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2022-08-05 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3157
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.1%
in alpha space · 24.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.95194.9881+0.73%4.7972-3.12%0.0468✗0.17225k2022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697990.070279+0.69%0.072322+3.62%0.0251✗1.171.6M2022-08-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58360.586686+0.53%0.6074+4.08%0.0178✗1.15329k2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0698370.070147+0.44%0.070487+0.93%0.0268✗0.69345k2022-08-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063340.006347+0.21%0.006893+8.83%0.0436✓0.854,9752022-08-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016770.00168+0.18%0.001706+1.73%0.0320✗1.039,0502022-08-12
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.025211+0.04%0.0294+16.67%0.1283✓0.5540k2022-08-12
GTGateEthereum4.73754.7367-0.02%5.044+6.47%0.0284✗0.75916k2022-08-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.90e-79.89e-7-0.06%0.00000103+4.04%0.0056✓1.0025k2022-08-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045330.045283-0.10%0.04953+9.27%0.0466✗0.942,0262022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008430.008421-0.10%0.00838-0.59%0.0464✓0.901.6M2022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06240.062333-0.11%0.0739+18.43%0.1051✗1.42350k2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.1961.1938-0.18%1.2878+7.68%0.0276✗1.0542k2022-08-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,320.8123,267.56-0.23%24,415.18+4.69%0.0023✗1.00455.4M2022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,205.3023,150.13-0.24%24,153.80+4.09%0.0025✓0.9813k2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011250.001122-0.26%0.001509+34.12%0.2393✗1.241.3M2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.472.4633-0.27%4.051+64.01%0.4566✗0.89110k2022-08-12
DASHDashDash52.452.2453-0.30%56.16+7.18%0.0218✗1.10574k2022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10050.100138-0.36%0.104+3.48%0.0174✓1.216,5342022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.003850.003835-0.40%0.00392+1.82%0.0371✓1.29551k2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.325660.324281-0.42%0.39278+20.61%0.1401✗1.12383k2022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012120.000012068-0.43%0.0000127+4.79%0.0059✓1.24951k2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.49180.489409-0.49%0.5099+3.68%0.0157✓1.24808k2022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5722-0.49%1.59+0.63%0.0023✓0.30242k2022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase18.4318.3311-0.54%21.35+15.84%0.0888✗1.39118k2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.740.735773-0.57%0.83+12.16%0.0933✗0.5978k2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.26230.260774-0.58%0.2777+5.87%0.0095✗1.16768k2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.226642-0.60%0.236+3.51%0.0287✓1.51755k2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1185410.117797-0.63%0.126413+6.64%0.0251✗0.996.9M2022-08-12
FISStafiEthereum0.39030.387653-0.68%–pending––0.941722022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative10.4410.3682-0.69%10.654+2.05%0.0235✓1.112.0M2022-08-12
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.73e-7-0.69%0.00000103+5.10%0.0184✗0.846.4M2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana40.5440.244-0.73%45.5+12.23%0.0601✗1.3780.8M2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum3.0473.0244-0.74%3.223+5.78%0.0125✗1.11587k2022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.426760.423273-0.82%0.46635+9.28%0.0422✗1.19118k2022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3370.334155-0.84%0.329-2.37%0.0630✓1.041.1M2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12960.12846-0.88%0.139+7.25%0.0332✗1.004,9522022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26120.258736-0.94%0.2787+6.70%0.0182✗1.2299k2022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero161.87160.3409-0.94%166.92+3.12%0.0102✓1.101.1M2022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.93140.5829-0.95%143.1+0.82%0.0374✓1.204.6M2022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7530.745353-1.02%0.942+25.10%0.1786✗1.21968k2022-08-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022270.002204-1.02%0.002191-1.62%0.0519✓1.001.2M2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07390.073138-1.03%0.127+71.85%0.5186✗0.73155k2022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15070.149105-1.06%0.1745+15.79%0.1134✗0.963.6M2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3588590.355014-1.07%0.388363+8.22%0.0315✗1