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2022-09-12 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1026
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.2%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.78%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.179331-6.40%0.1112-41.96%0.4589✓0.1483k2022-09-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.386655-5.53%0.2908-28.95%0.1738✓0.8189k2022-09-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.2422-4.79%5.478-16.44%0.0018✓0.976.2M2022-09-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.061761-4.60%0.05812-10.23%0.1099✗1.251.2M2022-09-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4536.7357-4.46%30.44-20.83%0.0273✓1.5810.6M2022-09-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2317.4888-4.07%15.52-14.87%0.0465✓0.53396k2022-09-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-77.19e-7-4.00%5.57e-7-25.56%0.1353✓0.872.3M2022-09-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000288044-3.99%0.00031125+3.75%0.1143✗0.272.3M2022-09-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.207978-3.89%0.1327-38.68%0.3470✓0.7526k2022-09-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.3629-3.88%5.92-22.72%0.1839✓0.2511.9M2022-09-19
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2181-3.86%0.955-24.63%0.0117✓1.692.7M2022-09-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.547254-3.82%0.473-16.87%0.0107✓1.1466k2022-09-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3623-3.38%1.19-15.60%0.0098✓1.0668k2022-09-19
FLOWFlownative2.1022.032-3.33%1.696-19.31%0.0131✓1.42967k2022-09-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.93-3.32%12.487+1.19%0.0969✗0.3816.0M2022-09-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.7733-3.31%5.54-20.91%0.1873✓0.109.1M2022-09-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.5114-3.30%1.258-19.51%0.0160✓1.2343k2022-09-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.3765-3.26%4.135-8.60%0.0720✗0.94273k2022-09-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.979399-3.03%0.893-11.58%0.0365✓0.412.7M2022-09-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,456.15-3.03%8,481.63-13.02%0.0850✗1.424.1M2022-09-19
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7353.0894-3.00%52.16-4.70%0.1562✗1.278,6412022-09-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.6831-2.89%13.68-9.52%0.0661✗1.001.8M2022-09-19
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011662-2.85%0.011007-8.31%0.0789✗1.006492022-09-19
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.9503-2.80%4.057-20.34%0.0623✓1.001.4M2022-09-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.129-2.78%1.88-14.16%0.0498✗1.27227k2022-09-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.049883-2.76%0.0433-15.59%0.0175✓1.16178k2022-09-19
METISMetisEthereum29.9329.1251-2.69%24.04-19.68%0.0357✗1.66159k2022-09-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.12516-2.67%0.1014-21.15%0.0393✓1.252.5M2022-09-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.325676-2.67%0.3026-9.56%0.0688✗1.0482k2022-09-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.342089-2.65%0.3113-11.41%0.0657✗1.1772k2022-09-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.871132-2.65%0.8509-4.91%0.1907✗1.5789k2022-09-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.652618-2.59%0.598-10.75%0.0582✗1.07111k2022-09-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.11144-2.59%0.0903-21.07%0.1285✓0.60188k2022-09-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.03889-2.53%0.0357-10.53%0.0358✗0.899,1922022-09-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3982-2.51%2.07-15.85%0.0640✓0.61261k2022-09-19
STXStacksnative0.38790.378282-2.48%0.3301-14.90%0.0100✓1.07314k2022-09-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.196479-2.44%0.2531+25.67%0.3878✗0.983.2M2022-09-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.003033-2.35%0.002524-18.74%0.0589✓0.911.2M2022-09-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.485-2.34%6.385-16.69%0.0007✓1.1710.0M2022-09-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.8727-2.33%17.28-19.14%0.0007✓1.3818.0M2022-09-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.287482-2.32%0.25224-14.29%0.0073✓0.9015k2022-09-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.4998-2.23%1.365-11.02%0.0597✗1.1371k2022-09-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.633641-2.22%0.596-8.02%0.0785✗1.02178k2022-09-19
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000044952-2.21%0.0000394-14.29%0.0115✓0.883.0M2022-09-19
