XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s7

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1161

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0198

actual -0.0280

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.296286	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.296836	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.291515	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.280803	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.281353	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.281316	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.293953	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.291958	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.288069	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.300762	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.282366	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.301648	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.281733	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.280142	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.271773	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.293764	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.314867	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.318626	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.314221	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.304192	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.298508	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.307277	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.296809	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.29272	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.293315	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.301452	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.307992	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.310286	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.31015	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.305568	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.327832	-5.68%	0.31645	-8.95%	0.0113	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.321729	-5.30%	0.31537	-7.17%	0.0114	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.323643	-7.45%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0596	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.327538	-10.75%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.0948	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.276057	-6.59%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0686	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.242764	-4.68%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1475	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.242361	-4.44%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1920	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.239556	-3.97%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1754	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.261663	-4.10%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1234	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.268412	-5.39%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.1016	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.256178	-3.61%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.1074	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.245154	-2.26%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1909	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.247149	-2.40%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1101	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.256324	-2.79%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0963	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.247168	-0.99%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1132	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.238178	+1.28%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2151	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.245013	+1.72%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2389	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.243233	+1.85%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2472	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.237668	+3.20%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2421	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.238354	+4.25%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2566	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.223694	+2.69%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2400	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.22219	+3.65%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.2737	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.223885	+5.18%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.2760	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.225466	+6.90%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2410	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.238336	+8.50%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2009	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.238915	+8.26%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2053	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.252603	+9.43%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2072	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.247414	+8.54%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2249	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.246669	+10.30%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2134	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.253263	+10.05%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.1739	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.254472	+8.25%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.1948	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.251763	+8.32%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.1678	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.263717	+9.34%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2424	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.231347	+4.41%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3431	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.213757	-0.44%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1461	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.192435	-3.84%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0868	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.191399	-4.01%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0868	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.186187	-4.42%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0756	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.188867	-4.59%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1153	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.187481	-4.62%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1802	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.18797	-4.45%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1130	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.186272	-4.12%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0649	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.186647	-4.05%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0873	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.189682	-4.46%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0920	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.194564	-3.80%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0255	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.199513	-4.10%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0680	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.194491	-3.45%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0392	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.192948	-3.88%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0427	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.19049	-3.15%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0601	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.191238	-3.44%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.1055	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.194426	-4.41%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1255	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.192249	-3.96%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1332	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.190332	-4.22%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1605	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.192906	-4.07%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1680	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.200878	-2.23%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1437	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.199257	-2.35%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1366	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.202065	-2.35%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1427	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.202842	-2.20%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1441	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.21911	-1.84%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1934	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.218384	-2.41%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1847	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.222282	-2.63%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1664	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.229529	-2.42%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1816	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.227312	-0.02%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1395	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.231245	+1.14%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1518	✗	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.228364	+0.08%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1332	✗	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.223621	+0.13%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.1111	✗	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.22601	+0.31%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.1195	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.223196	+0.41%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.1166	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.221342	+0.40%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0977	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.228663	+0.49%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.1197	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.232255	+0.16%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1376	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.218259	-1.07%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1378	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.226942	+0.03%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1503	✗	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.231304	+0.19%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1552	✗	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.237112	+0.56%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1717	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.235124	-0.12%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1534	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.23869	-1.20%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2183	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.250559	-1.42%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2387	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.248878	-0.69%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2462	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.250371	-1.32%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2430	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.237794	-0.56%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1632	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.239822	-2.25%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.1984	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.215972	+0.73%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.1055	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.210751	+0.48%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0974	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.203	+0.31%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0960	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.212779	+0.50%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.1060	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.211484	+0.52%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0973	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.21392	+0.60%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0960	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.216789	+0.37%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0619	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.213356	+0.28%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0314	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.216365	+0.61%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0005	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.222931	+0.88%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0121	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.229824	+0.67%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0465	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.229665	+0.30%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0595	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.237075	-0.01%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0547	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.242364	-0.88%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.1023	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.23054	-0.23%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0555	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.243279	-0.75%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0811	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.243404	-0.57%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0683	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.240462	-0.35%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0302	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.238441	-0.46%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0164	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.236733	-0.63%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0342	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.233239	-0.34%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0310	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.233327	-0.46%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0141	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.227325	+0.00%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0089	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.236229	-0.66%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0289	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.242962	-1.11%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0083	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.242913	-1.05%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0450	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.242537	-0.79%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0209	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.241334	-0.79%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0068	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.270113	-2.84%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1110	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.285481	-3.68%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1288	