2022-02-01 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1570

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.27%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.7%

in alpha space · 64.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-4.63%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	76.2874	76.541	+0.33%	73.5972	-3.53%	0.0212	✓	1.27	383k	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00957	0.009587	+0.18%	0.00952	-0.52%	0.0545	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.958	5.9684	+0.18%	5.754	-3.42%	0.0038	✓	0.85	118k	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0446	0.044667	+0.15%	0.0418	-6.28%	0.0137	✗	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.66	6.6697	+0.15%	6.53	-1.95%	0.0103	✗	0.23	1.1M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020954	0.020984	+0.14%	0.020246	-3.38%	0.0126	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.042617	0.042678	+0.14%	0.037204	-12.70%	0.0671	✗	1.48	163k	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.98	5.9878	+0.13%	5.49	-8.19%	0.0353	✗	1.09	2.1M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	19.38	19.4049	+0.13%	18.01	-7.07%	0.0128	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.32841	+0.12%	0.316	-3.66%	0.0263	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01011	0.010123	+0.12%	0.00983	-2.77%	0.0201	✓	1.04	565k	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0358	0.035843	+0.12%	0.034	-5.03%	0.0170	✓	1.47	540k	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.13	8.1396	+0.12%	7.83	-3.69%	0.0242	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9652	0.966298	+0.11%	0.8664	-10.24%	0.0224	✗	1.83	852k	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.03834	0.03838	+0.11%	0.035872	-6.44%	0.0084	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.488	0.488505	+0.10%	0.465	-4.71%	0.0235	✓	1.54	4.7M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.756	0.756716	+0.09%	0.719	-4.89%	0.0003	✓	1.07	1.8M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9549	0.95576	+0.09%	0.9455	-0.98%	0.0619	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01018	0.010189	+0.09%	0.00978	-3.93%	0.0224	✓	1.34	1.6M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059831	0.059882	+0.09%	0.058639	-1.99%	0.0232	✓	0.93	411k	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00684	0.006846	+0.08%	0.00607	-11.26%	0.0099	✗	2.33	23.2M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.32	146.4433	+0.08%	145.08	-0.85%	0.0390	✓	1.02	1.8M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1161	0.116194	+0.08%	0.1092	-5.94%	0.0010	✓	1.33	3.8M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.27	6.2749	+0.08%	5.77	-7.97%	0.0390	✗	0.95	835k	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002176	0.000021776	+0.07%	0.00002064	-5.15%	0.0135	✓	1.41	1.6M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.16	128.2479	+0.07%	121.22	-5.42%	0.0061	✓	1.32	59k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.700395	+0.06%	0.64	-8.57%	0.0012	✗	1.88	1.1M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1797	6.1829	+0.05%	6.025	-2.50%	0.0435	✓	1.46	174k	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.101	+0.05%	2.18	+3.81%	0.1105	✓	1.55	2.3M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1868	3.1882	+0.04%	3.1357	-1.60%	0.0369	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05811	0.058135	+0.04%	0.05325	-8.36%	0.0201	✗	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	287.95	288.061	+0.04%	278	-3.46%	0.0141	✓	1.05	6.8M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2456	0.245684	+0.03%	0.2314	-5.78%	0.0043	✗	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.94	20.9471	+0.03%	20.09	-4.06%	0.0336	✓	1.59	465k	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	170.69	170.7461	+0.03%	162.31	-4.91%	0.0056	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.97	98.9985	+0.03%	98.35	-0.63%	0.0578	✓	1.36	6.6M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	104.95	104.9764	+0.03%	113.54	+8.18%	0.1287	✓	1.06	7.5M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.67	26.6752	+0.02%	26.55	-0.45%	0.0739	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.932	0.932154	+0.02%	0.883	-5.26%	0.0113	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0822	0.082212	+0.02%	0.0794	-3.41%	0.0239	✓	1.24	299k	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1512	1.1514	+0.01%	1.1125	-3.36%	0.0141	✓	1.02	346k	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.21	39.2142	+0.01%	38.13	-2.75%	0.0489	✓	1.62	626k	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.98	1.9802	+0.01%	1.87	-5.56%	0.0047	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.53	2.5303	+0.01%	2.41	-4.74%	0.0005	✗	1.02	697k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.525	1.5251	+0.01%	1.589	+4.20%	0.0983	✓	1.21	1.6M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4327	0.432741	+0.01%	0.37	-14.49%	0.0808	✗	1.60	2.0M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1885	0.188511	+0.01%	0.1803	