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.8308-2.21%24.19-15.00%0.0013✓1.026.8M2022-09-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.269023-2.17%0.256-6.91%0.0558✗0.77563k2022-09-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1246-2.14%1.845-15.02%0.0330✗1.2732k2022-09-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.368-2.12%1.1772-15.77%0.0023✓1.08922k2022-09-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.9196-2.11%12.27-13.71%0.0360✗1.19925k2022-09-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.845601-2.11%0.7721-10.62%0.0696✗1.17946k2022-09-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.151483-2.08%0.1384-10.54%0.0480✗1.01336k2022-09-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.726565-2.07%0.6251-15.74%0.0601✗1.54210k2022-09-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.1782-2.06%2.975-8.32%0.0152✓0.37676k2022-09-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008865-2.05%0.00746-17.57%0.0436✓0.943.3M2022-09-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.2685-2.04%6.52-12.13%0.0411✗1.10224k2022-09-19
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,582.37-2.03%1,331.44-17.57%0.0360✓1.003.3M2022-09-19
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.018115-2.02%0.0155-16.17%0.0192✓1.009912022-09-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.4706-2.02%3.5781-21.58%0.1388✓0.618.1M2022-09-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.173797-1.98%0.145-18.22%0.0334✓1.08271k2022-09-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.531292-1.98%0.485-10.52%0.0756✗1.2277k2022-09-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.225-1.97%5.15-3.38%0.0736✗0.642.0M2022-09-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1206-1.96%0.9829-14.01%0.0801✗1.544.4M2022-09-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.502846-1.96%0.4508-12.11%0.0078✓0.86396k2022-09-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8976-1.93%1.699-12.20%0.1235✗1.7160k2022-09-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9243-1.92%1.7159-12.55%0.0389✗1.1223k2022-09-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.8866-1.92%2.506-14.85%0.0706✗1.552.9M2022-09-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0701-1.91%0.962594-11.77%0.0006✓0.7736k2022-09-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021598-1.91%0.020248-8.04%0.0202✗0.6212k2022-09-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.06276-1.87%0.05866-8.28%0.0705✗1.011.2M2022-09-19
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.5348-1.86%5.479-17.72%0.0158✓1.406.9M2022-09-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008175-1.86%0.0074-11.16%0.0612✗1.18428k2022-09-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.02238-1.84%0.0223-2.19%0.1421✗1.0710.3M2022-09-19
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.129478-1.84%0.1251-5.16%0.1266✗1.181.4M2022-09-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.779659-1.83%0.72902-8.21%0.0872✗1.13624k2022-09-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.7876-1.81%8-10.61%0.0133✓0.592.4M2022-09-19
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.1812-1.81%13.84-16.02%0.0149✓1.2579k2022-09-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.234-1.80%2.9221-11.27%0.0406✗1.0419k2022-09-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.230374-1.80%0.1992-15.09%0.0227✓0.9057k2022-09-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.050671-1.80%0.0498-3.49%0.1138✗0.96234k2022-09-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.112052-1.79%0.1003-12.09%0.0094✓0.88188k2022-09-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.941989-1.78%0.8565-10.70%0.0778✗1.27899k2022-09-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.06425-1.76%0.0563-13.91%0.0342✗1.22563k2022-09-19
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6276-1.75%1.4887-10.13%0.0557✗1.06241k2022-09-19
HIVEHivenative0.58020.570105-1.74%0.5271-9.15%0.0059✓0.62836k2022-09-19
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.356406-1.74%0.3044-16.07%0.0134✓1.061,1592022-09-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001598-1.73%0.001532-5.78%0.0654✗0.79374k2022-09-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048349-1.73%0.0393-20.12%0.0465✓1.18546k2022-09-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.257-1.72%1.092-14.62%0.0131✓0.931.1M2022-09-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.807-1.72%6.057-12.55%0.0198✗1.004.3M2022-09-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001301-1.71%0.0011-16.90%0.0548✓0.832.2M2022-09-19
XVGVergenative0.003570.003509-1.71%0.00326-8.68%0.0617✗0.99483k2022-09-19
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.392985-1.70%0.38968-2.52%0.1300✗1.0131k2022-09-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046677-1.67%0.04122-13.17%0.0356✓0.6514k2022-09-19
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.8368-1.66%32.65-12.84%0.0466✗1.2254.5M2022-09-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.473001-1.66%0.437-9.15%0.0634✗1.047,9852022-09-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.6294-1.66%7.3-5.90%0.1108✗1.1318.0M2022-09-19