.271.0M2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12550.124145-1.08%0.1304+3.90%0.0006✓1.08380k2022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7580.749713-1.09%0.741-2.24%0.0791✓1.47121k2022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000045530.000045017-1.13%0.00004784+5.07%0.0076✓1.161.9M2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.27130.268232-1.13%0.2956+8.96%0.0462✗1.1165k2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51760.51167-1.15%0.5407+4.46%0.0001✓1.2040.5M2022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0610.060299-1.15%0.066+8.20%0.0266✗1.39179k2022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006671-1.15%0.006832+1.23%0.0004✓0.5140k2022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24190.239096-1.16%0.2537+4.88%0.0083✓1.4789k2022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.07481.0623-1.16%1.4259+32.67%0.2419✗1.141.0M2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022410.022148-1.17%0.02664+18.88%0.1377✗1.03159k2022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35890.354615-1.19%0.3656+1.87%0.0220✓1.158.3M2022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078140.077202-1.20%0.08331+6.62%0.0427✗0.739072022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum30.7630.3833-1.22%31.22+1.50%0.0166✓0.9510.0M2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.4961.7235-1.23%62.95+0.74%0.0333✓1.1613.5M2022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase1.05271.0397-1.23%1.1083+5.28%0.0204✗0.9560k2022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.351.3332-1.25%1.334-1.19%0.0563✓1.241.1M2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032130.003173-1.26%0.004523+40.77%0.3091✗0.991.0M2022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031110.030714-1.27%0.03363+8.10%0.0313✗1.301,4012022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13830.136523-1.28%0.1535+10.99%0.0592✗1.2761k2022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00470.004639-1.29%0.00511+8.72%0.0369✗1.30126k2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.01795-1.32%0.01781-2.09%0.0457✓0.82182k2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.48e-73.43e-7-1.35%3.20e-7-7.98%0.1142✓0.97157k2022-08-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196020.193345-1.36%0.19851+1.27%0.0790✓2.301,1512022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.1640.161751-1.37%0.1752+6.83%0.0235✗1.23107k2022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09070.089439-1.39%0.0919+1.32%0.0260✓1.16126k2022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01030.010156-1.39%0.01039+0.87%0.0178✓0.885.2M2022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06890.067858-1.51%0.0727+5.52%0.0256✗0.94170k2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.048738-1.54%0.0502+1.41%0.0299✓1.309,0132022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3332.297-1.54%2.341+0.34%0.0446✓1.39169k2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05590.055037-1.54%0.0569+1.79%0.0253✓1.28284k2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum61.3160.3395-1.58%65.12+6.21%0.0120✓1.4035k2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4380.431049-1.59%0.476+8.68%0.0389✗1.32147k2022-08-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033580.033043-1.60%0.04843+44.22%0.3259✗1.2314k2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.7414-1.62%1.9+7.34%0.0268✗1.32127k2022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8787.7495-1.63%9.333+18.47%0.1284✗1.2517.9M2022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase15.316615.0662-1.63%17.1241+11.80%0.0754✗1.1553k2022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.15321.1339-1.67%1.2318+6.81%0.0322✗1.1012k2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.0560.995-1.70%63.536+2.39%0.0026✓0.83321k2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1161-1.70%3-5.36%0.0609✓0.50116k2022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8311.7998-1.70%1.801-1.64%0.0648✓1.43354k2022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash69.1567.9585-1.72%77.34+11.84%0.0719✗1.251.7M2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11390.111933-1.73%0.1237+8.60%0.0426✗1.25505k2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.86651.834-1.74%1.9249+3.13%0.0096✓1.26530k2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177770.174657-1.75%0.18299+2.94%0.0243✓1.55222k2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7522.7037-1.76%2.964+7.70%0.0117✓1.75118k2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427950.420395-1.77%0.42697-0.23%0.0475✓1.37545k2022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.818.654-1.77%9.484+7.65%0.0352✗1.2311