8=======>

2022-02-23 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0972
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.3%
in alpha space · 65.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0824-1.60%1.02-7.27%0.0879✓1.00286k2022-02-24
API3Api3Ethereum6.3576.2571-1.57%7.001+10.13%0.1027✗0.342.0M2022-02-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.74841.7315-0.97%1.4257-18.46%0.2375✓1.51229k2022-02-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43310.429176-0.91%0.3935-9.14%0.1407✓1.892.0M2022-02-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1440.143-0.69%0.126-12.50%0.1556✓1.0253k2022-02-24
LUNATerraTerra 259.5459.1295-0.69%65.24+9.57%0.0603✗1.334.5M2022-02-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02530.025139-0.64%0.0281+11.07%0.0707✗1.43497k2022-02-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9380.932225-0.62%1.187+26.55%0.2065✗1.23934k2022-02-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.5328.3877-0.50%30.76+7.82%0.0512✗1.021.5M2022-02-24
XMRMoneroMonero149.01148.2764-0.49%147-1.35%0.0372✓1.00966k2022-02-24
MOVRMoonriverBase67.759167.428-0.49%63.0112-7.01%0.1106✓1.50243k2022-02-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8118.7191-0.48%19.48+3.56%0.0042✓1.54334k2022-02-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0491780.048945-0.47%0.045853-6.76%0.1012✓1.267.5M2022-02-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8071.7993-0.42%1.717-4.98%0.0754✓1.0076k2022-02-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018760.018682-0.42%0.01718-8.42%0.1161✓1.132.1M2022-02-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.3514.2907-0.41%13.97-2.65%0.0440✓0.751.8M2022-02-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.09756.0727-0.41%5.718-6.22%0.0714✓0.39412k2022-02-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.92990.926164-0.40%0.8008-13.88%0.1630✓0.611.5M2022-02-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.19541.1907-0.39%1.1579-3.13%0.0671✓1.372.6M2022-02-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06870.068437-0.38%0.0685-0.29%0.0383✓1.371.1M2022-02-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2675-0.38%3.14-4.27%0.0795✓1.397.0M2022-02-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos25.1525.0543-0.38%24.86-1.15%0.0392✓1.1052.8M2022-02-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.573.2237-0.38%76.41+3.96%0.0002✓1.50106.7M2022-02-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.2917.2273-0.36%16.6-3.99%0.0699✓1.1522.3M2022-02-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.289.2464-0.36%8.97-3.34%0.0510✓0.72758k2022-02-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8782.8676-0.36%2.747-4.55%0.0700✓0.95460k2022-02-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.8291-0.36%5.89+0.68%0.0013✓0.411.3M2022-02-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012186-0.36%0.01188-2.86%0.0471✓0.7615k2022-02-24
DODODODOEthereum0.4430.441465-0.35%0.423-4.51%0.0818✓1.374.5M2022-02-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,320.9520,251.57-0.34%19,425.17-4.41%0.0711✓1.035.7M2022-02-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04760.047438-0.34%0.0532+11.76%0.0639✗1.7864.3M2022-02-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.78752.7781-0.34%2.6203-6.00%0.0874✓1.012.3M2022-02-24
RADRadworksEthereum4.864.8437-0.33%4.44-8.64%0.1153✓0.99682k2022-02-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044860.044717-0.32%0.0436-2.81%0.0628✓1.31768k2022-02-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.133075-0.32%0.1304-2.32%0.0493✓1.02467k2022-02-24
UMAUMAEthereum4.9774.9616-0.31%4.785-3.86%0.0648✓1.001.8M2022-02-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1354.1225-0.30%3.945-4.59%0.0684✓0.86395k2022-02-24
FTTFTXEthereum40.7840.6598-0.29%41.3+1.28%0.0173✓1.1526.3M2022-02-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.120256-0.29%0.1205-0.08%0.0360✓1.332.9M2022-02-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010060.010032-0.28%0.00977-2.88%0.0700✓1.532.2M2022-02-24
HIVEHivenative0.81850.816234-0.28%0.8143-0.51%0.0417✓1.381.7M2022-02-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.2555-0.28%5.03-4.55%0.0688✓0.87367k2022-02-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71260.710666-0.27%0.6953-2.43%0.0544✓1.149.7M2022-02-24
ZECZcashZcash97.5197.2595-0.26%102.72+5.34%0.0214✗1.167.6M2022-02-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.025930.025864-0.25%0.02616+0.89%0.0107✓0.774.4M2022-02-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5992.5924-0.25%2.481-4.54%0.0680✓0.84198k2022-02-24
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001895-0.25%0.00000181-4.74%0.0746✓1.0014.4M2022-02-24
