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2022-07-28 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0103
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.5%
in alpha space · 52.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.387-4.21%1.918+32.46%0.4282✗1.971.1M2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.817935-3.20%0.846+0.12%0.1255✗1.745.2M2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8339.7347-2.68%34.8-14.77%0.0574✓1.421.3M2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.950934-2.61%1.0192+4.38%0.1558✗1.64209k2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.011168-2.54%0.009-21.47%0.1488✓1.27352k2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.228.0221-2.41%9.2+11.92%0.2090✗1.36256k2022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.828041-2.12%0.786-7.09%0.0272✗1.503,1392022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000098421-1.83%0.00009925-1.01%0.1114✗1.95662k2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.082908-1.37%0.08615+2.49%0.1090✗1.3428k2022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.046791-1.37%0.0491+3.50%0.0961✗0.9115k2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2759.1481-1.37%8.819-4.92%0.0379✗1.416.7M2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4317.1957-1.34%21.62+24.04%0.2752✗0.882.4M2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1354.0823-1.27%3.777-8.66%0.0146✗1.753.8M2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.999596-1.23%0.909-10.18%0.0015✓1.77551k2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.5261-1.21%1.3286-14.00%0.0588✓1.515.6M2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.291561-1.20%0.302+2.34%0.0952✗1.13323k2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0318-1.17%1.1129+6.60%0.1343✗1.119,1202022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.216772-1.11%0.1995-8.99%0.0095✓1.391,1792022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.2135-1.07%5.59+6.07%0.1027✗0.62786k2022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.4778-1.06%0.5776+19.61%0.2425✗1.00224k2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.181767-0.98%0.18887+2.89%0.1609✗2.321,1272022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum36.336.0018-0.82%46.01+26.75%0.3476✗1.94181k2022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum103.78102.93-0.82%103.74-0.04%0.0615✗1.014.1M2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020767-0.82%0.020525-1.97%0.0151✗0.51165k2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.071531-0.80%0.0809+12.19%0.2033✗1.52768k2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.609,072.36-0.75%10,646.82+16.48%0.2330✗1.384.0M2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.9242-0.71%11.07-7.83%0.0099✓1.22241k2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.0867-0.71%5.156+25.27%0.2616✗0.552.0M2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.422483-0.70%0.41954-1.39%0.0676✗1.41592k2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8511-0.66%3.12+8.71%0.1714✗1.54192k2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5697-0.65%1.58+0.00%0.0204✗0.26283k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.8168-0.61%2.223+21.61%0.2698✗1.29626k2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.667317-0.61%0.66591-0.81%0.0786✗1.5379k2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1817.0861-0.55%17.75+3.32%0.1105✗1.371.3M2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.8876-0.53%7.437+7.41%0.1654✗1.6811.5M2022-08-04
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.432996-0.51%–pending––0.912142022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.7771-0.46%2.48-11.11%0.0561✓1.08175k2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5633-0.43%1.47-6.37%0.0153✗1.451.0M2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.027191-0.40%0.03497+28.10%0.3332✗1.5411.5M2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.075073-0.35%0.07693+2.11%0.0633✗0.741,3772022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration65.4465.2204-0.34%61.12-6.60%0.0019✓1.19244k2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3461-0.33%3.844+14.51%0.1705✗0.601.5M2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021806-0.32%0.022448+2.61%0.0810✗0.988,3682022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.115.054-0.30%15.86+5.03%0.1270✗1.421.5M2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.445292-0.25%0.45707+2.39%0.0671✗0.7853k2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2897-0.24%4.83+12.33%0.1566✗0.72685k2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.19818-0.21%0.2175+9.52%0.1655✗1.371,5612022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8491-0.21%1.967+6.15%0.1379✗1.44217k2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.3154-0.21%3.3721+45.34%0.4236✗0.90979k2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.4753-0.20%3.9592-11.71%0.0643✓1.1028k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.408112-0.18%0.40433-1.11%0.0553✗1.22118k2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.4985-0.18%0.5677+13.68%0.1893✗1.1242k2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.038631-0.18%0.0421+8.79%0.1510✗1.2368k2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7784-0.17%2.728-1.98%0.0578✗1.4443k2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.5327-0.15%27.99+50.81%0.4858✗1.39534k2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008939-0.13%0.00822-8.16%0.0353✓0.921.6M2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.8409-0.09%3.1854+12.02%0.1982✗1.5810k2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.163664-0.08%0.1729+5.56%0.1226✗1.282.8M2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.1164-0.08%1.0505-5.98%0.0062✓1.0312k2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9757.9271-0.07%56-3.40%0.0397✗1.3932k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