HIVE

Hive · native · gru_s8

token id: #559
symbol: HIVE
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0477

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0158

actual -0.0148

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05055	0.049563	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.05045	0.049584	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04885	0.048156	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.04855	0.047926	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.04985	0.049161	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.05155	0.050735	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-15	oos	0.05165	0.050824	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.05155	0.050746	-1.56%	0.05055	-1.94%	0.0154	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.05265	0.051789	-1.64%	0.05045	-4.18%	0.0245	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05215	0.051337	-1.56%	0.04885	-6.33%	0.0506	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.05615	0.055008	-2.03%	0.04855	-13.54%	0.1090	✓	0.79
2026-10-10	oos	0.05585	0.054744	-1.98%	0.04985	-10.74%	0.0791	✓	0.78
2026-10-09	oos	0.05535	0.054282	-1.93%	0.05155	-6.87%	0.0417	✓	0.78
2026-10-08	oos	0.0534	0.05248	-1.72%	0.05165	-3.28%	0.0200	✓	0.78
2026-10-07	oos	0.05495	0.053879	-1.95%	0.05155	-6.19%	0.0283	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.05755	0.056291	-2.19%	0.05265	-8.51%	0.0453	✓	0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.05785	0.056509	-2.32%	0.05215	-9.85%	0.0450	✓	0.74
2026-10-04	oos	0.05795	0.056682	-2.19%	0.05615	-3.11%	0.0155	✓	0.75
2026-10-03	oos	0.05655	0.055227	-2.34%	0.05585	-1.24%	0.0275	✗	0.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0562	0.054894	-2.32%	0.05535	-1.51%	0.0256	✗	0.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.05675	0.055361	-2.45%	0.0534	-5.90%	0.0081	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.05675	0.055245	-2.65%	0.05495	-3.17%	0.0028	✓	0.75
2026-09-29	oos	0.05585	0.054399	-2.60%	0.05755	+3.04%	0.0397	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	0.05595	0.054579	-2.45%	0.05785	+3.40%	0.0377	✗	0.76
2026-09-27	oos	0.0596	0.057941	-2.78%	0.05795	-2.77%	0.0180	✓	0.76
2026-09-26	oos	0.05995	0.058221	-2.88%	0.05655	-5.67%	0.0320	✓	0.75
2026-09-25	oos	0.05785	0.05626	-2.75%	0.0562	-2.85%	0.0047	✓	0.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.0576	0.055788	-3.15%	0.05675	-1.48%	0.0130	✓	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	0.0541	0.052866	-2.28%	0.05675	+4.90%	0.0783	✗	0.75
2026-09-22	oos	0.05615	0.054786	-2.43%	0.05585	-0.53%	0.0406	✗	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.05555	0.054228	-2.38%	0.05595	+0.72%	0.0572	✗	0.70
2026-09-20	oos	0.05375	0.05225	-2.79%	0.0596	+10.88%	0.1025	✗	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.05505	0.053367	-3.06%	0.05995	+8.90%	0.0883	✗	0.73
2026-09-18	oos	0.05345	0.051923	-2.86%	0.05785	+8.23%	0.0797	✗	0.73
2026-09-17	oos	0.0513	0.049815	-2.90%	0.0576	+12.28%	0.0721	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.0523	0.050584	-3.28%	0.0541	+3.44%	0.0070	✓	0.72
2026-09-15	oos	0.0544	0.051913	-4.57%	0.05615	+3.22%	0.0188	✓	0.74
2026-09-14	oos	0.0524	0.050735	-3.18%	0.05555	+6.01%	0.0093	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.05105	0.049202	-3.62%	0.05375	+5.29%	0.0449	✗	0.79
2026-09-12	oos	0.04885	0.048048	-1.64%	0.05505	+12.69%	0.0959	✗	0.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04565	0.045316	-0.73%	0.05345	+17.09%	0.1280	✗	0.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.04375	0.043526	-0.51%	0.0513	+17.26%	0.1663	✗	0.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.0456	0.045406	-0.43%	0.0523	+14.69%	0.1627	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.04565	0.04546	-0.42%	0.0544	+19.17%	0.2100	✗	0.82
2026-09-07	oos	0.0456	0.0455	-0.22%	0.0524	+14.91%	0.1507	✗	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.04685	0.046752	-0.21%	0.05105	+8.96%	0.1253	✗	0.83
