2022-01-07 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0838

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.53%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

63.0%

in alpha space · 47.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.67%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.07	3.112	+1.37%	2.92	-4.89%	0.0997	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.0882	1.1003	+1.12%	0.9779	-10.14%	0.1522	✗	0.95	3.8M	2022-01-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0909	3.1055	+0.47%	3.1511	+1.95%	0.0244	✗	1.08	715k	2022-01-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.857	1.8652	+0.44%	1.853	-0.22%	0.0475	✗	1.13	2.4M	2022-01-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.18	2.1885	+0.39%	2.38	+9.17%	0.0465	✓	1.04	3.6M	2022-01-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	30.01	30.1199	+0.37%	26.28	-12.43%	0.2032	✗	1.85	5.4M	2022-01-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,565.18	41,698.17	+0.32%	43,090.72	+3.67%	0.0032	✗	1.00	748.4M	2022-01-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,198.82	3,208.16	+0.29%	3,310.45	+3.49%	0.0059	✗	1.04	619.8M	2022-01-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.26	9.2825	+0.24%	9.84	+6.26%	0.0608	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-01-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.306	1.309	+0.23%	1.308	+0.15%	0.0485	✗	1.32	3.3M	2022-01-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.42	73.5738	+0.21%	73.7	+0.38%	0.0357	✗	1.04	6.3M	2022-01-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07895	0.079104	+0.20%	0.08072	+2.24%	0.0315	✗	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068128	0.068256	+0.19%	0.067658	-0.69%	0.0427	✗	0.94	589k	2022-01-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,663.10	41,739.26	+0.18%	43,294.10	+3.91%	0.0014	✓	0.98	10k	2022-01-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.45	30.5006	+0.17%	31.98	+5.02%	0.0112	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-01-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	136.37	136.5444	+0.13%	146.17	+7.19%	0.0315	✓	1.02	203.4M	2022-01-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.18	8.1904	+0.13%	7.91	-3.30%	0.0566	✗	0.60	801k	2022-01-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.154835	0.155019	+0.12%	0.183317	+18.39%	0.1285	✓	1.09	4.6M	2022-01-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.88	24.9078	+0.11%	27.76	+11.58%	0.0624	✓	1.28	71.0M	2022-01-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1111	0.111159	+0.05%	0.113	+1.71%	0.0235	✗	1.11	304k	2022-01-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1763	0.176392	+0.05%	0.1798	+1.99%	0.0131	✗	0.89	490k	2022-01-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.989	6.9919	+0.04%	7.673	+9.79%	0.0488	✓	1.22	315k	2022-01-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.8679	7.8709	+0.04%	7.8442	-0.30%	0.0526	✗	1.37	268k	2022-01-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0669	0.066922	+0.03%	0.0557	-16.74%	0.2326	✗	1.36	1.5M	2022-01-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1805	0.180554	+0.03%	0.1929	+6.87%	0.0427	✓	0.65	428k	2022-01-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	31.53	31.537	+0.02%	29.72	-5.74%	0.0970	✗	1.05	22.1M	2022-01-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0855	0.085503	+0.00%	0.0865	+1.17%	0.0384	✗	1.39	1.2M	2022-01-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	250.4	250.4062	+0.00%	281.84	+12.56%	0.0777	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009855	0.000098548	-0.00%	0.00009702	-1.55%	0.0514	✓	0.99	6.9M	2022-01-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.92	13.9195	-0.00%	14	+0.57%	0.0349	✓	1.13	3.5M	2022-01-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1928	4.1917	-0.03%	4.3463	+3.66%	0.0094	✓	1.26	4.5M	2022-01-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01358	0.013575	-0.04%	0.01386	+2.06%	0.0142	✓	0.97	777k	2022-01-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.34	