2022-02-11 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0477

149 of 149 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.21%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

45.0%

in alpha space · 52.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.33%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4583	0.458172	-0.03%	0.4604	+0.46%	0.0099	✗	1.50	2.2M	2022-02-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.92	8.9174	-0.03%	8.98	+0.67%	0.0113	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-02-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.24	17.2322	-0.05%	17.04	-1.16%	0.0054	✓	1.75	3.8M	2022-02-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.5	96.455	-0.05%	95.95	-0.57%	0.0011	✓	1.25	179.7M	2022-02-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.99	103.9184	-0.07%	104.19	+0.19%	0.0064	✗	1.14	2.2M	2022-02-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.99	5.9851	-0.08%	5.98	-0.17%	0.0029	✗	1.12	689k	2022-02-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04188	0.041842	-0.09%	0.04235	+1.12%	0.0158	✗	1.12	30k	2022-02-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063958	0.063899	-0.09%	0.063473	-0.76%	0.0037	✓	0.90	357k	2022-02-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.36	40.3218	-0.09%	40.89	+1.31%	0.0192	✗	1.56	461k	2022-02-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9169	0.915921	-0.11%	0.9188	+0.21%	0.0069	✗	1.12	28.1M	2022-02-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.82329	0.822378	-0.11%	0.80694	-1.99%	0.0139	✓	1.50	311k	2022-02-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,929.08	2,925.26	-0.13%	2,919.99	-0.31%	0.0019	✗	1.12	572.6M	2022-02-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5603	6.5516	-0.13%	6.7389	+2.72%	0.0330	✗	1.45	145k	2022-02-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,347.70	42,289.90	-0.14%	42,568.00	+0.52%	0.0098	✗	0.97	41k	2022-02-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1086	0.108451	-0.14%	0.1035	-4.70%	0.0415	✓	1.57	1.3M	2022-02-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0868	0.086678	-0.14%	0.0857	-1.27%	0.0072	✓	1.23	209k	2022-02-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.96	14.9383	-0.15%	15.16	+1.34%	0.0182	✗	1.05	576k	2022-02-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7756	1.773	-0.15%	1.7725	-0.17%	0.0035	✗	1.11	78k	2022-02-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2594	0.259012	-0.15%	0.2514	-3.08%	0.0262	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.58	2.5761	-0.15%	2.56	-0.78%	0.0028	✓	1.02	457k	2022-02-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	321.01	320.4756	-0.17%	330.64	+3.00%	0.0346	✗	1.02	8.9M	2022-02-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.616904	0.615873	-0.17%	0.617618	+0.12%	0.0067	✗	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.14485	0.1446	-0.17%	0.144281	-0.39%	0.0013	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1735	0.1732	-0.17%	0.1736	+0.06%	0.0047	✗	0.72	406k	2022-02-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.072	0.071874	-0.18%	0.0717	-0.42%	0.0012	✓	1.10	19k	2022-02-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.99	18.9564	-0.18%	18.82	-0.90%	0.0027	✓	1.36	36.1M	2022-02-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.3498	-0.18%	2.354	+0.00%	0.0053	✗	1.06	22k	2022-02-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.771	0.769608	-0.18%	0.745	-3.37%	0.0288	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01056	0.01054	-0.19%	0.01068	+1.14%	0.0166	✗	1.02	550k	2022-02-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1819	2.1778	-0.19%	2.1781	-0.18%	0.0042	✗	1.20	675k	2022-02-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2842	0.283654	-0.19%	0.2852	+0.35%	0.0092	✗	1.12	538k	2022-02-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.22	16.1884	-0.19%	15.97	-1.54%	0.0095	✓	1.21	73.6M	2022-02-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.219	7.2049	-0.20%	6.939	-3.88%	0.0342	✓	1.02	407k	2022-02-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.215393	0.214971	-0.20%	0.218218	+1.31%	0.0184	✗	1.03	24.3M	2022-02-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,386.47	42,301.91	-0.20%	42,244.97	-0.33%	0.0020	