2022-02-20 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0068

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.73%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

81.3%

in alpha space · 90.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.56%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.8737	-2.50%	5.07	-28.09%	0.2720	✓	0.89	682k	2022-02-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.8361	-1.92%	5.72	-17.93%	0.1690	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-02-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.7928	-1.18%	1.646	-9.27%	0.0306	✓	1.51	189k	2022-02-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.455634	-0.99%	0.4311	-6.32%	0.0151	✗	1.94	2.0M	2022-02-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.027769	-0.82%	0.0263	-6.07%	0.0013	✓	1.46	499k	2022-02-21
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	2.0227	-0.80%	1.853	-9.12%	0.0514	✓	1.00	84k	2022-02-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	3.0008	-0.64%	2.8682	-5.03%	0.0093	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-21
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.934353	-0.60%	0.91	-3.19%	0.0098	✗	1.00	277k	2022-02-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.050922	-0.58%	0.050288	-1.82%	0.0342	✗	1.29	7.5M	2022-02-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.6093	-0.57%	3.28	-9.64%	0.0458	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-02-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	73.9184	-0.55%	68.7997	-7.43%	0.0170	✓	1.51	281k	2022-02-21
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.126314	-0.54%	0.132	+3.94%	0.0837	✗	1.09	51k	2022-02-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.052815	-0.54%	0.0474	-10.73%	0.0448	✓	1.75	64.3M	2022-02-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.5355	-0.52%	5.95	-9.44%	0.0791	✓	0.41	1.4M	2022-02-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	18.6121	-0.47%	17.77	-4.97%	0.0040	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-02-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.6419	-0.46%	13.77	-6.39%	0.0357	✓	0.71	1.8M	2022-02-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0927	-0.46%	2.889	-7.02%	0.0353	✓	0.91	492k	2022-02-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.074057	-0.46%	0.0681	-8.47%	0.0349	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.8049	-0.45%	26.51	-5.08%	0.0127	✓	0.97	1.4M	2022-02-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.7263	-0.45%	9.06	-7.27%	0.0467	✓	0.67	821k	2022-02-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.135603	-0.44%	0.1283	-5.80%	0.0181	✓	1.03	470k	2022-02-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.675	-0.44%	5.27	-7.54%	0.0435	✓	0.84	398k	2022-02-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	4.9881	-0.44%	4.83	-3.59%	0.0040	✓	0.78	431k	2022-02-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	2.0089	-0.43%	1.7569	-12.92%	0.1155	✓	0.51	2.8M	2022-02-21
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.911897	-0.43%	0.8148	-11.03%	0.0560	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.5396	-0.41%	2.34	-8.24%	0.0243	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-02-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4898	-0.41%	2.321	-7.16%	0.0242	✓	1.27	845k	2022-02-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	25.9846	-0.40%	23.83	-8.66%	0.0477	✓	1.07	57.6M	2022-02-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.019178	-0.40%	0.018035	-6.34%	0.0198	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012609	-0.40%	0.01284	+1.42%	0.0476	✗	0.82	15k	2022-02-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.896456	-0.39%	0.92	+2.22%	0.0722	✗	1.28	878k	2022-02-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.4704	-0.39%	2.16	-12.90%	0.0912	✓	1.19	359k	2022-02-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.782871	-0.39%	0.7113	-9.49%	0.0554	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-02-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	153.2832	-0.38%	148	-3.81%	0.0013	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	18.7185	-0.38%	17.63	-6.17%	0.0040	✓	1.54	350k	2022-02-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	77.0982	-0.38%	70.08	-9.45%	0.0429	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-02-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.7876	-0.37%	2.583	-7.68%	0.0470	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	20,592.18	-0.36%	19,642.84	-4.96%	0.0102	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-02-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.133837	-0.34%	0.1229	-8.49%	0.0382	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.469384	-0.34%	0.444	-5.73%	0.0054	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-02-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	107.7528	-0.33%	100.47	-7.07%	0.0268	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-02-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.777477	-0.32%	0.72	-7.69%	0.0055	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	137.1076	-0.32%	128.58	-6.52%	0.0121	✓	1.44	6.8M	2022-02-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	40.7093	-0.32%	39.81	-2.52%	0.0199	✗	1.16	27.9M	2022-02-21
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001964	-0.31%	0.00000194	-1.52%	0.0240	✗	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.1981	-0.31%	4.021	-4.51%	0.0128	✓	0.84	395k	2022-02-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.1142	-0.30%	1.1385	+1.87%	0.0702	✗	1.34	2.5M	2022-02-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.7175	-0.30%	5.8395	+1.82%	0.0350	✗	0.38	430k	2022-02-21
