8=======>

2022-06-15 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0313
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.9%
in alpha space · 26.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
COMPCompoundEthereum35.5237.0416+4.28%40.06+12.78%0.2573✓1.4728k2022-06-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3160.328071+3.82%0.293-7.28%0.0868✓1.64407k2022-06-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,347.815,532.01+3.44%4,972.79-7.01%0.0520✓1.303.7M2022-06-22
AAVEAaveEthereum66.5968.8699+3.42%61.89-7.06%0.0978✓1.687.7M2022-06-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020820.021513+3.33%0.02012-3.36%0.0669✓1.10149k2022-06-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.760.784759+3.26%0.49-35.53%0.3380✗1.0971k2022-06-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7680.792996+3.25%0.698-9.11%0.0427✓1.395.0M2022-06-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18550.19141+3.19%0.1708-7.92%0.0664✓1.48196k2022-06-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05850.060265+3.02%0.0605+3.42%0.1518✓1.21139k2022-06-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.9131.6435+2.93%112.6-11.96%0.0108✓1.194.4M2022-06-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-73.98e-7+2.91%3.14e-7-18.68%0.1339✗0.831.1M2022-06-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.468.7005+2.84%7.87-6.97%0.0421✓1.17508k2022-06-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.253280.260372+2.80%0.26926+6.31%0.1976✓1.34453k2022-06-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.275504+2.80%0.263-1.87%0.0893✓1.11890k2022-06-22
SCSiacoinnative0.00380.003906+2.80%0.00383+0.79%0.1722✓1.57228k2022-06-22
XVGVergenative0.003310.003402+2.79%0.00309-6.65%0.0840✓1.48648k2022-06-22
MOVRMoonriverBase15.050415.4598+2.72%10.8704-27.77%0.1877✗1.35222k2022-06-22
HIVEHivenative0.37880.389034+2.70%0.3821+0.87%0.1600✓1.461.2M2022-06-22
XMRMoneroMonero118.21121.346+2.65%110.94-6.15%0.0499✓1.141.7M2022-06-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030530.003133+2.62%0.002535-16.97%0.0683✗1.172.1M2022-06-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.049770.051046+2.56%0.04824-3.07%0.1125✓1.3870k2022-06-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2918.7567+2.55%16.06-12.19%0.0264✓1.4949.3M2022-06-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2851.3176+2.54%1.437+11.83%0.2700✓1.5079k2022-06-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032330.003313+2.48%0.00274-15.25%0.0419✗1.214,5492022-06-22
ZECZcashZcash68.5770.2715+2.48%63.11-7.96%0.0589✓1.363.6M2022-06-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008770.000898487+2.45%0.000767-12.54%0.0137✓1.412.0M2022-06-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10850.111141+2.43%0.1121+3.32%0.1882✓1.4749k2022-06-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.399570.409282+2.43%0.61535+54.00%0.5982✓1.5663k2022-06-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141960.145374+2.40%0.13181-7.15%0.1037✓1.65260k2022-06-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.634855+2.40%0.42-32.26%0.2799✗1.0956k2022-06-22
STXStacksnative0.36490.37364+2.40%0.3795+4.00%0.1804✓1.35165k2022-06-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4180.427963+2.38%0.448+7.18%0.2440✓1.624,1942022-06-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.065719+2.37%0.0522-18.69%0.1354✗0.78313k2022-06-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24230.248031+2.37%0.2371-2.15%0.1167✓1.3231k2022-06-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7880.806369+2.33%0.648-17.77%0.0785✗1.151.0M2022-06-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8716.0072+2.32%5.514-6.08%0.0802✓1.362.6M2022-06-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008820.000009024+2.31%0.00000966+9.52%0.2239✓1.28850k2022-06-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1120.114584+2.31%0.1046-6.61%0.0884✓1.475.4M2022-06-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070310.007185+2.20%0.006945-1.22%0.0643✓0.81167k2022-06-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.353598+2.20%0.33-4.62%0.0773✓1.2015k2022-06-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.690.704991+2.17%0.606-12.17%0.0168✓1.38578k2022-06-22
KCSKuCoinnative11.83212.0885+2.17%10.437-11.79%0.0110✓1.115.3M2022-06-22