-4.35%	0.0192	✓	1.34	3.7M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.6999	-0.01%	1.63	-4.12%	0.0196	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84367	0.843603	-0.01%	0.81012	-3.98%	0.0417	✗	1.73	458k	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007722	0.000077213	-0.01%	0.00007582	-1.81%	0.0353	✗	1.13	5.7M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.4895	-0.02%	3.37	-3.44%	0.0254	✗	1.27	2.5M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4393	0.43923	-0.02%	0.4048	-7.85%	0.0192	✓	1.32	10.0M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.062	0.061988	-0.02%	0.0599	-3.39%	0.0281	✗	1.31	556k	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.66	14.6568	-0.02%	13.76	-6.14%	0.0163	✓	0.99	795k	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.565	0.564864	-0.02%	0.5398	-4.46%	0.0181	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8391	0.838895	-0.02%	0.8404	+0.15%	0.0553	✗	1.13	16.8M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	110.1	110.0714	-0.03%	101.99	-7.37%	0.0195	✓	1.20	181.0M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4737	0.473543	-0.03%	0.4277	-9.71%	0.0354	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.065778	-0.03%	0.0643	-2.28%	0.0298	✗	1.11	21k	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.92	20.912	-0.04%	20.19	-3.49%	0.0224	✗	1.21	12.4M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01283	0.012825	-0.04%	0.0126	-1.79%	0.0245	✗	0.89	13k	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.37	5.3678	-0.04%	5.04	-6.15%	0.0280	✓	0.74	429k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6048	1.6039	-0.05%	1.6005	-0.27%	0.0508	✗	1.12	82k	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.69	91.6422	-0.05%	90	-1.84%	0.0269	✗	0.95	1.6M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.6815	-0.06%	2.582	-3.76%	0.0347	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.125	3.1232	-0.06%	3.03	-3.04%	0.0083	✗	0.81	299k	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.2456	-0.06%	2.235	-0.53%	0.0469	✗	1.09	22k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.2361	-0.06%	6.02	-3.53%	0.0025	✗	0.80	504k	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.65	2.6483	-0.07%	2.46	-7.17%	0.0160	✓	1.22	577k	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03008	0.03006	-0.07%	0.02927	-2.69%	0.0162	✗	0.90	8.7M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.03	2.0286	-0.07%	1.9	-6.40%	0.0071	✗	1.53	4.2M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.11	115.03	-0.07%	108.36	-5.86%	0.0045	✗	1.35	33.8M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202028	0.201887	-0.07%	0.193151	-4.39%	0.0050	✗	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.58	19.5659	-0.07%	18.76	-4.19%	0.0243	✗	1.40	48.3M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,691.90	38,660.23	-0.08%	37,883.40	-2.09%	0.0279	✗	1.02	51k	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.365	5.3602	-0.09%	5.081	-5.29%	0.0061	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1518	2.1499	-0.09%	2.1064	-2.11%	0.0384	✗	1.24	888k	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.967	0.96613	-0.09%	0.9235	-4.50%	0.0107	✗	1.18	34.5M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.23	97.1422	-0.09%	93.05	-4.30%	0.0130	✗	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,789.66	2,787.10	-0.09%	2,682.66	-3.84%	0.0144	✗	1.11	560.6M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.104	0.103904	-0.09%	0.1015	-2.40%	0.0249	✗	1.02	43k	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04034	0.040296	-0.11%	0.03913	-3.00%	0.0237	✗	1.12	29k	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.582133	0.581452	-0.12%	0.5718	-1.78%	0.0412	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17	16.9788	-0.12%	15.79	-7.12%	0.0149	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.37	73.2751	-0.13%	67.87	-7.50%	0.0127	✓	1.35	87.3M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.228	4.2225	-0.13%	3.998	-5.44%	0.0162	✓	0.81	351k	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.316	1.3142	-0.14%	1.279	-2.81%	0.0326	✗	1.26	3.5M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.496	18.4706	-0.14%	17.776	-3.89%	0.0340	✗	1.52	10.6M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.11	11.0947	-0.14%	10.53	-5.22%	0.0121	✗	1.36	12.9M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,716.88	38,663.33	-0.14%	36,923.39	-4.63%	0.0014	✓	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.35	4.3439	-0.14%	4.09	-5.98%	0.0062	✗	1.40	8.9M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.15	20.121	-0.14%	21.59	+7.15%	0.1311	✗	1.28	34.3M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.88	2.8757	-0.15%	3.03	+5.21%	0.1267	✗	1.57	2.2M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.837	1.8342	-0.15%	1.696	-7.68%	0.0196	✓	1.24	1.4M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1475	1.1458	-0.15%	1.0423	-9.17%	0.0364	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,472.18	25,433.88	-0.15%	23,029.36	-9.59%	0.0545	✓	0.95	