8=======>

2022-06-19 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 178 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0895
178 of 178 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.0%
in alpha space · 86.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (178 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,740.284,953.96+4.51%6,439.41+35.84%0.2329✓1.283.7M2022-06-26
COMPCompoundEthereum31.833.0748+4.01%50.87+59.97%0.3970✓1.4627k2022-06-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.420.436764+3.99%0.98+133.33%0.7849✓1.0263k2022-06-26
AAVEAaveEthereum53.9756.0652+3.88%65.42+21.22%0.1164✓1.667.6M2022-06-26
GTGateEthereum3.96044.1123+3.84%4.2955+8.46%0.0267✓0.741.7M2022-06-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5790.600773+3.76%0.692+19.52%0.1184✓1.00349k2022-06-26
KCSKuCoinnative10.62511.0229+3.74%10.716+0.86%0.0539✗1.125.0M2022-06-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2970.307988+3.70%0.419+41.08%0.2733✓1.51275k2022-06-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.510.528336+3.60%0.53+3.92%0.0233✓1.1672k2022-06-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.28e-73.40e-7+3.55%4.30e-7+31.03%0.2140✓0.93800k2022-06-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09320.096496+3.54%0.1013+8.69%0.0224✓1.14642k2022-06-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6450.666687+3.36%0.749+16.12%0.0847✓1.394.0M2022-06-26
XVGVergenative0.002790.002882+3.29%0.00319+14.34%0.0699✓1.39650k2022-06-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6540.675235+3.25%0.694+6.12%0.0110✓1.68303k2022-06-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.31451.3569+3.22%1.396+6.20%0.0000✓1.241.2M2022-06-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05270.054396+3.22%0.056+6.26%0.0021✓1.18152k2022-06-26
QTUMQtumQtum2.72952.8171+3.21%2.9427+7.81%0.0170✓1.1639k2022-06-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.707825+3.18%0.654-4.66%0.1060✗1.18977k2022-06-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.4546+3.17%1.49+5.67%0.0105✓1.51574k2022-06-26
FLOWFlownative1.3741.4175+3.16%1.632+18.78%0.1146✓1.15457k2022-06-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,552.4421,201.15+3.16%21,027.92+2.31%0.0311✓1.00582.4M2022-06-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.597.8295+3.16%9.09+19.76%0.1225✓1.17429k2022-06-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11090.114387+3.14%0.1171+5.59%0.0080✓1.3749k2022-06-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,126.901,161.23+3.05%1,197.13+6.23%0.0041✓1.15388.8M2022-06-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006660.006859+2.99%0.00695+4.35%0.0100✓1.01482k2022-06-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05470.056315+2.95%0.0542-0.91%0.0564✗0.79326k2022-06-26
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1254.2468+2.95%4.695+13.82%0.0590✓1.8115.8M2022-06-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03540.036441+2.94%0.0484+36.72%0.2528✓1.36334k2022-06-26
SCSiacoinnative0.00370.003807+2.88%0.00398+7.57%0.0110✓1.47240k2022-06-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00270.002777+2.84%0.002812+4.15%0.0121✓1.082.1M2022-06-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.051.0798+2.83%1.14+8.57%0.0185✓1.56985k2022-06-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08070.082975+2.82%0.082+1.61%0.0422✗1.336,0992022-06-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007470.000767268+2.71%0.001064+42.44%0.2960✓1.352.2M2022-06-26
MOVRMoonriverBase11.350211.6537+2.67%11.7796+3.78%0.0191✓1.30194k2022-06-26
XMRMoneroMonero114.45117.5099+2.67%125.18+9.38%0.0371✓1.141.8M2022-06-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064560.006626+2.64%0.00693+7.34%0.0275✓0.76145k2022-06-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.7814.1414+2.62%16.17+17.34%0.1019✓1.401.8M2022-06-26
OPTIMOptimism0.5080.521163+2.59%0.539+6.10%0.0108✓1.006.2M2022-06-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019570.020072+2.57%0.02096+7.10%0.0199✓1.02129k2022-06-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2670.273836+2.56%0.301+12.73%0.0714✓1.01823k2022-06-26
SOLSolanaSolana34.1535.0182+2.54%39.39+15.34%0.0878✓1.31101.4M2022-06-26
DIADIAEthereum0.382090.39176+2.53%0.39154+2.47%0.0168✓0.71240k2022-06-26
