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2022-07-25 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0298
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.1%
in alpha space · 29.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.7953-4.38%3.877-22.69%0.2969✓0.96584k2022-08-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.798555-3.30%1.1398+38.02%0.2138✗1.61214k2022-08-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.675421-2.54%0.861+24.24%0.0879✗1.765.3M2022-08-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.769379-2.49%0.831+5.32%0.0589✓1.544,1662022-08-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000089929-2.47%0.00010479+13.64%0.0143✓1.90735k2022-08-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.2291-2.33%6.53+50.81%0.3812✗0.60694k2022-08-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7817.3738-2.28%19.2+7.99%0.0222✓0.882.1M2022-08-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.410803-2.19%0.5401+28.60%0.1856✗1.00234k2022-08-01
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.777668-2.06%1.512+90.43%0.5080✗1.781.1M2022-08-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.066457-2.01%0.08419+24.14%0.1228✗1.2928k2022-08-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.89674-2.00%0.955+4.37%0.0944✓1.79591k2022-08-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.934898-1.96%1.0779+13.04%0.0552✗0.998,9622022-08-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5520.1526-1.93%28.44+38.39%0.2101✗1.53440k2022-08-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.268808-1.93%0.3059+11.60%0.0227✗1.21335k2022-08-01
HIVEHivenative0.5190.509134-1.90%0.7745+49.23%0.3144✗1.191.4M2022-08-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.018377-1.86%0.019998+6.79%0.0425✗0.48163k2022-08-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.084.0053-1.83%5.07+24.26%0.1696✗0.75597k2022-08-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.49493-1.80%0.519+2.98%0.0564✓1.1811k2022-08-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.968793-1.68%1.1991+21.69%0.1136✗1.138,4242022-08-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.167149-1.62%0.1925+13.30%0.0748✓2.451,1272022-08-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.6501-1.48%4.919+32.77%0.2498✗0.552.1M2022-08-01
KSMKusamaHydration58.4957.6377-1.46%64.23+9.81%0.0024✓1.20227k2022-08-01
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.9446-1.45%8.365+18.70%0.0676✗1.355.6M2022-08-01
QNTQuantEthereum87.8786.6959-1.34%103.46+17.74%0.0867✗1.023.2M2022-08-01
METISMetisEthereum27.3727.0092-1.32%33.62+22.84%0.1310✗1.00151k2022-08-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8553-1.31%2.39+27.13%0.1582✗1.08157k2022-08-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.145298-1.29%0.172+16.85%0.0556✗1.28379k2022-08-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0913.0527-1.24%3.849+24.52%0.1767✗0.631.5M2022-08-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5772-1.18%2.022+26.69%0.1353✗1.29606k2022-08-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.182034-1.18%0.207+12.38%0.0047✓1.411,0652022-08-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.891259-1.16%0.9388+4.11%0.0310✓0.943.5M2022-08-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.927-1.15%6.644+10.81%0.0373✓1.7211.9M2022-08-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3939-1.14%1.56+10.64%0.0922✗0.23319k2022-08-01
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.044199-1.13%0.051446+15.08%0.0460✗1.2021k2022-08-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.9352-1.11%3.605+21.46%0.0565✗1.693.7M2022-08-01
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.399619-1.10%0.48714+20.56%0.1317✗0.7551k2022-08-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.024213-1.09%0.0368+50.33%0.2781✗1.6013.4M2022-08-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.424126-1.09%0.471+9.84%0.0271✓1.50208k2022-08-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.17216-1.06%0.2106+21.03%0.0759✗1.431,7562022-08-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.19-1.04%17.88+16.48%0.0420✗1.381.3M2022-08-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2523.0143-1.01%35.02+50.62%0.3064✗1.291.3M2022-08-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.020278-0.98%0.023621+15.34%0.0650✗1.006,1832022-08-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.592182-0.97%0.71157+19.00%0.0460✗1.5686k2022-08-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.165-0.96%1.3062+11.04%0.0157✓1.484.9M2022-08-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.258497-0.96%0.2618+0.31%0.0115✗0.0135k2022-08-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.402834-0.95%0.4128+1.50%0.1051✓1.47602k2022-08-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.043616-0.94%0.05169+17.40%0.0884✗0.9315k2022-08-01
