XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s7

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0514

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0087

actual -0.0085

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.308863	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.308269	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.304605	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.29377	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.29399	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.294462	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.308328	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.305437	-2.32%	0.31645	+1.20%	0.0065	✓	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.302218	-2.26%	0.31537	+1.99%	0.0085	✓	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.314302	-2.59%	0.3131	-2.96%	0.0016	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.296025	-2.25%	0.30059	-0.74%	0.0140	✓	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.31513	-2.45%	0.30068	-6.93%	0.0247	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.29414	-2.08%	0.30109	+0.23%	0.0437	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.292411	-2.00%	0.315885	+5.86%	0.0912	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.283679	-1.80%	0.31269	+8.24%	0.0916	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.305923	-2.06%	0.30922	-1.00%	0.0326	✗	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.326414	-2.01%	0.32266	-3.14%	0.0177	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.329742	-2.04%	0.302825	-10.04%	0.0359	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.324096	-1.81%	0.32306	-2.13%	0.0310	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.315682	-2.02%	0.30039	-6.77%	0.0273	✓	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.309605	-2.00%	0.298385	-5.55%	0.0127	✓	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.319115	-2.11%	0.28889	-11.38%	0.0608	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.309332	-2.25%	0.312355	-1.30%	0.0133	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.304919	-2.24%	0.333125	+6.80%	0.0647	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.305809	-2.34%	0.336605	+7.50%	0.0671	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.313945	-2.30%	0.330075	+2.72%	0.0245	✗	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.320848	-2.41%	0.32219	-2.00%	0.0001	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.323824	-2.52%	0.31591	-4.90%	0.0300	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.323211	-2.36%	0.32599	-1.52%	0.0027	✓	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.317342	-2.25%	0.316455	-2.52%	0.0077	✓	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.339392	-2.35%	0.311915	-10.26%	0.0532	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.331811	-2.33%	0.313135	-7.83%	0.0195	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.339021	-3.05%	0.32132	-8.12%	0.1024	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.345541	-5.84%	0.32877	-10.41%	0.0964	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.286194	-3.16%	0.332185	+12.41%	0.1018	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.251399	-1.29%	0.33102	+29.97%	0.1688	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.25115	-0.98%	0.32465	+28.00%	0.1465	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.248036	-0.57%	0.34756	+39.33%	0.1933	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.269987	-1.05%	0.33972	+24.51%	0.1248	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.278781	-1.74%	0.3497	+23.26%	0.1689	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.264357	-0.53%	0.36697	+38.08%	0.2747	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.250946	+0.05%	0.29552	+17.83%	0.1145	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.253126	-0.04%	0.25468	+0.58%	0.0087	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.260911	-1.05%	0.25363	-3.81%	0.0008	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.250864	+0.49%	0.249455	-0.07%	0.0336	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.239061	+1.65%	0.272845	+16.02%	0.1449	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.245549	+1.94%	0.283705	+17.78%	0.1935	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.244826	+2.52%	0.265765	+11.28%	0.1176	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.238251	+3.46%	0.25081	+8.91%	0.0844	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.23849	+4.31%	0.25322	+10.75%	0.1240	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.226381	+3.93%	0.26367	+21.05%	0.1376	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.224039	+4.51%	0.249635	+16.45%	0.0921	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.224206	+5.34%	0.235175	+10.49%	0.0401	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.221708	+5.12%	0.24088	+14.21%	0.0448	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.230566	+4.97%	0.23882	+8.73%	0.0126	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.229776	+4.12%	0.23029	+4.35%	0.0238	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.240109	+4.02%	