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.07	2.0658	-0.20%	2.02	-2.42%	0.0181	✓	1.30	2.3M	2022-02-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.108382	-0.20%	0.1086	+0.00%	0.0055	✗	1.06	35k	2022-02-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.1	164.7629	-0.20%	166.09	+0.60%	0.0121	✗	1.22	973k	2022-02-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9345	0.932577	-0.21%	0.9401	+0.60%	0.0133	✗	1.57	672k	2022-02-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.032124	0.032057	-0.21%	0.028632	-10.87%	0.1087	✓	1.29	111k	2022-02-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2888	0.2882	-0.21%	0.2838	-1.73%	0.0102	✓	1.55	4.2M	2022-02-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7399	6.7258	-0.21%	6.758	+0.27%	0.0078	✗	0.90	4.0M	2022-02-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.65	10.6274	-0.21%	10.64	-0.09%	0.0056	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.087	19.0461	-0.21%	19.111	+0.13%	0.0079	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0062	0.006186	-0.22%	0.00616	-0.65%	0.0025	✗	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03653	0.036445	-0.23%	0.03381	-7.45%	0.0713	✓	1.12	9.5M	2022-02-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4181	0.417087	-0.24%	0.4191	+0.24%	0.0093	✗	1.33	8.9M	2022-02-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0803	1.0776	-0.25%	1.0596	-1.92%	0.0131	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-02-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008391	0.000083699	-0.25%	0.0000823	-1.92%	0.0130	✓	1.17	5.6M	2022-02-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.96	5.9448	-0.25%	6.32	+6.04%	0.0645	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0948	-0.26%	1.0443	-4.85%	0.0431	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2056	0.205064	-0.26%	0.2064	+0.39%	0.0112	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.833	1.8282	-0.26%	1.812	-1.15%	0.0045	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-02-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.01	5.9943	-0.26%	5.916	-1.56%	0.0101	✓	0.92	72k	2022-02-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.99	1.9847	-0.27%	1.92	-3.52%	0.0292	✓	1.19	1.5M	2022-02-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.71	1.7054	-0.27%	1.69	-1.17%	0.0049	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.96	0.957375	-0.27%	0.942	-1.88%	0.0116	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5696	0.568018	-0.28%	0.562	-1.33%	0.0063	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05622	0.056064	-0.28%	0.05601	-0.37%	0.0038	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1623	1.159	-0.28%	1.1541	-0.70%	0.0007	✓	1.05	239k	2022-02-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.69	125.3337	-0.28%	126.78	+0.87%	0.0158	✗	1.31	35.7M	2022-02-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.47	6.4514	-0.29%	6.67	+3.09%	0.0363	✗	0.89	406k	2022-02-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07747	0.077246	-0.29%	0.07609	-1.78%	0.0125	✓	0.77	89k	2022-02-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.303	-0.31%	2.3	-0.43%	0.0020	✓	0.97	2.9M	2022-02-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.54	124.1595	-0.31%	127.26	+2.18%	0.0289	✗	1.28	65k	2022-02-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7016	4.687	-0.31%	4.7989	+2.07%	0.0277	✗	1.23	442k	2022-02-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.453	4.4391	-0.31%	4.786	+7.48%	0.0780	✗	0.84	346k	2022-02-12
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.11	3.1003	-0.31%	3.03	-2.57%	0.0196	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-02-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.09	21.0237	-0.31%	20.86	-1.09%	0.0038	✓	1.21	10.8M	2022-02-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.54	2.532	-0.31%	2.5	-1.57%	0.0084	✓	1.29	401k	2022-02-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.257	1.253	-0.32%	1.267	+0.80%	0.0153	✗	1.25	3.2M	2022-02-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.07	58.8793	-0.32%	59.18	+0.19%	0.0092	✗	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4522	-0.33%	5.48	+0.18%	0.0077	✗	0.79	377k	2022-02-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.923	7.8968	-0.33%	7.781	-1.79%	0.0136	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.35	50.183	-0.33%	51.96	+3.20%	0.0396	✗	1.43	7.8M	2022-02-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.64	94.3243	-0.33%	94.11	-0.56%	0.0008	✓	0.91	1.3M	2022-02-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09752	0.09719	-0.34%	0.09377	-3.85%	0.0323	✓	1.07	50k	2022-02-12