2026-09-05	oos	0.04675	0.046577	-0.37%	0.04885	+4.49%	0.0748	✗	0.83
2026-09-04	oos	0.04645	0.046226	-0.48%	0.04565	-1.72%	0.0122	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.04615	0.046039	-0.24%	0.04375	-5.20%	0.0028	✓	0.80
2026-09-02	oos	0.0442	0.044059	-0.32%	0.0456	+3.17%	0.0235	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	0.04375	0.043649	-0.23%	0.04565	+4.34%	0.0330	✗	0.88
2026-08-31	oos	0.04335	0.04333	-0.05%	0.0456	+5.19%	0.0452	✗	0.88
2026-08-30	oos	0.042	0.041879	-0.29%	0.04685	+11.55%	0.0863	✗	0.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.04285	0.042685	-0.39%	0.04675	+9.10%	0.0741	✗	0.84
2026-08-28	oos	0.04325	0.043044	-0.48%	0.04645	+7.40%	0.0570	✗	0.82
2026-08-27	oos	0.04395	0.043885	-0.15%	0.04615	+5.01%	0.0401	✗	0.83
2026-08-26	oos	0.0436	0.043459	-0.32%	0.0442	+1.38%	0.0353	✗	0.83
2026-08-25	oos	0.0419	0.041743	-0.37%	0.04375	+4.42%	0.0590	✗	0.83
2026-08-24	oos	0.04285	0.042649	-0.47%	0.04335	+1.17%	0.0207	✗	0.83
2026-08-23	oos	0.04395	0.043575	-0.85%	0.042	-4.44%	0.0361	✓	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.0438	0.043317	-1.10%	0.04285	-2.17%	0.0238	✓	0.85
2026-08-21	oos	0.04515	0.04478	-0.82%	0.04325	-4.21%	0.0295	✓	0.85
2026-08-20	oos	0.0421	0.04149	-1.45%	0.04395	+4.39%	0.0212	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.04015	0.0395	-1.62%	0.0436	+8.59%	0.0082	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	0.03805	0.037374	-1.78%	0.0419	+10.12%	0.0435	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.03865	0.037969	-1.76%	0.04285	+10.87%	0.0461	✓	0.82
2026-08-16	oos	0.03885	0.038153	-1.79%	0.04395	+13.13%	0.0387	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	0.03935	0.038633	-1.82%	0.0438	+11.31%	0.0440	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.0392	0.038497	-1.79%	0.04515	+15.18%	0.0257	✓	0.85
2026-08-13	oos	0.0396	0.038894	-1.78%	0.0421	+6.31%	0.0403	✓	0.85
2026-08-12	oos	0.03955	0.038838	-1.80%	0.04015	+1.52%	0.0438	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.04015	0.039444	-1.76%	0.03805	-5.23%	0.0518	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.04095	0.040209	-1.81%	0.03865	-5.62%	0.0475	✓	0.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.0416	0.040838	-1.83%	0.03885	-6.61%	0.0216	✓	0.90
2026-08-08	oos	0.04185	0.041072	-1.86%	0.03935	-5.97%	0.0163	✓	0.90
2026-08-07	oos	0.04145	0.040689	-1.84%	0.0392	-5.43%	0.0106	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.0414	0.040551	-2.05%	0.0396	-4.35%	0.0120	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.04165	0.040964	-1.65%	0.03955	-5.04%	0.0186	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.04135	0.040684	-1.61%	0.04015	-2.90%	0.0060	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.04185	0.041158	-1.65%	0.04095	-2.15%	0.0112	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.04245	0.041762	-1.62%	0.0416	-2.00%	0.0244	✓	0.98
2026-08-01	oos	0.04175	0.041114	-1.52%	0.04185	+0.24%	0.0147	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.04245	0.041782	-1.57%	0.04145	-2.36%	0.0392	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0425	0.041894	-1.43%	0.0414	-2.59%	0.0049	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.04215	0.041573	-1.37%	0.04165	-1.19%	0.0089	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	0.04395	0.043365	-1.33%	0.04135	-5.92%	0.0507	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	0.0439	0.043355	-1.24%	0.04185	-4.67%	0.0318	✓	0.98
2026-07-26	oos	0.0473	0.046693	-1.28%	0.04245	-10.25%	0.0684	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.04705	0.04644	-1.30%	0.04175	-11.26%	0.0835	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.04615	0.0456	-1.19%	0.04245	-8.02%	0.0530	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.0469	0.04634	-1.19%	0.0425	-9.38%	0.0817	✓	0.94
2026-07-22	oos	0.04805	0.047489	-1.17%	0.04215	-12.28%	0.0878	✓	0.93