0.228645	-0.95%	0.0626	✗	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.234751	+2.99%	0.217825	-4.44%	0.0502	✗	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.229108	+2.45%	0.21437	-4.14%	0.0502	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.234364	+1.84%	0.21285	-7.51%	0.0903	✗	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.237484	+1.02%	0.210915	-10.28%	0.1177	✗	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.23382	+0.60%	0.219655	-5.49%	0.0797	✗	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.241766	+0.23%	0.22069	-8.50%	0.0842	✗	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.220314	-0.57%	0.23084	+4.18%	0.0584	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.212281	-1.13%	0.227945	+6.16%	0.0800	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.196563	-1.77%	0.223625	+11.75%	0.0972	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.195947	-1.72%	0.230135	+15.42%	0.0768	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.191535	-1.67%	0.23508	+20.68%	0.0449	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.194384	-1.80%	0.232425	+17.42%	0.0570	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.192975	-1.82%	0.2412	+22.71%	0.0342	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.193211	-1.79%	0.22158	+12.63%	0.0294	✓	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.191078	-1.65%	0.21471	+10.51%	0.0117	✓	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.191072	-1.77%	0.20011	+2.87%	0.0252	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.19458	-2.00%	0.199385	+0.42%	0.0141	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.199068	-1.58%	0.19479	-3.69%	0.0153	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.204249	-1.82%	0.197945	-4.85%	0.0034	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.198336	-1.54%	0.196555	-2.43%	0.0265	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.197484	-1.62%	0.19673	-2.00%	0.0117	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.194107	-1.31%	0.194285	-1.22%	0.0231	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.195187	-1.45%	0.194525	-1.78%	0.0063	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.199837	-1.75%	0.198545	-2.39%	0.0150	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.197279	-1.45%	0.202255	+1.03%	0.0008	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.195704	-1.52%	0.208035	+4.68%	0.0204	✗	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.198274	-1.40%	0.20144	+0.17%	0.0234	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.203502	-0.96%	0.200745	-2.30%	0.0050	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.202055	-0.98%	0.19668	-3.62%	0.0403	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.204933	-0.96%	0.19806	-4.28%	0.0379	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.205513	-0.91%	0.2034	-1.93%	0.0060	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.221263	-0.88%	0.200185	-10.32%	0.0669	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.221549	-1.00%	0.198725	-11.20%	0.0809	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.225562	-1.19%	0.201095	-11.91%	0.0920	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.23242	-1.19%	0.20547	-12.65%	0.1174	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.226523	-0.37%	0.20406	-10.25%	0.0650	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.228105	-0.23%	0.206925	-9.49%	0.0495	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.227159	-0.45%	0.2074	-9.11%	0.0633	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.222621	-0.32%	0.22322	-0.05%	0.0092	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.224781	-0.23%	0.22378	-0.68%	0.0047	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.221744	-0.24%	0.22828	+2.70%	0.0256	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.220089	-0.17%	0.235215	+6.69%	0.0430	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.227119	-0.19%	0.22736	-0.08%	0.0232	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.23109	-0.34%	0.22863	-1.41%	0.0378	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.219473	-0.52%	0.22819	+3.43%	0.0154	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.226074	-0.36%	0.223335	-1.56%	0.0295	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.229841	-0.44%	0.225305	-2.40%	0.0382	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.234488	-0.55%	0.22228	-5.73%	0.0493	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.233905	-0.64%	0.220465	-6.35%	0.0699	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.238972	-1.08%	0.22755	-5.81%	0.0945	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.250694	-1.37%	0.23189	-8.77%	0.1078	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.247535	-1.22%	0.220625	-11.96%	0.0832	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.248549	-2.03%	0.22688	-10.58%	0.0941	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.235348	-1.58%	0.230855	-3.46%	0.0318	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.239523	-2.37%	0.23579	-3.89%	0.0447	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.21336	-0.49%	0.235405	+9.80%	0.0690	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.208505	