8=======>

2022-02-17 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0977
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.3%
in alpha space · 53.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SOLSolanaSolana93.5693.7592+0.21%89.9-3.91%0.0251✗1.23179.7M2022-02-18
ZENHorizenBase36.7436.8182+0.21%37.11+1.01%0.0291✓1.55405k2022-02-18
SCSiacoinnative0.009870.009889+0.20%0.00961-2.63%0.0145✗1.03489k2022-02-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.661.6631+0.19%1.61-3.01%0.0158✗1.211.2M2022-02-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7815.8052+0.16%15.77-0.06%0.0209✓1.683.2M2022-02-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.09690.097048+0.15%0.0978+0.93%0.0284✓1.51944k2022-02-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash313.15313.5775+0.14%310.22-0.94%0.0026✓0.988.4M2022-02-18
TRXTRONTron0.0624020.062477+0.12%0.063085+1.09%0.0212✓0.84344k2022-02-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7420.742878+0.12%0.771+3.91%0.0518✓1.071.9M2022-02-18
HIVEHivenative1.01381.0149+0.11%0.9999-1.37%0.0064✓1.551.9M2022-02-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.43440.434865+0.11%0.4211-3.06%0.0122✗1.461.8M2022-02-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.07311.0742+0.11%1.0419-2.90%0.0159✗1.06189k2022-02-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.7187.7996+0.10%87.44-0.31%0.0081✓0.891.1M2022-02-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.027580.027606+0.10%0.02552-7.47%0.0599✗1.3611.0M2022-02-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.5814.5934+0.09%14.44-0.96%0.0035✓1.02483k2022-02-18
QNTQuantEthereum119.39119.491+0.08%113.58-4.87%0.0369✗1.007.6M2022-02-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.472.472+0.08%2.38-3.64%0.0239✗1.02361k2022-02-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8940.894719+0.08%0.86-3.80%0.0211✗1.342.4M2022-02-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.39116.4831+0.08%114.85-1.32%0.0026✓1.2231.6M2022-02-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.66951.6706+0.07%1.6654-0.24%0.0125✓1.1472k2022-02-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.20150.201638+0.07%0.1967-2.38%0.0061✗1.363.6M2022-02-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4996.5031+0.06%6.389-1.69%0.0042✗0.98407k2022-02-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.9012+0.06%1.82-4.21%0.0252✗1.342.1M2022-02-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052150.052182+0.06%0.04965-4.79%0.0309✗1.371.1M2022-02-18
LUNATerraTerra 250.2750.2997+0.06%50.61+0.68%0.0256✓1.416.1M2022-02-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.16.1035+0.06%5.881-3.59%0.0260✗0.8171k2022-02-18
ADACardanoCardano1.02031.0208+0.05%0.9958-2.40%0.0096✗1.11102.4M2022-02-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028210.000028223+0.05%0.00002815-0.21%0.0164✓1.383.5M2022-02-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041030.041049+0.05%0.04101-0.05%0.0142✓1.1032k2022-02-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.25580.255917+0.05%0.247-3.44%0.0145✗1.523.9M2022-02-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760170.760495+0.04%0.75452-0.74%0.0123✓1.47334k2022-02-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8830.883339+0.04%0.877-0.68%0.0126✓1.44501k2022-02-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2022610.202336+0.04%0.200634-0.80%0.0055✓1.0121.9M2022-02-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1421.1424+0.04%1.104-3.33%0.0172✗1.243.4M2022-02-18
NANOnanopayBase2.10082.1014+0.03%2.0548-2.19%0.0055✗1.23315k2022-02-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1618.1657+0.03%17.83-1.82%0.0003✓1.3432.8M2022-02-18
XECeCashnative0.000078490.000078514+0.03%0.0000786+0.14%0.0166✓1.134.8M2022-02-18
KSMKusamaHydration155.14155.1878+0.03%150.07-3.27%0.0174✗1.17973k2022-02-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.455.4515+0.03%5.29-2.94%0.0157✗1.05532k2022-02-18
XVGVergenative0.01070.010703+0.03%0.01063-0.65%0.0112✓1.311.2M2022-02-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2273.2279+0.03%3.076-4.68%0.0345✗0.992.4M2022-02-18
XEMNEMnative0.10470.104725+0.02%0.1011-3.44%0.0213✗1.0137k2022-02-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5411.5414+0.02%1.518-1.49%0.0005✓1.152.1M2022-02-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074160.074177+0.02%0.07167-3.36%0.0239✗0.7789k2022-02-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.132.1304+0.02%2.05-3.76%0.0242✗1.043.2M2022-02-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15360.153631+0.02%0.1446-5.86%0.0464✗1.03470k2022-02-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,893.562,894.13+0.02%2,780.08-3.92%0.0249✗1.11588.4M2022-02-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.2312.2313+0.02%2.222-0.40%0.0103✓1.0520k2022-02-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.5425.5432+0.01%25.01-2.08%0.0007✗1.482.0M2022-02-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.621070.621143+0.01%0.594984-4.20%0.0275✗1.133.6M2022-02-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1384070.138422+0.01%0.138612+0.15%0.0151✓1.005.9M2022-02-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06980.069804+0.01%0.0682-2.29%0.0085✗1.0717k2022-02-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5420.542012+0.00%0.5229-3.52%0.0180✗1.302.4M2022-02-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0203590.020359+0.00%0.019599-3.73%0.0223✗1.152.4M2022-02-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.89830.898275-0.00%0.895-0.37%0.0131✗1.2226.6M2022-02-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.4329.4288-0.00%28.96-1.60%0.0015✓1.065.4M2022-02-18