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.284456	-3.35%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2028	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.306387	-3.65%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2165	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.315545	-3.78%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2302	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.31635	-4.74%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2179	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.296838	-2.56%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1554	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.301553	-2.66%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1667	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.310129	-2.66%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1718	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.322929	-2.66%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.2076	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.327155	-2.01%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.2006	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.328456	-2.01%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.2057	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.336347	-2.56%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2231	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.326408	-2.43%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1950	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.342897	-1.93%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.2008	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.336808	-1.23%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1414	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.331152	-0.84%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1817	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.33946	-0.73%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1670	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.339372	-0.23%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1792	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.355139	-0.63%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2415	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.363538	-0.39%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2512	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.379605	+0.45%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2589	✗	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.37259	-0.62%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2678	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.385221	+0.07%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2899	✗	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.399988	+0.66%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.3177	✗	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.404134	+0.89%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2811	✗	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.388853	+0.53%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2476	✗	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.393613	-0.22%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2707	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.379213	+1.00%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.2060	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.390854	+2.04%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2334	✗	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.382984	+2.13%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.1023	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.371375	+2.62%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0263	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.368854	+1.67%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0792	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.371967	+1.55%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0685	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.371732	+1.54%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0704	✗	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.366307	+0.28%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0672	✗	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.370969	-0.02%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1677	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.385214	+0.08%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1836	✗	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.383426	+1.33%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1483	✗	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.381728	+2.97%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.1063	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.37749	+2.18%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.1181	✗	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.379275	+1.86%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.1177	✗	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.386786	+3.29%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0942	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.382263	+2.66%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.1000	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.370783	+1.13%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0731	✗	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.369605	+0.87%	0.341	-6.93%	0.1003	✗	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.353431	-0.19%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0942	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.369796	+1.29%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0934	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.385969	+1.61%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.1302	✗	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.377091	+0.12%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0903	✗	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.365264	+1.21%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0532	✗	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.351159	+1.43%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0108	✓	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.359686	+1.32%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0177	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.338746	-0.92%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.354515	+0.20%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0074	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.358118	-0.16%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0011	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.350614	-0.77%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0126	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.348247	-1.04%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0099	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.357965	-0.90%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0538	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.335224	-1.88%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0260	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.337931	-1.99%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0473	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.339134	-2.77%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.1001	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.338777	-3.14%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0860	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.333604	-2.60%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0633	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.343777	-2.28%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0716	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.344663	-2.20%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0508	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.338818	-2.30%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0329	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.33343	-1.87%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0001	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.339934	-1.78%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0443	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.342834	-1.96%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0896	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.364848	-1.39%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.1063	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.386301	-0.67%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.1176	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.393662	-1.61%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1523	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.3885	-1.28%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1392	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.370554	-2.13%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1267	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.380883	-1.96%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1331	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.397644	-1.41%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1609	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.383481	-1.52%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1268	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.388727	-1.19%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.0999	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.397931	+0.29%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0712	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.402395	+0.42%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.1082	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.385121	-0.46%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1246	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.373711	-1.16%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0950	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.369901	-0.91%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0761	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.365086	-0.82%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0667	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.362576	-0.66%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0495	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.360965	-0.62%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.357313	-1.65%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0534	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.349499	-2.67%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0543	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.354454	-2.00%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0606	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.363714	-1.94%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0666	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.379532	-1.27%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0317	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.387007	-0.92%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0178	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.36787	-2.21%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0493	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.368331	-1.99%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0350	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.358926	-3.28%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0566	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.372809	-3.04%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0688	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.369374	-3.63%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.0850	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.378683	-3.40%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0719	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.382967	-3.29%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0656	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.353201	-3.52%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0257	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.355883	-3.54%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0098	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.367719	-2.99%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0417	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.376501	-3.13%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0016	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.380292	-3.09%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0024	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.371729	-2.88%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0154	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.373488	-2.94%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0169	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.383368	-2.94%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.388574	-2.67%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0219	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.387497	-2.64%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0490	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.408543	-3.46%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0904	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.394063	-3.04%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0753	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.387968	-3.04%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1004	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.383797	-2.63%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0847	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.390916	-2.87%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0851	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.397972	-3.10%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0880	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.398691	-3.30%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0886	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.40541	-3.87%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.0976	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.410001	-4.62%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.379579	-3.54%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1209	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.441371	-5.62%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.0989	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.445901	-5.75%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.0812	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.453406	-5.30%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0654	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.439414	-4.85%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0341	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.444807	-4.59%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0260	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.482853	-4.50%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0047	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.486788	-4.29%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0083	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.517249	-3.50%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0205	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.546201	-4.29%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0338	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.539819	-4.52%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0336	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.535822	-4.69%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0587	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.557151	