8=======>

2022-07-11 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1548
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.95%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.4%
in alpha space · 31.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+12.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.7660.735722-3.95%0.9376+22.40%0.0505✗1.63173k2022-07-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010490.00010095-3.77%0.00010626+1.30%0.1730✓1.91744k2022-07-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6330.614932-2.85%0.691+9.16%0.0605✓1.513,0312022-07-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.27790.270477-2.67%0.2907+4.61%0.0453✓1.00440k2022-07-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165620.161296-2.61%0.18888+14.04%0.1876✓2.948572022-07-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7143.6246-2.41%3.852+3.72%0.0029✓0.542.2M2022-07-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.760417-2.39%0.817+4.88%0.1510✓1.908.7M2022-07-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37520.366607-2.29%0.4506+20.10%0.0888✗1.00180k2022-07-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017960.017601-2.00%0.017412-3.05%0.0745✓0.54241k2022-07-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.49-1.97%1.6+5.26%0.0440✗0.23614k2022-07-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07240.071009-1.92%0.0756+4.42%0.0588✓1.03114k2022-07-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.761.7263-1.92%1.949+10.74%0.0351✓1.33915k2022-07-18
METISMetisEthereum20.2219.8622-1.77%29.68+46.79%0.2842✗1.00110k2022-07-18
QNTQuantEthereum79.0177.6581-1.71%103.99+31.62%0.1755✗0.992.5M2022-07-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16710.164281-1.69%0.2055+22.98%0.0407✗1.562,7942022-07-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.4614.2196-1.66%17.85+23.44%0.0329✗1.66446k2022-07-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7414.5013-1.62%14.75+0.07%0.1041✓1.03527k2022-07-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6733-1.57%1.81+6.47%0.0537✓1.13114k2022-07-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.8480.835112-1.52%0.8258-2.62%0.1279✓0.994.0M2022-07-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.8310.818608-1.49%1.129+35.86%0.1071✗1.83620k2022-07-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444980.438422-1.47%0.47782+7.38%0.0971✓1.561.3M2022-07-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096810.095395-1.46%0.08878-8.29%0.1893✓1.00357k2022-07-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9412.8998-1.40%3.189+8.43%0.0212✗0.632.3M2022-07-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.644730.63585-1.38%0.6986+8.36%0.0996✓1.65120k2022-07-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.263.217-1.32%3.85+18.10%0.1327✗0.4082k2022-07-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3830.377958-1.32%0.53+38.38%0.2063✗1.1210k2022-07-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025940.025602-1.30%0.02896+11.64%0.0672✓1.622,0152022-07-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067030.06619-1.25%0.07699+14.86%0.0564✗0.812,1062022-07-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08520.084179-1.20%0.0882+3.52%0.1040✓1.28179k2022-07-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.5578-1.17%4.13+14.72%0.0764✗0.62726k2022-07-18
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.3509-1.15%0.4483+26.28%0.1275✗1.004912022-07-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.966920.956035-1.13%1.0463+8.21%0.0445✓1.152,3312022-07-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022690.022439-1.11%0.02637+16.22%0.0348✓1.6721.5M2022-07-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.258151-1.09%0.2617+0.27%0.1038✓1.0045k2022-07-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7081.6898-1.07%2.094+22.60%0.0383✗1.50109k2022-07-18
UNIUniswapEthereum5.5615.5044-1.02%7.327+31.76%0.1258✗1.365.4M2022-07-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38560.381737-1.00%0.427+10.74%0.0755✓1.60215k2022-07-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202430.020041-1.00%0.022154+9.44%0.0187✓1.018952022-07-18