TRXTRONTron0.0612750.062819+2.52%0.064921+5.95%0.0125✓0.891.0M2022-06-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3660.375199+2.51%0.688+87.98%0.5711✓1.543,1292022-06-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.3515.7328+2.49%16.66+8.53%0.0279✓1.292.1M2022-06-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0027660.002835+2.49%0.002979+7.70%0.0248✓1.084,6932022-06-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.544.6526+2.48%5.28+16.30%0.0975✓1.27400k2022-06-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.09141+2.48%0.1001+12.22%0.0575✓1.451.1M2022-06-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.919.1298+2.47%9.29+4.26%0.0168✓1.502.2M2022-06-26
ZECZcashZcash67.4169.06+2.45%63.78-5.38%0.1102✗1.343.1M2022-06-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.868770.889945+2.44%0.96524+11.10%0.0534✓1.226,0082022-06-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.696383+2.41%0.73+7.35%0.0147✓1.42195k2022-06-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10280.105268+2.40%0.108+5.06%0.0055✓1.364.6M2022-06-26
XTZTezosTezos1.38781.421+2.40%1.4426+3.95%0.0145✓1.29914k2022-06-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31420.321604+2.36%0.3319+5.63%0.0042✓1.1913.5M2022-06-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75521.7964+2.35%1.8404+4.85%0.0041✓0.882.5M2022-06-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3660.374504+2.32%0.4006+9.45%0.0343✓1.44132k2022-06-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016650.017035+2.31%0.01707+2.52%0.0160✓0.79430k2022-06-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.22110.226107+2.26%0.2411+9.05%0.0376✓1.1693k2022-06-26
XEMNEMnative0.039850.040741+2.24%0.041004+2.90%0.0223✗1.2626k2022-06-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4390.448812+2.23%0.548+24.83%0.1678✓1.39108k2022-06-26
DASHDashDash44.2445.2284+2.23%49.25+11.32%0.0599✓1.11810k2022-06-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.04680.047837+2.22%0.06676+42.65%0.3024✓1.3570k2022-06-26
NANOnanopayBase0.782290.799622+2.22%0.850925+8.77%0.0377✓1.07120k2022-06-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5217.685+2.18%7.832+4.14%0.0105✓1.2913.9M2022-06-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0603160.061628+2.18%0.07289+20.85%0.1387✓1.271.3M2022-06-26
LSKLiskEthereum0.9937991.0153+2.16%1.0606+6.72%0.0171✓1.1653k2022-06-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07820.079887+2.16%0.0788+0.77%0.0465✗1.43281k2022-06-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2561.2831+2.16%1.386+10.35%0.0427✓1.5173k2022-06-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.485.5971+2.14%5.821+6.22%0.0100✓1.282.5M2022-06-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02810.028699+2.13%0.0398+41.64%0.2979✓1.27206k2022-06-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27320.278992+2.12%0.2841+3.99%0.0104✓1.255.0M2022-06-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.09340.095371+2.11%0.0984+5.35%0.0035✓1.21691k2022-06-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.013.0735+2.11%3.14+4.32%0.0040✓0.761.4M2022-06-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17210.175721+2.10%0.2024+17.61%0.1081✓1.45191k2022-06-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04680.047778+2.09%0.0486+3.85%0.0159✓1.4414k2022-06-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0123250.012581+2.08%0.0121-1.83%0.0584✗0.852.0M2022-06-26
XECeCashnative0.000037590.00003836+2.05%0.00004039+7.45%0.0223✓1.282.7M2022-06-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12190.124376+2.03%0.1231+0.98%0.0322✗0.96246k2022-06-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7691.8048+2.02%2.158+21.99%0.1428✓1.5792k2022-06-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash120.39122.8139+2.01%112.89-6.23%0.1108✗1.164.5M2022-06-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.776790.792387+2.01%0.83801+7.88%0.0371✓0.839712022-06-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.4064+2.00%4.8+11.11%0.0494✓1.581.4M2022-06-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.154525+2.00%0.1565+3.30%0.0192✓1.40917k2022-06-26
ZENHorizenBase13.8814.1538+1.97%14.59+5.12%0.0019✓1.4155k2022-06-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2640850.269279+1.97%0.315285+19.39%0.1264✓1.372.4M2022-06-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2092.2521+1.95%2.592+17.34%0.1077✓1.4488k2022-06-26
BTTCBTTC7.90e-78.05e-7+1.93%8.60e-7+8.86%0.0461✓0.865.3M2022-06-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.212918+1.92%0.2188+4.74%0.0037✓1.35446k2022-06-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.01008+1.92%0.00981-0.81%0.0485✗0.949.7M2022-06-26
