8=======>

2021-12-25 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1282
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.1%
in alpha space · 44.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1515.7406-2.53%15.17-6.07%0.0371✓0.035.1M2021-12-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.522883-2.45%0.494-7.84%0.0621✓0.7245k2021-12-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.9013-2.17%5.75+14.77%0.1523✗1.0012.1M2021-12-26
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05715.7316-2.03%15.136-5.74%0.0383✓-0.03134k2021-12-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.72468-1.46%0.7068-3.89%0.0378✓1.7317.7M2021-12-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.02256-1.23%0.02201-3.63%0.0320✓1.0035.6M2021-12-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.9763-1.19%2.196+9.80%0.1001✗0.727.5M2021-12-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2924.2434-1.13%4.307+0.35%0.0075✓1.003.6M2021-12-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.9183-1.12%2.22+14.43%0.1338✗1.661.5M2021-12-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1343.0991-1.12%3.19+1.79%0.0219✗0.962.2M2021-12-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.713117-1.09%0.73+1.25%0.0144✗1.213.0M2021-12-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.7774-1.07%5.75-1.54%0.0142✓1.2828.7M2021-12-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.087097-1.04%0.08785-0.18%0.0001✓1.1921.7M2021-12-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.037464-1.01%0.03765-0.52%0.0026✓1.0311.6M2021-12-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.081779-0.99%0.084+1.69%0.0171✗1.312.3M2021-12-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.413456-0.99%0.4225+1.17%0.0110✗1.444.4M2021-12-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2313.0995-0.99%13.1-0.98%0.0038✓0.522.7M2021-12-26
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.7121-0.96%3.862+3.04%0.0331✗0.888.6M2021-12-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5744.1514-0.94%43.55-2.29%0.0263✓1.714.2M2021-12-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.315379-0.92%0.3303+3.77%0.0370✗1.265.8M2021-12-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.7083-0.92%1.6918-1.87%0.0170✓1.006.2M2021-12-26
HIVEHivenative1.65091.6361-0.90%1.7664+7.00%0.0671✗1.308.6M2021-12-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.802-0.85%6.8179-0.61%0.0059✓1.12819k2021-12-26
RADRadworksEthereum11.0810.9883-0.83%10.61-4.24%0.0421✓0.952.0M2021-12-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86113.9124-0.82%115.07+0.18%0.0023✓1.07136.0M2021-12-26
LUNATerraTerra 298.497.5935-0.82%99.78+1.40%0.0148✗1.006.1M2021-12-26
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91261.7533-0.82%268.05+1.57%0.0162✗1.0311.4M2021-12-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.204124-0.81%0.2011-2.28%0.0233✓1.144.2M2021-12-26
STORJStorjEthereum2.01621.9998-0.81%2.0712+2.73%0.0298✗0.711.3M2021-12-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4139.0953-0.80%38.9-1.29%0.0156✓1.441.3M2021-12-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.110019-0.79%0.113+1.89%0.0166✗1.373.0M2021-12-26
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.2662-0.78%2.3444+2.64%0.0197✗1.921.9M2021-12-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.8745-0.76%9.64-3.12%0.0289✓0.661.0M2021-12-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.171-0.75%1.0806-8.42%0.0877✓1.00184k2021-12-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.781042-0.74%0.8093+2.85%0.0261✗1.274.0M2021-12-26
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.7074-0.74%10.41+6.44%0.0619✗1.084.1M2021-12-26
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.8741-0.73%4.79-2.44%0.0248✓1.001.3M2021-12-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.000037453-0.71%0.00003825+1.41%0.0137✗1.002.1M2021-12-26
ZECZcashZcash169.64168.4521-0.70%167.45-1.29%0.0151✓1.2312.7M2021-12-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.786069-0.70%0.7893-0.29%0.0049✓1.227.7M2021-12-26
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6879-0.68%4.72+0.00%0.0006✓1.002.5M2021-12-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.2458-0.67%5.3426+1.16%0.0083✗1.355.4M2021-12-26