OPTIMOptimism0.4820.477349-0.96%0.817+69.50%0.3362✗1.711.4M2022-07-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035369-0.93%0.0392+9.80%0.0469✓1.28105k2022-07-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.073.0419-0.92%3.88+26.38%0.1603✗0.71693k2022-07-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0941.0843-0.89%1.389+26.97%0.1098✗1.171.7M2022-07-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.7678-0.88%5.47+13.72%0.0350✓1.471.3M2022-07-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13360.13243-0.88%0.1331-0.37%0.1532✓1.3534k2022-07-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.4821.4691-0.87%1.594+7.56%0.0358✓1.00180k2022-07-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374050.37086-0.85%0.41424+10.74%0.0368✓1.26155k2022-07-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45390.450048-0.85%0.5225+15.11%0.0174✗1.1260k2022-07-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043190.042842-0.81%0.04751+10.00%0.0054✓0.935,7282022-07-18
DIADIAEthereum0.374050.371144-0.78%0.44826+19.84%0.1009✗0.7554k2022-07-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008820.008753-0.76%0.00926+4.99%0.0533✓0.931.2M2022-07-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.88690.880271-0.75%1.3413+51.23%0.2583✗1.394.3M2022-07-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09950.098784-0.72%0.1131+13.67%0.0194✗0.997,0862022-07-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.22636-0.72%0.22-3.51%0.2106✓1.551.0M2022-07-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85690.85075-0.72%1.0287+20.05%0.0200✗1.451.8M2022-07-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2776.2328-0.70%7.533+20.01%0.0321✗1.345.5M2022-07-18
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5648.2198-0.70%57.66+18.74%0.0140✗1.4027k2022-07-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5673.5422-0.70%3.951+10.77%0.0350✗0.631.8M2022-07-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.355.3143-0.67%6.23+16.45%0.0028✓1.33264k2022-07-18
FTTFTXEthereum24.9824.8155-0.66%29.86+19.54%0.0757✗0.9311.6M2022-07-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.4722.4561-0.64%2.737+10.72%0.0272✓1.15969k2022-07-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3072.2926-0.63%2.949+27.83%0.0470✗1.743.4M2022-07-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017960.017849-0.62%0.01948+8.46%0.0054✓0.79414k2022-07-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.1638.1128-0.62%9.579+17.35%0.0093✗1.3412.9M2022-07-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75641.746-0.59%2.1493+22.37%0.1065✗0.86937k2022-07-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.40115.3697-0.58%5.4359+0.64%0.0104✓0.19335k2022-07-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4713.3945-0.56%16.35+21.38%0.0395✗1.361.5M2022-07-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4042.3905-0.56%2.536+5.49%0.0477✓0.91127k2022-07-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2941.2868-0.56%1.657+28.05%0.0803✗1.47170k2022-07-18
DODODODOEthereum0.12410.12342-0.55%0.1628+31.18%0.1262✗1.282.8M2022-07-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.045054-0.54%0.0507+11.92%0.0267✓1.23264k2022-07-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.1441-0.51%1.5+30.43%0.0933✗1.51784k2022-07-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.5869-0.50%3.27+25.77%0.1043✗1.11544k2022-07-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23570.234556-0.49%0.2476+5.05%0.0958✓1.28220k2022-07-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.222.2101-0.45%2.7+21.62%0.0153✗1.57236k2022-07-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.159698-0.44%0.2011+25.37%0.0648✗1.413,0332022-07-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.283380.28216-0.43%0.30487+7.58%0.0841✓1.383,1392022-07-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7710.767724-0.42%0.83+7.65%0.0161✓0.801.6M2022-07-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.548.5054-0.40%11.39+33.37%0.1208✗1.461.1M2022-07-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0510020.050797-0.40%0.053178+4.27%0.0292✓0.6415k2022-07-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1911.1862-0.40%1.335+12.09%0.0352✓1.312.8M2022-07-18
XECeCashnative0.000037970.000037817-0.40%0.00004216+11.04%0.0352✓1.232.2M2022-07-18
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.211997-0.38%0.22+3.38%0.1054✓1.21695k2022-07-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009740.009705-0.35%0.00954-2.05%0.1407✓1.055.3M2022-07-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0682.0608-0.35%2.375+14.85%0.0248✓1.4265k2022-07-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.054810.054624-0.34%0.06313+15.18%0.0191✓1.3927k2022-07-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.46710.465528-0.34%0.553+18.39%0.0302✗1.21611k2022-07-18
HIVEHivenative0.43510.433733-0.31%0.4706+8.16%0.0681✓1.271.3M2022-07-18
