8=======>

2021-12-27 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2208
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.9%
in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6051,170.79-0.05%47,383.60-7.45%0.0138✓0.988,5662021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.081041-0.16%0.077218-4.87%0.0126✗0.94648k2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.8128-0.16%15.54-7.72%0.0060✓1.134.8M2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,031.72-0.17%3,793.67-6.07%0.0048✗1.02760.7M2021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,629.49-0.17%47,543.09-6.26%0.0017✗1.00744.5M2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4546-0.18%3.6+4.02%0.0353✗-0.09395k2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2608-0.19%2.98-8.78%0.0362✓0.8395k2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3464.4149-0.19%438.74-5.71%0.0079✗1.0012.3M2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana195.74195.3623-0.19%177.27-9.44%0.0379✓0.92255.1M2021-12-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.239.1052-0.24%36.25-7.53%0.0107✓1.0122.1M2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.3217-0.25%1.28-3.40%0.0290✗0.943.1M2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.024102-0.26%0.021978-9.05%0.0134✓1.222.3M2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.187324-0.26%0.173745-7.49%0.0046✓1.095.5M2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.9594-0.26%20.36-11.56%0.0409✓1.2369.7M2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.5097-0.27%34.96-7.05%0.0059✓1.005.1M2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.59-0.28%3.34-7.22%0.0100✓0.961.2M2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.089445-0.28%0.0838-6.58%0.0026✓1.0518k2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.3801-0.29%3.03-10.62%0.0274✓1.273.0M2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.33-0.30%2.108-9.80%0.0296✓1.093.3M2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5934.4858-0.30%33.51-3.12%0.0123✗0.63572k2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.7913-0.31%2.54-9.29%0.0315✓0.974.4M2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.218704-0.32%0.1998-8.93%0.0357✓0.85701k2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6805-0.33%1.537-8.84%0.0056✓1.294.1M2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.875.8502-0.34%5.34-9.03%0.0170✓1.152.6M2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.057963-0.34%0.05427-6.69%0.0022✓1.0516k2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78155.2387-0.35%145.67-6.49%0.0245✗1.3654.4M2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.299233-0.35%0.274101-8.72%0.0235✓0.9933.6M2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34236.5054-0.35%209-11.94%0.0547✓1.07239k2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41126.9569-0.36%121.77-4.43%0.0207✗0.973.7M2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.7638-0.36%9.798-0.01%0.0463✗0.66455k2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.9627-0.36%9.0923-9.07%0.0033✓1.36299k2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.9508-0.36%3.7465-5.51%0.0142✗1.04798k2021-12-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.4156-0.36%9.7+2.65%0.0720✗0.651.0M2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.124372-0.38%0.11446-8.31%0.0135✓1.0829k2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.87282-0.38%0.798687-8.84%0.0223✓1.033.0M2021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.608-0.38%25.42-4.83%0.0000✓0.711.6M2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.5106-0.39%1.3998-7.69%0.0094✓1.03120.2M2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000118590.000118129-0.39%0.00010951-7.66%0.0125✓0.9810.2M2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.13910.138559-0.39%0.1284-7.69%0.0081✓1.05175k2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.8491-0.39%27.84-10.11%0.0233✓1.2377.1M2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.2931-0.40%9.08-2.68%0.0244✗0.741.1M2021-12-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.9783-0.40%7.57-5.49%0.0120✓0.631.0M2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero220.72219.845-0.40%208.62-5.48%0.0065✗0.912.8M2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.8765-0.40%1.664-11.68%0.0364✓1.307.9M2021-12-28
DASHDashDash151.04150.4344-0.40%134.75-10.79%0.0309✓1.232.0M2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.7415-0.41%16.17-3.81%0.0090✗0.681.4M2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase70.7270.4145-0.43%63.32-10.46%0.0153✓1.411.2M2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.9901-0.44%10.128+0.94%0.0969✗1.29411k2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum206.05205.1154-0.45%188.78-8.38%0.0237✓0.9211.9M2021-12-28
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1119.0225-0.46%18.4-3.72%0.0499✗1.2914.6M2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.734101-0.46%0.6659-9.71%0.0221✓1.1712.5M2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.9344-0.46%4.8047-3.08%0.0168✗0.6727k2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.867-0.47%21.506-6.40%0.0455✗1.6518.6M2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.5348-0.48%2.4846-2.45%0.0504✗1.09147k2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.4081-0.48%1.3011-8.05%0.0111✓1.051.2M2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.5925-0.49%3.3661-6.76%0.0159✗1.253.1M2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.46856-0.50%0.4301-8.66%0.0066✗1.431.0M2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum42.642.3853-0.50%40.01-6.08%0.0071✗1.0020.7M2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.5298-0.51%26.57-10.48%0.0501✓0.8640.2M2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.83956.8047-0.51%6.459-5.56%0.0041✓0.744.3M2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0748-0.53%4.4909-11.97%0.0396✓1.285.3M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.01866-0.53%0.01651-11.99%0.0436✓1.222.8M2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6543-0.53%1.4667-11.81%0.0538✓1.0331.7M2021-12-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.097637-0.53%0.08977-8.55%0.0106✗1.464.8M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2428.0894-0.53%24.71-12.50%0.0396✓1.3722.9M2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum11.0911.0305-0.54%11.66+5.14%0.1165✗0.941.3M2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.6715-0.54%11.57-9.18%0.0574✓0.521.5M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.238312-0.54%0.2199-8.22%0.0039✓1.186.1M