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2022-07-26 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1345
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.7%
in alpha space · 16.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.4805-6.40%2.46-7.17%0.0939✓1.10157k2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.785572-4.89%1.635+97.94%0.5936✗1.781.1M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.4152-4.23%6.51+41.21%0.3420✗0.59713k2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7820.9041-4.02%27.79+27.59%0.1649✗1.53454k2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.870054-3.80%1.0569+16.86%0.1168✗0.9910k2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.725074-3.58%0.816+8.51%0.0024✓1.543,6872022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.019445-3.51%0.024372+20.94%0.1478✗1.006,9032022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1624.3003-3.42%36.59+45.43%0.3079✗1.301.3M2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.087313-3.42%0.08996-0.49%0.0483✓1.00722k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.7853-3.22%3.951+1.02%0.0316✓0.95638k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.033.9034-3.14%5.05+25.31%0.2009✗0.73612k2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum92.9690.0745-3.10%103.43+11.26%0.0576✗1.033.7M2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.50060.485445-3.03%0.5942+18.70%0.1091✗1.191.5M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.787754-3.01%1.0822+33.24%0.1911✗1.62209k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.281758-2.88%0.3039+4.76%0.0188✓1.21337k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.875598-2.82%0.908+0.78%0.1033✓1.79551k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.458755-2.81%0.519+9.96%0.0310✗1.1811k2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.043114-2.70%0.04946+11.62%0.0647✗0.9315k2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum27.7627.0142-2.69%33.21+19.63%0.1284✗1.00164k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.115.6794-2.61%21.17+31.49%0.2306✗0.892.2M2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.2115-2.55%2.7482+21.10%0.0944✗1.579,1162022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.00008972-2.54%0.00010013+8.77%0.0373✓1.88715k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.064165-2.48%0.08676+31.85%0.2008✗1.2927k2022-08-02
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.446677-2.43%0.381-16.78%0.2572✓1.263902022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.285772-2.42%0.34832+18.94%0.0926✗1.359,6072022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.043433-2.40%0.048695+9.42%0.0204✓1.2022k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.176.9991-2.38%9.54+33.05%0.2731✗0.47704k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.927852-2.28%0.9732+2.50%0.0265✓0.953.5M2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1783.1066-2.25%3.883+22.18%0.1755✗0.611.5M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1002-2.20%3.18+0.32%0.0159✓0.5377k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.1894-2.20%3.985+22.20%0.1686✗0.69488k2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration58.1356.8908-2.13%60.95+4.85%0.0254✓1.21231k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.018222-2.06%0.021484+15.47%0.1269✗0.48163k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1534-2.06%3.0467+38.57%0.2863✗0.78884k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.6153-2.05%5.16+39.80%0.3141✗0.531.9M2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.1449-2.03%1.3359+14.32%0.0389✗1.485.1M2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.833922-2.01%1.218+43.13%0.3203✗0.751.1M2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.9106-2.00%3.801+27.98%0.1351✗1.693.7M2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.407178-1.98%0.4462+7.41%0.0259✓1.50220k2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.5499-1.95%14.94+16.72%0.0639✗1.411.3M2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.41433-1.93%0.5474+29.56%0.2004✗1.00224k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.390524-1.93%0.45527+14.33%0.0941✗0.7651k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.2758-1.93%5.73+31.42%0.2452✗0.61555k2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.0727-1.90%3.3336+57.78%0.4055✗0.89971k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.463-1.88%8+21.45%0.1131✗1.285.3M2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.256916-1.87%0.2618+0.00%0.0178✓0.0131k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.396604-1.83%0.3926-2.82%0.1260✓1.48592k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.18163-1.82%0.225+21.62%0.1020✗1.431,6202022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.060979-1.80%0.068+9.50%0.0315✗0.99156k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.019534-1.79%0.02154+8.30%0.0152✓1.06136k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.013937-1.77%0.015628+10.14%0.0439✗0.901.2M2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.596631-1.76%0.65971+8.63%0.0220✓1.5780k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.024634-1.74%0.03854+53.73%0.3232✗1.5912.6M2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.146146-1.72%0.1596+7.33%0.0125✓1.29379k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.948374-1.69%1.126+16.73%0.0831✗1.139,1202022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.051563-1.68%0.05605+6.88%0.0349✗0.6218k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7120.3631-1.67%22.85+10.33%0.0101✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.159741-1.66%0.18917+16.46%0.0225✓2.451,1272022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.5201-1.61%1.796+16.25%0.1167✗0.64223k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.8233-1.57%6.03+23.06%0.1724✗0.65514k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.4976-1.54%2.017+32