-0.59%	0.241585	+15.18%	0.1069	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.201395	-0.48%	0.25418	+25.60%	0.1481	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.210887	-0.40%	0.250595	+18.36%	0.1066	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.209517	-0.41%	0.25371	+20.59%	0.1203	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.211854	-0.37%	0.239125	+12.46%	0.0663	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.214927	-0.49%	0.245335	+13.59%	0.0884	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.211722	-0.48%	0.2144	+0.78%	0.0188	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.2144	-0.31%	0.209745	-2.47%	0.0035	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.220305	-0.31%	0.202365	-8.43%	0.0100	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.227532	-0.33%	0.211725	-7.26%	0.0057	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.227957	-0.45%	0.21039	-8.12%	0.0135	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.235584	-0.63%	0.212635	-10.31%	0.0281	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.242316	-0.90%	0.215985	-11.67%	0.0536	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.229701	-0.59%	0.21275	-7.92%	0.0206	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.242904	-0.90%	0.21506	-12.26%	0.0626	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.242542	-0.92%	0.22099	-9.73%	0.0432	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.2393	-0.83%	0.22829	-5.40%	0.0096	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.237601	-0.81%	0.22898	-4.41%	0.0032	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.236174	-0.87%	0.23709	-0.48%	0.0073	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.23217	-0.80%	0.24452	+4.48%	0.0529	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.232797	-0.69%	0.23106	-1.43%	0.0040	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.227074	-0.11%	0.245115	+7.83%	0.0257	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.237139	-0.27%	0.244805	+2.95%	0.0339	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.244441	-0.50%	0.24131	-1.78%	0.0656	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.244545	-0.39%	0.23954	-2.42%	0.0598	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.24524	+0.31%	0.238245	-2.55%	0.0896	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.244488	+0.50%	0.234035	-3.79%	0.0861	✗	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.27544	-0.93%	0.234405	-15.69%	0.1577	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.293103	-1.11%	0.22732	-23.31%	0.2151	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.291306	-1.02%	0.23779	-19.20%	0.1262	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.313263	-1.49%	0.24568	-22.74%	0.1278	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.321563	-1.95%	0.24549	-25.14%	0.1293	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.323342	-2.64%	0.24447	-26.39%	0.1062	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.301439	-1.05%	0.24326	-20.15%	0.0489	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.306417	-1.09%	0.27802	-10.26%	0.0295	✗	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.31536	-1.02%	0.2964	-6.97%	0.0702	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.327902	-1.16%	0.2943	-11.29%	0.0049	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.330288	-1.07%	0.318	-4.75%	0.0361	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.332254	-0.88%	0.32795	-2.16%	0.0288	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.341178	-1.17%	0.3321	-3.79%	0.0078	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.331801	-0.82%	0.30465	-8.94%	0.0601	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.346536	-0.89%	0.3098	-11.40%	0.0644	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.339189	-0.53%	0.3186	-6.57%	0.0253	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.333007	-0.28%	0.33175	-0.66%	0.0072	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.34067	-0.37%	0.33385	-2.37%	0.0238	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.339524	-0.18%	0.3352	-1.46%	0.0078	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.355882	-0.42%	0.3452	-3.41%	0.0139	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.363674	-0.35%	0.33455	-8.33%	0.0415	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.377678	-0.06%	0.34965	-7.48%	0.0370	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.3738	-0.29%	0.341	-9.04%	0.0712	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.384395	-0.14%	0.33395	-13.25%	0.0992	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.396896	-0.11%	0.34195	-13.94%	0.0967	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.400065	-0.12%	0.34015	-15.08%	0.1101	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.386747	-0.01%	0.3574	-7.60%	0.0513	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.393399	-0.28%	0.36495	-7.49%	0.0630	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.376216	+0.20%	0.3779	+0.65%	0.0069	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.384489	+0.38%	0.3749	-2.13%	0.0029	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.377076	