15.1M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142489	0.14227	-0.15%	0.137104	-3.78%	0.0135	✗	1.07	7.1M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0965	1.0948	-0.16%	1.0268	-6.36%	0.0096	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.8991	4.8914	-0.16%	4.6307	-5.48%	0.0046	✗	1.25	406k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.28	6.2699	-0.16%	6.05	-3.66%	0.0055	✗	0.87	529k	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	164.05	163.7793	-0.17%	151.26	-7.80%	0.0131	✓	1.40	12.5M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.6	5.5907	-0.17%	5.22	-6.79%	0.0187	✓	1.05	1.0M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8834	0.881928	-0.17%	0.8666	-1.90%	0.0545	✗	1.52	103k	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.337	3.3312	-0.17%	3.166	-5.12%	0.0103	✓	0.86	819k	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	53.47	53.3743	-0.18%	49.12	-8.14%	0.0278	✓	1.16	8.0M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.72	9.7023	-0.18%	9.36	-3.70%	0.0001	✓	0.76	744k	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.8	26.7503	-0.19%	26.29	-1.90%	0.0345	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7479	3.7408	-0.19%	3.7524	+0.12%	0.0698	✗	1.41	2.5M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.255	0.254513	-0.19%	0.25	-1.96%	0.0275	✗	0.96	67k	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015173	0.015144	-0.19%	0.014783	-2.57%	0.0316	✗	1.18	2.7M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1825	0.182141	-0.20%	0.1756	-3.78%	0.0044	✓	0.68	472k	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9364	6.9211	-0.22%	6.8016	-1.94%	0.0276	✗	0.95	4.3M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07836	0.078172	-0.24%	0.07379	-5.83%	0.0231	✓	0.73	80k	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.46	14.4247	-0.24%	14.09	-2.56%	0.0098	✗	0.70	841k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3087	0.307887	-0.26%	0.2783	-9.85%	0.0243	✓	1.62	4.2M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.21	52.0714	-0.27%	47.6	-8.83%	0.0096	✓	1.69	8.8M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.052	8.0306	-0.27%	7.564	-6.06%	0.0483	✓	0.24	41k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.47	25.4013	-0.27%	23.57	-7.46%	0.0377	✓	0.78	462k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0959	3.0875	-0.27%	3.0352	-1.96%	0.0326	✗	1.05	2.0M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6803	2.6727	-0.29%	2.537	-5.35%	0.0062	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1189	0.118554	-0.29%	0.11	-7.49%	0.0039	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.979	5.9612	-0.30%	5.883	-1.61%	0.0363	✗	1.04	341k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08902	0.088724	-0.33%	0.08941	+0.44%	0.0595	✗	1.09	46k	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5296	0.527758	-0.35%	0.4666	-11.90%	0.0340	✓	1.88	48.9M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7231	0.720469	-0.36%	0.6281	-13.14%	0.0632	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.37	5.3481	-0.41%	5.33	-0.74%	0.0581	✗	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5575	0.555194	-0.41%	0.5361	-3.84%	0.0206	✗	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2091	3.1958	-0.42%	3.3042	+2.96%	0.0763	✗	0.91	23k	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.86	28.7372	-0.43%	26.33	-8.77%	0.0327	✓	1.15	120.6M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.2	45.0075	-0.43%	42.9	-5.09%	0.0107	✗	1.24	39.5M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1425	0.141878	-0.44%	0.1348	-5.40%	0.0043	✓	0.99	337k	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5543	-0.44%	3.4	-4.76%	0.0349	✓	0.20	1.4M	2022-02-02
STX	Stacks	native	1.5	1.4934	-0.44%	1.41	-6.00%	0.0100	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.06	8.0234	-0.45%	7.54	-6.45%	0.0486	✓	0.29	1.8M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.2589	4.2369	-0.52%	4.1355	-2.90%	0.0243	✓	-0.00	375k	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04829	0.048033	-0.53%	0.04359	-9.73%	0.0496	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.46	3.4406	-0.56%	3.11	-10.12%	0.0319	✓	1.46	24.0M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2826	0.280979	-0.57%	0.278	-1.63%	0.0439	✗	1.15	557k	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2044	1.1974	-0.58%	1.24	+2.96%	0.0824	✗	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8742	1.8628	-0.61%	1.8613	-0.69%	0.0336	✗	0.73	3.1M	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.2132	-0.76%	2.12	-4.93%	0.0044	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20659	0.204921	-0.81%	0.19118	-7.46%	0.0076	✓	1.62	25k	2022-02-02
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.131672	-1.00%	0.119	-10.53%	0.0538	✓	1.00	133k	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0861	0.08485	-1.45%	0.0786	-8.71%	0.0463	✗	2.59	25.7M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.1477	-1.90%	1.36	+16.24%	0.2444	✗	1.57	490k	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.