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.67e-7-0.31%9.30e-7+6.90%0.0280✓0.835.7M2022-07-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.0610.060816-0.30%0.0733+20.16%0.0172✗1.44316k2022-07-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0242.0182-0.29%2.661+31.47%0.0764✗1.7090k2022-07-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.804610.802331-0.28%0.92106+14.47%0.0202✓1.35493k2022-07-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.426-0.28%1.62+13.29%0.0440✓1.46214k2022-07-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.23540.234786-0.26%0.2526+7.31%0.0587✓1.1262k2022-07-18
ZENHorizenBase15.0415.0008-0.26%17.74+17.95%0.0006✓1.4281k2022-07-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29022.2843-0.26%2.5947+13.30%0.0095✗1.001.3M2022-07-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85920.857059-0.25%0.9815+14.23%0.0118✓1.25325k2022-07-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.690.688439-0.23%0.96529+39.90%0.2369✗0.862702022-07-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.873.8613-0.22%4.43+14.47%0.0621✗0.64629k2022-07-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08222.0777-0.22%2.3115+11.01%0.0134✗0.791.0M2022-07-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2062.2015-0.20%2.6883+21.86%0.0062✗1.654,8022022-07-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19180.191421-0.20%0.2255+17.57%0.0077✓1.46145k2022-07-18
AAVEAaveEthereum69.8269.6859-0.19%96.23+37.83%0.1288✗1.659.9M2022-07-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.101211-0.19%0.1174+15.78%0.0187✗1.10388k2022-07-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4780.477135-0.18%0.572+19.67%0.0176✗1.3999k2022-07-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1013910.101216-0.17%0.114184+12.62%0.0014✓1.018.8M2022-07-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.00461.0031-0.15%1.1185+11.34%0.0203✓1.1065k2022-07-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29670.296282-0.14%0.3598+21.27%0.0558✗1.189.2M2022-07-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.281580.281217-0.13%0.36013+27.90%0.1004✗1.25464k2022-07-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026318-0.12%0.02926+11.04%0.0452✓1.2924k2022-07-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010298-0.12%0.00001196+16.00%0.0045✗1.241.3M2022-07-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.10630.106188-0.11%0.1146+7.81%0.0527✓1.10551k2022-07-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7921-0.10%3.316+18.64%0.0830✗0.76530k2022-07-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.945.9339-0.10%7+17.85%0.1075✗0.49750k2022-07-18
APEApeCoinEthereum4.344.3357-0.10%5.992+38.06%0.1139✗1.7816.0M2022-07-18
ADACardanoCardano0.43440.43401-0.09%0.49+12.80%0.0284✓1.2846.5M2022-07-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009430.000942251-0.08%0.001042+10.52%0.0505✓1.292.4M2022-07-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3221.3211-0.07%1.512+14.37%0.0353✓1.45400k2022-07-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26640.266222-0.07%0.2963+11.22%0.0334✓1.203.1M2022-07-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006490.006486-0.06%0.00698+7.55%0.0445✓1.00403k2022-07-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.64466-0.05%0.72+11.63%0.0415✓1.29157k2022-07-18
XVGVergenative0.003220.003218-0.05%0.00383+18.94%0.0160✗1.35664k2022-07-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.374.3678-0.05%4.97+13.73%0.0528✗0.65758k2022-07-18
PROPropyEthereum0.830.829581-0.05%0.8-3.61%0.1210✓0.72129k2022-07-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0617270.061697-0.05%0.06754+9.42%0.0520✓1.212.3M2022-07-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39460.39441-0.05%0.4332+9.78%0.0628✓1.3394k2022-07-18
XTZTezosTezos1.57161.571-0.04%1.7336+10.31%0.0506✓1.27582k2022-07-18
NANOnanopayBase0.8431570.842973-0.02%0.979062+16.12%0.0295✗1.0290k2022-07-18
XMRMoneroMonero126.93126.9039-0.02%147.68+16.35%0.0175✗1.141.3M2022-07-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.139573-0.02%0.1709+22.42%0.0458✗1.33349k2022-07-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,942.4319,939.98-0.01%22,427.56+12.46%0.0001✗1.00472.7M2022-07-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.0366.0362+0.00%7.038+16.60%0.0044✓1.2720.3M2022-07-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5910.591038+0.01%0.72+21.83%0.0887✓0.93419k2022-07-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065280.006529+0.02%0.00707+8.30%0.0116✓0.5897k2022-07-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin48.6748.6789+0.02%58.58+20.36%0.0463✓1.1818.4M2022-07-18
STXStacksnative0.37480.374915+0.03%0.4256+13.55%0.0226✗1.27364k2022-07-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.68e-73.68e-7+0.04%3.64e-7-1.05%0.1408✗1.11513k2022-07-18
