18	667k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.4462	+0.18%	23.57	+15.48%	0.1405	✓	0.74	377k	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.924915	+0.17%	0.9235	+0.02%	0.0041	✗	1.16	38.4M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	18.0793	+0.16%	18.76	+3.93%	0.0339	✓	1.39	58.4M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.747193	+0.16%	0.719	-3.62%	0.0410	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.3744	+0.14%	26.29	+8.01%	0.0732	✓	1.08	4.1M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	107.1483	+0.14%	108.36	+1.27%	0.0082	✓	1.34	35.8M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.247337	+0.14%	0.25	+1.21%	0.0085	✓	0.96	70k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.020934	+0.13%	0.020246	-3.16%	0.0359	✗	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.118555	+0.13%	0.1092	-7.77%	0.0852	✗	1.32	4.1M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009792	+0.12%	0.00978	+0.00%	0.0042	✗	1.32	1.7M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.803411	+0.11%	0.8404	+4.72%	0.0425	✓	1.10	20.8M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.501544	+0.11%	0.465	-7.19%	0.0791	✗	1.56	6.4M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	289.5131	+0.10%	278	-3.88%	0.0429	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.064555	+0.09%	0.0599	-7.13%	0.0781	✗	1.47	605k	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068909	+0.09%	0.07379	+7.18%	0.0667	✓	0.79	60k	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.0876	+0.08%	2.235	+7.14%	0.0658	✓	1.10	23k	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.1795	+0.08%	17.776	+9.95%	0.0907	✓	1.53	10.9M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.0688	+0.07%	1.1125	+4.17%	0.0379	✓	0.99	402k	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6311	+0.07%	1.63	+0.00%	0.0035	✗	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.041786	+0.02%	0.035872	-14.14%	0.1554	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3805	+0.01%	2.1064	-11.51%	0.1252	✗	1.29	841k	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.224221	+0.01%	0.278	+24.00%	0.2125	✓	1.11	469k	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.5804	+0.00%	10.53	-0.47%	0.0078	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.552	-0.00%	1.696	+9.28%	0.0858	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.196912	-0.01%	0.193151	-1.92%	0.0216	✓	1.05	27.5M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8751	-0.01%	5.883	+0.12%	0.0009	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.16	-0.04%	2.537	+17.41%	0.1585	✗	1.08	3.1M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.80952	-0.05%	0.81012	+0.02%	0.0032	✓	1.78	698k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	148.3256	-0.06%	145.08	-2.25%	0.0244	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8844	-0.09%	3.03	+4.95%	0.0475	✗	0.79	478k	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.038281	-0.10%	0.03913	+2.11%	0.0194	✗	1.12	30k	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.16232	-0.11%	0.1756	+8.06%	0.0772	✗	0.65	570k	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.0441	-0.11%	5.754	-4.91%	0.0510	✓	0.81	156k	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5381	-0.12%	2.582	+1.61%	0.0137	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012165	-0.12%	0.0126	+3.45%	0.0331	✗	0.89	19k	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	93.0314	-0.14%	93.05	-0.12%	0.0024	✓	1.18	3.1M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6475	-0.18%	1.6005	-3.04%	0.0315	✓	1.11	93k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6854	-0.19%	3.0352	+12.81%	0.1201	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.500349	-0.23%	0.5398	+7.64%	0.0729	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.083108	-0.24%	0.08941	+7.32%	0.0704	✗	1.18	45k	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097459	-0.25%	0.1015	+3.89%	0.0383	✗	1.05	43k	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.5975	-0.26%	14.09	+11.56%	0.1104	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.0114	-0.26%	7.54	+7.25%	0.0720	✗	0.30	2.2M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	65.6939	-0.30%	67.87	+3.01%	0.0296	✗	1.31	92.3M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061598	-0.33%	0.0643	+4.05%	0.0404	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.858354	-0.33%	0.8666	+0.63%	0.0062	✗	1.51	107k	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0685	-0.35%	0.8664	-19.19%	0.2141	✓	1.98	1.2M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.7746	-0.35%	3.998	+5.54%	0.0557	✗	0.79	396k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.142549	-0.36%	0.137104	-4.16%	0.0413	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.208	-0.36%	4.6307	+9.64%	0.0930	✗	1.21	403k	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.164707	-0.37%	0.19118	+15.64%	0.1455	✗	1.57	16k	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.3407	-0.38%	42.9	+17.60%	0.1633	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.024	-0.42%	1.0423	+1.36%	0.0148	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.8217	-0.43%	9.36	+5.64%	0.0576	✗	0.74	744k	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.8529	-0.47%	3.3042	+15.27%	0.1449	✗	0.86	4,332	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.326	-0.53%	1.279	-4.05%	0.0389	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	90.1293	-0.54%	90	-0.68%	0.0036	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.0725	-0.55%	1.0268	-4.78%	0.0461	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.254668	-0.56%	0.2783	+8.67%	0.0853	✗	1.53	4.3M	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.050147	-0.66%	0.04359	-13.65%	0.1424	✓	1.00	9.1M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	58.3805	-0.71%	47.6	-19.05%	0.2081	✓	1.75	8.6M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.5966	-0.72%	5.33	+15.12%	0.1452	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,009.93	-0.75%	23,029.36	-4.80%	0.0438	✓	0.93	20.9M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5666	-0.76%	4.1355	+15.07%	0.1480	✗	-0.01	375k	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.245	-0.78%	1.24	-1.17%	0.0062	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.052061	-0.78%	0.037204	-29.09%	0.3382	✓	1.00	363k	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.2709	-0.85%	5.081	-30.71%	0.3606	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.7445	-0.94%	3.4	-10.05%	0.0970	✓	0.23	493k	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.971	-0.97%	3.03	+1.00%	0.0162	✗	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.2995	-0.97%	6.8016	+6.92%	0.0746	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.522612	-1.41%	0.5361	+1.13%	0.0229	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	31.7871	-1.74%	26.33	-18.61%	0.1909	✓	1.15	125.9M	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4301	-2.01%	2.12	-14.52%	0.1387	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.585405	-2.90%	0.4666	-22.61%	0.2311	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.6704	-3.25%	1.8613	+7.81%	0.1064	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.