8=======>

2022-03-01 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1963
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.9%
in alpha space · 76.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.4479.1172-3.49%8.421-10.86%0.0625✓1.421.9M2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.740932-2.28%0.7291-3.84%0.0006✓1.392.5M2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.278.098-2.08%7.94-3.99%0.0087✓0.92461k2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.528456-2.03%0.5029-6.77%0.0256✓2.012.1M2022-03-02
API3Api3Ethereum8.0947.9545-1.72%7.3-9.81%0.0800✓0.492.9M2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.069204-1.56%0.0655-6.83%0.0339✓1.7676.7M2022-03-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-76.03e-7-1.26%6.29e-7+3.00%0.0542✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.788-1.21%2.237+23.59%0.2343✗0.8676k2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.103532-1.21%0.0991-5.44%0.0259✓1.50613k2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.9622-1.21%1.9592-1.36%0.0109✓1.0475k2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum1.841.8178-1.21%1.82-1.09%0.0156✗1.21452k2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.5425-1.16%2.7751+7.88%0.0981✗0.882.7M2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.417275-1.07%0.4033-4.39%0.0144✓1.6414.7M2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 289.7288.7758-1.05%92.43+3.02%0.0575✗1.434.8M2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.0398-1.02%2.98-2.96%0.0093✓0.89218k2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3419.145-1.01%19.31-0.16%0.0224✗1.1620.6M2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.5203-1.01%2.647+3.97%0.0665✗1.4613.6M2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.033915-1.01%0.03397-0.85%0.0123✗0.901.2M2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.6857-0.95%1.6226-4.65%0.0230✓1.27278k2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.756-0.94%6.64-2.64%0.0004✓1.41942k2022-03-02
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0502-0.93%1.02-3.77%0.0260✓0.27286k2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415665.828-0.88%71.55+7.73%0.0999✗1.38223k2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.022484-0.87%0.021073-7.09%0.0545✓0.86124k2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.72046-0.87%0.7242-0.36%0.0093✗0.351.2M2022-03-02
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.5583-0.84%2.52-2.33%0.0031✓1.00488k2022-03-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001973-0.83%0.00000196-1.51%0.0011✓0.6614.0M2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2421,575.70-0.83%22,346.94+2.72%0.0468✗0.985.9M2022-03-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.3108-0.83%2.35+0.86%0.0288✗1.00443k2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.291.2795-0.81%1.25-3.10%0.0090✓1.20596k2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.773659-0.81%0.75-3.85%0.0106✓1.711.0M2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.4636-0.81%3.494+0.06%0.0240✗1.282.1M2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.1675-0.80%2.99-6.36%0.0463✓0.95741k2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.4427-0.79%3.41-1.73%0.0055✓1.266.8M2022-03-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.2352-0.78%1.164-6.51%0.0467✓1.061.3M2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0913.9838-0.75%13.69-2.84%0.0082✓1.09331k2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.0816-0.75%5.59+9.18%0.1074✗1.01828k2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.027989-0.75%0.0268-4.96%0.0276✓1.33500k2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.2805-0.73%1.27-1.55%0.0042✓1.04885k2022-03-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.6069-0.73%2.895+10.24%0.1207✗1.33584k2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.3184-0.72%1.359+2.33%0.0460✗1.312.0M2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2627.0663-0.71%26.56-2.57%0.0024✓1.381.6M2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.8263-0.69%4.65-4.32%0.0192✓1.51456k2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.1809-0.69%3.114-2.78%0.0111✓0.85477k2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1430.927-0.68%32.25+3.56%0.0555✗1.1450.3M2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1956.8069-0.67%55.59-2.80%0.0062✓1.306.7M2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero177.8176.6378-0.65%177.46-0.19%0.0166✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4676-0.65%6.43-1.23%0.0047✓0.88452k2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.8776-0.65%20.76-5.72%0.0353✓1.44328k2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.475908-0.65%0.468-2.30%0.0014✓1.294.2M2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