+0.55%	0.38495	+2.65%	0.0255	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.364686	+0.77%	0.39735	+9.80%	0.0648	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.364878	+0.57%	0.40055	+10.41%	0.0528	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.368464	+0.59%	0.3868	+5.60%	0.0263	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.368258	+0.59%	0.3945	+7.76%	0.0468	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.366117	+0.22%	0.37545	+2.78%	0.0181	✗	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.371246	+0.05%	0.38305	+3.23%	0.0349	✗	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.384061	-0.22%	0.375	-2.57%	0.0773	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.379303	+0.24%	0.3619	-4.36%	0.0760	✗	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.373661	+0.80%	0.3628	-2.13%	0.0281	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.371188	+0.47%	0.3663	-0.85%	0.0254	✗	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.373338	+0.27%	0.3661	-1.68%	0.0288	✗	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.375674	+0.33%	0.3653	-2.44%	0.0043	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.374293	+0.52%	0.37105	-0.35%	0.0209	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.367046	+0.11%	0.3849	+4.98%	0.0479	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.36615	-0.07%	0.3784	+3.28%	0.0146	✗	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.35282	-0.36%	0.3707	+4.69%	0.0116	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.364585	-0.14%	0.36945	+1.19%	0.0105	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.379385	-0.12%	0.37235	-1.97%	0.0232	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.374478	-0.58%	0.37445	-0.58%	0.0389	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.359209	-0.47%	0.37235	+3.17%	0.0061	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.345637	-0.16%	0.36665	+5.91%	0.0317	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.353887	-0.31%	0.3664	+3.21%	0.0170	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.339791	-0.62%	0.3541	+3.57%	0.0007	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.352188	-0.46%	0.3651	+3.19%	0.0020	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.356707	-0.56%	0.37985	+5.90%	0.0108	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.351018	-0.66%	0.37665	+6.59%	0.0269	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.349249	-0.75%	0.3609	+2.56%	0.0162	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.358009	-0.88%	0.3462	-4.15%	0.0631	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.338812	-0.83%	0.355	+3.91%	0.0275	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.341851	-0.86%	0.3419	-0.84%	0.0237	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.344991	-1.09%	0.3538	+1.43%	0.0544	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.345649	-1.17%	0.3587	+2.56%	0.0464	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.339458	-0.89%	0.35335	+3.17%	0.0282	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.348573	-0.92%	0.3519	+0.03%	0.0320	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.349127	-0.93%	0.3612	+2.50%	0.0172	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.344298	-0.72%	0.34165	-1.49%	0.0382	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.337963	-0.54%	0.3448	+1.47%	0.0244	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.344144	-0.57%	0.3488	+0.78%	0.0009	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.346982	-0.78%	0.34975	+0.01%	0.0010	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.368482	-0.41%	0.3425	-7.43%	0.0461	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.387693	-0.31%	0.3518	-9.54%	0.0525	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.397581	-0.63%	0.3524	-11.92%	0.0879	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.391679	-0.48%	0.3468	-11.88%	0.0626	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.376048	-0.67%	0.3398	-10.25%	0.0736	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.385568	-0.75%	0.3461	-10.91%	0.0704	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.399703	-0.90%	0.3497	-13.30%	0.0746	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.386246	-0.81%	0.37	-4.98%	0.0269	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.390724	-0.68%	0.3889	-1.14%	0.0055	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.395096	-0.43%	0.4001	+0.83%	0.0590	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.399208	-0.37%	0.39355	-1.78%	0.0404	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.384611	-0.59%	0.3786	-2.15%	0.0541	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.375666	-0.64%	0.3885	+2.75%	0.0663	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.370764	-0.68%	0.40335	+8.05%	0.0905	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.366239	-0.51%	0.3894	+5.79%	0.0700	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.363431	-0.43%	0.3934	+7.78%	0.0647	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.361512	-0.46%	0.3968	+9.25%	0.0381	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.360851	-0.67%	0.4007	+10.29%	