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.947127	-0.30%	0.8883	-6.49%	0.0373	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-02-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.1215	-0.30%	5.83	-5.05%	0.0173	✓	0.87	430k	2022-02-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4497	-0.30%	1.34	-7.84%	0.0372	✓	1.14	2.1M	2022-02-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.7617	-0.29%	18.64	-5.95%	0.0139	✓	1.23	10.5M	2022-02-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.514511	-0.29%	0.4728	-8.37%	0.0368	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.3675	-0.29%	3.77	-13.93%	0.1020	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.6845	-0.28%	2.4827	-7.78%	0.0333	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.82158	-0.28%	0.7421	-9.93%	0.0466	✓	1.52	417k	2022-02-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.048564	-0.28%	0.04508	-7.43%	0.0243	✓	1.38	903k	2022-02-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.1502	-0.28%	6.72	-6.28%	0.0548	✓	0.20	1.4M	2022-02-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.9458	-0.28%	2.8775	-2.59%	0.0122	✗	0.98	2.5M	2022-02-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	23.5663	-0.27%	21.87	-7.45%	0.0201	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010751	-0.27%	0.01004	-6.86%	0.0118	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-21
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.9548	-0.26%	1.99	+1.53%	0.0833	✗	1.81	690k	2022-02-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	4.0494	-0.26%	3.73	-8.13%	0.0376	✓	1.23	2.3M	2022-02-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.4064	-0.26%	1.3	-7.80%	0.0289	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	49.2044	-0.25%	50.13	+1.62%	0.0687	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-02-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.2543	-0.25%	2.9731	-8.87%	0.0441	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.390751	-0.24%	0.3572	-8.81%	0.0393	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-02-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.153633	-0.24%	0.1488	-3.38%	0.0046	✓	0.76	350k	2022-02-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	4.0832	-0.24%	3.7534	-8.29%	0.0412	✓	1.19	327k	2022-02-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.027086	-0.24%	0.0257	-5.34%	0.0213	✓	0.86	5.0M	2022-02-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.18586	-0.24%	0.1686	-9.50%	0.0475	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	51.9772	-0.24%	47.35	-9.12%	0.0467	✓	1.29	8.7M	2022-02-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.239435	-0.24%	0.248	+3.33%	0.0692	✗	0.94	68k	2022-02-21
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.564	-0.23%	2.37	-7.78%	0.0424	✓	1.00	681k	2022-02-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.085552	-0.23%	0.0791	-7.76%	0.0391	✓	1.08	49k	2022-02-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.3482	-0.22%	4.92	-8.21%	0.0476	✓	0.99	1.8M	2022-02-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.000025416	-0.21%	0.00002404	-5.61%	0.0054	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.9648	-0.21%	1.9047	-3.26%	0.0141	✗	1.25	233k	2022-02-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.506858	-0.21%	0.4442	-12.54%	0.0804	✓	1.42	610k	2022-02-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.8163	-0.20%	1.58	-13.19%	0.1011	✓	1.06	3.2M	2022-02-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.025422	-0.20%	0.023018	-9.64%	0.0598	✓	1.09	89k	2022-02-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.067405	-0.20%	0.05994	-11.25%	0.0892	✓	0.78	84k	2022-02-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.299406	-0.20%	0.279	-7.00%	0.0225	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-02-21
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.7547	-0.19%	2.62	-5.07%	0.0139	✓	1.00	696k	2022-02-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	0.98326	-0.19%	0.88573	-10.09%	0.0660	✓	1.06	180k	2022-02-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	138.6147	-0.18%	125.92	-9.33%	0.0535	✓	1.17	930k	2022-02-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.698718	-0.18%	0.64	-8.57%	0.0494	✓	1.06	2.0M	2022-02-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.5292	-0.18%	1.384	-9.66%	0.0482	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009603	-0.18%	0.00929	-3.43%	0.0138	✗	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.70493	-0.18%	0.64579	-8.55%	0.0335	✓	1.49	298k	2022-02-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	84.313	-0.17%	80.87	-4.25%	0.0096	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4875	-0.17%	1.37	-8.05%	0.0377	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-02-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.58	-0.17%	6.04	-8.36%	0.0720	✓	0.38	35k	2022-02-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2763	-0.16%	2.17	-4.82%	0.0108	✓	1.02	299k	2022-02-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.5071	-0.16%	5.241	-4.99%	0.0207	✓	0.80	65k	2022-02-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.00007425	-0.16%	0.00006783	-8.79%	0.0494	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-02-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	116.7912	-0.16%	106.4	-9.04%	0.0470	✓	1.27	66k	2022-02-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0613	-0.16%	1.003	-5.64%	0.0113	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.9318	-0.16%	18.137	-4.35%	0.0004	✓	1.20	9.8M	