.61%0.1844✗1.45212k2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.02759-1.53%0.0314+12.06%0.0232✗1.361,2882022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.064301-1.53%0.0745+14.09%0.0627✗1.08264k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.6941-1.52%4.526+20.66%0.1559✗0.601.1M2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.57e-7-1.51%0.00000101+16.09%0.0863✗1.0025k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.077618-1.50%0.0857+8.76%0.0024✓1.24162k2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.5585-1.45%8.248+23.94%0.1238✗1.355.7M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58553.8346-1.37%60.953+11.67%0.0585✗0.84369k2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.6808-1.34%6.638+15.28%0.0217✗1.7111.5M2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1514.9487-1.33%17.22+13.66%0.0333✗1.381.3M2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.01718-1.32%0.01794+3.04%0.0165✓0.77324k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.64-1.31%3.9681+7.59%0.0023✓1.0826k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.14094-1.30%0.1716+20.17%0.0957✗1.292.8M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.530266-1.29%0.6132+14.15%0.0520✗1.19642k2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.276224-1.28%0.318+13.65%0.0507✗1.1570k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2279.1145-1.22%9.92+7.51%0.0222✓1.3713.2M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.178027-1.21%0.202+12.10%0.0165✗1.411,0652022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3835-1.18%1.55+10.71%0.0951✗0.24319k2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.654235-1.17%0.774+16.92%0.0702✗1.25149k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.868535-1.16%0.95943+9.18%0.0068✓1.36392k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0772.0532-1.15%2.285+10.01%0.0066✓1.45132k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5778-1.14%1.874+17.42%0.0734✗1.26379k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero151.3149.5871-1.13%156.99+3.76%0.0390✓1.121.2M2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.430176-1.13%0.4841+11.26%0.0306✗1.1242k2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.2556-1.13%1.36+7.09%0.0339✓1.46912k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.046771-1.12%0.0531+12.26%0.0310✗1.23256k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2578-1.12%1.364+7.23%0.0221✓1.322.4M2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2355-1.09%2.72+20.35%0.0776✗1.52184k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.670679-1.08%0.823+21.39%0.0670✗1.765.2M2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum27.0726.7802-1.07%29.4+8.61%0.0190✗0.9510.5M2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.39e-7-1.06%3.39e-7-1.10%0.0774✓0.99229k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.002972-1.05%0.003157+5.09%0.0191✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.1939-1.04%11.02+33.09%0.2061✗1.15241k2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.463532-1.02%0.4966+6.04%0.0306✓1.2741.4M2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.362534-0.99%0.39795+8.68%0.0033✓1.24113k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006831-0.92%0.006716-2.58%0.0608✓0.5642k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.096315-0.91%0.1168+20.16%0.0864✗1.362.4M2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.3083-0.89%2.6+11.64%0.0176✓1.7592k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.295-0.86%2.8083+21.31%0.1242✗0.99806k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,805.22-0.83%10,752.27+56.70%0.3511✗1.364.0M2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.5682-0.81%1.966+24.35%0.1256✗1.29619k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.842046-0.81%0.9992+17.71%0.0767✗1.211.2M2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2680.6238-0.78%93.42+14.96%0.0178✗1.668.1M2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.1871-0.77%2.716+23.23%0.1058✗1.4237k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.8546-0.77%8.1+37.29%0.2216✗1.32248k2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.032849-0.76%0.0396+19.64%0.0905✗1.2368k2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.364026-0.76%0.4029+9.84%0.0046✓1.3673k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.143325-0.74%0.1626+12.60%0.0024✓1.58176k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.2972-0.74%7.179+13.16%0.0312✗1.2816.2M2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.118623-0.73%0.1378+15.31%0.0460✗1.3354k2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1447.7874-0.73%56.33+17.01%0.0563✗1.3932k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.04626-0.73%0.0581+24.68%0.1233✗1.34765k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.082505-0.72%0.073-12.15%0.1892✓0.85148k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.3417-0.70%1.4894+10.23%0.0089✓1.45540k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.111825-0.69%0.1238+9.95%0.0228✗1.015,4502022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.102808-0.67%0.1359+31.30%0.1931✗1.10617k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.760.754953-0.66%0.76+0.00%0.0404✓0.6083k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8511-0.62%2.1689+16.44%0.0624✗1.2324k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.1756-0.62%1.27+7.35%0.0199✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.048747-0.62%0.08648+76.31%0.4589✗1.46747k2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.31544-0.61%0.30205-4.83%0.1381✓1.21400k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.026665-0.61%0.03144+17.18%0.0653✗1.2715k2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.549615-0.61%0.608+9.95%0.0116✓1.4483k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.207247-0.60%0.2308+10.70%0.0098✓1.5099k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