2022-01-04 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2811

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.26%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.6%

in alpha space · 92.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.68%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	146.44	146.8004	+0.25%	131.67	-10.09%	0.0156	✗	1.35	36.7M	2022-01-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.48	2.4809	+0.04%	2.15	-13.31%	0.0698	✗	1.06	4.0M	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.075989	0.075962	-0.04%	0.064934	-14.55%	0.0919	✓	0.94	556k	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.11	34.09	-0.06%	29.69	-12.96%	0.0663	✓	1.04	3.7M	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1995	0.199187	-0.16%	0.1605	-19.55%	0.1301	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.69	134.4412	-0.18%	141.85	+5.32%	0.1414	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.69	28.6027	-0.30%	25.55	-10.94%	0.0235	✓	1.29	71.0M	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.13	36.0132	-0.32%	28.89	-20.04%	0.1489	✓	1.03	22.7M	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08388	0.083588	-0.35%	0.07076	-15.64%	0.0824	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2101	0.209232	-0.41%	0.2062	-1.86%	0.0264	✗	0.59	441k	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	45,814.61	45,618.89	-0.43%	42,753.44	-6.68%	0.0043	✓	1.00	727.0M	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3092	1.3033	-0.45%	1.1879	-9.27%	0.0170	✓	1.09	97.2M	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7143	3.6974	-0.46%	3.0312	-18.39%	0.1255	✓	1.06	798k	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01721	0.017132	-0.46%	0.01386	-19.47%	0.1295	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.92	15.8402	-0.50%	13.71	-13.88%	0.0650	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022317	0.022204	-0.51%	0.018697	-16.22%	0.0888	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,006.00	45,769.44	-0.51%	42,770.20	-7.03%	0.0003	✓	0.98	10k	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6945	0.690819	-0.53%	0.6511	-6.25%	0.0285	✗	1.27	5.2M	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0617	6.028	-0.56%	5.328	-12.10%	0.0404	✓	1.20	553k	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011292	0.000112281	-0.57%	0.00009356	-17.14%	0.1144	✓	0.98	7.2M	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	147.34	146.4525	-0.60%	141.38	-4.05%	0.0582	✗	1.35	10.1M	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0856	0.085079	-0.61%	0.076	-11.21%	0.0388	✓	1.07	18k	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.409	0.406459	-0.62%	0.361	-11.74%	0.0680	✓	0.73	39k	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9939	8.9375	-0.63%	7.521	-16.38%	0.0746	✓	1.42	268k	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3427	1.3341	-0.64%	1.3709	+2.10%	0.1035	✗	1.10	922k	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08927	0.088675	-0.67%	0.07976	-10.65%	0.0055	✓	1.45	2.9M	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.16	7.1111	-0.68%	6.78	-5.31%	0.0037	✓	0.64	801k	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1252	0.12432	-0.70%	0.1145	-8.55%	0.0062	✓	1.10	115k	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	179.48	178.2022	-0.71%	169.57	-5.52%	0.0164	✗	0.96	8.3M	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.228	2.2121	-0.71%	1.86	-16.52%	0.0958	✓	1.12	2.5M	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.4543	184.1162	-0.72%	165.565	-10.72%	0.0257	✓	1.16	574k	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.76	8.6931	-0.76%	8	-8.68%	0.0413	✓	0.60	828k	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.83	35.5479	-0.79%	29.43	-17.86%	0.0832	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3025	0.300105	-0.79%	0.2641	-12.69%	0.0378	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.168474	0.167134	-0.80%	0.153722	-8.76%	0.0075	✓	1.10	4.6M	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11972	0.118757	-0.80%	0.10496	-12.33%	0.0474	✓	1.10	26k	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	427.38	423.9011	-0.81%	369.84	-13.46%	0.0664	✓	1.01	9.0M	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.112	4.077	-0.85%	3.818	-7.15%	0.0198	✓	0.66	483k	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.107	5.0629	-0.86%	4.814	-5.74%	0.0087	✓	0.60	549k	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	167.72	166.2662	-0.87%	140.27	-16.37%	0.0963	✓	1.07	211.5M	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.88	92.054	-0.89%	72.75	-21.67%	0.1688	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.03	8.9496	-0.89%	8.65	-4.21%	0.0432	✗	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,785.00	3,750.47	-0.91%	3,240.83	-14.38%	0.0744	✓	1.04	619.8M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.27	30.984	-0.91%	28.42	-9.11%	0.0395	✓	0.68	385k	