8564-0.06%2.596-9.17%0.0028✓1.7692k2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.164412-0.05%0.1642-0.18%0.0653✗1.26411k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.4058-0.05%2.252-6.44%0.0096✗1.43160k2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.261907-0.04%0.2611-0.34%0.0025✓0.0131k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.084585-0.02%0.0854+0.95%0.0729✗1.20155k2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.97787-0.01%1.1853+21.20%0.2406✗0.913.9M2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.465484+0.02%0.4388-5.72%0.0190✓1.48220k2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.121623+0.02%0.1269+4.36%0.0951✓1.005,8712022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6346+0.02%2.415-8.31%0.0381✗0.93105k2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.8606+0.02%10.359-4.60%0.0253✓1.3714.4M2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7565+0.03%1.755-0.06%0.0761✓1.46316k2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.773393+0.05%0.799+3.36%0.0854✓1.00360k2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.3113+0.06%2.1899-5.20%0.0119✓1.2524k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.055084+0.08%0.054264-1.41%0.0174✓0.6120k2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,726.77+0.09%1,608.16-6.78%0.0046✗1.26383.0M2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.981381+0.10%0.99245+1.23%0.0821✓1.34399k2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.94257+0.10%1.0339+9.80%0.1549✓1.181.2M2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum30.2430.2725+0.11%29.14-3.64%0.0123✓0.9510.8M2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9958+0.12%4.616+15.66%0.1759✓0.601.1M2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1363.2165+0.14%60.269-4.53%0.0027✗0.85386k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2746+0.14%3.09-5.50%0.0316✗0.5082k2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum100.41100.5523+0.14%96.34-4.05%0.0454✓1.679.0M2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.55270.553508+0.15%0.5813+5.17%0.1105✓1.161.5M2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.049362+0.15%0.05021+1.87%0.0796✓1.1832k2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.216398+0.18%0.218+0.93%0.0872✓1.51786k2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.3329+0.19%5-6.07%0.0535✗0.21214k2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3597+0.20%1.297-4.42%0.0183✓1.241.2M2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.61325+0.20%0.686+12.09%0.1867✓1.4184k2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030635+0.21%0.03038-0.62%0.0607✓1.311,3002022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.501149+0.23%0.558+11.60%0.1680✓1.1413k2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,930.39+0.23%22,495.20-5.78%0.0101✗0.9819k2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8707+0.24%2.982+4.12%0.0964✓1.10597k2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.6139+0.25%6.43+14.82%0.2103✓1.41959k2022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.2843+0.27%7.98+9.84%0.1581✓1.265.5M2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.117006+0.27%0.113921-2.37%0.0261✓1.006.8M2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000044407+0.29%0.00004294-3.03%0.0285✓1.181.7M2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.955591+0.29%1.1273+18.31%0.2407✓1.431.4M2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2324.3018+0.30%23.37-3.55%0.0456✓1.6027.5M2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.51+0.32%2.9175+16.60%0.2025✓0.98863k2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.5048+0.32%1.502+0.13%0.0738✓1.43561k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.065726+0.35%0.0667+1.83%0.0654✓0.96183k2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.052583+0.35%0.0537+2.48%0.0845✓1.20263k2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.043343+0.35%0.04386+1.55%0.0630✓0.971,9372022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.030036+0.36%0.03231+7.95%0.1392✓1.2514k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.57848+0.36%0.5965+3.49%0.0925✓1.17624k2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.2472+0.38%7.364+1.99%0.0830✓1.2716.2M2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.318867+0.43%0.36281+14.27%0.1986✓1.3111k2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.597+0.44%1.7+6.92%0.1357✓1.38114k2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.4407+0.46%3.1416+29.31%0.2938✓0.78884k2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.3538+0.47%14.6359+2.45%0.0825✓1.1970k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.255965+0.50%0.2606+2.32%0.0753✓1.0963k2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.251766+0.51%0.2522+0.68%0.0630✓1.16643k2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.063237+0.54%0.0616-2.07%0.0480✓1.41337k2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.889027+0.57%1.214+37.33%0.3493✓0.711.2M2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero162.51163.4369+0.57%159.25-2.01%0.0320✓1.101.3M2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69156.5886+0.58%134.34-13.71%0.0902✗1.193.9M2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.094895+0.59%0.08541-9.47%0.0915✗0.26859k2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.029.0736+0.59%8.75-2.99%0.0081✗0.53918k2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.66e-7+0.60%3.56e-7-2.07%0.0237✓0.96195k2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4363.8091+0.60%59.65-5.96%0.0061✗1.1613.5M2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.43440.437108+0.62%0.4737+9.05%0.1469✓1.26606k2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.117734+0.63%0.1168-0.17%0.0487✓1.07357k2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.303312+0.63%0.329+9.16%0.1418✓1.1575k2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.338471+0.65%0.3361-0.06%0.0536✓1.157.7M2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.084142+0.65%0.0731-12.56%0.0971✗0.83155k2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3831+0.66%1.399+1.82%0.0795✓1.292.4M2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.8018+0.67%5.54+16.14%0.1758✓0.62587k2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.5214+0.67%3.83+9.49%0.1213✓0.71497k2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.7504+0.71%3.982+6.93%0.1064✓0.88754k2022-08-04