.0M2022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34030.33426-1.77%0.3631+6.70%0.0295✗1.163.6M2022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61.5715-1.78%1.6851+5.32%0.0058✓1.39619k2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8330.817978-1.80%0.88+5.64%0.0263✗1.02389k2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.07944.0054-1.81%4.2925+5.22%0.0196✗1.0851k2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,736.791,705.20-1.82%1,959.91+12.85%0.0803✗1.28418.9M2022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22010.216025-1.85%0.2224+1.04%0.0358✓1.421,2802022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4321.4054-1.86%1.496+4.47%0.0043✓1.272.6M2022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0552560.054221-1.87%0.056411+2.09%0.0130✓0.5825k2022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.5214-1.93%6.66+0.15%0.0426✓1.391.4M2022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.449823-1.94%0.4764+3.86%0.0105✓1.48263k2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8480.831464-1.95%0.938+10.61%0.0650✗1.21233k2022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.857547-1.99%0.944+7.89%0.0167✓1.734.6M2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.478650.469011-2.01%0.48246+0.80%0.0069✓0.7770k2022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum2.1952.1507-2.02%2.426+10.52%0.0629✗1.26619k2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.96610.7434-2.03%12.061+9.99%0.0536✗1.3513.0M2022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35132.3035-2.03%2.3981+1.99%0.0152✓1.2134k2022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051010.049973-2.03%0.05396+5.78%0.0361✗0.8915k2022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0528150.051736-2.04%0.055699+5.46%0.0188✓1.2035k2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7080.693436-2.06%0.7-1.13%0.0544✓1.3990k2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202880.019869-2.06%0.020089-0.98%0.0078✓0.41172k2022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1544.0674-2.09%4.17+0.39%0.0143✓0.85976k2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4784-2.09%1.56+3.31%0.0106✓1.401.2M2022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum103.27101.0998-2.10%114.79+11.16%0.0510✗1.6610.2M2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.072896-2.15%0.0827+11.01%0.0756✗1.101.1M2022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.695140.680144-2.16%0.72656+4.52%0.0031✓1.5188k2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163240.015972-2.16%0.01628-0.27%0.0221✓0.902.1M2022-08-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100970.00009877-2.18%0.00009809-2.85%0.1016✓2.07498k2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.180379-2.18%0.1809-1.90%0.0533✓1.233.4M2022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08660.084697-2.20%0.0916+5.77%0.0163✓1.3530k2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06740.065893-2.24%0.0733+8.75%0.0475✗1.29803k2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9113.8231-2.25%4.176+6.78%0.0616✗0.581.9M2022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086430.084468-2.27%0.08726+0.96%0.0199✓0.281.1M2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8452.7786-2.33%2.947+3.59%0.0066✓1.4349k2022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.30540.298164-2.37%0.3094+1.31%0.0140✓1.11300k2022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.724.6064-2.41%4.875+3.28%0.0309✗0.561.4M2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.255171-2.42%0.2614-0.04%0.0235✓0.0130k2022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9728.7536-2.43%9.21+2.65%0.0125✓1.389.9M2022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00962.9363-2.44%3.0168+0.24%0.0181✓0.981.2M2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07561.0494-2.44%1.0686-0.65%0.0417✓1.30532k2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.9724.3553-2.46%29.35+17.54%0.1139✗1.5826.1M2022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.9390.915449-2.51%0.983+4.69%0.0096✓1.76476k2022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04510.043968-2.51%0.0445-1.33%0.0443✓1.2377k2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1310.12766-2.55%0.1472+12.37%0.0790✗1.382.9M2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8240.802735-2.58%0.792-3.88%0.0800✓1.452,9182022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17870.174061-2.60%0.196+9.68%0.0614✗1.25529k2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4435-2.65%2.59+3.19%0.0092✓1.07507k2022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.59080.575125-2.65%0.6348+7.45%0.0447✗1.182.1M2022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