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.956733	-0.34%	0.96	+0.00%	0.0068	✗	1.00	281k	2022-02-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	129.51	129.0676	-0.34%	133.7	+3.24%	0.0387	✗	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.52	0.518223	-0.34%	0.514	-1.15%	0.0033	✓	1.45	4.9M	2022-02-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.2184	-0.35%	6.4	+2.56%	0.0315	✗	0.83	441k	2022-02-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.4	5.3813	-0.35%	5.34	-1.11%	0.0042	✓	1.04	701k	2022-02-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.154	3.143	-0.35%	3.162	+0.25%	0.0087	✗	0.81	206k	2022-02-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.7444	-0.35%	2.76	+0.22%	0.0102	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01151	0.011469	-0.35%	0.01149	-0.17%	0.0064	✗	1.38	1.3M	2022-02-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.29	3.2782	-0.36%	3.312	+0.67%	0.0132	✗	0.89	525k	2022-02-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.9	4.8824	-0.36%	4.89	-0.20%	0.0057	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18907	0.188389	-0.36%	0.18496	-2.17%	0.0130	✓	1.62	40k	2022-02-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.96	29.8515	-0.36%	28.49	-4.91%	0.0417	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4503	0.448631	-0.37%	0.4544	+0.91%	0.0189	✗	1.83	35.7M	2022-02-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	116.54	116.1003	-0.38%	117.83	+1.11%	0.0190	✗	1.27	7.3M	2022-02-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8754	0.872055	-0.38%	0.8744	-0.11%	0.0062	✗	1.06	13.0M	2022-02-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6537	0.651199	-0.38%	0.6501	-0.55%	0.0035	✓	1.54	743k	2022-02-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.74	32.614	-0.39%	31.67	-3.27%	0.0258	✓	1.06	4.6M	2022-02-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01244	0.012391	-0.39%	0.01276	+2.57%	0.0344	✗	1.52	1.7M	2022-02-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.375	0.37351	-0.40%	0.37	-1.33%	0.0049	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-02-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9222	2.9104	-0.40%	2.9115	-0.36%	0.0037	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.1	10.0576	-0.42%	11.03	+9.21%	0.0947	✗	0.71	660k	2022-02-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01359	0.013533	-0.42%	0.01362	+0.22%	0.0090	✗	0.78	13k	2022-02-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.46	43.2744	-0.43%	44.18	+1.66%	0.0247	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-02-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.82	19.7338	-0.43%	20.07	+1.26%	0.0208	✗	1.16	25.3M	2022-02-12
STX	Stacks	native	1.51	1.5034	-0.44%	1.52	+0.66%	0.0143	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022611	0.022512	-0.44%	0.021888	-3.20%	0.0240	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-02-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.36	22.2597	-0.45%	22.54	+0.81%	0.0178	✗	1.57	387k	2022-02-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.8767	-0.46%	2.87	-0.69%	0.0024	✓	1.41	20.0M	2022-02-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.074	1.069	-0.47%	1.052	-2.05%	0.0111	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	169.21	168.3961	-0.48%	173.82	+2.72%	0.0352	✗	1.05	1.4M	2022-02-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.81	81.4103	-0.49%	81.34	-0.57%	0.0036	✓	1.35	92.3M	2022-02-12
