2022-01-10 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1242

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+7.93%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

33.1%

in alpha space · 24.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.953644	+0.48%	0.9389	-1.07%	0.0362	✗	0.94	3.2M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.4893	+0.43%	26.75	+5.40%	0.0081	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.4135	+0.21%	7.094	+10.84%	0.0740	✓	1.22	271k	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.522	+0.20%	8.221	+9.51%	0.0742	✓	0.67	231k	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.9348	+0.17%	9.67	+8.41%	0.0648	✓	0.65	1.2M	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	136.0957	+0.15%	140.27	+3.22%	0.0079	✓	1.02	194.0M	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.708	+0.15%	3.766	+39.28%	0.2955	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.077304	+0.14%	0.077	-0.26%	0.0259	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.299385	+0.13%	0.3101	+3.71%	0.0075	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.1967	+0.13%	13.71	+4.02%	0.0134	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013966	+0.11%	0.01458	+4.52%	0.0091	✗	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	28.1713	+0.11%	28.89	+2.67%	0.0024	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.143289	+0.11%	0.153722	+7.40%	0.0466	✓	1.08	4.8M	2022-01-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0722	+0.11%	2.15	+3.86%	0.0141	✓	1.03	3.4M	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,086.61	+0.10%	3,240.83	+5.10%	0.0261	✓	1.03	591.9M	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.133	+0.10%	1.2365	+9.24%	0.0654	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.189	+0.09%	1.273	+7.15%	0.0393	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.063527	+0.07%	0.064934	+2.28%	0.0014	✓	0.93	552k	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3279	+0.06%	1.398	+5.35%	0.0222	✓	1.33	5.2M	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8859	+0.06%	3.0312	+5.10%	0.0255	✓	1.07	665k	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.5052	+0.05%	9.73	+2.42%	0.0247	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7312	+0.04%	2.8	+2.56%	0.0038	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5714	+0.04%	3.54	-0.84%	0.0241	✗	0.70	493k	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	363.663	+0.03%	369.84	+1.73%	0.0050	✗	1.00	8.5M	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4684	+0.03%	1.4915	+1.60%	0.0261	✗	1.90	1.4M	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	3.1306	+0.02%	2.93	-6.39%	0.0943	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	20.0936	+0.02%	20.39	+1.49%	0.0014	✗	0.73	1.1M	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.2368	+0.02%	7.521	+3.95%	0.0087	✓	1.36	268k	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.170827	+0.01%	0.17303	+1.30%	0.0212	✗	1.55	4,992	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.7216	+0.01%	25.55	+7.72%	0.0463	✓	1.27	70.4M	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.549989	-0.00%	0.5799	+5.44%	0.0235	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.939961	-0.00%	0.96	+2.13%	0.0173	✓	1.75	1.6M	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.4788	-0.00%	29.69	+4.25%	0.0197	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.8493	-0.01%	8.01	+2.04%	0.0007	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	182.2321	-0.01%	188.96	+3.68%	0.0114	✗	1.13	180k	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.0309	-0.01%	1.045	+1.36%	0.0070	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000090369	-0.02%	0.00009356	+3.51%	0.0130	✗	0.99	6.7M	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.807501	-0.02%	0.8921	+10.45%	0.0777	✗	1.00	129k	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,811.46	-0.03%	42,753.44	+2.22%	0.0003	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.4076	-0.04%	6.78	+5.77%	0.0426	✗	0.63	645k	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.01815	-0.04%	0.018697	+2.97%	0.0027	✗	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070668	-0.05%	0.076	+7.50%	0.0501	✗	1.03	19k	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	53.3044	-0.05%	56.11	+5.21%	0.0205	✗	1.40	736k	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7841	-0.05%	1.86	+4.20%	0.0168	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.566	-0.05%	8	+5.68%	0.0426	✗	0.60	714k	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.140821	-0.06%	0.1471	+4.40%	