.8473-0.63%20.73-1.19%0.0077✗1.129.1M2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.020323-0.62%0.01892-7.48%0.0585✓1.092.2M2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0779-0.61%1.0742-0.96%0.0125✗1.33175k2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.8197-0.61%2.7532-2.96%0.0095✓1.203.3M2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.078118-0.61%0.0775-1.40%0.0077✗1.311.0M2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.316099-0.60%0.308-3.14%0.0104✓1.312.2M2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9782-0.59%1.93-3.02%0.0088✓1.332.0M2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.011394-0.57%0.01231+7.42%0.0940✗1.392.8M2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.122298-0.57%0.116-5.69%0.0464✓0.5444k2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.304065-0.57%0.2945-3.70%0.0162✓1.32328k2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.522352-0.56%0.5144-2.08%0.0011✓1.37484k2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.135451-0.55%0.1299-4.63%0.0265✓1.293.1M2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.831371-0.54%0.8082-3.31%0.0110✓1.45270k2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.795689-0.54%0.7872-1.60%0.0023✓1.099.7M2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.4905-0.53%5.57+0.91%0.0246✗0.86510k2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.1051-0.53%3.0322-2.87%0.0133✓0.883.6M2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.1548-0.53%3.976-4.81%0.0293✓1.232.3M2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34142.5849-0.53%137.7-3.93%0.0189✓1.346.8M2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.2052-0.52%4.016-4.99%0.0305✓1.301.8M2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.1816-0.51%15.16-0.66%0.0162✗1.482.4M2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.599-0.50%1.548-3.67%0.0152✓1.45863k2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0302-0.49%0.9988-3.52%0.0167✓1.192.1M2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.573713-0.48%0.5665-1.73%0.0018✓0.91642k2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.2887-0.46%15.29-0.46%0.0142✗1.1852.2M2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.075977-0.46%0.07258-4.91%0.0308✓1.2569k2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3591-0.45%1.389+1.75%0.0381✗1.362.8M2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.0951-0.44%10.14+0.00%0.0124✗0.66928k2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.4822-0.44%4.505+0.07%0.0151✗0.84435k2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration138.55137.9692-0.42%138.31-0.17%0.0163✗1.15973k2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94125.4129-0.42%122.45-2.77%0.0094✓1.2258k2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.6774-0.42%6.4867-3.26%0.0129✓1.34226k2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.8235-0.40%18.61-1.53%0.0031✓1.2129.4M2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.2984-0.40%10.05-2.80%0.0104✓1.1810.8M2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.010440.010399-0.39%0.01037-0.67%0.0121✗1.241.3M2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9686.6191-0.39%83.42-4.07%0.0205✓1.43118.3M2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3530.232-0.39%29.52-2.73%0.0110✓1.085.2M2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9544,271.68-0.38%43,912.34-1.19%0.0038✓1.00632.3M2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2194-0.38%1.202-1.80%0.0001✓1.202.9M2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.373889-0.38%0.3742-0.29%0.0171✗1.368.7M2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.886661-0.38%0.917+3.03%0.0490✗1.282.3M2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.3871-0.37%2.298-4.09%0.0272✓0.9123k2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4509-0.37%2.43-1.22%0.0034✓1.00263k2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1043,977.31-0.37%44,262.00+0.28%0.0181✗0.9752k2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004693-0.36%0.00469-0.42%0.0190✗1.649.6M2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.5165-0.36%1.496-1.71%0.0003✓1.12939k2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase39.3439.1995-0.36%38.92-1.07%0.0101✗1.45280k2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum46.2546.0879-0.35%46.16-0.19%0.0143✗1.0722.8M2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.012446-0.35%0.012216-2.19%0.0064✓1.0315k2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1725-0.34%2.13-2.29%0.0059✓1.17354k2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash119.02118.6149-0.34%125.91+5.79%0.0731✗1.137.2M2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.049317-0.34%0.04679-5.45%0.0398✓1.078.1M2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.2