AAVEAaveEthereum130.67130.3466-0.25%125.3-4.11%0.0808✓1.456.5M2022-02-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.1822.126-0.24%22.41+1.04%0.0284✓1.441.8M2022-02-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.668392-0.24%0.64-4.48%0.0987✓1.941.0M2022-02-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.082870.082671-0.24%0.08206-0.98%0.0391✓1.1147k2022-02-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.1149-0.24%1.97-7.08%0.1062✓1.24324k2022-02-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03660.036515-0.23%0.03323-9.21%0.1196✓0.891.7M2022-02-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4318.3879-0.23%18.42-0.05%0.0330✓1.229.2M2022-02-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024840.000024784-0.22%0.00002389-3.82%0.0761✓1.383.7M2022-02-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.684.6695-0.22%4.42-5.56%0.0778✓0.80431k2022-02-24
XYMSymbolnative0.1470.146677-0.22%0.1399-4.83%0.0702✓0.80345k2022-02-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2852.28-0.22%2.241-1.93%0.0620✓1.5713.2M2022-02-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.765.7474-0.22%5.42-5.90%0.0837✓0.88425k2022-02-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.6955-0.22%6.1-9.09%0.0995✓0.221.2M2022-02-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2340.233498-0.21%0.219-6.41%0.0894✓0.8959k2022-02-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.7948.6897-0.21%48.82+0.06%0.0351✓1.327.5M2022-02-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3182.3133-0.20%2.188-5.61%0.0918✓1.27772k2022-02-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.86583.8581-0.20%3.7351-3.38%0.0668✓1.21283k2022-02-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35360.352897-0.20%0.3618+2.32%0.0155✓1.428.4M2022-02-24
XVGVergenative0.009380.009361-0.20%0.00894-4.69%0.0828✓1.291.2M2022-02-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3311.3284-0.20%1.338+0.53%0.0255✓1.151.6M2022-02-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2941.2915-0.19%1.208-6.65%0.1064✓1.381.8M2022-02-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55162.5468-0.19%2.5825+1.21%0.0229✓1.293.2M2022-02-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6670.665785-0.18%0.64-4.05%0.0712✓1.112.0M2022-02-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.49220.491347-0.17%0.458-6.95%0.1089✓1.352.2M2022-02-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7483.7416-0.17%3.941+5.15%0.0157✗1.272.3M2022-02-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,524.2037,460.27-0.17%38,311.50+2.10%0.0051✓0.9739k2022-02-24
XEMNEMnative0.09430.09414-0.17%0.093-1.38%0.0417✓1.0337k2022-02-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227580.02272-0.17%0.021665-4.80%0.0777✓1.06111k2022-02-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.84182.8372-0.16%2.6254-7.61%0.1065✓1.012.6M2022-02-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72071.7179-0.16%1.8131+5.37%0.0391✗0.522.7M2022-02-24
QNTQuantEthereum108.35108.1812-0.16%108.73+0.35%0.0242✓1.026.6M2022-02-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.281566-0.15%0.274-2.84%0.0666✓1.382.0M2022-02-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.58611.5837-0.15%1.5371-3.09%0.0604✓1.0772k2022-02-24
NANOnanopayBase1.90931.9066-0.14%1.7738-7.10%0.1073✓1.23206k2022-02-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1669-0.14%2.19+0.92%0.0184✓1.01275k2022-02-24
KSMKusamaHydration123.58123.4078-0.14%117.93-4.57%0.0795✓1.19930k2022-02-24
KCSKuCoinnative18.74918.7238-0.13%18.173-3.07%0.0624✓1.149.6M2022-02-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.777954-0.13%0.827+6.16%0.0222✗1.362.1M2022-02-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.17030.170073-0.13%0.1641-3.64%0.0761✓1.412.9M2022-02-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5326.4949-0.13%26.53+0.00%0.0298✓1.094.9M2022-02-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037440.037394-0.12%0.03686-1.55%0.0456✓1.0931k2022-02-24
BANDBandEthereum3.6553.6505-0.12%3.558-2.65%0.0618✓1.271.9M2022-02-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV82.1782.0696-0.12%81.89-0.34%0.0279✓0.90946k2022-02-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.239313-0.12%0.2371-1.04%0.0426✓1.17410k2022-02-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.0368-0.12%1.104+6.36%0.0269✗1.262.8M2022-02-24
QTUMQtumQtum5.74015.7333-0.12%5.8411+1.76%0.0227✓1.45153k2022-02-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06220.06213-0.11%0.0609-2.09%0.0505✓1.0714k2022-02-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.75130.750463-0.11%0.74-1.50%0.0579✓1.54317k2022-02-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060160.060094-0.11%0.06073+0.95%0.0129✓0.8275k2022-02-24
XECeCashnative0.000070220.000070143-0.11%0.00007114+1.31%0.0193✓1.174.4M2022-02-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5265790.526008-0.11%0.509766-3.19%0.0646✓1.163.2M2022-02-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.903290.902314-0.11%0.89559-0.85%0.0389✓1.10160k2022-02-24