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.5989-0.67%7.93+3.66%0.0326✗1.3615.1M2021-12-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.214853-0.66%0.20968-3.06%0.0361✓1.5923k2021-12-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.363486-0.66%0.371+1.39%0.0138✗0.91356k2021-12-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4146.1073-0.65%45.66-1.62%0.0234✓1.858.6M2021-12-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.101136-0.64%0.09987-1.89%0.0234✓1.474.8M2021-12-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1811.11-0.63%11.25+0.63%0.0068✗0.771.4M2021-12-26
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.016646-0.62%0.01668-0.42%0.0048✓0.921.3M2021-12-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7929.6045-0.62%32.17+7.99%0.0768✗0.8539.4M2021-12-26
XVGVergenative0.018380.018266-0.62%0.01937+5.39%0.0500✗1.182.8M2021-12-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.3069-0.62%1.3907+5.76%0.0548✗1.0122.8M2021-12-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7131,004.42-0.62%31,193.34-0.01%0.0021✓0.547.7M2021-12-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.295.2574-0.62%5.23-1.13%0.0126✓1.006.5M2021-12-26
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458184.4417-0.60%187.2077+0.90%0.0077✗0.97704k2021-12-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.331-0.59%1.3324-0.49%0.0116✓1.721.6M2021-12-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.064262-0.58%0.06404-0.93%0.0139✓1.419.2M2021-12-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2626-0.58%1.28+0.79%0.0063✗1.002.4M2021-12-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.5635-0.58%3.66+2.11%0.0175✗1.253.4M2021-12-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.049276-0.57%0.05082+2.54%0.0243✗0.8911.3M2021-12-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28108.6583-0.57%107.53-1.60%0.0176✓0.978.4M2021-12-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.233178-0.56%0.24+2.35%0.0201✗1.186.2M2021-12-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.112056-0.54%0.11329+0.55%0.0067✗0.58113k2021-12-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.018708-0.54%0.01869-0.64%0.0099✓1.222.9M2021-12-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.1121-0.54%1.1705+4.69%0.0403✗1.482.4M2021-12-26
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5709-0.53%3.81+6.13%0.0575✗0.99787k2021-12-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17065.1438-0.52%4.9306-4.64%0.0473✓0.6828k2021-12-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.019858-0.51%0.01958-1.90%0.0179✓0.5153k2021-12-26
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.5289-0.49%42.59-0.35%0.0060✓1.0021.2M2021-12-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.4029-0.49%1.3933-1.17%0.0146✓1.051.3M2021-12-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.468041-0.48%0.469-0.28%0.0085✓1.421.1M2021-12-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.5673-0.48%1.6079+2.10%0.0180✗1.0333.5M2021-12-26
KCSKuCoinnative22.9222.8117-0.47%22.898-0.10%0.0085✓1.6620.1M2021-12-26
KSMKusamaHydration293.74292.3703-0.47%322.4+9.76%0.0900✗1.061.5M2021-12-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.139945-0.47%0.1438+2.28%0.0194✗1.06413k2021-12-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.9431-0.45%1.942-0.51%0.0102✓1.307.9M2021-12-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.9328-0.45%16.92-0.53%0.0058✓0.681.4M2021-12-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2927.1679-0.45%26.72-2.09%0.0268✓1.3724.1M2021-12-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.8539-0.44%6.24+6.12%0.0558✗1.094.6M2021-12-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.395652-0.44%0.4265+7.32%0.0657✗1.275.3M2021-12-26
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.5637-0.44%4.8691+6.22%0.0554✗1.275.4M2021-12-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.716789-0.43%0.7354+2.15%0.0170✗1.1613.2M2021-12-26
XECeCashnative0.000119880.000119365-0.43%0.00012144+1.30%0.0100✗0.9811.6M2021-12-26
XEMNEMnative0.1370.136421-0.42%0.1412+3.07%0.0267✗1.05199k2021-12-26
DASHDashDash150149.3675-0.42%149.09-0.61%0.0109✓1.232.1M2021-12-26
ZENHorizenBase70.7770.4731-0.42%70.3-0.66%0.0129✓1.411.3M2021-12-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.5174-0.42%12.67+0.80%0.0141✗-0.274.9M2021-12-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.054.0332-0.41%4.113+1.56%0.0144✗0.71473k2021-12-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.058.0179-0.40%7.96-1.12%0.0119✓0.631.0M2021-12-26
QNTQuantEthereum195.44194.6736-0.39%194.3-0.58%0.0087✓0.9212.0M2021-12-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.3035-0.39%9.4+0.64%0.0049✗0.74934k2021-12-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.9134-0.39%9.727-2.26%0.0239✓0.67388k2021-12-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.5095-0.39%2.4928-1.05%0.0148✓1.09147k2021-12-26