0.0165	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.107929	-0.07%	0.1102	+2.04%	0.0035	✓	1.11	296k	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.1228	-0.07%	1.1879	+5.73%	0.0330	✗	1.07	95.6M	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	68.3539	-0.07%	72.75	+6.36%	0.0396	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.6374	-0.07%	11.203	+5.24%	0.0500	✗	0.08	56k	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.013111	-0.07%	0.01386	+5.64%	0.0292	✗	1.20	2.1M	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026679	-0.08%	0.00002762	+3.45%	0.0075	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.0969	-0.09%	15.98	+5.76%	0.0291	✗	1.26	13.1M	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.046659	-0.09%	0.04765	+2.03%	0.0026	✓	1.07	17k	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.181341	-0.09%	0.2062	+13.61%	0.1141	✗	0.65	410k	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015386	-0.09%	0.01644	+6.75%	0.0528	✗	0.61	29k	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.25283	-0.09%	0.263177	+4.00%	0.0179	✗	1.01	24.0M	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.703349	-0.09%	0.747	+6.11%	0.0295	✗	1.40	7.7M	2022-01-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	126.3978	-0.10%	131.67	+4.07%	0.0117	✗	1.33	35.1M	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079321	-0.10%	0.0824	+3.78%	0.0077	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.838	-0.10%	3.1857	+12.14%	0.0901	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	27.3314	-0.10%	28.42	+3.87%	0.0245	✗	0.66	370k	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012956	-0.11%	0.0135	+4.09%	0.0199	✗	0.97	756k	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.714	-0.11%	2.765	+1.77%	0.0010	✓	0.89	31k	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.158026	-0.11%	0.1605	+1.45%	0.0109	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.6016	-0.11%	8.1	+6.44%	0.0476	✗	0.72	705k	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.7217	-0.11%	3.8424	+3.13%	0.0168	✗	0.69	3,355	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.9835	-0.12%	19.378	+1.95%	0.0147	✓	1.60	13.0M	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.17368	-0.13%	0.1778	+2.24%	0.0038	✗	0.89	479k	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.7369	-0.13%	3.7323	-0.26%	0.0006	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.541764	-0.14%	0.5691	+4.90%	0.0229	✗	1.20	12.5M	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.600868	-0.14%	0.6826	+13.45%	0.0893	✗	1.74	38.7M	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.095	-0.14%	5.328	+4.43%	0.0198	✗	1.13	446k	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.1409	-0.14%	6.4129	+4.28%	0.0261	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.688103	-0.14%	0.718632	+4.29%	0.0195	✗	1.09	2.6M	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.8138	-0.15%	2.9312	+4.02%	0.0190	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.266	-0.15%	1.3102	+3.34%	0.0043	✗	1.37	4.5M	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.5061	-0.15%	4.814	+6.67%	0.0525	✗	0.62	474k	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	4.0262	-0.15%	4.1752	+3.54%	0.0071	✗	1.33	4.6M	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.098189	-0.15%	0.10496	+6.73%	0.0425	✗	1.10	23k	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.999	-0.16%	2.1025	+5.02%	0.0279	✗	1.03	83k	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.997819	-0.16%	1.0548	+5.54%	0.0173	✗	1.74	1.0M	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	105.8218	-0.16%	110.22	+3.99%	0.0203	✗	0.93	2.6M	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.312387	-0.16%	0.3363	+7.48%	0.0425	✗	1.42	4.1M	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.5492	-0.16%	6.99	+6.55%	0.0370	✗	1.28	18.2M	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	241.7633	-0.17%	260.77	+7.68%	0.0510	✗	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.013986	-0.17%	0.01475	+5.28%	0.0252	✗	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	199.5405	-0.18%	213.29	+6.70%	0.0422	✗	1.11	17.6M	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	182.1491	-0.19%	193.01	+5.76%	0.0369	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	5.0303	-0.19%	5.14	+1.98%	0.0021	✓	1.08	2.2M	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	166.0041	-0.20%	169.57	+1.95%	0.0008	✓	0.93	7.6M	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.8607	-0.20%	4.1768	+7.98%	0.0510	✗	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.5126	