2026-07-21	oos	0.04875	0.048178	-1.17%	0.04395	-9.85%	0.0536	✓	0.93
2026-07-20	oos	0.0482	0.047619	-1.21%	0.0439	-8.92%	0.0599	✓	0.91
2026-07-19	oos	0.04795	0.047385	-1.18%	0.0473	-1.36%	0.0110	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.04795	0.047422	-1.10%	0.04705	-1.88%	0.0008	✓	0.91
2026-07-17	oos	0.04845	0.047879	-1.18%	0.04615	-4.75%	0.0396	✓	0.96
2026-07-16	oos	0.0484	0.047841	-1.16%	0.0469	-3.10%	0.0386	✓	0.94
2026-07-15	oos	0.04945	0.048879	-1.15%	0.04805	-2.83%	0.0371	✓	0.95
2026-07-14	oos	0.0493	0.048757	-1.10%	0.04875	-1.12%	0.0225	✓	0.96
2026-07-13	oos	0.0482	0.047612	-1.22%	0.0482	+0.00%	0.0336	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.04885	0.048273	-1.18%	0.04795	-1.84%	0.0214	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.04945	0.048826	-1.26%	0.04795	-3.03%	0.0335	✓	0.97
2026-07-10	oos	0.0493	0.048678	-1.26%	0.04845	-1.72%	0.0012	✓	0.96
2026-07-09	oos	0.0488	0.048176	-1.28%	0.0484	-0.82%	0.0043	✓	0.96
2026-07-08	oos	0.0487	0.048061	-1.31%	0.04945	+1.54%	0.0089	✓	0.96
2026-07-07	oos	0.04885	0.04823	-1.27%	0.0493	+0.92%	0.0032	✓	0.97
2026-07-06	oos	0.0504	0.049723	-1.34%	0.0482	-4.37%	0.0046	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.0507	0.049991	-1.40%	0.04885	-3.65%	0.0254	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.05185	0.051063	-1.52%	0.04945	-4.63%	0.0425	✓	0.96
2026-07-03	oos	0.0516	0.050807	-1.54%	0.0493	-4.46%	0.0540	✓	0.94
2026-07-02	oos	0.0504	0.049661	-1.47%	0.0488	-3.17%	0.0428	✓	0.93
2026-07-01	oos	0.0504	0.049673	-1.44%	0.0487	-3.37%	0.0553	✓	0.95
2026-06-30	oos	0.0481	0.047544	-1.16%	0.04885	+1.56%	0.0464	✓	0.93
2026-06-29	oos	0.0506	0.049927	-1.33%	0.0504	-0.40%	0.0471	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.0514	0.050621	-1.51%	0.0507	-1.36%	0.0594	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.0501	0.04945	-1.30%	0.05185	+3.49%	0.0004	✓	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0503	0.049647	-1.30%	0.0516	+2.58%	0.0007	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.0491	0.048485	-1.25%	0.0504	+2.65%	0.0118	✓	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.0479	0.047323	-1.20%	0.0504	+5.22%	0.0791	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.04835	0.047686	-1.37%	0.0481	-0.52%	0.0740	✗	0.96
2026-06-22	oos	0.0496	0.04889	-1.43%	0.0506	+2.02%	0.0927	✗	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.049	0.048257	-1.52%	0.0514	+4.90%	0.1215	✗	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.04945	0.048681	-1.55%	0.0501	+1.31%	0.0939	✗	0.94
2026-06-19	oos	0.04845	0.047727	-1.49%	0.0503	+3.82%	0.1054	✗	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.05005	0.049268	-1.56%	0.0491	-1.90%	0.0469	✗	0.97
2026-06-17	oos	0.0517	0.050749	-1.84%	0.0479	-7.35%	0.0042	✓	0.97
2026-06-16	oos	0.05125	0.050173	-2.10%	0.04835	-5.66%	0.0086	✓	0.99
2026-06-15	oos	0.0514	0.050349	-2.05%	0.0496	-3.50%	0.0205	✓	0.99
2026-06-14	oos	0.05065	0.049587	-2.10%	0.049	-3.26%	0.0256	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0504	0.04935	-2.08%	0.04945	-1.88%	0.0052	✓	0.99
2026-06-12	oos	0.05075	0.049655	-2.16%	0.04845	-4.53%	0.0236	✓	0.99
2026-06-11	oos	0.0521	0.050679	-2.73%	0.05005	-3.93%	0.0017	✓	0.99
2026-06-10	oos	0.0484	0.04739	-2.09%	0.0517	+6.82%	0.0418	✗	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	0.04705	0.046532	-1.10%	0.05125	+8.93%	0.0378	✗	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.0492	0.048519	-1.38%	0.0514	+4.47%	0.0109	✓	0.94
2026-06-07	oos	0.0502	0.049457	-1.48%	0.05065	+0.90%	0.0107	✓	0.93
2026-06-06	oos	0.0508	0.050178	-1.22%	0.0504	-0.79%	0.0508	✓	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0511	0.050438	-1.30%	0.05075	-0.68%	0.0324	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.0561	0.054907	-2.13%	0.0521	-7.13%	0.0490	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.0585	0.057063	-2.46%	0.0484	-17.26%	0.1281	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0604	0.058321	-3.44%	0.04705	-22.10%	0.1463	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	0.0605	0.05848	-3.34%	0.0492	-18.68%	0.0595	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.0684	0.064498	-5.70%	0.0502	-26.61%	0.1245	✓	0.84