-4.73%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0709	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.56026	-4.91%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0962	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.554171	-4.42%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0661	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.566437	-4.69%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0790	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.529121	-4.20%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0398	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.583097	-4.47%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0971	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.563195	-3.58%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0350	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.580884	-3.49%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0646	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.595475	-3.78%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0879	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.564605	-3.01%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0141	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.563867	-2.45%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0068	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.569705	-3.80%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0095	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.531256	-4.24%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0017	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.543615	-4.46%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0244	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.555284	-4.54%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.552844	-4.67%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0269	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.557445	-5.03%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0028	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.544038	-4.10%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0782	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.572181	-4.45%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.1073	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.540557	-3.40%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1557	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.521567	-4.09%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1325	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.508775	-4.38%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1094	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.503574	-4.70%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.1034	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.483778	-4.45%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.1074	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.471698	-4.67%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.1164	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.489911	-5.33%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0905	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.471444	-4.02%	0.536	+9.12%	0.1011	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.479516	-4.06%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1577	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.467907	-3.48%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1835	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.45507	-4.28%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2210	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.434114	-2.23%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2734	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.435645	-1.79%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2779	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.436283	-1.76%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2579	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.437184	-1.29%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.2966	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.434086	-1.07%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2451	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.444606	-1.55%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2621	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.438392	-1.13%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2157	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.423199	-1.74%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2268	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.432372	-1.98%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2381	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.450678	-2.22%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1572	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.449375	-2.71%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1161	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.465481	-2.60%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1482	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.488168	-2.68%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1159	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.480867	-2.30%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1606	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.495355	-2.14%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.1884	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.48385	-2.00%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2006	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.487618	-2.18%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2068	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.478628	-2.86%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1618	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.462545	-2.29%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2157	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.467827	-2.58%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1193	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.466114	-2.45%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1259	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.484564	-2.25%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1131	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.4912	-2.31%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1185	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.475418	-2.12%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.0969	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.456696	-2.81%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0628	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.471375	-2.56%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1215	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.479481	-2.68%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0772	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.489772	-2.97%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0633	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.4942	-3.19%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0306	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.492677	-3.38%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0103	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.48918	-3.76%	0.444	-12.65%	0.0946	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.485651	-3.69%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0806	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.471573	-3.50%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0694	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.469283	-3.50%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1184	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.477126	-4.20%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1395	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.486314	-4.24%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1018	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.509124	-4.75%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0846	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.51867	-4.93%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0664	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.502584	-5.08%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0356	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.522943	-5.15%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0265	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.541053	-5.54%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0141	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.525739	-5.43%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0038	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.537896	-5.19%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0796	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.555518	-4.81%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0585	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.564975	-4.75%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0524	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.5959	-4.94%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0225	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.596472	-4.94%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0051	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.610648	-6.17%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0247	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.639072	-8.27%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.0983	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.553048	-7.63%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0407	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.518223	-3.17%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1506	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.502628	-3.09%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1359	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.523304	-1.75%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1731	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.569753	-1.78%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1457	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.567242	-1.91%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2020	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.569432	-1.86%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1467	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.554118	-1.96%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1654	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.577227	-2.13%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1703	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.585141	-1.08%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2133	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.593695	-1.10%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2306	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.604967	-1.54%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2732	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.592329	-2.22%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2337	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.591204	-2.02%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2213	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.581567	-2.13%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2599	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.566759	-2.74%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2646	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.571108	-2.57%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2601	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.582739	-2.60%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2387	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.57886	-3.01%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2044	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.569208	-2.96%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1826	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.561525	-2.81%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.1863	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.578596	-2.98%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.1976	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.591007	-2.86%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2040	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.61087	-2.87%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1374	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.637668	-3.09%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1201	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.612715	-2.92%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1476	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.560856	-3.33%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1816	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.544057	-3.48%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2676	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.663829	-2.07%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2264	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.678039	-1.15%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.2783	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.666835	-1.86%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1489	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.713038	-0.58%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0289	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.70758	-0.99%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0319	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.688828	-0.69%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0608	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.708679	-1.48%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0577	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.696545	-2.23%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0563	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.680971	-3.15%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0453	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.643547	-3.75%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0547	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.643483	-3.91%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0300	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.642538	-4.63%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0924	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.635997	-5.15%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1193	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.642006	-5.63%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1117	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.616319	-6.25%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0544	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.658198	-5.72%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0549	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.656608	-6.14%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0729	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.651851	-6.75%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0394	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.700541	-6.64%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.0851	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.708894	-6.83%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1000	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.703153	-6.97%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0687	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.738158	-6.78%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.0968	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.