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000216	0.000002149	-0.49%	0.00000217	+0.46%	0.0129	✗	1.00	14.6M	2022-02-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.56	26.4292	-0.49%	27.07	+1.92%	0.0277	✗	1.13	76.9M	2022-02-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.25	4.2287	-0.50%	4.27	+0.47%	0.0139	✗	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.6	3.5819	-0.50%	3.7974	+5.48%	0.0616	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.047719	0.047478	-0.50%	0.044288	-7.19%	0.0655	✓	1.21	8.7M	2022-02-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1566	0.155806	-0.51%	0.1672	+6.77%	0.0741	✗	1.05	430k	2022-02-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4051	3.3878	-0.51%	3.5079	+3.02%	0.0386	✗	1.11	2.5M	2022-02-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.8321	84.3938	-0.52%	85.8439	+1.19%	0.0219	✗	1.44	319k	2022-02-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5956	0.592512	-0.52%	0.5785	-2.87%	0.0204	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	163.71	162.8448	-0.53%	162.52	-0.73%	0.0027	✓	1.41	9.5M	2022-02-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.637	1.6283	-0.53%	1.618	-1.16%	0.0025	✓	1.16	1.6M	2022-02-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.06	27.9083	-0.54%	30.19	+7.59%	0.0818	✗	0.96	679k	2022-02-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1483	1.142	-0.55%	1.2471	+8.60%	0.0933	✗	1.59	114k	2022-02-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.9482	-0.55%	4.07	+2.52%	0.0315	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-02-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015872	0.015784	-0.56%	0.015897	+0.16%	0.0111	✗	1.17	689k	2022-02-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.92	0.914804	-0.56%	0.94	+2.17%	0.0337	✗	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.1	1.0937	-0.57%	1.12	+1.82%	0.0284	✗	1.39	655k	2022-02-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,115.13	22,979.80	-0.59%	23,131.85	+0.07%	0.0098	✗	0.96	8.0M	2022-02-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.7	7.6549	-0.59%	7.93	+2.99%	0.0363	✗	0.30	1.0M	2022-02-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3129	4.2875	-0.59%	4.109	-4.73%	0.0382	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-02-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9151	1.9034	-0.61%	1.8422	-3.81%	0.0306	✓	0.61	2.9M	2022-02-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.97	7.9207	-0.62%	7.78	-2.38%	0.0167	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-02-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.9379	-0.62%	1.91	-2.05%	0.0098	✓	1.39	3.0M	2022-02-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03298	0.032773	-0.63%	0.03125	-5.25%	0.0447	✓	0.86	6.4M	2022-02-12
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.117	0.116227	-0.66%	0.116	-0.85%	0.0014	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.98	16.8613	-0.70%	18.05	+6.30%	0.0705	✗	0.71	919k	2022-02-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.1868	6.1396	-0.76%	5.9446	-3.91%	0.0312	✓	0.32	447k	2022-02-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.5941	3.5659	-0.78%	3.527	-1.87%	0.0080	✓	0.88	30k	2022-02-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0654	0.064879	-0.80%	0.0682	+4.28%	0.0558	✗	1.75	42.7M	2022-02-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002872	0.00002849	-0.80%	0.0000292	+1.67%	0.0294	✗	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0557	-0.84%	4.15	+1.47%	0.0276	✗	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.149	0.147748	-0.84%	0.1393	-6.51%	0.0544	✓	1.35	3.2M	2022-02-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.301	0.298459	-0.84%	0.338	+12.29%	0.1276	✗	0.94	76k	2022-02-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0319	0.031626	-0.86%	0.0322	+0.94%	0.0230	✗	1.49	490k	2022-02-12
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2269	1.216	-0.89%	1.2939	+5.46%	0.0651	✗	0.90	1.8M	2022-02-12
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2597	-0.89%	2.22	-2.63%	0.0144	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0869	0.086116	-0.90%	0.0956	+10.01%	0.1091	✗	1.39	567k	2022-02-12
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.551	2.5253	-1.01%	2.404	-5.76%	0.0459	✓	1.00	68k	2022-02-12
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.157	5.0972	-1.16%	4.904	-4.91%	0.0356	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-12
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6358	0.626593	-1.45%	0.6015	-5.39%	0.0346	✓	1.87	1.8M	2022-02-12
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05111	0.050367	-1.45%	0.04741	-7.24%	0.0572	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.