665-0.33%4.413+3.10%0.0474✗1.14244k2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.7597-0.33%30.37-1.59%0.0017✓0.931.5M2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.0822-0.32%3.0297-2.02%0.0066✓0.882.4M2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.256778-0.32%0.2571-0.19%0.0122✗0.912.0M2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.7397-0.32%16.15+2.28%0.0342✗0.712.2M2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.1948-0.31%0.197+0.82%0.0276✗1.372.8M2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.9324-0.29%5.9424-0.13%0.0053✗0.31433k2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.072693-0.28%0.0714-2.06%0.0059✓1.0112k2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009763-0.28%0.00957-2.25%0.0049✓1.25563k2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.028771-0.27%0.02832-1.84%0.0066✓0.774.1M2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.431-0.26%5.551+1.95%0.0327✗0.9171k2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000078761-0.25%0.00007594-3.82%0.0234✓1.104.5M2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.578-0.25%1.464-7.46%0.0625✓1.053.4M2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016519-0.25%0.01634-1.33%0.0072✗1.5212.5M2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.854851-0.24%0.8204-4.26%0.0276✓1.1320.7M2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.198507-0.21%0.193624-2.67%0.0122✓1.0720.5M2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.695531-0.21%0.703+0.86%0.0234✗1.072.5M2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.6137-0.21%1.59-1.67%0.0011✓1.151.8M2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum119.35119.1067-0.20%117.95-1.17%0.0020✗0.996.4M2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.152006-0.19%0.149-2.17%0.0103✓0.81294k2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,972.09-0.19%2,948.56-0.98%0.0045✗1.04561.7M2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.092071-0.18%0.091-1.34%0.0010✓1.0643k2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041795-0.18%0.04078-2.60%0.0127✓0.9929k2022-03-02
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.3336-0.18%9.78+4.60%0.0612✗1.213.4M2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.572624-0.17%0.570611-0.52%0.0100✗1.132.8M2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.7116-0.17%20.355-1.88%0.0055✓0.999.5M2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.231434-0.16%0.2308-0.43%0.0148✗1.472.6M2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.241621-0.16%0.247+2.07%0.0322✗0.8659k2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.161248-0.16%0.1595-1.24%0.0013✓1.03446k2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.75536.7461-0.14%6.803+0.71%0.0168✗0.702.8M2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.754572-0.13%0.73047-3.32%0.0161✓1.37206k2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.074204-0.13%0.0754+1.48%0.0278✗0.99155k2022-03-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.048618-0.13%0.04875+0.14%0.0171✗1.20681k2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.165321-0.13%0.16542-0.07%0.0148✗1.1924k2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.399126-0.12%0.397-0.65%0.0117✗1.431.3M2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012218-0.10%0.01235+0.98%0.0196✗0.7413k2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.062117-0.10%0.061505-1.08%0.0007✓0.77299k2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000027104-0.10%0.00002591-4.50%0.0301✓1.253.9M2022-03-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.133876-0.09%0.133081-0.68%0.0053✗0.943.7M2022-03-02
DASHDashDash100.0199.9285-0.08%100.9+0.89%0.0232✗1.131.5M2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.963659-0.07%0.9394-2.58%0.0122✓1.1197.3M2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65112.5857-0.06%110.35-2.04%0.0067✓1.1229.5M2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.8196-0.05%6.7-1.80%0.0010✓1.3927k2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78328.648-0.04%320.43-2.54%0.0137✓0.977.6M2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.10970.109673-0.02%0.1064-3.01%0.0187✓0.9741k2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana98.798.7044+0.00%100.73+2.06%0.0353✓1.26131.2M2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.2584+0.02%2.2311-1.19%0.0036✗0.7126k2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.7725+0.03%6.038+4.63%0.0575✓1.05181k2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.9217+0.03%1.8782-2.23%0.0088✗1.18179k2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.722+0.03%6.71-0.15%0.0044✓0.511.2M2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6887.8405+0.18%86.11-1.79%0.0099✗0.84905k2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.