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.4586-1.63%11.4637-9.49%0.0562✗1.0221k2022-09-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023643-1.63%0.027182+13.09%0.1517✗0.09465k2022-09-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.3125-1.61%14.77-10.92%0.0074✓0.781.5M2022-09-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.318495-1.61%0.3172-2.01%0.1302✗0.986.0M2022-09-19
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.3756-1.60%40.04-23.31%0.1087✓1.03363k2022-09-19
PROPropyEthereum0.730.718359-1.59%0.66-9.59%0.0519✓0.2444k2022-09-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.292872-1.59%0.2802-5.85%0.1034✗1.0874k2022-09-19
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3306-1.58%1.167-13.68%0.0433✗1.28323k2022-09-19
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.045974-1.58%0.040881-12.48%0.0046✓0.8928k2022-09-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.115-1.57%1.8797-12.52%0.0362✗1.1313k2022-09-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.072838-1.57%0.0621-16.08%0.1411✓0.13378k2022-09-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.315451-1.55%0.271513-15.27%0.0153✓0.99471k2022-09-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.287214-1.54%0.2595-11.04%0.0373✗1.022.7M2022-09-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.5663-1.53%9.098-6.35%0.0677✗0.861.2M2022-09-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.436935-1.50%0.3928-11.45%0.0545✗1.1875k2022-09-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.9695-1.50%4.6593-7.65%0.0557✓0.06119k2022-09-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4819-1.50%4.26-6.37%0.0323✗0.611.4M2022-09-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.036746-1.48%0.03126-16.19%0.0168✓1.0635k2022-09-19
ZECZcashZcash62.9261.9917-1.48%55.26-12.17%0.0444✗1.171.1M2022-09-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.170015-1.48%0.15899-7.86%0.0371✗0.765152022-09-19
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.87e-7-1.47%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0020✓0.741.7M2022-09-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.1758-1.47%3.746-11.61%0.0373✓0.522.3M2022-09-19
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004138-1.47%0.00357-15.00%0.0190✓0.94103k2022-09-19
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.494056-1.46%0.4526-9.73%0.0498✗1.0138.3M2022-09-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.099826-1.45%0.0949-6.32%0.0534✗0.762,7302022-09-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.4124-1.45%5.865+6.79%0.2714✗1.406.4M2022-09-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.7926-1.45%5.2403+7.76%0.2934✗1.49122k2022-09-19
DASHDashDash47.1746.4881-1.45%40.74-13.63%0.0143✓1.07312k2022-09-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.8625-1.44%5.296-10.96%0.0138✓0.643.1M2022-09-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006122-1.42%0.00502-19.16%0.1117✓0.63911k2022-09-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7779-1.39%1.496-17.03%0.0336✓1.02627k2022-09-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.842381-1.39%0.77846-8.88%0.0289✗0.7913k2022-09-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.3149-1.39%15.618+0.57%0.1947✗1.2819.6M2022-09-19
QNTQuantEthereum106.65105.1905-1.37%107.75+1.03%0.1518✗0.933.5M2022-09-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.132871-1.36%0.1151-14.55%0.0046✓1.082.7M2022-09-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.434336-1.35%0.4068-7.60%0.0687✗0.98379k2022-09-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.06581-1.33%0.0609-8.70%0.0657✗1.0579k2022-09-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.11235-1.33%0.111743-1.86%0.1160✗0.896.5M2022-09-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048651-1.32%0.0432-12.37%0.0026✓0.85145k2022-09-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.2965-1.31%5.75-9.87%0.0190✓0.522.1M2022-09-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.6225-1.30%6.05-9.84%0.0230✓0.492.1M2022-09-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4160.6155-1.29%52.89-13.87%0.0063✓1.0414.0M2022-09-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.885-1.23%9.08-17.60%0.0025✓1.34288k2022-09-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012995-1.21%0.011897-9.56%0.0260✗0.84882k2022-09-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2542-1.21%1.0665-15.99%0.0061✓1.141.1M2022-09-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.149972-1.20%0.1312-13.57%0.0027✓1.00119k2022-09-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87127.3248-1.20%112.05-13.05%0.0330✗1.184.4M2022-09-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9219-1.17%4.59-