2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum1.0171.0115-0.54%0.911-10.42%0.0124✓1.439.2M2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04106.4591-0.54%99.74-6.82%0.0030✓0.967.6M2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.144508-0.55%0.1358-6.54%0.0063✗1.06376k2021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.063481-0.55%0.05923-7.21%0.0217✗1.418.2M2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.262-0.57%5.0292-4.97%0.0423✗1.365.2M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1611.0963-0.57%10.76-3.58%0.0192✗0.771.4M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4683-0.58%5.695+3.55%0.0813✗0.63798k2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.237714-0.58%0.2158-9.74%0.0654✓0.48392k2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.3742-0.58%1.2203-11.71%0.0081✓1.711.5M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.065.0304-0.59%4.5-11.07%0.0468✓1.004.9M2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4444.1793-0.59%39.7-10.67%0.0117✗1.838.0M2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.415808-0.60%0.3842-8.15%0.0036✓1.284.9M2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.9514-0.60%12.05-7.52%0.0891✓-0.264.5M2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3706-0.63%1.4291+3.61%0.1073✗1.0123.6M2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2031,556.72-0.64%28,691.22-9.66%0.0604✓0.548.7M2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.3984-0.65%5.85-9.16%0.0183✓1.105.1M2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.017018-0.65%0.01563-8.76%0.0254✓0.921.2M2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.2452-0.66%4.72-10.61%0.0233✓1.2726.8M2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.0927-0.67%1.027-6.64%0.0026✓1.00165k2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.788978-0.67%0.7165-9.79%0.0173✓1.226.8M2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration322.27320.0859-0.68%294.8-8.52%0.0131✓1.071.5M2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5939.3192-0.68%35.02-11.54%0.0232✓1.431.3M2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.3108-0.69%1.18-10.61%0.0405✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.019080.018946-0.70%0.0176-7.76%0.0030✓1.192.8M2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.372955-0.70%0.342-8.95%0.0279✓0.91328k2021-12-28
LUNATerraTerra 291.0190.3561-0.72%85.17-6.42%0.0055✓1.006.1M2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.39851-0.72%0.3781-5.80%0.0404✗1.444.7M2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.226835-0.72%0.2085-8.75%0.0184✗1.5918k2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.805128-0.74%0.7106-12.39%0.0424✓1.283.6M2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.02138-0.74%0.01993-7.47%0.0372✓0.5146k2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.8229-0.74%6.2683-8.81%0.0124✓1.12764k2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.2409-0.75%2.0752-8.09%0.0470✗1.911.6M2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum2.05412.0386-0.75%1.8135-11.71%0.0710✓0.711.2M2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000038752-0.76%0.00003492-10.58%0.0395✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum5.135.0904-0.77%4.56-11.11%0.0454✓1.001.2M2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.7129-0.78%1.6826-2.54%0.0464✗0.995.4M2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.083.0558-0.79%2.754-10.58%0.0422✓0.962.2M2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash169.76168.4078-0.80%149.45-11.96%0.0400✓1.2311.8M2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.083756-0.80%0.07538-10.72%0.0291✓1.1821.1M2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5843.2277-0.81%38.45-11.77%0.0074✓1.703.1M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96113.0333-0.81%107.05-6.06%0.0142✗1.06127.7M2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.073497-0.81%0.0659-11.07%0.0250✓1.302.1M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.2749-0.86%3.891-9.76%0.0295✓1.003.3M2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6275.2118-0.86%252.64-8.99%0.0191✓1.0311.4M2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8258-0.89%3.52-8.81%0.0190✓0.99787k2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.208139-0.89%0.1923-8.43%0.0055✓1.143.8M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.716538-0.89%0.64-11.48%0.0345✓1.212.9M2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.036982-0.92%0.033967-9.00%0.0190✓1.0210.0M2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.052913-0.93%0.05063-5.21%0.0136✗0.8910.6M2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.113779-0.94%0.10316-10.19%0.0605✓0.58113k2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.3194-0.95%4.564+4.65%0.1013✗0.71487k2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.461473-0.97%0.423-9.23%0.0417✓0.7045k2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.7061-0.98%3.3399-10.77%0.0471✓0.888.0M2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.11491-1.02%0.1045-9.99%0.0060✓1.382.5M2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10613.9596-1.04%14.59+3.43%0.0411✗-0.05129k2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.333686-1.04%0.3033-10.05%0.0140✓1.265.8M2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.637-1.05%9.59-10.79%0.0332✓1.094.1M2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.9889-1.05%1.77-11.94%0.0082✓1.681.5M2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1614.0024-1.11%14.64+3.39%0.0453✗0.014.8M2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.8521.8313-1.12%1.6115-12.99%0.0436✓1.307.3M2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.6874-1.19%5.349+12.75%0.1847✗0.81719k2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.2891-1.26%1.2569-3.73%0.0715✗1.502.3M2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum9.159.0262-1.35%9.06-0.98%0.0921✗1.3715.8M2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.4229-1.40%4.87-11.45%0.0429✓1.002.5M2021-12-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07832.0479-1.46%1.71-17.72%0.1333✓0.736.3M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789208.1416-1.62%190.178-10.11%0.0270✓0.98674k2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.185.0949-1.64%4.38-15.44%0.0865✓1.0012.4M2021-12-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.025733-1.78%0.02187-16.53%0.0980✓1.0035.6M2021-12-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.864132-2.28%0.7896-10.71%0.0214✓1.7323.5M2021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.