8=======>

2022-01-15 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0133
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.2%
in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8751.88+0.27%1.366-27.15%0.0842✗1.142.2M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,098.2043,172.63+0.17%35,066.43-18.64%0.0017✗1.00679.0M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.12313.1275+0.14%2.0461-34.48%0.1929✗1.12710k2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum3,328.123,331.38+0.10%2,411.90-27.53%0.1068✗1.05533.9M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0685480.068601+0.08%0.05675-17.21%0.0054✓0.95537k2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.6929.6831-0.02%19.01-35.97%0.2239✓1.0815.5M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.6826.6685-0.04%16.11-39.62%0.1235✓1.853.9M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.086847-0.06%0.0543-37.51%0.1801✓1.401.1M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.2824.2792-0.07%2.9521-31.06%0.0930✓1.353.8M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.028.0136-0.08%5.63-29.80%0.2243✓0.62680k2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3241.3223-0.12%0.87-34.29%0.1415✓1.342.7M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080270.080165-0.13%0.04896-39.01%0.2003✓1.422.4M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11410.113932-0.15%0.0732-35.85%0.2113✓1.12296k2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18060.180319-0.16%0.1394-22.81%0.0734✓0.89423k2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59480.593872-0.16%0.4163-30.01%0.1058✓1.2112.2M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05440.054313-0.16%0.0326-40.07%0.2277✓1.371.5M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum192.18191.8536-0.17%120.3-37.40%0.2329✓1.13145k2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.762.755-0.18%1.77-35.87%0.1727✓1.313.2M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum75.3575.21-0.19%50.17-33.42%0.1831✓1.086.2M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum1.42321.4199-0.23%0.7316-48.59%0.2746✓1.881.3M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.041390.041292-0.24%0.02985-27.88%0.1409✓0.898.4M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash390.86389.8935-0.25%291.88-25.32%0.0838✓1.007.0M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,685.8042,580.00-0.25%34,807.70-18.46%0.0003✓0.9814k2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.98330.980833-0.25%0.4454-54.70%0.5755✓1.042.9M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana147.78147.3783-0.27%94.78-35.86%0.2278✓1.04164.2M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8632.7698-0.27%24.23-26.26%0.0905✓1.022.9M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000101090.000100797-0.29%0.00006839-32.35%0.1803✓1.016.5M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6427.5572-0.30%18.26-33.94%0.1401✓1.3261.7M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.014050.014008-0.30%0.0094-33.10%0.1962✓0.98641k2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1804-0.30%2.33-26.96%0.1122✓0.96918k2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093280.092998-0.30%0.06237-33.14%0.2497✓0.7349k2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum14.1614.1168-0.31%7.59-46.40%0.3866✓1.133.0M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3827-0.31%1.62-32.22%0.1753✓1.022.8M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum167.6167.0875-0.31%98.78-41.06%0.3373✓0.916.7M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.7928.7012-0.31%21.51-25.29%0.1478✓0.68360k2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.6781-0.33%4.8-28.36%0.1943✓0.66564k2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070280.070044-0.34%0.05051-28.13%0.0778✓1.2114.7M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2590560.258176-0.34%0.19237-25.74%0.0821✓1.0324.9M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5381.5327-0.34%1.161-24.51%0.0009✓1.354.2M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.6130.505-0.34%18.76-38.71%0.1807✓1.481.0M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.048.0117-0.35%5.66-29.60%0.1954✓0.74705k2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36144.3449-0.38%3.0068-31.06%0.1077✓1.264.1M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7577620.754867-0.38%0.518861-31.53%0.1487✓1.102.5M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.6220.5411-0.38%13.19-36.03%0.2893✓0.74886k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32480.323533-0.39%0.2331-28.23%0.0640✓1.282.2M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration289.7288.4646-0.43%190.08-34.39%0.1785✓1.161.4M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3741-0.43%0.9-34.78%0.0845✓1.64556k2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative20.34420.255-0.44%15.129-25.63%0.0366✗1.5910.8M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07560.075255-0.46%0.0376-50.26%0.4876✓1.0027.0M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.285.2559-0.46%3.78-28.41%0.0887✓1.173.3M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum8.30258.2643-0.46%5.5565-33.07%0.1133✓1.38263k2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.11870.11814-0.47%0.0944-20.47%0.0145✓1.0255k2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.76112.2084-0.49%89.24-20.86%0.0352✓0.942.2M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.29221.2858-0.49%1.0713-17.09%0.0486✗1.1295.6M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum8.398.3476-0.51%5.06-39.69%0.3185✓0.881.1M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017030.016943-0.51%0.01275-25.13%0.1486✓0.6624k2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.73146.9588-0.52%108.41-26.62%0.0255✓1.3531.1M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.8432.8279-0.53%1.979-30.39%0.1725✓0.8925k2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.19390.192851-0.54%0.1498-22.74%0.1117✓0.68464k2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.26690.265441-0.55%0.1764-33.91%0.1385✓1.313.9M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0741.0681-0.55%0.711-33.80%0.2102✓0.952.2M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.819.7558-0.55%6.06-38.23%0.4791✓-0.011.5M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015030.014944-0.57%0.00998-33.60%0.1380✓1.292.2M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8463.8236-0.58%2.804-27.09%0.1645✓0.71526k2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.013880.013798-0.59%0.00935-32.64%0.1353✓1.232.0M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.34160.339515-0.61%0.2645-22.57%0.0492✗1.453.8M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum16.4916.389-0.61%11.16-32.32%0.1209✓1.2812.4M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash144.36143.4748-0.61%94.59-34.48%0.1631✓1.2310.9M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2224.1959-0.62%