131.2632	-0.06%	144.84	+10.28%	0.0505	✗	1.33	36.7M	2022-01-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10346	0.103368	-0.09%	0.10933	+5.67%	0.0162	✗	1.11	24k	2022-01-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5936	0.59304	-0.09%	0.5792	-2.43%	0.0670	✓	1.20	11.8M	2022-01-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.7864	-0.10%	3.92	+3.43%	0.0014	✓	1.00	929k	2022-01-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.51	35.4755	-0.10%	44.73	+25.96%	0.1945	✗	1.04	20.0M	2022-01-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17255	0.172381	-0.10%	0.22239	+28.88%	0.1989	✗	1.55	5,957	2022-01-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	385.43	384.9866	-0.12%	385.65	+0.06%	0.0343	✓	1.00	9.0M	2022-01-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.173	0.172791	-0.12%	0.1754	+1.39%	0.0285	✓	1.21	4.6M	2022-01-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0749	0.074801	-0.13%	0.0707	-5.61%	0.1004	✓	1.22	20.3M	2022-01-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.64	6.631	-0.14%	6.68	+0.60%	0.0155	✓	0.63	713k	2022-01-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2564	4.2506	-0.14%	4.285	+0.67%	0.0401	✓	1.33	4.9M	2022-01-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0942	0.094061	-0.15%	0.09336	-0.89%	0.0324	✓	0.69	55k	2022-01-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.668	1.6653	-0.16%	1.4707	-11.83%	0.1933	✓	1.92	1.4M	2022-01-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	192.9	192.5819	-0.16%	189.59	-1.72%	0.0565	✓	1.13	195k	2022-01-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.83	2.825	-0.18%	2.77	-2.12%	0.0668	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.97	30.9151	-0.18%	29.7	-4.10%	0.0928	✓	1.46	1.1M	2022-01-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.94	27.889	-0.18%	28.42	+1.72%	0.0051	✓	0.66	385k	2022-01-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2093	1.2069	-0.20%	1.2931	+6.93%	0.0304	✗	1.07	97.2M	2022-01-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3192	0.318557	-0.20%	0.3321	+4.04%	0.0039	✓	1.26	2.6M	2022-01-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.054	1.0515	-0.23%	1.055	+0.09%	0.0305	✓	0.94	2.3M	2022-01-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	211.6	211.0889	-0.24%	224.05	+5.88%	0.0193	✗	1.12	16.2M	2022-01-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.369	0.368094	-0.25%	0.366	-0.81%	0.0315	✓	0.71	39k	2022-01-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.661	2.6541	-0.26%	2.857	+7.37%	0.0417	✗	0.89	34k	2022-01-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.506	1.5021	-0.26%	1.509	+0.20%	0.0440	✓	1.35	5.3M	2022-01-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1004	0.100133	-0.27%	0.079	-21.31%	0.2731	✓	1.00	34.7M	2022-01-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.9	20.8434	-0.27%	20.29	-2.92%	0.0532	✓	0.73	1.2M	2022-01-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.019625	0.019569	-0.29%	0.02049	+4.41%	0.0015	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-01-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752558	0.750387	-0.29%	0.748205	-0.58%	0.0424	✓	1.10	2.8M	2022-01-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.11	3.101	-0.29%	3.19	+2.57%	0.0064	✓	0.96	995k	2022-01-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.55	1.5455	-0.29%	1.38	-10.97%	0.1732	✓	1.66	862k	2022-01-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.075778	-0.29%	0.0813	+6.97%	0.0330	✗	1.03	16k	2022-01-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1166	0.116244	-0.31%	0.1192	+2.23%	0.0114	✓	1.01	89k	2022-01-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.257021	0.256214	-0.31%	0.265375	+3.25%	0.0013	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-01-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.03	8.0046	-0.32%	8.04	+0.12%	0.0219	✓	0.73	771k	2022-01-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.72	109.3726	-0.32%	113.04	+3.03%	0.0006	✓	0.93	2.8M	