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.7918	1.7749	-0.94%	1.5924	-11.12%	0.0527	✓	0.81	668k	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.64	1.6245	-0.94%	1.36	-17.07%	0.0586	✓	1.72	964k	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	222.22	220.1046	-0.95%	193.01	-13.14%	0.0616	✓	1.01	3.2M	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.279308	0.276641	-0.95%	0.263177	-5.78%	0.0206	✗	1.02	24.9M	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.04	14.89	-1.00%	14.78	-1.73%	0.0400	✗	0.69	1.1M	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		120.8	119.5398	-1.04%	110.22	-8.76%	0.0153	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0991	0.098044	-1.07%	0.0824	-16.85%	0.0796	✓	1.36	1.5M	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.43	23.1803	-1.07%	26.6	+13.53%	0.2291	✗	1.32	69.2M	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.693	2.6641	-1.07%	2.311	-14.18%	0.0712	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.239	8.1483	-1.10%	7.094	-13.90%	0.0513	✓	1.26	336k	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1957	0.193498	-1.13%	0.1778	-9.15%	0.0219	✓	0.91	506k	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01547	0.015294	-1.14%	0.0135	-12.73%	0.0587	✓	0.96	783k	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003245	0.000032078	-1.15%	0.00002762	-14.88%	0.0635	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.873	0.862924	-1.15%	0.747	-14.43%	0.0423	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	64.42	63.6754	-1.16%	56.11	-12.90%	0.0225	✓	1.50	807k	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0903	3.0545	-1.16%	3.1857	+3.09%	0.1247	✗	1.20	2.9M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3673	0.363044	-1.16%	0.3101	-15.57%	0.0696	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0695	0.068664	-1.20%	0.0574	-17.41%	0.0823	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01947	0.019232	-1.22%	0.01475	-24.24%	0.1774	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	223.02	220.2659	-1.23%	188.96	-15.27%	0.0743	✓	1.14	211k	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6784	0.669774	-1.27%	0.5691	-16.11%	0.0739	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.15	3.1097	-1.28%	2.765	-12.22%	0.0585	✓	0.85	41k	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033406	0.032975	-1.29%	0.029265	-12.40%	0.0485	✓	1.02	7.3M	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0651	2.0382	-1.30%	1.4915	-27.78%	0.1825	✓	1.88	1.4M	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.02	23.7053	-1.31%	20.39	-15.11%	0.0794	✓	1.03	1.2M	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4901	6.4036	-1.33%	6.4129	-1.19%	0.0595	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7795	3.7278	-1.37%	3.7323	-1.25%	0.0064	✓	-0.11	364k	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	251.96	248.503	-1.37%	213.29	-15.35%	0.0742	✓	1.14	14.7M	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.223	1.2062	-1.38%	1.045	-14.55%	0.0784	✓	0.94	2.4M	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.662	0.65272	-1.40%	0.516	-22.05%	0.1483	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3574	0.352318	-1.42%	0.3228	-9.68%	0.0184	✓	1.00	293k	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	103.3	101.8065	-1.45%	89.66	-13.20%	0.0496	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.507	4.4415	-1.45%	4.1768	-7.33%	0.0278	✗	1.29	4.7M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.35	40.7486	-1.45%	39.78	-3.80%	0.0485	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.5	8.3752	-1.47%	8.1	-4.71%	0.0193	✗	0.76	773k	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.21	17.9427	-1.47%	15.98	-12.25%	0.0271	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	38.67	38.1012	-1.47%	26.75	-30.82%	0.2294	✓	1.80	5.4M	2022-01-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0623	0.061383	-1.47%	0.064925	+4.21%	0.1523	✗	1.39	7.4M	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.56	10.404	-1.48%	10.19	-3.50%	0.0307	✗	0.74	1.2M	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.3394	-1.49%	3.2	-5.60%	0.0264	✗	1.00	995k	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1744	3.1271	-1.49%	2.9312	-7.66%	0.0008	✓	0.95	5.7M	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1324	0.130393	-1.52%	0.1102	-16.77%	0.0940	✓	1.07	304k	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	296.29	291.7799	-1.52%	260.77	-11.99%	0.0355	✓	1.11	1.3M	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.046	21.7038	-1.55%	19.378	-12.10%	0.0003	✓	1.63	13.6M	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3398	2.3032	-1.56%	2.1025	-10.14%	0.0135	✓	1.12	100k	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.07	7.9426	-1.58%	6.99	-13.38%	0.0369	✓	1.31	18.2M	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.673	4.5991	-1.58%	4.382	-6.23%	0.0043	✓	0.76	1.1M	