2026-05-30	oos	0.0583	0.056944	-2.33%	0.0508	-12.86%	0.0471	✗	0.84
2026-05-29	oos	0.05795	0.056605	-2.32%	0.0511	-11.82%	0.0526	✗	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.05815	0.056781	-2.35%	0.0561	-3.53%	0.1067	✗	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.06	0.0585	-2.50%	0.0585	-2.50%	0.1257	✗	0.84
2026-05-26	oos	0.061	0.059371	-2.67%	0.0604	-0.98%	0.1251	✗	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.0631	0.06089	-3.50%	0.0605	-4.12%	0.0592	✗	0.82
2026-05-24	oos	0.06005	0.058486	-2.61%	0.0684	+13.91%	0.1935	✗	0.82
2026-05-23	oos	0.0612	0.059013	-3.57%	0.0583	-4.74%	0.0191	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0591	0.057829	-2.15%	0.05795	-1.95%	0.0248	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.06035	0.05905	-2.15%	0.05815	-3.65%	0.0282	✗	0.81
2026-05-20	oos	0.05955	0.058289	-2.12%	0.06	+0.76%	0.0627	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.0582	0.057012	-2.04%	0.061	+4.81%	0.0776	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.0594	0.058143	-2.12%	0.0631	+6.23%	0.0786	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	0.0581	0.056955	-1.97%	0.06005	+3.36%	0.0575	✗	0.82
2026-05-16	oos	0.0603	0.059055	-2.06%	0.0612	+1.49%	0.0509	✗	0.81
2026-05-15	oos	0.0612	0.059993	-1.97%	0.0591	-3.43%	0.0237	✗	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.0642	0.062906	-2.02%	0.06035	-6.00%	0.0050	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.06215	0.060921	-1.98%	0.05955	-4.18%	0.0041	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.0669	0.065329	-2.35%	0.0582	-13.00%	0.0789	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.0672	0.065546	-2.46%	0.0594	-11.61%	0.0527	✓	0.76
2026-05-10	oos	0.0667	0.06535	-2.02%	0.0581	-12.89%	0.0713	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.0662	0.064713	-2.25%	0.0603	-8.91%	0.0459	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.0676	0.0657	-2.81%	0.0612	-9.47%	0.0603	✓	0.75
2026-05-07	oos	0.0663	0.064487	-2.73%	0.0642	-3.17%	0.0141	✓	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0677	0.065674	-2.99%	0.06215	-8.20%	0.0349	✓	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.0733	0.070022	-4.47%	0.0669	-8.73%	0.0411	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.0595	0.05895	-0.92%	0.0672	+12.94%	0.1117	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0596	0.058908	-1.16%	0.0667	+11.91%	0.0871	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0603	0.05956	-1.23%	0.0662	+9.78%	0.0854	✗	0.82
2026-05-01	oos	0.0595	0.058798	-1.18%	0.0676	+13.61%	0.1194	✗	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.05905	0.058216	-1.41%	0.0663	+12.28%	0.0907	✗	0.83
2026-04-29	oos	0.0595	0.058612	-1.49%	0.0677	+13.78%	0.0840	✗	0.83
2026-04-28	oos	0.0606	0.059696	-1.49%	0.0733	+20.96%	0.1560	✗	0.84
2026-04-27	oos	0.0605	0.059706	-1.31%	0.0595	-1.65%	0.0302	✓	0.85
2026-04-26	oos	0.0624	0.061618	-1.25%	0.0596	-4.49%	0.0321	✓	0.84
2026-04-25	oos	0.06275	0.061812	-1.49%	0.0603	-3.90%	0.0360	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.0615	0.060633	-1.41%	0.0595	-3.25%	0.0273	✓	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.06145	0.060673	-1.26%	0.05905	-3.91%	0.0053	✓	0.85
2026-04-22	oos	0.06095	0.060193	-1.24%	0.0595	-2.38%	0.0156	✗	0.85
2026-04-21	oos	0.0616	0.060638	-1.56%	0.0606	-1.62%	0.0003	✓	0.86
2026-04-20	oos	0.06175	0.060738	-1.64%	0.0605	-2.02%	0.0208	✓	0.86
2026-04-19	oos	0.0602	0.059084	-1.85%	0.0624	+3.65%	0.0008	✓	0.87
2026-04-18	oos	0.0646	0.063345	-1.94%	0.06275	-2.86%	0.0309	✓	0.86
2026-04-17	oos	0.0641	0.063234	-1.35%	0.0615	-4.06%	0.0319	✓	0.87