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1077.1067-0.00%6.903-2.87%0.0242✓0.3537k2022-02-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43690.436866-0.01%0.4126-5.56%0.0382✓1.388.9M2022-02-18
DASHDashDash104.76104.7499-0.01%105.32+0.53%0.0205✗1.101.8M2022-02-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.7119.7078-0.01%19.552-0.80%0.0090✗1.2310.0M2022-02-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7411.7408-0.01%1.674-3.85%0.0204✓1.361.1M2022-02-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00540.005399-0.02%0.00516-4.44%0.0186✓1.9416.8M2022-02-18
UNIUniswapEthereum10.4110.4081-0.02%10.16-2.40%0.0062✓1.3111.7M2022-02-18
GTGateEthereum6.586.5788-0.02%6.6403+0.92%0.0207✗0.833.7M2022-02-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.27460.274542-0.02%0.2677-2.51%0.0096✓1.14538k2022-02-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,536.7340,527.52-0.02%39,983.56-1.36%0.0002✓1.00686.5M2022-02-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011777-0.02%0.01204+2.21%0.0435✗1.562.0M2022-02-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012580.012577-0.03%0.01279+1.67%0.0279✗0.8015k2022-02-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.651.6495-0.03%1.59-3.64%0.0200✓1.221.3M2022-02-18
XYMSymbolnative0.16420.164151-0.03%0.1609-2.01%0.0109✓0.66388k2022-02-18
XTZTezosTezos3.66863.6675-0.03%3.6234-1.23%0.0053✗1.272.4M2022-02-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3340.333897-0.03%0.322-3.59%0.0177✓1.362.3M2022-02-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6682.667-0.04%2.581-3.26%0.0152✓1.28986k2022-02-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.39514.3932-0.04%4.35-1.03%0.0062✗1.17335k2022-02-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.029950.029936-0.05%0.02928-2.24%0.0105✓0.855.8M2022-02-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62390.623548-0.06%0.5682-8.93%0.0734✓1.43665k2022-02-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.5908-0.06%15.2-2.56%0.0091✓1.1969.3M2022-02-18
COMPCompoundEthereum123.7123.6261-0.06%121.52-1.76%0.0005✓1.2865k2022-02-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09020.09014-0.07%0.09046+0.29%0.0186✗1.0950k2022-02-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25250.252319-0.07%0.2543+0.71%0.0216✗1.001.8M2022-02-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08490.084839-0.07%0.0797-6.12%0.0470✓1.13201k2022-02-18
ZECZcashZcash113.58113.4979-0.07%109.21-3.85%0.0219✓1.217.6M2022-02-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40730.406999-0.07%0.4198+3.07%0.0538✗1.6618.6M2022-02-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.3756.3263-0.08%55.59-1.38%0.0042✗1.279.2M2022-02-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.6126.5887-0.08%29.08+9.28%0.1025✗0.941.2M2022-02-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3515.3362-0.09%15.2-0.98%0.0004✓0.681.7M2022-02-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.169820.169663-0.09%0.17101+0.70%0.0276✗1.4332k2022-02-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,651.2040,612.15-0.10%40,196.70-1.12%0.0031✗0.9758k2022-02-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.036.0241-0.10%5.97-1.00%0.0023✗0.83435k2022-02-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche88.2888.1854-0.11%83.75-5.13%0.0323✓1.41106.7M2022-02-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.562.5571-0.11%2.43-5.08%0.0347✓1.19390k2022-02-18
FTTFTXEthereum43.7243.6671-0.12%43.09-1.44%0.0027✗1.1630.4M2022-02-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2410.2271-0.13%10.17-0.68%0.0034✗0.65821k2022-02-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.594.5842-0.13%4.37-4.79%0.0312✓1.222.6M2022-02-18