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.48e-7+2.16%7.70e-7-7.23%0.0123✓0.895.5M2022-06-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068820.00703+2.16%0.005947-13.58%0.0361✗1.072,5562022-06-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9541.9956+2.13%2.964+51.69%0.6161✓1.812.9M2022-06-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.90.919015+2.11%0.602-33.11%0.2025✗1.81319k2022-06-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006930.007076+2.11%0.0064-7.65%0.0314✓1.08582k2022-06-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03820.038991+2.07%0.0359-6.02%0.0928✓1.44374k2022-06-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.13430.137042+2.04%0.1337-0.45%0.1496✓1.43169k2022-06-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9866.1071+2.02%5.447-9.00%0.0621✓1.4411.1M2022-06-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6290.641546+1.99%0.686+9.06%0.1962✓1.06372k2022-06-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125190.012768+1.99%0.012055-3.71%0.0546✓0.922.0M2022-06-22
SOLSolanaSolana34.7235.4094+1.99%34.1-1.79%0.1347✓1.41107.4M2022-06-22
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1614.2433+1.98%3.975-4.47%0.1706✓1.9317.0M2022-06-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.478.636+1.96%7.94-6.26%0.0443✓1.05283k2022-06-22
XEMNEMnative0.0415060.042304+1.92%0.040606-2.17%0.1235✓1.3529k2022-06-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.336+1.91%1.185-9.61%0.0916✓1.73231k2022-06-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.327.4574+1.88%7.047-3.73%0.1064✓1.3415.2M2022-06-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4973+1.86%1.35-8.16%0.0975✓1.65596k2022-06-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21390.217856+1.85%0.2137-0.09%0.1562✓1.44472k2022-06-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198230.020187+1.84%0.02105+6.19%0.1957✓1.269,2752022-06-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8816.1623+1.78%15.18-4.41%0.0967✓1.302.6M2022-06-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.100246+1.77%0.0881-10.56%0.0575✓1.531.2M2022-06-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4830.491474+1.75%0.463-4.14%0.1197✓1.47116k2022-06-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,236.451,257.88+1.73%1,048.96-15.16%0.0464✗1.11365.6M2022-06-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.631.6582+1.73%1.48-9.20%0.0376✓1.24270k2022-06-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.10270.104449+1.70%0.0919-10.52%0.0235✓1.24852k2022-06-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0627140.063782+1.70%0.061566-1.83%0.1194✓1.271.3M2022-06-22
FLOWFlownative1.6721.7003+1.69%1.448-13.40%0.0385✗1.00580k2022-06-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3722.4121+1.69%2.319-2.23%0.1437✓1.50104k2022-06-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.881140.895889+1.67%0.95479+8.36%0.2229✓1.305,7412022-06-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05980.060799+1.67%0.0505-15.55%0.0045✓1.481.7M2022-06-22
DIADIAEthereum0.418440.425395+1.66%0.37412-10.59%0.0468✗0.67276k2022-06-22
NANOnanopayBase0.8806030.895194+1.66%0.793151-9.93%0.0134✓1.10120k2022-06-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.21690.220484+1.65%0.2296+5.86%0.1890✓1.22100k2022-06-22
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.3404+1.62%13.84-13.93%0.0117✓1.4665k2022-06-22
DASHDashDash45.8646.5884+1.59%45.07-1.72%0.1073✓1.15837k2022-06-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41190.418416+1.58%0.376-8.72%0.0818✓1.54160k2022-06-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.104292+1.55%0.0924-10.03%0.0242✓1.19733k2022-06-22
XTZTezosTezos1.52691.55+1.51%1.3432-12.03%0.0197✓1.33914k2022-06-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.6351.3917+1.50%52.07+2.84%0.1601✓1.2017.5M2022-06-22
QNTQuantEthereum50.851.5576+1.49%52.28+2.91%0.1343✓0.992.0M2022-06-22
OPTIMOptimism0.5920.600795+1.49%0.462-21.96%0.1406✗1.006.5M2022-06-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14440.146545+1.49%0.1178-18.42%0.0979✗0.99256k2022-06-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16570.168156+1.48%0.1482-10.56%0.0527✓1.47917k2022-06-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04940.050131+1.48%0.0446-9.72%0.0722✓1.5520k2022-06-22