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.140384-0.93%0.1776+25.34%0.1213✗1.292.8M2022-08-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.1116-0.91%3.2852+54.16%0.3627✗0.90971k2022-08-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.9074-0.88%8+34.23%0.1877✗1.31248k2022-08-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1822-0.87%3.33+3.74%0.0011✓0.5382k2022-08-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3484-0.85%1.42+4.41%0.0762✓1.45856k2022-08-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.092502-0.85%0.09236-1.00%0.0895✓1.00706k2022-08-01
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.367142-0.83%–pending––1.273902022-08-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.1527-0.81%8.34+34.45%0.1918✗1.285.3M2022-08-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.3707-0.78%7.574+17.96%0.0607✗1.2816.7M2022-08-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.4124-0.78%14.18+13.35%0.0044✓1.461.2M2022-08-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070449-0.78%0.07898+11.24%0.0498✗0.731,6422022-08-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2334-0.74%2.86+27.11%0.1139✗1.52205k2022-08-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.05304-0.68%0.057234+7.17%0.0216✗0.6218k2022-08-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2491-0.68%2.859+26.25%0.1017✗1.579,0562022-08-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008394-0.66%0.00842-0.36%0.0786✓0.931.3M2022-08-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.4013-0.65%2.435+0.74%0.0666✓0.92105k2022-08-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.356684-0.65%0.41938+16.82%0.0537✗1.23113k2022-08-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1353.7828-0.64%60.676+12.09%0.0468✗0.84369k2022-08-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5351-0.64%1.89+22.33%0.0805✗1.45212k2022-08-01
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.8425-0.62%30.75+13.85%0.0523✗0.9510.6M2022-08-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.0811-0.61%0.0858+5.15%0.0510✓1.22172k2022-08-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0491-0.61%6.51+28.15%0.1285✗1.43947k2022-08-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.868169-0.61%1.0163+16.35%0.0382✗1.36423k2022-08-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.11385-0.57%0.1255+9.61%0.0087✗1.015,8712022-08-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.9239-0.55%10.399+15.89%0.0324✗1.3713.0M2022-08-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1944-0.55%1.323+10.16%0.0072✓1.241.3M2022-08-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033533-0.50%0.0413+22.55%0.0996✗1.2472k2022-08-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.523011-0.49%0.6196+17.88%0.0637✗1.20642k2022-08-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.29162-0.49%0.34549+17.89%0.0515✗1.349,2162022-08-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.6161-0.49%2.96+12.59%0.0251✗1.12619k2022-08-01
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.472591-0.49%0.5128+7.98%0.0300✓1.2741.4M2022-08-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.821021-0.47%1.0789+30.79%0.1466✗1.441.4M2022-08-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.9251-0.46%2.416+24.92%0.0997✗1.45132k2022-08-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3555-0.45%2.565+8.41%0.0687✓1.7587k2022-08-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.2136-0.44%3.934+21.87%0.1344✗0.77488k2022-08-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.433519-0.43%0.4966+14.06%0.0373✗1.1241k2022-08-01
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2450.0236-0.43%58.9+17.24%0.0418✗1.3832k2022-08-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.794565-0.43%1.08+35.34%0.2406✗0.751.1M2022-08-01