.36770.357898-2.67%0.37096+0.89%0.0235✓1.2913k2022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0286-2.68%1.2293+16.31%0.1303✗1.0413k2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4317.9292-2.72%18.66+1.25%0.0200✓1.311.3M2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56940.553803-2.74%0.5531-2.86%0.0621✓1.33245k2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration63.561.7574-2.74%61.14-3.72%0.0637✓1.17379k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.67180.653231-2.76%0.644-4.14%0.0673✓1.16690k2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2216.7421-2.78%16.03-6.91%0.1083✓1.412.6M2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9463.8361-2.79%4.151+5.20%0.0469✗0.701.5M2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.18641.1533-2.79%1.1467-3.35%0.0685✓1.371.4M2022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3828.1462-2.81%8.394+0.14%0.0261✓1.227.0M2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.173.0805-2.82%3.25+2.52%0.0156✓1.51234k2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009040.008784-2.83%0.00892-1.33%0.0430✓1.27390k2022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1554-2.87%1.1564-2.78%0.0386✓0.864.4M2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.065.8861-2.87%6.13+1.16%0.0091✓0.69746k2022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3520.718-2.96%21.15-0.94%0.0176✓0.832.4M2022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum107.26104.0756-2.97%128.24+19.56%0.1635✗0.994.2M2022-08-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98690.957548-2.97%1.0248+3.84%0.0095✓1.69281k2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.14590.141546-2.98%0.164+12.41%0.0979✗1.08986k2022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230380.02235-2.99%0.025466+10.54%0.0864✗0.9612k2022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0311.6681-3.01%12.4+3.08%0.0052✓1.21290k2022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.570.552835-3.01%0.554-2.81%0.0502✓1.1416k2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0251.964-3.01%2.034+0.44%0.0295✓1.41266k2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.98.6279-3.06%8.86-0.45%0.0042✓0.491.8M2022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1591.1223-3.16%1.013-12.60%0.1314✓0.631.9M2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3418.0763-3.17%8.751+4.92%0.0324✗1.042.9M2022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.23060.223182-3.22%0.2434+5.55%0.0266✓1.311,5612022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.8584-3.22%5.08+1.20%0.0123✓0.701.3M2022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0613.9265-3.31%4.15+2.19%0.0245✓1.745.1M2022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN3.14253.0368-3.36%3.2354+2.96%0.0076✓1.5513k2022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5737.317-3.38%7.035-7.10%0.1182✓1.7211.9M2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3415.1598-3.39%6.594+23.46%0.2211✗0.532.4M2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.5049-3.42%6.32+10.88%0.1109✗0.59878k2022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.44171.3922-3.43%1.4231-1.29%0.0469✓1.506.4M2022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23793.1251-3.48%3.3109+2.25%0.0229✓0.761.2M2022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.036280.035005-3.51%0.03262-10.09%0.1364✓1.4313.9M2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.695.483-3.64%5.53-2.81%0.0194✓0.611.5M2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.083360.080288-3.69%0.10047+20.53%0.1563✗1.481.0M2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.3314-3.72%3.4443-0.46%0.0070✓0.881.5M2022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43790.418409-4.45%0.4449+1.60%0.0069✓1.1979k2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2736.4524-4.75%43.41+13.43%0.1099✗1.4112.8M2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative2.7322.5997-4.84%2.945+7.80%0.0668✗1.26456k2022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.5931.011-4.85%39.38+20.83%0.1758✗1.381.1M2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.59660.566792-5.00%0.5574-6.57%0.0680✓1.1246k2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum47.6545.2047-5.13%49.07+2.98%0.0002✓1.79277k2022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,281.3011,556.34-5.90%11,508.57-6.29%0.0705✓1.454.7M2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.639.9286-6.60%10.7+0.66%0.0103✓1.41338k2022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism1.9461.8113-6.92%1.651-15.16%0.1821✓1.952.9M2022-08-12
ELAElastosEthereum3.0732.7904-9.20%2.075-32.48%0.3414✓0.99206k2022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.