2026-04-16	oos	0.06175	0.060909	-1.36%	0.06145	-0.49%	0.0262	✓	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.0596	0.058886	-1.20%	0.06095	+2.27%	0.0034	✓	0.86
2026-04-14	oos	0.05845	0.05776	-1.18%	0.0616	+5.39%	0.0396	✗	0.86
2026-04-13	oos	0.0602	0.059427	-1.28%	0.06175	+2.57%	0.0222	✗	0.86
2026-04-12	oos	0.0585	0.057587	-1.56%	0.0602	+2.91%	0.0074	✓	0.87
2026-04-11	oos	0.0597	0.058856	-1.41%	0.0646	+8.21%	0.0620	✗	0.87
2026-04-10	oos	0.0603	0.059445	-1.42%	0.0641	+6.30%	0.0278	✗	0.87
2026-04-09	oos	0.0599	0.058999	-1.50%	0.06175	+3.09%	0.0056	✓	0.87
2026-04-08	oos	0.059	0.058114	-1.50%	0.0596	+1.02%	0.0195	✓	0.87
2026-04-07	oos	0.06045	0.05951	-1.55%	0.05845	-3.31%	0.0450	✓	0.87
2026-04-06	oos	0.0586	0.057576	-1.75%	0.0602	+2.73%	0.0217	✓	0.85
2026-04-05	oos	0.0586	0.057578	-1.74%	0.0585	-0.17%	0.0054	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.05905	0.057959	-1.85%	0.0597	+1.10%	0.0415	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0597	0.058463	-2.07%	0.0603	+1.01%	0.0434	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.056249	-1.66%	0.0599	+4.72%	0.0021	✓	0.86
2026-04-01	oos	0.058	0.057009	-1.71%	0.059	+1.72%	0.0025	✓	0.86
2026-03-31	oos	0.057	0.056081	-1.61%	0.06045	+6.05%	0.0297	✗	0.86
2026-03-30	oos	0.0568	0.05588	-1.62%	0.0586	+3.17%	0.0205	✗	0.87
2026-03-29	oos	0.05625	0.055374	-1.56%	0.0586	+4.18%	0.0179	✗	0.86
2026-03-28	oos	0.0578	0.056949	-1.47%	0.05905	+2.16%	0.0238	✗	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	0.0581	0.05723	-1.50%	0.0597	+2.75%	0.0345	✗	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	0.06065	0.059706	-1.56%	0.0572	-5.69%	0.0192	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.0626	0.062005	-0.95%	0.058	-7.35%	0.0276	✓	0.86
2026-03-24	oos	0.0627	0.06217	-0.85%	0.057	-9.09%	0.0582	✓	0.86
2026-03-23	oos	0.06175	0.061295	-0.74%	0.0568	-8.02%	0.0246	✓	0.86
2026-03-22	oos	0.05985	0.059387	-0.77%	0.05625	-6.02%	0.0300	✓	0.86
2026-03-21	oos	0.0609	0.06045	-0.74%	0.0578	-5.09%	0.0118	✓	0.86
2026-03-20	oos	0.0643	0.063773	-0.82%	0.0581	-9.64%	0.0416	✓	0.85
2026-03-19	oos	0.06275	0.062292	-0.73%	0.06065	-3.35%	0.0127	✓	0.85
2026-03-18	oos	0.06425	0.063782	-0.73%	0.0626	-2.57%	0.0194	✓	0.86
2026-03-17	oos	0.0671	0.066532	-0.85%	0.0627	-6.56%	0.0190	✓	0.86
2026-03-16	oos	0.0654	0.064964	-0.67%	0.06175	-5.58%	0.0029	✓	0.87
2026-03-15	oos	0.0635	0.063072	-0.67%	0.05985	-5.75%	0.0086	✗	0.86
2026-03-14	oos	0.06255	0.06211	-0.70%	0.0609	-2.64%	0.0090	✗	0.87
2026-03-13	oos	0.0627	0.062271	-0.68%	0.0643	+2.55%	0.0376	✗	0.87
2026-03-12	oos	0.0633	0.06283	-0.74%	0.06275	-0.87%	0.0063	✓	0.87
2026-03-11	oos	0.0636	0.063092	-0.80%	0.06425	+1.02%	0.0054	✓	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.0621	0.06163	-0.76%	0.0671	+8.05%	0.0371	✗	0.87
2026-03-09	oos	0.0622	0.061705	-0.80%	0.0654	+5.14%	0.0206	✓	0.87
2026-03-08	oos	0.061	0.06053	-0.77%	0.0635	+4.10%	0.0395	✓	0.88
2026-03-07	oos	0.0613	0.060834	-0.76%	0.06255	+2.04%	0.0231	✓	0.89
2026-03-06	oos	0.0623	0.061778	-0.84%	0.0627	+0.64%	0.0210	✓	0.88
2026-03-05	oos	0.0639	0.063269	-0.99%	0.0633	-0.94%	0.0049	✓	0.89
2026-03-04	oos	0.0649	0.064212	-1.06%	0.0636	-2.00%	0.0212	✗	0.89
2026-03-03	oos	0.0641	0.063536	-0.88%	0.0621	-3.12%	0.0445	✓	0.92
2026-03-02	oos	0.06555	0.064902	-0.99%	0.0622	-5.11%	0.0372	✓	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.0641	0.063598	-0.78%	0.061	-4.84%	0.0446	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0658	0.06525	-0.84%	0.0613	-6.84%	0.0665	✓	0.94
2026-02-27	oos	0.06555	0.065051	-0.76%	0.0623	-4.96%	0.0749	✓	0.94
2026-02-26	oos	0.0683	0.067638	-0.97%	0.0639	-6.44%	0.1030	✓	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.0663	0.065743	-0.84%	0.0649	-2.11%	0.0757	✓	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.06355	0.063146	-0.64%	0.0641	+0.87%	0.0466	✓	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.0636	0.063322	-0.44%	0.06555	+3.07%	0.0247	✓	0.94