COMPCompoundEthereum109.49109.3769-0.10%108.77-0.66%0.0424✓1.2964k2022-02-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot15.9715.9538-0.10%16.18+1.31%0.0239✓1.3327.9M2022-02-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.41105.3053-0.10%104.24-1.11%0.0447✓1.2129.5M2022-02-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3831.3816-0.10%1.344-2.82%0.0625✓1.221.0M2022-02-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3891.3876-0.10%1.36-2.09%0.0622✓1.48928k2022-02-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78530.784545-0.10%0.7779-0.94%0.0438✓1.2422.9M2022-02-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.659430.658796-0.10%0.66022+0.12%0.0391✓1.45246k2022-02-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00840.008392-0.10%0.00834-0.71%0.0356✓1.03525k2022-02-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06930.069238-0.09%0.0646-6.78%0.1005✓1.09176k2022-02-24
XTZTezosTezos2.93312.9305-0.09%3.0389+3.61%0.0007✓1.302.0M2022-02-24
UNIUniswapEthereum8.758.7422-0.09%8.83+0.91%0.0277✓1.3210.8M2022-02-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash288.37288.1267-0.08%300.94+4.36%0.0150✗1.007.3M2022-02-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1815.1767-0.08%4.747-8.38%0.1095✓0.8065k2022-02-24
ADACardanoCardano0.86640.865771-0.07%0.8533-1.51%0.0473✓1.1597.3M2022-02-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.7008-0.07%11.99-5.66%0.0870✓1.03369k2022-02-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.591.5889-0.07%1.56-1.89%0.0569✓1.352.0M2022-02-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.149490.14939-0.07%0.15132+1.22%0.0259✓1.3629k2022-02-24
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5541.553-0.06%1.504-3.22%0.0639✓1.113.4M2022-02-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3488-0.05%2.19-6.81%0.0985✓1.00639k2022-02-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.15382.1528-0.05%2.1177-1.68%0.0413✓0.8728k2022-02-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.3413.3338-0.05%13.27-0.52%0.0395✓1.2260.6M2022-02-24
TRXTRONTron0.0607840.060757-0.04%0.061098+0.52%0.0187✓0.85286k2022-02-24
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8585.8556-0.04%5.793-1.11%0.0212✓0.3729k2022-02-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,268.1937,253.69-0.04%38,347.30+2.90%0.0004✓1.00632.3M2022-02-24
XVSVenusEthereum8.348.3369-0.04%8.95+7.31%0.0340✗1.293.1M2022-02-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2414.2358-0.03%13.72-3.65%0.0814✓1.562.3M2022-02-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1818880.18185-0.02%0.182403+0.28%0.0269✓1.0521.4M2022-02-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.5795-0.02%2.68+3.88%0.0097✗1.00671k2022-02-24
GTGateEthereum6.14826.1471-0.02%6.235+1.41%0.0091✓0.823.0M2022-02-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.0072.0066-0.02%2.003-0.20%0.0316✓1.0419k2022-02-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48490.484828-0.01%0.4805-0.91%0.0364✓0.96643k2022-02-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.43910.439066-0.01%0.4313-1.78%0.0594✓1.45572k2022-02-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2210.220989-0.01%0.2141-3.12%0.0603✓1.001.8M2022-02-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273610.127371+0.01%0.124116-2.55%0.0548✗1.013.7M2022-02-24
ZENHorizenBase32.8432.843+0.01%34.22+4.20%0.0040✗1.58309k2022-02-24
PROPropyEthereum1.781.7803+0.02%1.69-5.06%0.0987✗1.63582k2022-02-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.012140.012143+0.02%0.01147-5.52%0.0897✗1.1539k2022-02-24
DASHDashDash88.2888.3032+0.03%87.88-0.45%0.0382✗1.171.5M2022-02-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,580.972,581.85+0.03%2,597.42+0.64%0.0250✗1.09561.7M2022-02-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36510.36524+0.04%0.3452-5.45%0.0968✗1.411.3M2022-02-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.08450.084535+0.04%0.079-6.51%0.1095✗1.46668k2022-02-24
SOLSolanaSolana84.6484.6851+0.05%89.41+5.64%0.0188✓1.24132.7M2022-02-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.191.191+0.09%1.13-5.04%0.0894✗1.29934k2022-02-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004440.004444+0.09%0.00413-6.98%0.1271✗1.8912.6M2022-02-24
STXStacksnative1.131.131+0.09%1.12-0.88%0.0475✗1.32725k2022-02-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.234.2339+0.09%4.24+0.24%0.0299✗1.10456k2022-02-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.20390.2041+0.10%0.1956-4.07%0.0864✗1.543.3M2022-02-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3635.3703+0.14%5.016-6.47%0.0980✗1.04241k2022-02-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018020.01806+0.22%0.01693-6.05%0.1111✗1.6311.1M2022-02-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32930.330383+0.33%0.3302+0.27%0.0486✗1.6816.0M2022-02-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.272.2805+0.46%2.18-3.96%0.0847✗1.39579k2022-02-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.