DODODODOEthereum0.11990.1222+1.92%0.1254+4.59%0.0060✓1.394.4M2022-06-26
KSMKusamaHydration50.8751.8212+1.87%52.49+3.18%0.0143✓1.19940k2022-06-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00000820.000008351+1.84%0.00001095+33.54%0.2434✓1.21802k2022-06-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.254950.259609+1.83%0.27698+8.64%0.0356✓1.28466k2022-06-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006110.000062203+1.80%0.00006574+7.59%0.0073✓2.101.6M2022-06-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008940.0091+1.79%0.0091+1.79%0.0233✗1.021.4M2022-06-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.7656.8858+1.79%8.054+19.05%0.1266✓1.3213.7M2022-06-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.058.1931+1.78%8.8+9.32%0.0494✓0.96244k2022-06-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5926.7085+1.77%6.7+1.64%0.0311✗1.3141.5M2022-06-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.6154+1.77%2.7+5.06%0.0065✓1.11624k2022-06-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.540.549491+1.76%0.524-2.96%0.0762✗1.25751k2022-06-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11670.11875+1.76%0.1395+19.54%0.1383✓1.003.6M2022-06-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060780.006184+1.75%0.006067-0.18%0.0426✗1.022,7662022-06-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,529.0020,886.38+1.74%21,050.20+2.54%0.0147✓0.9836k2022-06-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1146080.116593+1.73%0.120282+4.95%0.0070✓1.0611.6M2022-06-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.04770.048514+1.71%0.05088+6.67%0.0129✓1.521.5M2022-06-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.1330.135267+1.70%0.1416+6.47%0.0150✓1.34163k2022-06-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3340.339598+1.68%0.355+6.29%0.0169✓1.2016k2022-06-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.1516.4201+1.67%19.71+22.04%0.1500✓1.4342.7M2022-06-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4532.494+1.67%2.6123+6.49%0.0224✓1.052.8M2022-06-26
STXStacksnative0.35450.360276+1.63%0.4026+13.57%0.0812✓1.31203k2022-06-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8550.868927+1.63%1.177+37.66%0.2806✓1.001.5M2022-06-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.826380.839826+1.63%0.92999+12.54%0.0712✓1.34695k2022-06-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.485.5676+1.60%5.751+4.95%0.0012✓1.3711.1M2022-06-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2421.2619+1.60%1.299+4.59%0.0051✓1.49223k2022-06-26
RADRadworksEthereum1.511.534+1.59%1.64+8.61%0.0406✓1.15270k2022-06-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.051701+1.57%0.0554+8.84%0.0372✓1.391.7M2022-06-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212440.021571+1.54%0.021475+1.09%0.0297✗1.119,2332022-06-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6260.635608+1.53%0.676+7.99%0.0309✓1.34506k2022-06-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24260.246119+1.45%0.2491+2.68%0.0162✗1.2431k2022-06-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.296.3791+1.42%6.55+4.13%0.0150✓0.501.8M2022-06-26
UNIUniswapEthereum4.1844.2407+1.36%5.592+33.65%0.2455✓1.363.6M2022-06-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.5616+1.35%3.742+6.49%0.0340✓0.684.9M2022-06-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040750.041297+1.34%0.04296+5.42%0.0149✓1.072,6002022-06-26
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.202659+1.28%0.221+10.44%0.0582✓1.24669k2022-06-26
SGBSongbirdnative0.02980.030162+1.21%0.0323+8.39%0.0576✓0.48131k2022-06-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06150.062217+1.17%0.0641+4.23%0.0046✓1.51431k2022-06-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.4742.5027+1.16%2.688+8.65%0.0434✓1.221.0M2022-06-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49440.50001+1.13%0.5094+3.03%0.0043✓1.00117k2022-06-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.7490.756987+1.07%0.94+25.50%0.1757✓1.791.5M2022-06-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81011.8294+1.07%1.899+4.91%0.0077✓1.3061k2022-06-26
HIVEHivenative0.37320.377135+1.05%0.3977+6.56%0.0220✓1.361.2M2022-06-26