QTUMQtumQtum2.95663+1.47%2.7336-7.54%0.0539✓1.2041k2022-06-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.73043+1.45%0.67-6.94%0.0914✓1.46195k2022-06-22
GTGateEthereum4.40014.4637+1.45%4.0753-7.38%0.0107✓0.662.1M2022-06-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2740330.27798+1.44%0.270138-1.42%0.1527✓1.482.4M2022-06-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.030935+1.43%0.0277-9.18%0.0551✓1.36247k2022-06-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028050.028448+1.42%0.02917+3.99%0.1966✓1.4018k2022-06-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.872.9104+1.41%2.55-11.15%0.0046✓1.12663k2022-06-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.00231.0163+1.39%1.0404+3.80%0.1758✓1.2549k2022-06-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02652.0547+1.39%1.8171-10.34%0.0439✓1.3768k2022-06-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.854.9169+1.38%4.5-7.22%0.0875✓1.44405k2022-06-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.111.125+1.35%1.19+7.21%0.2515✓1.601.1M2022-06-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019210.019467+1.34%0.01586-17.44%0.1207✗0.69631k2022-06-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.467620.473835+1.33%0.5232+11.89%0.3421✓1.993.5M2022-06-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.6810.689858+1.30%0.729+7.05%0.2785✓1.831.8M2022-06-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,542.4022,835.60+1.30%19,947.30-11.51%0.0146✗0.9929k2022-06-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28590.289556+1.28%0.2842-0.59%0.1386✓1.296.1M2022-06-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,562.3322,830.62+1.19%19,968.46-11.50%0.0118✗1.00602.3M2022-06-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7915.9776+1.19%13.98-11.46%0.0445✓1.462.4M2022-06-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09030.091351+1.16%0.0726-19.60%0.0510✗1.46354k2022-06-22
KSMKusamaHydration58.2658.8896+1.08%51.87-10.97%0.0242✓1.241.0M2022-06-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10740.108556+1.08%0.082-23.65%0.1205✗1.314,0262022-06-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.454.4975+1.07%4.4-1.12%0.0655✓0.721.6M2022-06-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10790.109008+1.03%0.1023-5.19%0.0745✓1.137,2892022-06-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.550.55552+1.00%0.5-9.09%0.0646✓1.39771k2022-06-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12860.129883+1.00%0.1225-4.74%0.0629✓0.993.3M2022-06-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.314370.317479+0.99%0.293-6.80%0.1039✓1.5114k2022-06-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.06550.066137+0.97%0.0542-17.25%0.0055✓1.59141k2022-06-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33990.343014+0.92%0.3136-7.74%0.0625✓1.2514.6M2022-06-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17860.180212+0.90%0.1831+2.52%0.1639✓1.213,0802022-06-22
UNIUniswapEthereum4.4154.4545+0.89%4.977+12.73%0.2762✓1.353.2M2022-06-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.432.4513+0.88%2.37-2.47%0.1821✓1.77304k2022-06-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05011.0588+0.83%0.73856-29.67%0.2616✗0.816242022-06-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.4918.5609+0.82%7.384-13.04%0.0129✓1.3213.5M2022-06-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.3802+0.82%6.616-9.62%0.0512✓1.3140.5M2022-06-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0508+0.82%2.908-3.90%0.0584✓0.871.9M2022-06-22
STEEMSteemnative0.19650.198079+0.80%0.2187+11.30%0.2584✓1.31629k2022-06-22
XECeCashnative0.000040390.000040712+0.80%0.00003694-8.54%0.0704✓1.373.0M2022-06-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041180.041506+0.79%0.04219+2.45%0.1541✓1.132,9602022-06-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53621.548+0.77%1.3099-14.73%0.0091✗1.292.0M2022-06-22
TRXTRONTron0.0629980.063462+0.74%0.062991-0.01%0.1146✓1.00756k2022-06-22
DODODODOEthereum0.1380.138965+0.70%0.1206-12.61%0.0358✓1.454.4M2022-06-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0182.0319+0.69%1.776-11.99%0.0584✓1.5897k2022-06-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054120.054488+0.68%0.05045-6.78%0.1222✓1.632.0M2022-06-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009860.009922+0.63%0.00932-5.48%0.0685✓1.0712.1M2022-06-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.084.1054+0.62%4.04-0.98%0.0700✓0.701.7M2022-06-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.926738+0.62%0.83608-9.23%0.0677✓1.40789k2022-06-22