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.229918-0.43%0.2657+15.07%0.0379✗1.21701k2022-08-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025603-0.42%0.03001+16.73%0.0397✗1.351,3002022-08-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8316-0.38%2.2681+23.36%0.1059✗1.2324k2022-08-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.7668-0.38%4.364+15.42%0.0929✗0.621.2M2022-08-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2714-0.37%4.1461+26.27%0.1429✗1.0725k2022-08-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.97e-7-0.37%9.60e-7+6.67%0.0198✓1.0025k2022-08-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2434-0.37%1.423+14.02%0.0184✗1.322.4M2022-08-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.834-0.36%23.59+12.82%0.0163✓1.6027.0M2022-08-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1693-0.35%2.947+35.37%0.1817✗1.4237k2022-08-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,435.87-0.34%1,630.82+13.19%0.0179✗1.24344.6M2022-08-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.105643-0.33%0.118304+11.62%0.0246✗1.016.7M2022-08-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.552-0.32%1.795+15.29%0.0892✗0.64223k2022-08-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.343341-0.32%0.30912-10.25%0.2108✓1.20400k2022-08-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.107479-0.30%0.1207+11.97%0.0201✗1.09380k2022-08-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0719-0.28%5.19+2.04%0.0059✗0.19214k2022-08-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.060333-0.28%0.0674+11.40%0.0243✗0.98156k2022-08-01
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3962-0.27%1.718+22.71%0.0794✗1.45317k2022-08-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047971-0.27%0.0532+10.60%0.0036✓1.22263k2022-08-01
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038192-0.26%0.00004514+17.89%0.0627✗1.191.9M2022-08-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.528665-0.25%0.646+21.89%0.0742✗1.4384k2022-08-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.275051-0.24%0.3238+17.45%0.0626✗1.1465k2022-08-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.31088-0.23%0.3424+9.88%0.0073✓1.187.5M2022-08-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.2513-0.20%5.81+36.38%0.2575✗0.62504k2022-08-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.058881-0.20%0.0602+2.03%0.1038✓1.43328k2022-08-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.2394-0.20%2.9451+31.25%0.2046✗0.79895k2022-08-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.215277-0.20%0.2307+6.95%0.0623✓1.4999k2022-08-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,580.13-0.18%23,172.70+7.19%0.0147✓0.9820k2022-08-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.838131-0.17%1.0315+22.86%0.1015✗1.211.2M2022-08-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.192667-0.17%0.221+14.51%0.0004✓1.55881k2022-08-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003094-0.16%0.003256+5.07%0.0381✓1.011.0M2022-08-01
AAVEAaveEthereum81.481.2704-0.16%96.58+18.65%0.0265✗1.668.1M2022-08-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.139968-0.14%0.16541+18.01%0.0278✗1.58176k2022-08-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.295-0.13%2.7968+21.71%0.1096✗1.00863k2022-08-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026715-0.13%0.03204+19.78%0.0696✗1.2718k2022-08-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.085391-0.13%0.0641-25.03%0.3604✓0.84148k2022-08-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039955-0.11%0.04618+15.45%0.0581✗0.992,0302022-08-01
STXStacksnative0.40070.400356-0.09%0.4613+15.12%0.0292✗1.28606k2022-08-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.3086-0.07%1.5747+20.24%0.0570✗1.46561k2022-08-01
XMRMoneroMonero144.12144.0165-0.07%160.69+11.50%0.0122✗1.111.1M2022-08-01
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.913062-0.07%1.0185+11.47%0.0231✗0.9851k2022-08-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.00098943-0.07%0.001096+10.71%0.0125✓1.311.7M2022-08-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.622595-0.07%0.772+23.92%0.1299✗0.97387k2022-08-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3692-0.06%1.63+18.98%0.0480✗1.44127k2022-08-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.231983-0.05%0.277+19.35%0.0800✗1.1161k2022-08-01
XVGVergenative0.003450.003449-0.04%0.00375+8.70%0.0345✓1.34566k2022-08-01
PROPropyEthereum0.790.789723-0.04%0.78-1.27%0.0731✓0.6983k2022-08-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.9383-0.03%9.85+41.93%0.3082✗0.48670k2022-08-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0254.014-0.01%59.47+10.09%0.0049✓1.1513.6M2022-08-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.6777+0.00%15.1343+19.38%0.0716✓1.2078k2022-08-01
DASHDashDash44.8844.8822+0.00%49.75+10.85%0.0056✓1.11498k2022-08-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006689+0.01%0.00665-0.58%0.0545✗0.5546k2022-08-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.80e-7+0.01%9.70e-7+10.23%0.0236✓0.845.9M2022-08-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,316.87+0.02%23,273.86+9.20%0.0002✗1.00374.5M2022-08-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.674389+0.06%0.793+17.66%0.0517✓1.25149k2022-08-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006554+0.06%0.00938+43.21%0.2696✓1.01355k2022-08-01