2022-02-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	110.5204	-0.15%	102.78	-7.15%	0.0288	✓	1.21	30.0M	2022-02-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	27.1886	-0.15%	25	-8.19%	0.0450	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.844271	-0.15%	0.7852	-7.13%	0.0275	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-02-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.155849	-0.14%	0.15154	-2.90%	0.0238	✗	1.43	30k	2022-02-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.930611	-0.14%	0.8572	-8.02%	0.0417	✓	1.12	97.3M	2022-02-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.3473	-0.14%	8.52	-8.97%	0.0449	✓	1.32	11.4M	2022-02-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.013162	-0.13%	0.012214	-7.33%	0.0335	✓	1.14	81k	2022-02-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.8986	-0.13%	16.19	-4.31%	0.0057	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-02-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009109	-0.12%	0.00847	-7.13%	0.0354	✓	1.03	504k	2022-02-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.5818	-0.12%	13.51	-7.47%	0.0329	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-02-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	107.5775	-0.12%	106.88	-0.77%	0.0300	✗	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.79503	-0.12%	0.739	-7.16%	0.0235	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.252197	-0.12%	0.2293	-9.19%	0.0546	✓	1.12	518k	2022-02-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.136551	-0.12%	0.128094	-6.31%	0.0275	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-02-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.065324	-0.12%	0.0613	-6.27%	0.0250	✓	1.07	15k	2022-02-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.57018	-0.11%	0.519067	-9.07%	0.0527	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.511321	-0.11%	0.481	-6.04%	0.0281	✓	0.91	724k	2022-02-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	302.5298	-0.11%	283.16	-6.51%	0.0308	✓	0.98	8.0M	2022-02-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.2258	-0.11%	5.7431	-7.85%	0.0276	✓	1.47	172k	2022-02-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6186	-0.10%	1.6127	-0.47%	0.0375	✗	1.14	75k	2022-02-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.098701	-0.10%	0.0927	-6.17%	0.0262	✓	1.01	38k	2022-02-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.9424	-0.09%	8.64	-3.46%	0.0129	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.072839	-0.08%	0.0692	-5.08%	0.0103	✓	1.13	194k	2022-02-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7286	-0.08%	1.57	-9.25%	0.0480	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	12.9693	-0.08%	12.48	-3.85%	0.0011	✓	1.03	448k	2022-02-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.194497	-0.08%	0.17816	-8.47%	0.0502	✓	1.04	21.8M	2022-02-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.4389	-0.08%	1.25	-13.19%	0.0962	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	15.2192	-0.07%	13.9	-8.73%	0.0291	✓	1.70	3.0M	2022-02-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.136	-0.07%	2.2241	+4.05%	0.0747	✗	0.94	28k	2022-02-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.2521	-0.07%	6.0829	-2.77%	0.0033	✗	0.85	3.5M	2022-02-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.239941	-0.07%	0.2206	-8.12%	0.0476	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-21
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.2292	-0.07%	1.11	-9.76%	0.0558	✓	1.28	817k	2022-02-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	38,617.23	-0.07%	37,080.10	-4.04%	0.0056	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	98.0356	-0.07%	87.04	-11.27%	0.0788	✓	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.061969	-0.07%	0.059472	-4.09%	0.0109	✓	0.84	307k	2022-02-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.0657	-0.06%	1.933	-6.48%	0.0286	✓	1.04	20k	2022-02-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.090951	-0.05%	0.0877	-3.63%	0.0183	✗	1.51	807k	2022-02-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	38,369.04	-0.05%	37,023.00	-3.56%	0.0005	✓	1.00	633.0M	2022-02-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.378342	-0.04%	0.3401	-10.15%	0.0460	✓	1.67	16.9M	2022-02-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.6482	-0.04%	4.2	-9.68%	0.0621	✓	1.08	510k	2022-02-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	34.7394	-0.03%	32.14	-7.51%	0.0213	✓	1.56	364k	2022-02-21
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.03633	-0.03%	0.03362	-7.48%	0.0513	✓	0.72	1.9M	2022-02-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.396028	-0.02%	0.3661	-7.57%	0.0267	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.221283	-0.01%	0.2042	-7.73%	0.0246	✓	1.54	3.6M	2022-02-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	90.7772	-0.00%	82.97	-8.60%	0.0453	✓	1.23	171.7M	2022-02-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004651	+0.02%	0.00451	-3.01%	0.0396	✓	1.94	13.2M	2022-02-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.039151	+0.03%	0.03591	-8.25%	0.0467	✗	1.10	32k	2022-02-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,623.31	+0.03%	2,569.00	-2.04%	0.0195	✓	1.12	581.4M	2022-02-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.6995	+0.04%	5.32	-6.62%	0.0311	✗	1.04	327k	2022-02-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.021188	+0.13%	0.01937	-8.46%	0.0314	✗	1.61	10.9M	2022-02-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.8377	+0.34%	2.332	-17.54%	0.1497	✗	1.28	579k	2022-02-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.