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.678	1.6511	-1.60%	1.398	-16.69%	0.0724	✓	1.36	5.7M	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4602	1.4366	-1.61%	1.2365	-15.32%	0.0838	✓	0.96	3.6M	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.72	4.6436	-1.62%	3.8424	-18.59%	0.1419	✓	0.69	17k	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.888431	0.873986	-1.63%	0.718632	-19.11%	0.1180	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.42	3.3619	-1.70%	2.8	-18.13%	0.0933	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.71	3.644	-1.78%	3.45	-7.01%	0.0197	✗	1.08	626k	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05513	0.054144	-1.79%	0.04765	-13.57%	0.0516	✓	1.10	15k	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6714	1.6412	-1.81%	1.4467	-13.44%	0.0487	✓	1.12	30.0M	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04929	0.048397	-1.81%	0.04184	-15.11%	0.0831	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.6	6.48	-1.82%	5.08	-23.03%	0.1640	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20404	0.200291	-1.84%	0.17303	-15.20%	0.0383	✓	1.56	6,446	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2788	1.2551	-1.85%	1.141	-10.78%	0.0299	✓	0.95	21.2M	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01973	0.019361	-1.87%	0.01644	-16.68%	0.1187	✓	0.65	35k	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.74	4.6509	-1.88%	3.61	-23.84%	0.1842	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.66	5.5528	-1.89%	5.14	-9.19%	0.0048	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.36	9.1821	-1.90%	8.221	-12.17%	0.0683	✓	0.61	299k	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1943	0.190551	-1.93%	0.1471	-24.29%	0.1770	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.646	1.614	-1.94%	1.273	-22.66%	0.1483	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1872	1.1641	-1.95%	1.025	-13.66%	0.0303	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.363	3.2964	-1.98%	3.766	+11.98%	0.2433	✗	1.59	1.8M	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2829	1.2575	-1.98%	1.0548	-17.79%	0.0539	✓	1.76	1.2M	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.1	4.0179	-2.00%	3.54	-13.66%	0.0575	✓	1.00	967k	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.15	1.1264	-2.05%	0.96	-16.52%	0.0907	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11	0.107718	-2.07%	0.09134	-16.96%	0.1206	✓	0.64	55k	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,282.47	35,522.23	-2.10%	32,768.96	-9.68%	0.0384	✓	0.61	17.3M	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.51	11.2568	-2.20%	9.73	-15.46%	0.1573	✓	-0.17	2.2M	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.27	11.02	-2.22%	8.01	-28.93%	0.2611	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1192	0.116368	-2.38%	0.077	-35.40%	0.3438	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	5.039	4.9173	-2.42%	4.1752	-17.14%	0.0719	✓	1.33	4.9M	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3934	0.383675	-2.47%	0.3363	-14.51%	0.0291	✓	1.49	3.4M	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	33.82	32.9666	-2.52%	34.45	+1.86%	0.1399	✗	1.39	24.2M	2022-01-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.4484	1.4107	-2.60%	0.9389	-35.18%	0.3503	✓	0.82	4.4M	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		15.672	15.2539	-2.67%	11.203	-28.52%	0.3138	✓	-0.07	86k	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.29	11.9614	-2.67%	9.67	-21.32%	0.1706	✓	0.61	1.2M	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.56	82.2911	-2.68%	73.57	-13.00%	0.0429	✓	1.00	6.3M	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0351	1.0072	-2.70%	0.8921	-13.82%	0.0522	✓	1.00	145k	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5925	1.5484	-2.77%	1.3102	-17.73%	0.0714	✓	1.38	5.2M	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7133	0.693292	-2.81%	0.5799	-18.70%	0.0874	✓	1.32	2.8M	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	42.83	41.5547	-2.98%	36.84	-13.99%	0.0067	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.92	3.7904	-3.31%	3.57	-8.93%	0.0307	✓	1.31	10.7M	2022-01-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02111	0.020407	-3.33%	0.01458	-30.93%	0.2671	✓	1.00	28.5M	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.89	3.7589	-3.37%	2.93	-24.68%	0.1800	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.08	5.8713	-3.43%	4.61	-24.18%	0.1477	✓	1.36	29.4M	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8381	0.805193	-3.93%	0.6826	-18.55%	0.0466	✓	1.72	33.4M	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6206	0.593923	-4.30%	0.6261	+0.89%	0.1491	✗	1.39	650k	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	42.05	40.2001	-4.40%	38.71	-7.94%	0.0243	✓	0.90	43.4M	2022-01-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	15.7	14.8232	-5.58%	11.23	-28.47%	0.2790	✓	-0.02	3.9M	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.