0.0144	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.35563	-0.97%	0.3869	+7.74%	0.0158	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.358786	-0.81%	0.3781	+4.53%	0.0059	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.367754	-0.85%	0.3733	+0.65%	0.0262	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.381503	-0.75%	0.3681	-4.24%	0.0307	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.387903	-0.69%	0.365	-6.55%	0.0256	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.372585	-0.96%	0.3632	-3.46%	0.0499	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.372144	-0.97%	0.3633	-3.33%	0.0180	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.365545	-1.50%	0.3591	-3.23%	0.0210	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.380226	-1.11%	0.3617	-5.93%	0.0544	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.378424	-1.27%	0.3709	-3.24%	0.0548	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.387136	-1.24%	0.3844	-1.94%	0.0579	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.391017	-1.26%	0.3906	-1.36%	0.0701	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.361864	-1.16%	0.3762	+2.76%	0.0269	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.364774	-1.13%	0.3758	+1.86%	0.0334	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.375127	-1.04%	0.3711	-2.10%	0.0172	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.384306	-1.12%	0.3845	-1.07%	0.0154	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.387825	-1.17%	0.3833	-2.32%	0.0202	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.379292	-0.90%	0.392	+2.42%	0.0252	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.381525	-0.85%	0.396	+2.91%	0.0137	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.391508	-0.88%	0.3661	-7.32%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.395858	-0.85%	0.36895	-7.59%	0.0066	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.394963	-0.76%	0.37905	-4.76%	0.0238	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.418344	-1.15%	0.38865	-8.16%	0.0469	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.403146	-0.80%	0.3924	-3.44%	0.0149	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.398364	-0.45%	0.38275	-4.35%	0.0517	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.393392	-0.19%	0.3848	-2.37%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.401399	-0.26%	0.395	-1.85%	0.0037	✗	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.409277	-0.35%	0.39925	-2.79%	0.0068	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.411562	-0.18%	0.398	-3.47%	0.0118	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.421532	-0.05%	0.4232	+0.34%	0.0040	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.428187	-0.39%	0.4064	-5.46%	0.0276	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.402587	+2.31%	0.40015	+1.69%	0.0620	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.46482	-0.61%	0.39415	-15.72%	0.0725	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.468574	-0.96%	0.40245	-14.93%	0.0541	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.474251	-0.95%	0.4107	-14.22%	0.0220	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.460597	-0.26%	0.4123	-10.72%	0.0184	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.464441	-0.38%	0.42175	-9.53%	0.0398	✗	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.499886	-1.13%	0.42985	-14.98%	0.0342	✗	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.503521	-1.00%	0.3935	-22.63%	0.0652	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.529886	-1.14%	0.46765	-12.75%	0.0865	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.562291	-1.47%	0.4731	-17.10%	0.0027	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.557064	-1.47%	0.4788	-15.32%	0.0297	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.555001	-1.28%	0.4618	-17.86%	0.0571	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.576063	-1.49%	0.4662	-20.28%	0.0791	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.578695	-1.78%	0.5056	-14.19%	0.0700	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.572088	-1.33%	0.5086	-12.28%	0.0579	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.585065	-1.55%	0.536	-9.81%	0.0852	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.545374	-1.25%	0.5707	+3.33%	0.0361	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.598116	-2.01%	0.5654	-7.37%	0.0105	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.57473	-1.60%	0.5622	-3.75%	0.0546	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.59236	-1.59%	0.5848	-2.84%	0.0501	✗	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.608893	-1.62%	0.5892	-4.80%	0.0297	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.574124	-1.37%	0.5798	-0.40%	0.0735	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.571307	-1.16%	0.5943	+2.82%	0.1190	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.582858	-1.58%	0.5523	-6.74%	0.0227	✗	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.54673	-1.45%	0.6104	+10.02%	0.0956	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.560239	-1.54%	0.5841	+2.65%	0.0120	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.572116	