7.83%0.0484✗0.87839k2022-09-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.959045-1.13%0.902-7.01%0.1011✗1.191.5M2022-09-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.350359-1.13%0.30629-13.57%0.0130✗1.0833k2022-09-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001632-1.12%0.001428-13.51%0.0410✓0.685,8832022-09-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.489312-1.11%0.4467-9.72%0.0670✗1.16384k2022-09-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.904095-1.11%0.816606-10.68%0.0157✗0.8649k2022-09-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.403487-1.11%0.3256-20.20%0.0658✓1.09202k2022-09-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.101564-1.11%0.0944-8.08%0.0655✗1.01336k2022-09-19
XMRMoneroMonero163.77162.0015-1.08%140.37-14.29%0.0112✓0.971.4M2022-09-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.042218-1.07%0.039404-7.66%0.0040✓0.5323k2022-09-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.071235-1.05%0.06261-13.03%0.0077✓1.0025k2022-09-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012745-1.05%0.00001097-14.83%0.0116✓1.011.0M2022-09-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,699.26-1.02%1,376.17-19.84%0.0254✓1.36569.9M2022-09-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.223406-1.02%0.1798-20.34%0.1134✓0.7667k2022-09-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.728-1.02%2.425-12.01%0.0042✓0.83523k2022-09-19
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.233126-1.01%0.2188-7.09%0.0558✗0.87527k2022-09-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.162545-1.01%0.1389-15.41%0.0221✗1.319132022-09-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8219-0.98%2.28+23.91%0.2885✗0.4758k2022-09-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.665651-0.94%0.572-14.88%0.0039✓1.143.3M2022-09-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006296-0.94%0.005618-11.61%0.0267✓0.641,9622022-09-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,196.16-0.92%19,540.38-12.78%0.0093✓1.00480.9M2022-09-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8949-0.91%1.4112-26.20%0.1791✓0.851.4M2022-09-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.203439-0.91%0.1786-13.01%0.0231✗1.12108k2022-09-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60954.1183-0.90%49.657-9.07%0.0349✗0.88264k2022-09-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.09071-0.86%0.0828-9.51%0.0432✗0.9814k2022-09-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.2481-0.86%3.728-13.00%0.0804✓0.372.2M2022-09-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020841-0.85%0.01974-6.09%0.0285✗0.61191k2022-09-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.558319-0.83%0.47873-14.97%0.0290✗1.3439k2022-09-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.313649-0.82%0.38357+21.29%0.2959✗0.69326k2022-09-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039681-0.80%0.03487-12.83%0.0339✓0.702,2982022-09-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006187-0.75%0.006367+2.13%0.0793✗0.3730k2022-09-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.997011-0.75%0.9446-5.96%0.0239✗0.572.6M2022-09-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068637-0.74%0.06161-10.90%0.0194✗0.938202022-09-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9990.3285-0.73%76.38-16.06%0.0413✗1.536.0M2022-09-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039421-0.70%0.034-14.36%0.0088✓1.0289k2022-09-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024714-0.67%0.02205-11.37%0.0338✗1.082,9582022-09-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.04e-7-0.66%8.10e-7-10.99%0.0082✓0.7415k2022-09-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.182722-0.64%0.1539-16.31%0.0144✓1.151,7442022-09-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4209-0.64%1.44+0.70%0.0054✓-0.14124k2022-09-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,183.69-0.61%19,581.40-12.27%0.0008✓0.9213k2022-09-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.6122-0.60%1.485-8.45%0.0181✗0.7329k2022-09-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012863-0.59%0.01128-12.83%0.0418✓0.65233k2022-09-19
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3579-0.59%4.2119-3.92%0.0671✗0.74688k2022-09-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.141372-0.52%0.12606-11.29%0.0508✗1.21151k2022-09-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.205418-0.43%0.1842-10.71%0.0397✗1.09135k2022-09-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.481166-0.38%0.391-19.05%0.0420✓1.214,2692022-09-19
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063641-0.38%0.060295-5.62%0.0097✗0.47123k2022-09-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059892-0.18%0.0547-8.83%0.0252✗0.8590k2022-09-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.