-0.20%	1.5924	+5.07%	0.0327	✗	0.85	647k	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.02759	-0.20%	0.029265	+5.86%	0.0365	✗	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	14.2311	-0.20%	14.78	+3.65%	0.0235	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.8701	-0.20%	5.08	+4.10%	0.0173	✗	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.1235	-0.21%	3.2	+2.24%	0.0030	✗	0.96	977k	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.495969	-0.21%	0.516	+3.82%	0.0118	✗	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.111364	-0.21%	0.1145	+2.60%	0.0056	✗	1.01	67k	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3372	-0.21%	1.36	+1.49%	0.0193	✓	1.65	764k	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.630458	-0.21%	0.6511	+3.05%	0.0052	✗	1.23	4.4M	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.5708	-0.23%	3.818	+6.68%	0.0520	✗	0.68	514k	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.162	-0.23%	2.311	+6.65%	0.0434	✗	1.06	1.9M	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	84.2662	-0.23%	89.66	+6.16%	0.0381	✗	1.09	115.7M	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,523.17	-0.24%	42,770.20	+2.75%	0.0081	✗	0.98	12k	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.8154	-0.25%	10.19	+3.56%	0.0213	✗	0.74	994k	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.055459	-0.25%	0.0574	+3.24%	0.0050	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.1086	-0.26%	1.141	+2.65%	0.0078	✗	0.95	22.7M	2022-01-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.672	-0.26%	11.23	+4.95%	0.0478	✗	0.14	2.8M	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.3588	-0.26%	1.4467	+6.19%	0.0385	✗	1.10	32.1M	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.041958	-0.27%	0.04184	-0.55%	0.0225	✓	0.89	8.2M	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.085785	-0.27%	0.09134	+6.18%	0.0477	✗	0.68	52k	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.342043	-0.28%	0.361	+5.25%	0.0383	✗	0.71	38k	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.068717	-0.28%	0.07076	+2.68%	0.0027	✓	1.21	16.9M	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	27.9207	-0.32%	29.43	+5.07%	0.0207	✗	1.45	1.0M	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0254	-0.32%	1.025	-0.36%	0.0312	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	155.1735	-0.32%	165.565	+6.35%	0.0434	✗	0.97	515k	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.7776	-0.33%	3.61	-4.75%	0.0769	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.189	-0.33%	4.382	+4.26%	0.0281	✗	0.77	1.1M	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.3416	-0.34%	8.65	+3.35%	0.0152	✗	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.250145	-0.34%	0.2641	+5.22%	0.0258	✗	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.079061	-0.35%	0.07976	+0.53%	0.0227	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.3046	-0.36%	4.61	+6.71%	0.0384	✗	1.37	30.4M	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	69.2089	-0.36%	73.57	+5.92%	0.0391	✗	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.188	-0.37%	3.45	+7.81%	0.0568	✗	1.01	715k	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	33.2369	-0.40%	36.84	+10.40%	0.0673	✗	1.62	2.8M	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	31,879.22	-0.41%	32,768.96	+2.37%	0.0133	✗	0.65	26.4M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	37.943	-0.44%	39.78	+4.38%	0.0244	✗	1.04	20.0M	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	147.4786	-0.47%	141.85	-4.27%	0.0656	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.4637	-0.47%	3.57	+2.59%	0.0029	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.3113	-0.48%	0.3228	+3.20%	0.0143	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	140.5426	-0.49%	141.38	+0.10%	0.0217	✓	1.26	10.9M	2022-01-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.085898	-0.55%	0.086423	+0.06%	0.0159	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	34.0836	-0.60%	34.45	+0.47%	0.0197	✓	1.38	28.0M	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.7818	-0.71%	26.6	-4.93%	0.0688	✓	1.15	69.7M	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.365	-0.72%	1.3709	-0.29%	0.0147	✓	0.87	922k	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	37.5504	-0.74%	38.71	+2.33%	0.0103	✗	0.92	57.0M	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.612594	-1.97%	0.6261	+0.19%	0.0105	✓	1.47	650k	2022-01-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.079261	-2.25%	0.064925	-19.93%	0.2278	✓	1.29	7.3M	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.