-1.65%	0.6019	+3.47%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.568764	-1.92%	0.6189	+6.73%	0.0280	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.574194	-2.18%	0.5821	-0.83%	0.0367	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.558559	-1.54%	0.578	+1.89%	0.0392	✓	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.587007	-1.97%	0.5922	-1.10%	0.0123	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.551324	-1.48%	0.5548	-0.86%	0.0409	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.534531	-1.70%	0.569	+4.63%	0.0707	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.522632	-1.78%	0.5817	+9.32%	0.1101	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.518313	-1.91%	0.5799	+9.75%	0.1048	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.497444	-1.75%	0.587	+15.94%	0.1351	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.483986	-2.19%	0.5673	+14.65%	0.1085	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.503278	-2.75%	0.5988	+15.71%	0.1047	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.483441	-1.58%	0.5596	+13.93%	0.0588	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.49173	-1.61%	0.5438	+8.80%	0.0535	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.476931	-1.62%	0.5321	+9.76%	0.0734	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.463176	-2.57%	0.5284	+11.15%	0.0975	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.439373	-1.04%	0.5063	+14.03%	0.1216	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.440436	-0.71%	0.4948	+11.54%	0.1178	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.441016	-0.69%	0.5175	+16.53%	0.1473	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.440621	-0.51%	0.4912	+10.91%	0.1276	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.437022	-0.41%	0.4998	+13.90%	0.1441	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.448896	-0.60%	0.4848	+7.35%	0.0838	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.441094	-0.52%	0.4754	+7.22%	0.0855	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.428265	-0.57%	0.444	+3.09%	0.0128	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.438231	-0.65%	0.4436	+0.57%	0.0068	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.457553	-0.73%	0.4441	-3.65%	0.0242	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.458023	-0.84%	0.4429	-4.11%	0.0624	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.473627	-0.89%	0.4388	-8.18%	0.0826	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.496447	-1.03%	0.4516	-9.97%	0.0694	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.487368	-0.98%	0.4434	-9.91%	0.0659	✓	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.500194	-1.19%	0.4307	-14.92%	0.0564	✓	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.489317	-0.89%	0.4411	-10.65%	0.0272	✓	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.49405	-0.89%	0.4609	-7.54%	0.0066	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.487262	-1.10%	0.4619	-6.25%	0.0031	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.469652	-0.79%	0.4779	+0.95%	0.0468	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.47588	-0.90%	0.5016	+4.46%	0.0395	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.473699	-0.86%	0.4922	+3.01%	0.0260	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.491254	-0.90%	0.5062	+2.12%	0.0242	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.498293	-0.90%	0.4937	-1.81%	0.0090	✓	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.481767	-0.81%	0.4985	+2.64%	0.0163	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.465776	-0.88%	0.4927	+4.85%	0.0050	✓	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.479741	-0.83%	0.4734	-2.14%	0.0138	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.488238	-0.91%	0.4802	-2.54%	0.0054	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.499598	-1.02%	0.4778	-5.34%	0.0227	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.504765	-1.12%	0.4957	-2.90%	0.0289	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.503849	-1.19%	0.5028	-1.39%	0.0439	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.50223	-1.19%	0.4857	-4.45%	0.0924	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.498496	-1.14%	0.4699	-6.81%	0.0289	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.484241	-0.91%	0.48375	-1.01%	0.0541	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.48359	-0.56%	0.4927	+1.32%	0.0762	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.493741	-0.87%	0.50475	+1.35%	0.0680	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.504661	-0.63%	0.5105	+0.52%	0.0614	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.528044	-1.21%	0.5099	-4.60%	0.0194	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.538093	-1.37%	0.5083	-6.83%	0.0317	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.522446	-1.33%	0.50425	-4.77%	0.0256	✗	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.544374	-1.27%	0.4887	-11.36%	0.0091	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.564169	-1.51%	0.4863	-15.10%	0.0246	✗	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.548812	-1.28%	0.49805	-10.41%	0.0534	