2022-01-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.889	2.8793	-0.34%	3.372	+16.72%	0.1018	✗	1.56	1.4M	2022-01-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9099	3.8959	-0.36%	4.1356	+5.77%	0.0348	✗	0.69	8,523	2022-01-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.9	8.8675	-0.37%	7.92	-11.01%	0.1455	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-01-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.57	55.3659	-0.37%	53.8	-3.19%	0.0794	✓	1.41	805k	2022-01-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.546	0.543975	-0.37%	0.521	-4.58%	0.0891	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.19	19.1183	-0.37%	20.08	+4.64%	0.0089	✓	1.61	13.6M	2022-01-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1	0.996162	-0.38%	1.09	+9.00%	0.0267	✗	1.76	1.9M	2022-01-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.4	5.3781	-0.41%	5.22	-3.33%	0.0711	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-01-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.597	4.5778	-0.42%	4.867	+5.87%	0.0389	✗	0.62	489k	2022-01-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	139.74	139.1473	-0.42%	142.55	+2.01%	0.0213	✓	1.26	9.6M	2022-01-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.77	3.754	-0.43%	3.55	-5.84%	0.0919	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04349	0.043297	-0.44%	0.04111	-5.47%	0.0842	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-01-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.811	3.7934	-0.46%	3.845	+0.89%	0.0110	✓	0.68	483k	2022-01-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.75	15.6746	-0.48%	15.87	+0.76%	0.0333	✓	1.27	13.8M	2022-01-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0067	1.0018	-0.48%	1.0305	+2.36%	0.0224	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.183	8.1431	-0.49%	7.757	-5.21%	0.0730	✓	0.68	251k	2022-01-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002895	0.000028809	-0.49%	0.00003084	+6.53%	0.0230	✗	1.25	1.7M	2022-01-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2638	0.262496	-0.49%	0.2668	+1.14%	0.0307	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9215	0.916876	-0.50%	1.0647	+15.54%	0.1134	✗	1.00	141k	2022-01-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5999	0.596841	-0.51%	0.7145	+19.10%	0.1313	✗	1.35	2.8M	2022-01-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01562	0.01554	-0.51%	0.015	-3.97%	0.0814	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	177.7	176.7403	-0.54%	165.39	-6.93%	0.1001	✓	0.93	7.9M	2022-01-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0272	3.0108	-0.54%	3.3204	+9.69%	0.0559	✗	1.16	2.7M	2022-01-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3378	0.335963	-0.54%	0.335	-0.83%	0.0544	✓	1.43	3.4M	2022-01-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.127	4.104	-0.56%	4.269	+3.44%	0.0118	✗	0.77	942k	2022-01-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04946	0.049183	-0.56%	0.05342	+8.01%	0.0438	✗	1.08	16k	2022-01-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.638	0.634176	-0.60%	0.7107	+11.39%	0.0696	✗	1.23	4.5M	2022-01-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.01	9.9498	-0.60%	10.52	+5.09%	0.0291	✗	0.74	1.2M	2022-01-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.4947	5.461	-0.61%	6.0352	+9.84%	0.0590	✗	1.14	480k	2022-01-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.17	7.1258	-0.62%	7.03	-1.95%	0.0600	✓	1.29	18.2M	2022-01-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029557	0.029374	-0.62%	0.028431	-3.81%	0.0697	✓	1.03	6.8M	2022-01-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0169	0.016795	-0.62%	0.01666	-1.42%	0.0303	✓	0.62	30k	2022-01-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1392	2.1255	-0.64%	2.0924	-2.19%	0.0531	✓	1.04	94k	2022-01-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	194.72	193.4723	-0.64%	229.78	+18.01%	0.1374	✗	0.96	3.0M	2022-01-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01454	0.014447	-0.64%	0.01389	-4.47%	0.0829	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059308	