MOVRMoonriverBase11.595511.6008+0.05%14.3354+23.63%0.0729✓1.18316k2022-07-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.70521.706+0.05%1.9281+13.07%0.0238✗1.2434k2022-07-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.20650.2365+0.06%57.553+14.63%0.0367✓0.85456k2022-07-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24360.243768+0.07%0.2632+8.05%0.0572✗1.1433k2022-07-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.119020.119104+0.07%0.14623+22.86%0.0163✓1.61186k2022-07-18
QTUMQtumQtum2.70052.7026+0.08%3.2012+18.54%0.0395✓1.1130k2022-07-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,496.415,502.93+0.12%6,611.88+20.29%0.0268✓1.344.5M2022-07-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,095.561,096.99+0.13%1,581.34+44.34%0.2280✓1.17326.5M2022-07-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0117530.011769+0.14%0.012981+10.45%0.0008✓0.841.4M2022-07-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23511.237+0.15%1.4467+17.13%0.0052✗1.38684k2022-07-18
XEMNEMnative0.0378760.037938+0.16%0.044928+18.62%0.0320✓1.1714k2022-07-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.214.2244+0.17%25.3+78.17%0.4375✓1.181.5M2022-07-18
DASHDashDash41.4941.5616+0.17%48.86+17.76%0.0326✓1.10693k2022-07-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.046640.046723+0.18%0.05685+21.89%0.0212✓1.49821k2022-07-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11110.111318+0.20%0.1322+18.99%0.0553✓0.994.0M2022-07-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,940.9019,987.64+0.23%21,641.50+8.53%0.0364✗0.9948k2022-07-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026670.002673+0.24%0.003004+12.64%0.0043✗1.031.3M2022-07-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.08730.08751+0.24%0.1074+23.02%0.0465✓1.35644k2022-07-18
GTGateEthereum3.89333.9029+0.25%4.2854+10.07%0.0104✓0.711.2M2022-07-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.3117.3536+0.25%23.97+38.47%0.1437✓1.5326.1M2022-07-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.5216.5389+0.28%7.654+17.37%0.0124✓1.2310.8M2022-07-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0480.048148+0.31%0.0561+16.88%0.0226✗1.49111k2022-07-18
TRXTRONTron0.0645810.064793+0.33%0.069093+6.99%0.0336✗0.83611k2022-07-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.13570.136154+0.33%0.1512+11.42%0.0451✗1.2898k2022-07-18
SCSiacoinnative0.003770.003783+0.34%0.00428+13.53%0.0360✗1.36165k2022-07-18
FLOWFlownative1.5081.5132+0.34%1.688+11.94%0.0324✗1.21297k2022-07-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.1935.211+0.35%5.939+14.37%0.0030✓1.142.1M2022-07-18
SOLSolanaSolana33.4133.5261+0.35%43.55+30.35%0.1071✓1.3290.8M2022-07-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2650.265953+0.36%0.313+18.11%0.0435✓1.02575k2022-07-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019410.01948+0.36%0.02116+9.02%0.0417✗1.06100k2022-07-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2832240.284395+0.41%0.320943+13.32%0.0285✗1.272.2M2022-07-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09340.093802+0.43%0.092-1.50%0.1156✗0.82157k2022-07-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.258.2902+0.49%9.61+16.48%0.0099✓1.17299k2022-07-18
KSMKusamaHydration46.6646.8922+0.50%63.82+36.78%0.1696✓1.18270k2022-07-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055430.005571+0.51%0.005922+6.84%0.0506✗0.953,1492022-07-18
KCSKuCoinnative8.8678.9153+0.54%9.854+11.13%0.0315✗1.123.0M2022-07-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09150.092055+0.61%0.1101+20.33%0.0214✓1.342.7M2022-07-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0750.075486+0.65%0.0841+12.13%0.0390✗1.256,9982022-07-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.604021+0.67%0.69+15.00%0.0499✗1.56186k2022-07-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05010.050472+0.74%0.0993+98.20%0.5857✓0.78209k2022-07-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.040104+0.76%0.0441+10.80%0.0652✗1.369,6482022-07-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45290.456888+0.88%0.5296+16.94%0.0162✓1.12289k2022-07-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6040.610256+1.04%0.657+8.77%0.0686✗1.21936k2022-07-18
ZECZcashZcash55.6556.2381+1.06%65.57+17.83%0.0016✓1.321.7M2022-07-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash99.04100.1054+1.08%121.21+22.38%0.0576✓1.145.3M2022-07-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.0433+1.17%0.0547+27.80%0.0742✓1.36879k2022-07-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.