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.2606+0.07%18.16+19.08%0.0519✓1.3997k2022-08-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010698+0.08%0.00001197+11.97%0.0014✓1.261.1M2022-08-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092891+0.10%0.1162+25.22%0.1060✓1.34502k2022-08-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.7638+0.10%8.18+21.06%0.0807✓1.248.6M2022-08-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008439+0.11%0.01021+21.12%0.1037✓0.994.5M2022-08-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.275139+0.12%0.336+22.27%0.0941✓1.202.7M2022-08-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.054+0.13%1.246+18.37%0.0705✓1.1045k2022-08-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.7665+0.14%6.1+28.15%0.1886✓0.66514k2022-08-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.062017+0.14%0.068721+10.96%0.0010✓1.151.8M2022-08-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017946+0.14%0.0179-0.11%0.0701✗0.77354k2022-08-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.123395+0.16%0.1541+25.08%0.1334✓1.013.1M2022-08-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.58e-7+0.17%3.29e-7-7.87%0.1704✗0.99234k2022-08-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.664161+0.18%0.731+10.26%0.0372✗1.5179k2022-08-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.363055+0.18%0.4239+16.97%0.0354✓1.3670k2022-08-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,285.32+0.18%11,611.32+85.08%0.4948✓1.354.0M2022-08-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047689+0.19%0.0612+28.57%0.1319✓1.34787k2022-08-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.222534+0.20%0.2631+18.46%0.0565✓1.26119k2022-08-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.119682+0.24%0.1438+20.44%0.0661✓1.3447k2022-08-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.048062+0.25%0.0805+67.92%0.3871✓1.46712k2022-08-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.2525+0.28%8.776+67.54%0.4156✓1.111.9M2022-08-01
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.7418+0.28%41.67+13.73%0.0060✓1.3680.3M2022-08-01
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.5126+0.28%1.8199+20.65%0.0722✓1.28492k2022-08-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.09597+0.28%0.1236+29.15%0.1321✓1.372.4M2022-08-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.01349+0.29%0.015017+11.65%0.0272✓0.911.2M2022-08-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003982+0.31%0.00478+20.40%0.0645✓1.34106k2022-08-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.281887+0.32%0.335+19.22%0.0804✓1.05673k2022-08-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.101729+0.32%0.1494+47.34%0.2870✓1.11617k2022-08-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064446+0.38%0.0705+9.81%0.0051✗1.08239k2022-08-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.047799+0.42%0.0648+36.13%0.1738✓1.48119k2022-08-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.477+0.44%11.25+33.29%0.1809✓1.16243k2022-08-01
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063951+0.45%0.069972+9.91%0.0199✓0.80373k2022-08-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.041595+0.47%0.0483+16.67%0.0302✓1.357,5232022-08-01
FLOWFlownative1.6271.6353+0.51%2.025+24.46%0.1027✓1.26332k2022-08-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.282912+0.52%0.362765+28.89%0.1342✓1.301.1M2022-08-01
GTGateEthereum3.96963.9904+0.52%4.4164+11.26%0.0384✓0.72919k2022-08-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03118.703+0.57%137.87+16.81%0.0477✓1.164.2M2022-08-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.5147+0.58%9.963+5.32%0.0518✗1.112.1M2022-08-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.13244+0.64%0.1647+25.15%0.1070✓1.2681k2022-08-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.491985+0.65%0.5574+14.03%0.0240✓1.15350k2022-08-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019497+0.65%0.02156+11.31%0.0077✓1.06129k2022-08-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.685731+0.69%0.727+6.75%0.0482✗1.21758k2022-08-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.079077+0.74%0.0951+21.15%0.0766✓1.236,7862022-08-01
ZECZcashZcash54.254.6421+0.82%62.87+16.00%0.0273✓1.281.4M2022-08-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005682+0.96%0.006321+12.30%0.0261✓0.912,9222022-08-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.0015+1.43%0.001697+14.74%0.0305✓1.0620k2022-08-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.