AAVEAaveEthereum152.99152.7949-0.13%145.64-4.80%0.0287✓1.407.8M2022-02-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.5420.5131-0.13%21.02+2.34%0.0412✗1.2210.8M2022-02-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5674.5609-0.13%4.716+3.26%0.0445✗0.81379k2022-02-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.31323.3087-0.14%3.1093-6.15%0.0492✓0.942.3M2022-02-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.321.2701-0.14%20.51-3.71%0.0155✓1.52387k2022-02-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269320.026894-0.14%0.026937+0.02%0.0174✗1.1589k2022-02-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.82220.821006-0.15%0.8015-2.52%0.0095✓1.0611.6M2022-02-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.365.352-0.15%5.25-2.05%0.0089✓0.75415k2022-02-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.0157.004-0.16%7.2333+3.11%0.0522✗1.46165k2022-02-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2680.267578-0.16%0.261-2.61%0.0126✓0.9070k2022-02-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.25111.2491-0.16%1.196-4.41%0.0259✓1.282.5M2022-02-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.467.4467-0.18%7.67+2.82%0.0325✗0.221.3M2022-02-18
ORCAOrcaSolana2.922.9146-0.19%2.85-2.40%0.0087✓1.00775k2022-02-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.083.0742-0.19%3.02-1.95%0.0072✓0.77212k2022-02-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.071.068-0.19%0.99-7.48%0.0576✓1.33751k2022-02-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.55025.5395-0.19%5.708+2.84%0.0352✗0.38441k2022-02-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.4063-0.21%6.37-0.78%0.0060✗0.85449k2022-02-18
XMRMoneroMonero163.89163.5392-0.21%160.94-1.80%0.0021✓1.011.2M2022-02-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55580.55461-0.21%0.5612+0.97%0.0242✗0.90804k2022-02-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.937986-0.21%0.89-5.32%0.0254✓1.971.2M2022-02-18
DODODODOEthereum0.4930.491931-0.22%0.494+0.20%0.0234✗1.404.5M2022-02-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.46413.4565-0.22%2.9795-13.99%0.1357✓0.9328k2022-02-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.036.0158-0.24%5.92-1.82%0.0024✓1.001.9M2022-02-18
BANDBandEthereum4.444.4294-0.24%4.7+5.86%0.0762✗1.231.9M2022-02-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06080.060649-0.25%0.0602-0.99%0.0165✗1.7464.3M2022-02-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,441.7022,383.87-0.26%21,934.46-2.26%0.0065✓1.006.9M2022-02-18
RADRadworksEthereum5.545.5257-0.26%5.3-4.33%0.0277✓1.02701k2022-02-18
STXStacksnative1.41.3964-0.26%1.35-3.57%0.0200✓1.00963k2022-02-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.08013.0706-0.31%2.97-3.58%0.0175✓1.153.3M2022-02-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08250.082234-0.32%0.0812-1.58%0.0055✗1.32966k2022-02-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510550.050886-0.33%0.0487-4.61%0.0273✓1.217.6M2022-02-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15680.156269-0.34%0.1365-12.95%0.1180✓1.263.3M2022-02-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158160.015762-0.34%0.015984+1.06%0.0292✗1.11417k2022-02-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0827.9826-0.35%26.85-4.38%0.0270✓1.0466.4M2022-02-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002060.000002052-0.38%0.00000205-0.49%0.0127✗1.0014.2M2022-02-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.17.0708-0.41%6.93-2.39%0.0151✓0.371.7M2022-02-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.912.8977-0.42%2.81-3.44%0.0102✓1.4915.9M2022-02-18
MOVRMoonriverBase85.944485.5676-0.44%83.1979-3.20%0.0074✓1.50315k2022-02-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2683.2533-0.45%3.181-2.66%0.0104✓0.88481k2022-02-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.27812.2678-0.45%2.1176-7.05%0.0611✓0.543.1M2022-02-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.691.682-0.47%1.58-6.51%0.0439✓1.362.7M2022-02-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1240.12341-0.48%0.139+12.10%0.1345✗1.1357k2022-02-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.892.8747-0.53%2.93+1.38%0.0328✗1.00723k2022-02-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.48051.4718-0.59%1.6049+8.40%0.1075✗1.53144k2022-02-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.3164.2906-0.59%3.889-9.89%0.0830✓1.11620k2022-02-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1052.0919-0.62%2.017-4.18%0.0227✓1.0076k2022-02-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8619.7254-0.68%19.61-1.26%0.0100✗1.1624.4M2022-02-18
XVSVenusEthereum11.4411.3606-0.69%10.35-9.53%0.0764✓1.223.2M2022-02-18
SUSHISushiEthereum3.953.9225-0.70%3.91-1.01%0.0156✗1.378.2M2022-02-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03090.030684-0.70%0.0302-2.27%0.0041✓1.45499k2022-02-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043780.043458-0.74%0.04094-6.49%0.0501✓0.702.0M2022-02-18
PROPropyEthereum2.172.15-0.92%2.15-0.92%0.0247✗1.79782k2022-02-18
API3Api3Ethereum54.9485-1.03%6.01+20.20%0.1975✗0.231.8M2022-02-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53820.532271-1.10%0.5205-3.29%0.0028✓1.831.8M2022-02-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.23271.2159-1.36%1.0542-14.48%0.1327✓0.731.5M2022-02-18
DIADIAEthereum1.21.1631-3.07%1.07-10.83%0.0697✓1.00270k2022-02-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.