2026-02-22	oos	0.066	0.065559	-0.67%	0.0641	-2.88%	0.0037	✓	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.06845	0.067921	-0.77%	0.0658	-3.87%	0.0178	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0684	0.067864	-0.78%	0.06555	-4.17%	0.0048	✓	0.94
2026-02-19	oos	0.0684	0.067895	-0.74%	0.0683	-0.15%	0.0013	✓	0.95
2026-02-18	oos	0.06855	0.067988	-0.82%	0.0663	-3.28%	0.0475	✓	0.95
2026-02-17	oos	0.072	0.071461	-0.75%	0.06355	-11.74%	0.0695	✓	0.93
2026-02-16	oos	0.0724	0.071801	-0.83%	0.0636	-12.15%	0.0625	✓	0.93
2026-02-15	oos	0.0719	0.071329	-0.79%	0.066	-8.21%	0.0616	✓	0.93
2026-02-14	oos	0.0763	0.075485	-1.07%	0.06845	-10.29%	0.0733	✓	0.92
2026-02-13	oos	0.0739	0.07322	-0.92%	0.0684	-7.44%	0.0569	✓	0.92
2026-02-12	oos	0.07205	0.071635	-0.58%	0.0684	-5.07%	0.0569	✓	0.93
2026-02-11	oos	0.0711	0.070697	-0.57%	0.06855	-3.59%	0.0226	✓	0.91
2026-02-10	oos	0.07045	0.070048	-0.57%	0.072	+2.20%	0.0455	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.073	0.072416	-0.80%	0.0724	-0.82%	0.0162	✗	0.92
2026-02-08	oos	0.0716	0.071121	-0.67%	0.0719	+0.42%	0.0306	✗	0.92
2026-02-07	oos	0.0768	0.075939	-1.12%	0.0763	-0.65%	0.0026	✓	0.94
2026-02-06	oos	0.0736	0.073373	-0.31%	0.0739	+0.41%	0.0306	✗	0.95
2026-02-05	oos	0.0666	0.06768	+1.62%	0.07205	+8.18%	0.0112	✓	0.97
2026-02-04	oos	0.0789	0.078427	-0.60%	0.0711	-9.89%	0.0180	✓	0.94
2026-02-03	oos	0.0809	0.08005	-1.05%	0.07045	-12.92%	0.0394	✓	0.93
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.080507	-1.34%	0.073	-10.54%	0.0134	✓	0.97
2026-02-01	oos	0.0801	0.079301	-1.00%	0.0716	-10.61%	0.0146	✓	0.97
2026-01-31	oos	0.0812	0.080465	-0.91%	0.0768	-5.42%	0.0865	✗	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.08735	0.086018	-1.52%	0.0736	-15.74%	0.0275	✗	1.04
2026-01-29	oos	0.0871	0.085774	-1.52%	0.0666	-23.54%	0.0582	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.09345	0.091864	-1.70%	0.0789	-15.57%	0.0536	✗	1.03
2026-01-27	oos	0.0946	0.092868	-1.83%	0.0809	-14.48%	0.0335	✗	1.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.0928	0.091296	-1.62%	0.0816	-12.07%	0.0065	✓	1.03
2026-01-25	oos	0.0914	0.089977	-1.56%	0.0801	-12.36%	0.0065	✓	1.04
2026-01-24	oos	0.0953	0.093689	-1.69%	0.0812	-14.80%	0.0147	✓	1.03
2026-01-23	oos	0.0947	0.093173	-1.61%	0.08735	-7.76%	0.0005	✓	1.04
2026-01-22	oos	0.09465	0.09312	-1.62%	0.0871	-7.98%	0.0081	✓	1.03
2026-01-21	oos	0.0968	0.095105	-1.75%	0.09345	-3.46%	0.0152	✓	1.03
2026-01-20	oos	0.094	0.092423	-1.68%	0.0946	+0.64%	0.0139	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.1001	0.098431	-1.67%	0.0928	-7.29%	0.0106	✓	1.01
2026-01-18	oos	0.1021	0.100364	-1.70%	0.0914	-10.48%	0.0136	✓	1.02
2026-01-17	oos	0.1067	0.104807	-1.77%	0.0953	-10.68%	0.0298	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.1066	0.104687	-1.79%	0.0947	-11.16%	0.0348	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.10445	0.102684	-1.69%	0.09465	-9.38%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.1084	0.106516	-1.74%	0.0968	-10.70%	0.0147	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.1093	0.107159	-1.96%	0.094	-14.00%	0.0529	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	0.1039	0.101769	-2.05%	0.1001	-3.66%	0.0317	✓	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.106	0.103748	-2.12%	0.1021	-3.68%	0.0467	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.1103	0.10774	-2.32%	0.1067	-3.26%	0.0629	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	0.1082	0.105758	-2.26%	0.1066	-1.48%	0.0501	✓	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.1098	0.107124	-2.44%	0.10445	-4.87%	0.0777	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1084	0.105587	-2.59%	0.1084	+0.00%	0.0583	✓	1.40
2026-01-06	oos	0.1026	0.100635	-1.92%	0.1093	+6.53%	0.0570	✗	1.46
2026-01-05	oos	0.102	0.099897	-2.06%	0.1039	+1.86%	0.0816	✗	1.46
2026-01-04	oos	0.0992	0.097141	-2.08%	0.106	+6.85%	0.0973	✗	1.46
2026-01-03	oos	0.0988	0.09676	-2.06%	0.1103	+11.64%	0.1346	✗	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.0985	0.096422	-2.11%	0.1082	+9.85%	0.1062	✗	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.0967	0.094651	-2.12%	0.1098	+13.55%	0.1112	✗	1.46