010806-0.59%0.00001175+8.10%0.0151✓1.271.0M2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.068284-0.59%0.0777+13.12%0.0721✗0.731,5492022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.953.5905-0.57%58.09+7.77%0.0094✓1.1513.5M2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.008632-0.56%0.00965+11.18%0.0341✗0.994.2M2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040387-0.52%0.0463+14.04%0.0296✗1.377,5232022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.274869-0.52%0.3198+15.74%0.0574✗1.202.7M2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.5816-0.51%2.934+13.06%0.0403✗1.12597k2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,442.20-0.51%1,631.28+12.53%0.0259✗1.25354.3M2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.66e-7-0.51%9.70e-7+11.49%0.0481✗0.845.9M2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.235735-0.49%0.2636+11.27%0.0248✗1.1162k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5485-0.49%1.7139+10.14%0.0012✓1.28492k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.812641-0.39%1.0451+28.11%0.1390✗1.441.4M2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.4031-0.35%1.635+16.12%0.0393✗1.45303k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.0584-0.34%0.0612+4.44%0.0661✓1.44342k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.094592-0.32%0.1134+19.49%0.0768✗1.34491k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana36.2936.1733-0.32%39.81+9.70%0.0109✓1.3781.1M2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase15.1715.1216-0.32%17.17+13.18%0.0186✗1.3997k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008343-0.32%0.00839+0.24%0.0671✓0.931.4M2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.6354-0.30%9.938+2.84%0.0564✓1.122.1M2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.894899-0.24%1.0235+14.10%0.0576✗0.9857k2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.00003920.000039109-0.23%0.00004282+9.23%0.0021✓1.191.8M2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.275377-0.23%0.328+18.84%0.0923✗1.06620k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9691-0.22%6.57+31.93%0.1670✗1.44939k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.10738-0.20%0.1155+7.34%0.0126✓1.09362k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.047606-0.20%0.0595+24.74%0.1073✗1.48109k2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.224087-0.18%0.2502+11.45%0.0115✗1.26119k2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.233077-0.18%0.2502+7.15%0.0206✓1.17768k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006279-0.18%0.00928+47.54%0.3116✗1.01352k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.297-0.17%2.419+5.13%0.0204✓0.92105k2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190512.1713-0.16%14.5774+19.58%0.0866✗1.2073k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.310548-0.15%0.3267+5.05%0.0417✓1.187.5M2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.39480.394318-0.12%0.4398+11.40%0.0091✗1.28606k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.105458-0.11%0.115136+9.05%0.0090✗1.016.7M2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.039363-0.09%0.044+11.68%0.0346✗0.981,9372022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.134282-0.09%0.1674+24.55%0.1215✗1.2784k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.289196-0.09%0.34061+17.68%0.0622✗1.301.0M2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003958-0.04%0.00462+16.67%0.0494✗1.35106k2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.3198-0.02%8.196+54.03%0.3453✗1.111.9M2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.65089-0.02%0.709+8.91%0.0338✓1.5372k2022-08-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.02420.0242+0.00%0.025+3.31%0.0081✗0.5245k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3901+0.01%1.57+12.95%0.0107✓1.42122k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash55.7555.7572+0.01%61.49+10.30%0.0027✗1.291.4M2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94118.9556+0.01%133.77+12.47%0.0269✓1.164.0M2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.197099+0.05%0.212+7.61%0.0484✗1.55834k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.636357+0.06%0.744+16.98%0.0806✓0.97360k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.0983+0.07%5.0698-0.49%0.0210✗0.20219k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.005872+0.08%0.006204+5.75%0.0160✗0.913,1552022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.7884+0.09%7.928+16.90%0.0577✓1.258.7M2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.120677+0.15%0.1435+19.09%0.0946✓1.013.1M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.650098+0.17%0.742+14.33%0.0376✓1.21758k2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.065475+0.21%0.06831+4.55%0.0200✗0.80382k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3021,187.27+0.26%23,023.60+8.94%0.0069✓0.9819k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash43.9944.1077+0.27%48.53+10.32%0.0090✓1.11517k2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003420.00343+0.29%0.00371+8.48%0.0267✗1.35539k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.061+0.39%1.163+10.05%0.0061✓1.1045k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.001438+0.40%0.001664+16.20%0.0638✓1.0520k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5721,358.05+0.45%22,989.40+8.13%0.0045✓1.00395.4M2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.000977318+0.50%0.001085+11.56%0.0025✓1.301.7M2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.062936+0.59%0.066529+6.33%0.0351✗1.161.8M2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.492379+0.75%0.5396+10.42%0.0022✓1.14350k2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.01664.0485+0.80%4.3491+8.28%0.0152✓0.72919k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.076957+0.86%0.0936+22.67%0.1000✓1.236,3652022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.