3.059-27.55%0.1541✓0.791.1M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.13980.138892-0.65%0.0799-42.85%0.2883✓1.282.4M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110240.109497-0.67%0.07873-28.58%0.0990✓1.1225k2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.1123-0.69%0.64-42.86%0.1583✓1.911.5M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1178.0606-0.69%5.8-28.55%0.1811✓0.72188k2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5340.530288-0.70%0.319-40.26%0.2446✓1.281.8M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.5848-0.70%2.46-31.86%0.0900✓1.392.2M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3790.376197-0.74%0.244-35.62%0.2773✓0.7544k2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030820.000030592-0.74%0.00002053-33.39%0.1202✓1.351.8M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.53.4733-0.76%2.34-33.14%0.1765✓1.06808k2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0289080.028686-0.77%0.020108-30.44%0.1431✓1.035.7M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17190.170561-0.78%0.1135-33.97%0.1540✓1.234.2M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.810.803546-0.80%0.496-38.77%0.1831✓1.458.0M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.06531.0567-0.81%0.71467-32.91%0.0316✓1.74937k2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76983.7391-0.81%3.6015-4.46%0.0510✓-0.07371k2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase55.1154.6585-0.82%35.28-35.98%0.1474✓1.41649k2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.9447-0.83%12.62-16.26%0.0296✓0.681.0M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9444.9009-0.87%3.665-25.87%0.1540✓0.66469k2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.079786-0.89%0.0594-26.21%0.0739✓1.0716k2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.0892.0705-0.89%1.65-21.01%0.0138✓1.0395k2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8717.801-0.89%6.424-18.38%0.0670✗1.27260k2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.1924.9632-0.90%15.86-37.04%0.2212✓1.1374.2M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579120.05739-0.90%0.036765-36.52%0.2046✓1.177.5M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.6610.5635-0.90%8.68-18.57%0.0405✓0.76898k2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08461.0747-0.91%0.5834-46.21%0.3210✓1.411.5M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash141.33140.0434-0.91%97.07-31.32%0.1247✓1.172.8M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0208210.020631-0.91%0.014961-28.14%0.0643✓1.252.6M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.516-0.96%2.08-41.41%0.2668✓1.258.5M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.32731.3146-0.96%0.7987-39.83%0.2150✓1.373.9M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum8.478.3882-0.97%6.11-27.86%0.1157✓0.984.1M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1845960.182768-0.99%0.133158-27.86%0.0917✓1.095.4M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.35281.3389-1.02%0.80696-40.35%0.2914✓1.042.9M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.37851.3642-1.04%0.9512-31.00%0.1276✓1.1330.5M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero218.2215.9319-1.04%152.34-30.18%0.1587✓0.923.1M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum238.63236.039-1.09%147.18-38.32%0.2370✓1.1417.6M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5532.1942-1.09%20.54-36.90%0.1629✓1.3934.3M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.715.6475-1.09%3.49-38.88%0.2603✓1.072.3M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014410.014245-1.15%0.00793-44.97%0.0975✓2.3725.3M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052430.051829-1.15%0.03631-30.75%0.1401✓1.0519k2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2235.7991-1.16%23.84-34.18%0.0656✓1.652.7M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12571.1125-1.17%0.78-30.71%0.1548✓0.9723.2M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.046.9566-1.18%4.42-37.22%0.1905✓1.2817.7M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4582.4287-1.19%1.506-38.73%0.2512✓1.102.0M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73490.725946-1.22%0.5076-30.93%0.0974✓1.263.7M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6770.668583-1.24%0.4385-35.23%0.1389✓1.372.7M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.69621.6747-1.26%1.0381-38.80%0.2960✓0.88502k2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35463.3117-1.28%2.7227-18.84%0.0502✗1.192.3M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0891.8892-1.28%59.8-35.75%0.1983✓1.12107.5M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06181.0478-1.31%0.7106-33.08%0.1795✓1.01108k2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.469.3333-1.34%5.61-40.70%0.3652✓0.701.0M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.99862.9572-1.38%2.0434-31.86%0.1607✓1.015.1M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.15810.9934-1.47%6.944-37.77%0.4304✓0.1440k2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase154.3287152.0425-1.48%83.9941-45.57%0.3895✓0.99489k2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum7.096.9751-1.62%5.6708-20.02%0.0405✓0.813.8M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum4645.2396-1.65%33.44-27.30%0.0828✓1.0621.8M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.194-1.72%2.1-35.38%0.1571✓1.273.1M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.343.2777-1.86%2.567-23.14%0.1136✗1.741.1M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.7576.6205-2.02%4.2394-37.26%0.2056✓1.16457k2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33450.327357-2.14%0.2179-34.86%0.1955✓1.03397k2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,487.3632,745.11-2.22%22,897.64-31.62%0.2181✓0.6826.4M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13694.0413-2.31%2.9642-28.35%0.1663✓0.702,2572022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 287.5585.509-2.33%62.89-28.17%0.0603✗1.787.4M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.208480.203393-2.44%0.15638-24.99%0.0609✗1.575,3602022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.1310.8427-2.58%6.96-37.47%0.4007✓0.212.6M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52591.4858-2.63%1.5039-1.44%0.1901✗0.86926k2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.1323-2.80%2.89-45.27%0.2916✓1.3732.4M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0870320.084262-3.18%0.054184-37.74%0.2353✓1.002.2M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1637.8287-3.40%29.27-25.26%0.0622✓0.9486.7M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.63580.61029-4.01%0.5658-11.01%0.2099✗1.38736k2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.094.8522-4.67%4.82-5.30%0.1630✗0.82471k2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.89630.84041-6.24%0.5482-38.84%0.0710✓1.7338.7M2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.