2025-12-31	oos	0.0965	0.094461	-2.11%	0.1084	+12.33%	0.0756	✗	1.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1011	0.098303	-2.77%	0.1026	+1.48%	0.0424	✓	1.46
2025-12-29	oos	0.1048	0.101297	-3.34%	0.102	-2.67%	0.1030	✓	1.47
2025-12-28	oos	0.0991	0.095916	-3.21%	0.0992	+0.10%	0.0260	✓	1.48
2025-12-27	oos	0.095	0.093431	-1.65%	0.0988	+4.00%	0.0102	✓	1.46
2025-12-26	oos	0.09	0.08875	-1.39%	0.0985	+9.44%	0.0609	✗	1.44
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.089573	-1.46%	0.0967	+6.38%	0.0509	✗	1.44
2025-12-24	oos	0.0922	0.090777	-1.54%	0.0965	+4.66%	0.0630	✗	1.45
2025-12-23	oos	0.09415	0.092407	-1.85%	0.1011	+7.38%	0.0740	✗	1.45
2025-12-22	oos	0.0955	0.09327	-2.34%	0.1048	+9.74%	0.1404	✗	1.45
2025-12-21	oos	0.0884	0.08742	-1.11%	0.0991	+12.10%	0.1379	✗	1.44
2025-12-20	oos	0.08965	0.088639	-1.13%	0.095	+5.97%	0.0778	✗	1.46
2025-12-19	oos	0.0899	0.088907	-1.10%	0.09	+0.11%	0.0255	✗	1.46
2025-12-18	oos	0.0854	0.084613	-0.92%	0.0909	+6.44%	0.0429	✗	1.45
2025-12-17	oos	0.08915	0.088191	-1.08%	0.0922	+3.42%	0.0211	✗	1.45
2025-12-16	oos	0.0938	0.092606	-1.27%	0.09415	+0.37%	0.0235	✗	1.44
2025-12-15	oos	0.0947	0.093473	-1.30%	0.0955	+0.84%	0.0142	✓	1.46
2025-12-14	oos	0.09845	0.097011	-1.46%	0.0884	-10.21%	0.1006	✓	1.45
2025-12-13	oos	0.1024	0.100743	-1.62%	0.08965	-12.45%	0.0854	✓	1.45
2025-12-12	oos	0.10175	0.100088	-1.63%	0.0899	-11.65%	0.0719	✓	1.45
2025-12-11	oos	0.1031	0.101214	-1.83%	0.0854	-17.17%	0.0535	✓	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.1031	0.101435	-1.61%	0.08915	-13.53%	0.0333	✓	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.1059	0.10407	-1.73%	0.0938	-11.43%	0.0258	✓	1.46
2025-12-08	oos	0.1024	0.100746	-1.62%	0.0947	-7.52%	0.0072	✓	1.44
2025-12-07	oos	0.1009	0.099354	-1.53%	0.09845	-2.43%	0.0269	✗	1.44
2025-12-06	oos	0.1047	0.102778	-1.84%	0.1024	-2.20%	0.0198	✓	1.46
2025-12-05	oos	0.1028	0.101339	-1.42%	0.10175	-1.02%	0.0111	✓	1.46
2025-12-04	oos	0.1056	0.104013	-1.50%	0.1031	-2.37%	0.0160	✓	1.47
2025-12-03	oos	0.1081	0.106482	-1.50%	0.1031	-4.63%	0.0097	✓	1.48
2025-12-02	oos	0.1063	0.104825	-1.39%	0.1059	-0.38%	0.0121	✓	1.48
2025-12-01	oos	0.1008	0.099651	-1.14%	0.1024	+1.59%	0.0482	✓	1.53
2025-11-30	oos	0.1069	0.105508	-1.30%	0.1009	-5.61%	0.0452	✓	1.54
2025-11-29	oos	0.1088	0.107363	-1.32%	0.1047	-3.77%	0.0015	✓	1.54
2025-11-28	oos	0.1091	0.107649	-1.33%	0.1028	-5.77%	0.0195	✓	1.54
2025-11-27	oos	0.1102	0.108718	-1.34%	0.1056	-4.17%	0.0421	✓	1.54
2025-11-26	oos	0.107	0.105694	-1.22%	0.1081	+1.03%	0.0266	✓	1.51
2025-11-25	oos	0.10675	0.105557	-1.12%	0.1063	-0.42%	0.0626	✓	1.56
2025-11-24	oos	0.1064	0.105192	-1.14%	0.1008	-5.26%	0.0071	✓	1.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.1023	0.101335	-0.94%	0.1069	+4.50%	0.0095	✓	1.57
2025-11-22	oos	0.102	0.101221	-0.76%	0.1088	+6.67%	0.0396	✓	1.60
2025-11-21	oos	0.1023	0.101451	-0.83%	0.1091	+6.65%	0.0330	✓	1.59
2025-11-20	oos	0.1078	0.106744	-0.98%	0.1102	+2.23%	0.0532	✓	1.58
2025-11-19	oos	0.1102	0.108811	-1.26%	0.107	-2.90%	0.0017	✓	1.69
2025-11-18	oos	0.111	0.109518	-1.34%	0.10675	-3.83%	0.0797	✗	1.70
2025-11-17	oos	0.1078	0.106533	-1.17%	0.1064	-1.30%	0.0710	✗	1.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.1099	0.10845	-1.32%	0.1023	-6.92%	0.0804	✗	1.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.1138	0.112088	-1.50%	0.102	-10.37%	0.1107	✗	1.70
2025-11-14	oos	0.1124	0.110741	-1.48%	0.1023	-8.99%	0.0995	✗	1.70
2025-11-13	oos	0.1136	0.111732	-1.64%	0.1078	-5.11%	0.2208	✗	1.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1187	0.116127	-2.17%	0.1102	-7.16%	0.1395	✗	1.82
2025-11-11	oos	0.1196	0.116968	-2.20%	0.111	-7.19%	0.1347	✗	1.81
2025-11-10	oos	0.1261	0.123888	-1.75%	0.1078	-14.51%	0.1123	✗	1.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.1244	0.122295	-1.69%	0.1099	-11.66%	0.0838	✗	1.80