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.558628	-1.54%	0.50785	-10.49%	0.1180	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.574454	-1.57%	0.5345	-8.41%	0.0877	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.58372	-1.59%	0.54555	-8.02%	0.0886	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.614798	-1.93%	0.5295	-15.54%	0.0602	✗	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.616533	-1.75%	0.55135	-12.14%	0.0486	✗	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.634868	-2.45%	0.5728	-11.99%	0.0044	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.667902	-4.13%	0.55595	-20.20%	0.0489	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.574743	-4.00%	0.56735	-5.24%	0.0111	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.527823	-1.38%	0.5836	+9.04%	0.1339	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.513255	-1.04%	0.59315	+14.36%	0.1214	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.52866	-0.74%	0.6269	+17.71%	0.1793	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.575381	-0.80%	0.6275	+8.18%	0.1735	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.573579	-0.82%	0.6508	+12.54%	0.2437	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.57521	-0.87%	0.6967	+20.07%	0.2865	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.560455	-0.84%	0.5987	+5.93%	0.1737	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.584705	-0.86%	0.5352	-9.26%	0.0034	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.58758	-0.66%	0.51865	-12.32%	0.0512	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.595766	-0.76%	0.5326	-11.28%	0.0006	✓	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.609381	-0.83%	0.58005	-5.60%	0.0094	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.599794	-0.99%	0.5783	-4.54%	0.0121	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.597343	-1.00%	0.58025	-3.84%	0.0065	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.588152	-1.03%	0.5652	-4.89%	0.0121	✓	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.576204	-1.12%	0.5898	+1.21%	0.0144	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.580852	-0.91%	0.5915	+0.90%	0.0508	✓	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.59235	-0.99%	0.6003	+0.33%	0.0404	✓	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.590723	-1.03%	0.61445	+2.95%	0.0492	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.581233	-0.91%	0.6058	+3.27%	0.0270	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.573162	-0.79%	0.6034	+4.44%	0.0189	✓	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.590647	-0.96%	0.59425	-0.35%	0.0233	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.601948	-1.06%	0.58275	-4.22%	0.0167	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.621987	-1.10%	0.5862	-6.79%	0.0117	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.649062	-1.36%	0.5983	-9.07%	0.0123	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.622583	-1.36%	0.59685	-5.43%	0.0507	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.572744	-1.29%	0.5866	+1.10%	0.0758	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.555473	-1.46%	0.57775	+2.49%	0.1368	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.671072	-1.00%	0.59635	-12.02%	0.0486	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.680055	-0.86%	0.6084	-11.31%	0.0404	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.672134	-1.08%	0.6289	-7.44%	0.0342	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.710175	-0.98%	0.658	-8.25%	0.0348	✗	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.706485	-1.14%	0.63115	-11.68%	0.0123	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.688351	-0.76%	0.5802	-16.35%	0.0293	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.71176	-1.05%	0.5637	-21.63%	0.1215	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.70372	-1.22%	0.67785	-4.85%	0.0502	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.692793	-1.47%	0.68595	-2.44%	0.0656	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.659666	-1.34%	0.67945	+1.62%	0.0607	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.659711	-1.49%	0.7172	+7.09%	0.0445	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.662996	-1.60%	0.71465	+6.07%	0.0716	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.659511	-1.64%	0.6936	+3.45%	0.1218	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.66737	-1.90%	0.7193	+5.73%	0.0957	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.64244	-2.28%	0.7124	+8.37%	0.0543	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.684189	-2.00%	0.7031	+0.71%	0.0441	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.684239	-2.19%	0.66865	-4.42%	0.0516	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.68049	-2.66%	0.6697	-4.20%	0.0383	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.731311	-2.54%	0.67375	-10.21%	0.0412	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.740751	-2.64%	0.6705	-11.87%	0.0178	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.734346	-2.85%	0.6803	-10.00%	0.0045	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.770123	-2.74%	0.6574	-16.98%	0.0506	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.