XVSVenusEthereum4.494.5147+0.55%4.86+8.24%0.2840✓1.721.7M2022-06-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044730.044962+0.52%0.04676+4.54%0.1768✓1.1314k2022-06-22
ADACardanoCardano0.53430.537053+0.52%0.4589-14.11%0.0174✓1.4365.8M2022-06-22
BANDBandEthereum1.571.5775+0.48%1.366-12.99%0.0481✓1.57374k2022-06-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.566.5907+0.47%6.39-2.59%0.0292✓0.492.1M2022-06-22
FTTFTXEthereum25.5625.6766+0.46%25.18-1.49%0.0933✓0.929.4M2022-06-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1210180.121552+0.44%0.112877-6.73%0.0599✓1.1010.7M2022-06-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.312.3542+0.44%10.91-11.30%0.0849✓1.71333k2022-06-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.009770.009813+0.44%0.00951-2.66%0.0975✓1.051.5M2022-06-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.439+0.43%2.4267-0.07%0.2235✓1.8717k2022-06-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0512330.051416+0.36%0.05289+3.23%0.1168✓0.7367k2022-06-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.329.3417+0.23%8.49-8.91%0.1110✓1.692.7M2022-06-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7840.785821+0.23%0.765-2.42%0.1720✓1.633.2M2022-06-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.222.2241+0.19%2.11-4.95%0.0609✓0.933.4M2022-06-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4654+0.15%3.19-7.80%0.0115✓0.771.7M2022-06-22
PROPropyEthereum0.910.911363+0.15%0.87-4.40%0.0463✓0.76187k2022-06-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.7762.7798+0.14%2.386-14.05%0.0070✓1.311.1M2022-06-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5562.5588+0.11%2.475-3.17%0.0907✓1.0163k2022-06-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8150.815448+0.05%0.774-5.03%0.0701✓1.001.7M2022-06-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66670.666993+0.04%0.8371+25.56%0.3755✓1.212.8M2022-06-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99474.9964+0.03%5.8136+16.40%0.1838✓0.26235k2022-06-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9610.960189-0.08%0.936-2.60%0.0966✗1.001.6M2022-06-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.0720.071918-0.11%0.0609-15.42%0.0126✗1.46410k2022-06-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.63522.6276-0.29%2.5053-4.93%0.0882✗1.113.1M2022-06-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360610.359537-0.30%0.36639+1.60%0.1774✗1.30105k2022-06-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84081.8352-0.30%1.7619-4.29%0.0723✗0.933.2M2022-06-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.47755.2924-0.33%61.895+11.57%0.2212✗0.891.2M2022-06-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000061940.000061674-0.43%0.00005646-8.85%0.2090✗2.431.7M2022-06-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.5191.511-0.53%1.563+2.90%0.2181✗1.51879k2022-06-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0162620.016176-0.53%0.017121+5.28%0.1295✗0.60469k2022-06-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063040.062657-0.61%0.05098-19.13%0.0841✓1.001,7292022-06-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.743.7136-0.71%3.636-2.78%0.0643✗0.707.0M2022-06-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.237724-0.95%0.236-1.67%0.2063✗1.751.3M2022-06-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.9417-0.96%3.55-10.80%0.0356✓0.572.1M2022-06-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2163.1788-1.16%2.725-15.27%0.0903✓0.524.5M2022-06-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.2198-1.35%3.081-5.61%0.0433✗0.724.4M2022-06-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4755-1.37%1.397-6.62%0.1301✗1.515.5M2022-06-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025230.024841-1.54%0.02377-5.79%0.1906✗1.9240.1M2022-06-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5493-1.94%1.71+8.23%0.1814✗0.68166k2022-06-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9620.92645-3.70%0.758-21.21%0.0495✗2.0529.5M2022-06-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.