QTUMQtumQtum10.052610.0141-0.38%9.8982-1.54%0.0217✓1.37309k2021-12-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.058795-0.38%0.05866-0.61%0.0101✓1.0516k2021-12-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.859212-0.38%0.879132+1.93%0.0153✗1.033.4M2021-12-26
XMRMoneroMonero211.35210.5564-0.38%216.57+2.47%0.0215✗0.912.8M2021-12-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158157.4165-0.37%155.96-1.29%0.0194✓1.3756.9M2021-12-26
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.937729-0.35%1.002+6.48%0.0558✗1.428.9M2021-12-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21127.7648-0.35%127.5-0.55%0.0092✓0.973.2M2021-12-26
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.4493-0.34%1.4549+0.05%0.0037✓1.03120.7M2021-12-26
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7672-0.34%3.8689+2.35%0.0190✗1.04819k2021-12-26
BANDBandEthereum5.755.731-0.33%5.85+1.74%0.0121✗1.153.0M2021-12-26
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44227.6866-0.33%235.5+3.09%0.0259✗1.06239k2021-12-26
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.289091-0.33%0.291987+0.67%0.0026✓0.9935.1M2021-12-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.266-0.33%4.37+2.10%0.0181✗0.81719k2021-12-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.122931-0.32%0.12458+1.01%0.0054✗1.0829k2021-12-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.5384-0.32%25.82+0.78%0.0058✗0.702.7M2021-12-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.216713-0.32%0.219+0.74%0.0043✗0.85756k2021-12-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4528-0.31%5.487+0.31%0.0016✓0.63846k2021-12-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.190159-0.31%0.190018-0.38%0.0088✓1.106.1M2021-12-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.7717-0.31%31.34+8.59%0.0765✗1.2277.3M2021-12-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023736-0.30%0.024422+2.58%0.0195✗1.222.2M2021-12-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.634-0.30%1.668+1.77%0.0110✗1.294.8M2021-12-26
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.4181-0.30%18.67+6.87%0.0600✗1.2814.6M2021-12-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.089237-0.29%0.0896+0.11%0.0037✓1.0519k2021-12-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4434.3389-0.29%34.4-0.12%0.0029✓0.63611k2021-12-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.137.9885-0.29%37.92-0.47%0.0092✓1.005.9M2021-12-26
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.241708-0.29%0.2394-1.24%0.0132✓0.49393k2021-12-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.5402-0.28%3.61+1.69%0.0125✗0.961.2M2021-12-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.3037-0.27%2.289-0.91%0.0145✓1.093.3M2021-12-26
GTGateEthereum6.3896.3727-0.26%6.7502+5.65%0.0521✗0.744.3M2021-12-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.7235-0.24%2.76+1.10%0.0062✗0.974.4M2021-12-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1222.0676-0.24%22.99+3.93%0.0319✗1.2269.7M2021-12-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.299-0.23%1.317+1.15%0.0068✗0.943.7M2021-12-26
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.3236-0.22%3.279-1.56%0.0197✓0.8499k2021-12-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5455-0.19%3.4826-1.96%0.0172✓-0.09384k2021-12-26
SOLSolanaSolana193.06192.6909-0.19%198+2.56%0.0204✗0.91257.1M2021-12-26
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,089.74-0.19%4,065.91-0.77%0.0134✓1.02768.5M2021-12-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3150,339.97-0.18%50,801.79+0.74%0.0018✓1.00750.8M2021-12-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.9854-0.17%9.232+2.57%0.0176✗1.28455k2021-12-26
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.08159-0.15%0.081508-0.25%0.0080✓0.94655k2021-12-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.1253-0.15%3.08-1.60%0.0240✓1.273.2M2021-12-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36454.6882-0.15%451.86-0.77%0.0136✓1.0013.1M2021-12-26
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.4365-0.14%17.11+3.95%0.0319✗1.124.9M2021-12-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0236.9761-0.12%37.29+0.73%0.0010✓1.0022.7M2021-12-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4050,957.34-0.10%50,987.30-0.04%0.0066✓0.988,5662021-12-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.