DASHDashDash52.4852.8527+0.71%49.4-5.87%0.0083✗1.12594k2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.161162+0.72%0.16-0.01%0.0745✓1.55205k2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009298+0.74%0.00979+6.07%0.1027✓0.974.7M2022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.7217+0.74%1.814+6.14%0.0865✓0.65223k2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.069618+0.74%0.067353-2.53%0.0278✓1.151.7M2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001106+0.77%0.001089-0.82%0.0527✓1.301.6M2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9965431.0042+0.77%1.0151+1.87%0.0625✓0.9857k2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.6027+0.77%17.32-6.18%0.0016✓1.38100k2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.246094+0.78%0.2485+1.76%0.0751✓1.24110k2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.242488+0.78%0.2263-5.94%0.0097✓1.4999k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7024,046.94+0.82%22,623.94-5.15%0.0082✗1.00429.5M2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.333857+0.87%0.340211+2.79%0.0870✓1.291.0M2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.517464+0.89%0.4997-2.57%0.0314✓1.2543.2M2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.13711+0.89%0.1392+2.43%0.0684✓1.013.2M2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.316417+0.90%0.3306+5.42%0.1069✓1.192.7M2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.434929+0.91%0.4162-3.43%0.0275✓1.35104k2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.006964+0.92%0.0067-2.91%0.0103✗0.5440k2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.019005+0.93%0.01758-6.64%0.0377✗0.76263k2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1462+0.93%1.1502+1.28%0.0602✓1.0743k2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.121831+0.94%0.1447+19.88%0.2308✓1.11617k2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.59e-7+0.94%9.60e-7+1.05%0.0453✓0.845.9M2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.115892+0.95%0.1202+4.70%0.1096✓1.382.5M2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7329+0.95%1.8249+6.31%0.1182✓1.26492k2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011965+0.97%0.00001185+0.00%0.0561✓1.25986k2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.4121+0.97%5.82+8.58%0.1079✓0.67514k2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.9895+1.00%8.092+36.46%0.3591✓1.102.0M2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.070466+1.01%0.068981-1.12%0.0203✓0.79376k2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.107097+1.03%0.1096+3.40%0.0926✓1.32491k2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003690.003728+1.04%0.00377+2.17%0.0804✓1.31505k2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.80.808357+1.04%0.74-7.50%0.0559✗0.6179k2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.131977+1.05%0.1347+3.14%0.0889✓1.3049k2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana42.9343.3852+1.06%38.82-9.57%0.0388✗1.3781.8M2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.9415+1.09%8.092+3.00%0.0852✓1.269.4M2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004469+1.11%0.00454+2.71%0.0857✓1.32106k2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.329303+1.11%0.31338-3.78%0.0125✓1.18407k2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003141+1.11%0.003069-1.22%0.0295✓1.001.0M2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.552699+1.12%0.5454-0.22%0.0468✓1.14350k2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.055321+1.14%0.063+15.17%0.1992✓1.31765k2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.757588+1.15%0.727-2.94%0.0383✓1.5180k2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015608+1.16%0.015595+1.08%0.0464✓0.891.2M2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.044852+1.25%0.0482+8.80%0.1428✓1.347,1312022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.762429+1.25%0.782+3.85%0.0912✓1.25178k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.73e-7+1.32%9.50e-7-1.04%0.0293✓1.0024k2022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.29644.3537+1.33%4.55+5.90%0.0823✓0.72968k2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.4825+1.35%10.035-2.98%0.0141✓1.092.4M2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.151832+1.36%0.1561+4.21%0.0936✓1.2587k2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.8761.9022+1.39%2.6+38.59%0.3798✓1.27413k2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001546+1.43%0.001657+8.73%0.1231✓1.0120k2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.308359+1.43%0.333+9.54%0.1319✓1.04681k2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.021299+1.47%0.02113+0.67%0.0465✓1.03136k2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash63.6464.5761+1.47%64.38+1.16%0.0643✓1.271.5M2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.086199+1.53%0.0975+14.84%0.1873✓1.216,3652022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.054062+1.62%0.0593+11.47%0.1695✓1.46109k2022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006294+1.85%0.006146-0.54%0.0231✓0.894,8812022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.736449+1.86%0.738+2.07%0.0658✓1.21806k2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.071415+1.88%0.0733+4.56%0.0824✓1.07299k2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.