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3971+1.02%1.438+3.98%0.0054✓1.50407k2022-06-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.882.909+1.01%2.939+2.05%0.0084✓0.821.5M2022-06-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.291050.293969+1.00%0.32091+10.26%0.0555✓1.419,0962022-06-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7780.785315+0.94%0.82+5.40%0.0080✓1.543.3M2022-06-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05630.056808+0.90%0.0606+7.64%0.0301✓1.51141k2022-06-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.15450.15587+0.89%0.14257-7.72%0.1269✗1.65246k2022-06-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.294.325+0.82%4.59+6.99%0.0440✓0.681.4M2022-06-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.145080.146165+0.75%0.161+10.97%0.0738✓1.001,0532022-06-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.5755+0.72%3.72+4.79%0.0255✓0.621.9M2022-06-26
QNTQuantEthereum53.7354.1145+0.72%61.52+14.50%0.1063✓0.961.9M2022-06-26
FTTFTXEthereum25.0625.2358+0.70%27.18+8.46%0.0528✓0.9310.1M2022-06-26
ADACardanoCardano0.4840.487331+0.69%0.4899+1.22%0.0258✗1.3676.9M2022-06-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0507010.051042+0.67%0.0553+9.07%0.0651✓0.6664k2022-06-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.13532.1497+0.67%2.2188+3.91%0.0121✓0.862.6M2022-06-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana44.0268+0.67%3.98-0.50%0.0271✗0.671.3M2022-06-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027740.027925+0.67%0.02988+7.71%0.0368✓1.3519k2022-06-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.0922.1057+0.65%2.668+27.53%0.1951✓1.822.4M2022-06-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.493.512+0.63%3.87+10.89%0.0742✓1.00327k2022-06-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.046475+0.59%0.04859+5.17%0.0222✓0.9814k2022-06-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.2554.5595+0.57%56.58+4.29%0.0091✓1.1917.5M2022-06-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4762.4871+0.45%2.655+7.23%0.0435✓0.95111k2022-06-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31762.3257+0.35%2.8887+24.64%0.1776✓1.7115k2022-06-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.372.3763+0.26%2.82+18.99%0.1345✓1.60301k2022-06-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7022.7079+0.22%3.13+15.84%0.1316✓0.584.3M2022-06-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17935.1861+0.13%5.9+13.92%0.1236✓0.24226k2022-06-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147820.014789+0.05%0.015374+4.00%0.0242✓0.64469k2022-06-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10140.101415+0.02%0.1046+3.16%0.0075✓1.035,8092022-06-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.337080.337099+0.01%0.392+16.29%0.1217✓1.28110k2022-06-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.52020.520186-0.00%0.53626+3.09%0.0084✓1.703.5M2022-06-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.3981.396-0.14%1.635+16.95%0.1280✗1.31932k2022-06-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.810.808152-0.23%0.807-0.37%0.0208✓0.851.9M2022-06-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.3142-0.25%11.05+6.87%0.0318✗1.62322k2022-06-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.261.2558-0.33%1.382+9.68%0.0629✗1.443.8M2022-06-26
PROPropyEthereum0.890.885824-0.47%0.86-3.37%0.0468✓0.75183k2022-06-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.17040.168842-0.91%0.2294+34.62%0.2769✗1.293,4882022-06-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.052430.051755-1.29%0.07088+35.19%0.2916✗1.001,5802022-06-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2759.4529-1.36%60.879+1.01%0.0041✓0.861.3M2022-06-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023850.023525-1.36%0.02717+13.92%0.1212✗1.003,2752022-06-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027080.026665-1.53%0.02368-12.56%0.1598✓1.7940.8M2022-06-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2610.256984-1.54%0.275+5.36%0.0313✗1.591.2M2022-06-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17140.168573-1.65%0.21+22.52%0.1969✗1.002,3532022-06-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75680.74422-1.66%0.8195+8.28%0.0705✗1.132.8M2022-06-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9992.9427-1.88%3.114+3.83%0.0406✗0.704.9M2022-06-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.801524-1.89%0.981+20.07%0.1579✗1.9329.5M2022-06-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.528790.51604-2.41%0.83731+58.34%0.4507✗1.4664k2022-06-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.881.7835-5.13%1.58-15.96%0.1309✓0.43185k2022-06-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.