0.058921	-0.65%	0.059654	+0.58%	0.0333	✓	1.27	7.3M	2022-01-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2622	1.2539	-0.66%	1.2988	+2.89%	0.0013	✓	1.01	3.5M	2022-01-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5636	1.5526	-0.71%	1.6069	+2.76%	0.0034	✓	0.86	663k	2022-01-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1543	0.15319	-0.72%	0.1392	-9.79%	0.1400	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.344	2.3269	-0.73%	2.415	+3.03%	0.0012	✓	1.07	1.9M	2022-01-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	68.69	68.1764	-0.75%	81.47	+18.61%	0.1421	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.802	0.795996	-0.75%	0.802	+0.00%	0.0433	✓	1.41	8.1M	2022-01-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.36	3.334	-0.77%	3.46	+2.98%	0.0005	✓	1.01	715k	2022-01-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1144	1.1057	-0.78%	1.1223	+0.71%	0.0196	✓	0.96	22.3M	2022-01-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.27	5.2269	-0.82%	5.7	+8.16%	0.0478	✗	1.08	2.1M	2022-01-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3612	1.3495	-0.86%	1.31	-3.76%	0.0793	✓	1.38	5.0M	2022-01-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.09	14.9568	-0.88%	14.96	-0.86%	0.0235	✓	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0712	1.0615	-0.91%	1.0526	-1.74%	0.0714	✓	1.75	1.1M	2022-01-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5714	3.538	-0.93%	3.7699	+5.56%	0.0666	✗	-0.09	364k	2022-01-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.62	3.586	-0.94%	3.62	+0.00%	0.0349	✓	1.23	10.6M	2022-01-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	37.02	36.6348	-1.04%	36.25	-2.08%	0.0694	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1737	6.1094	-1.04%	6.8128	+10.35%	0.0806	✗	0.79	3.9M	2022-01-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	163.2907	161.4095	-1.15%	157.2002	-3.73%	0.0617	✓	0.98	574k	2022-01-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.68	133.0978	-1.17%	141.12	+4.78%	0.0151	✗	1.20	1.9M	2022-01-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.445	1.427	-1.24%	1.3822	-4.35%	0.0717	✓	1.10	30.5M	2022-01-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.79	85.6965	-1.26%	90.41	+4.17%	0.0141	✗	1.09	119.5M	2022-01-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014899	-1.27%	0.01434	-4.97%	0.1247	✓	2.40	29.0M	2022-01-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.15	10.0205	-1.28%	9.5	-6.40%	0.0772	✓	0.66	1.2M	2022-01-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	30.22	29.8152	-1.34%	32.54	+7.68%	0.0381	✗	1.37	24.4M	2022-01-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.05	3.0031	-1.54%	2.955	-3.12%	0.0526	✓	1.01	5.6M	2022-01-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.098	11.8884	-1.73%	10.866	-10.18%	0.0933	✓	0.09	74k	2022-01-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3309	0.325135	-1.74%	0.3291	-0.54%	0.0241	✓	1.01	293k	2022-01-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.41	9.2282	-1.93%	8.39	-10.84%	0.1301	✓	0.97	4.1M	2022-01-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5162	0.50579	-2.02%	0.6272	+21.50%	0.1638	✗	1.42	650k	2022-01-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.97	25.4235	-2.10%	25.74	-0.89%	0.0289	✓	1.14	69.2M	2022-01-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5	4.8921	-2.16%	5.35	+7.00%	0.0394	✗	1.39	30.4M	2022-01-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.12	11.7889	-2.73%	10.98	-9.41%	0.0766	✓	0.15	3.0M	2022-01-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	35,821.08	34,640.63	-3.30%	32,239.49	-10.00%	0.0956	✓	0.66	21.5M	2022-01-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.54	37.0418	-3.89%	40.44	+4.93%	0.0544	✗	0.93	43.4M	2022-01-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6983	0.669086	-4.18%	0.9605	+37.55%	0.2982	✗	1.76	35.9M	2022-01-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.05	1.8793	-8.33%	1.4198	-30.74%	0.3132	✓	0.91	922k	2022-01-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.