2025-11-08	oos	0.1233	0.12117	-1.73%	0.1138	-7.70%	0.0617	✗	1.83
2025-11-07	oos	0.124	0.121629	-1.91%	0.1124	-9.35%	0.0802	✗	1.79
2025-11-06	oos	0.1119	0.110499	-1.25%	0.1136	+1.52%	0.0568	✗	1.75
2025-11-05	oos	0.1111	0.109819	-1.15%	0.1187	+6.84%	0.1164	✗	1.78
2025-11-04	oos	0.1068	0.105837	-0.90%	0.1196	+11.99%	0.0954	✗	1.78
2025-11-03	oos	0.1126	0.111422	-1.05%	0.1261	+11.99%	0.1338	✗	1.84
2025-11-02	oos	0.1278	0.126125	-1.31%	0.1244	-2.66%	0.0830	✗	1.78
2025-11-01	oos	0.1281	0.126449	-1.29%	0.1233	-3.75%	0.1056	✗	1.79
2025-10-31	oos	0.1237	0.122197	-1.21%	0.124	+0.24%	0.1197	✗	1.78
2025-10-30	oos	0.1225	0.121015	-1.21%	0.1119	-8.65%	0.0414	✗	1.79
2025-10-29	oos	0.1309	0.129087	-1.39%	0.1111	-15.13%	0.0488	✓	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.1323	0.13044	-1.41%	0.1068	-19.27%	0.0077	✓	1.80
2025-10-27	oos	0.1349	0.132795	-1.56%	0.1126	-16.53%	0.0420	✓	1.80
2025-10-26	oos	0.1407	0.138224	-1.76%	0.1278	-9.17%	0.0143	✓	1.80
2025-10-25	oos	0.1365	0.133975	-1.85%	0.1281	-6.15%	0.0184	✓	1.82
2025-10-24	oos	0.1379	0.135311	-1.88%	0.1237	-10.30%	0.0651	✓	1.82
2025-10-23	oos	0.1371	0.134445	-1.94%	0.1225	-10.65%	0.0628	✓	1.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.1338	0.131224	-1.93%	0.1309	-2.17%	0.0437	✓	1.84
2025-10-21	oos	0.1366	0.133876	-1.99%	0.1323	-3.15%	0.0873	✓	1.84
2025-10-20	oos	0.1413	0.138207	-2.19%	0.1349	-4.53%	0.0822	✓	1.85
2025-10-19	oos	0.1419	0.1388	-2.18%	0.1407	-0.85%	0.0842	✓	1.86
2025-10-18	oos	0.1382	0.135372	-2.05%	0.1365	-1.23%	0.0673	✓	1.86
2025-10-17	oos	0.1367	0.133841	-2.09%	0.1379	+0.88%	0.0479	✓	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.1379	0.135351	-1.85%	0.1371	-0.58%	0.0199	✓	1.86
2025-10-15	oos	0.1435	0.141001	-1.74%	0.1338	-6.76%	0.0023	✓	1.86
2025-10-14	oos	0.1494	0.146817	-1.73%	0.1366	-8.57%	0.0069	✓	1.86
2025-10-13	oos	0.1552	0.152576	-1.69%	0.1413	-8.96%	0.0008	✓	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.1486	0.146371	-1.50%	0.1419	-4.51%	0.0737	✗	1.83
2025-10-11	oos	0.1377	0.135985	-1.25%	0.1382	+0.36%	0.0755	✗	1.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.1381	0.136358	-1.26%	0.1367	-1.01%	0.1112	✗	1.83
2025-10-09	oos	0.182	0.179487	-1.38%	0.1379	-24.23%	0.1053	✓	1.34
2025-10-08	oos	0.1872	0.184654	-1.36%	0.1435	-23.34%	0.1086	✓	1.34
2025-10-07	oos	0.18265	0.180077	-1.41%	0.1494	-18.20%	0.0948	✓	1.29
2025-10-06	oos	0.1907	0.188192	-1.32%	0.1552	-18.62%	0.0925	✓	1.27
2025-10-05	oos	0.1849	0.182494	-1.30%	0.1486	-19.63%	0.1154	✓	1.27
2025-10-04	oos	0.1866	0.184044	-1.37%	0.1377	-26.21%	0.1629	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.1926	0.189727	-1.49%	0.1381	-28.30%	0.2168	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1918	0.188735	-1.60%	0.182	-5.11%	0.0479	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.1894	0.186192	-1.69%	0.1872	-1.16%	0.0444	✓	1.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.1807	0.177742	-1.64%	0.18265	+1.08%	0.0533	✓	1.29
2025-09-29	oos	0.1803	0.177289	-1.67%	0.1907	+5.77%	0.0457	✓	1.37
2025-09-28	oos	0.182	0.178813	-1.75%	0.1849	+1.59%	0.1026	✓	1.42
2025-09-27	oos	0.1793	0.1762	-1.73%	0.1866	+4.07%	0.0999	✓	1.43
2025-09-26	oos	0.1806	0.177358	-1.80%	0.1926	+6.64%	0.0734	✓	1.43
2025-09-25	oos	0.1762	0.173167	-1.72%	0.1918	+8.85%	0.0419	✓	1.43
2025-09-24	oos	0.1869	0.1833	-1.93%	0.1894	+1.34%	0.0324	✓	1.42
2025-09-23	oos	0.1858	0.182134	-1.97%	0.1807	-2.74%	0.0339	✓	1.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.1843	0.180465	-2.08%	0.1803	-2.17%	0.0213	✓	1.42
2025-09-21	oos	0.1974	0.193184	-2.14%	0.182	-7.80%	0.0221	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.1992	0.19496	-2.13%	0.1793	-9.99%	0.0071	✓	1.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.19885	0.194641	-2.12%	0.1806	-9.18%	0.0011	✓	1.43
2025-09-18	oos	0.206	0.201444	-2.21%	0.1762	-14.47%	0.0316	✓	1.43
2025-09-17	oos	0.204	0.199575	-2.17%	0.1869	-8.38%	0.0267	✓	1.43

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.