GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s7

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0937

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0217

actual +0.0062

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.290666	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.301773	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.318535	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.247028	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.220685	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.186668	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.191125	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.210394	-4.67%	0.305135	+38.26%	0.3672	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.213036	-5.25%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.4066	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.259443	-7.91%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2776	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.175107	-3.52%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4220	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.177717	-4.22%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.2996	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.183282	-4.20%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0685	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.200291	-5.42%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0078	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.180298	-5.27%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2206	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.144045	-3.18%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4771	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.177637	-5.18%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5124	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.165603	-5.27%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1286	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.111726	-2.64%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5274	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.129184	-3.77%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4142	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.136995	-4.80%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4693	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.092209	-2.13%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7273	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.084781	-1.75%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5448	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.083779	-2.06%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7822	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.089505	-1.54%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6500	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.089719	-1.41%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2430	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.090586	-2.34%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3894	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.085683	-0.87%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5139	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082333	-0.80%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1430	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087598	-0.68%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0091	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086281	-1.07%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0212	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.083086	-1.01%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0555	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084864	-0.99%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0368	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.080775	-1.36%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1043	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.075841	-1.61%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0449	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.074589	-1.60%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0191	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.073761	-1.69%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0636	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076346	-1.32%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0429	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.07676	-1.44%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0407	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077136	-0.99%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0612	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075462	-0.80%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0404	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075112	-0.53%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0281	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.077876	-0.70%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0025	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.08194	-0.91%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0535	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.079498	-0.83%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0161	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.081937	-0.66%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0082	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.081624	-0.72%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0157	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.078772	-0.70%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0062	✓	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081077	-0.24%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0161	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078258	-0.62%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0098	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.079012	-0.69%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0326	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.08047	-0.98%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0100	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.078999	-1.36%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0101	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.082328	-1.03%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0197	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084183	-0.84%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0806	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087494	-1.08%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0848	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084396	-1.08%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0497	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081126	-1.59%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0066	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.084385	-1.38%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0330	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.087259	-1.56%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0850	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.085374	-1.78%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0395	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.0895	-2.28%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0474	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.08416	-2.12%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0312	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.081832	-2.62%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0707	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079042	-2.91%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1367	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081018	-2.87%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1341	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.082521	-3.06%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1355	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.08345	-2.92%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1555	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.081534	-3.99%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.0983	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078303	-2.89%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.07916	-3.08%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0342	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.080571	-3.04%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0078	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.083608	-2.91%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0117	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.085496	-3.55%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0323	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.085318	-3.53%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0399	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.081553	-3.38%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0729	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.078793	-3.65%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0372	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.076702	-3.14%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0829	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.072485	-3.04%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1450	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.074889	-3.56%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1322	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.074877	-3.08%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1472	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.073981	-2.99%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1443	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.07197	-3.02%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1264	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.071333	-2.90%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1442	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.071058	-2.75%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0966	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.074537	-3.06%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0004	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.069082	-2.89%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1208	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.067135	-2.67%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1721	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.066985	-2.64%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1555	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.063985	-2.54%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1688	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.065585	-2.30%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1186	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.066435	-2.24%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1283	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.066801	-2.41%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1813	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.065819	-2.23%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0997	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.064979	-2.16%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0505	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.064802	-2.35%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0671	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.064778	-2.45%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0110	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.065634	-2.28%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0072	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.067639	-2.38%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0113	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.068361	-2.90%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0167	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.065864	-2.28%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0137	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.067384	-2.61%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0258	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.06666	-2.65%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0184	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.067391	-2.92%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0115	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.066477	-2.85%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0021	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.067305	-2.69%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0053	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.068423	-2.99%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0060	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.072221	-2.97%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0455	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.072891	-3.17%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0541	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073281	-2.78%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0768	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.077832	-3.15%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1350	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.072033	-2.31%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0725	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.071539	-2.57%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0632	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.064804	-2.03%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0264	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.06656	-2.33%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0664	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.067305	-1.69%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0626	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.066762	-2.20%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0834	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.067056	-2.26%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1503	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.066649	-2.27%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0792	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.067995	-2.67%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0886	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.069165	-3.41%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0057	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.074278	-2.56%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0432	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.073396	-2.46%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0269	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.076359	-2.54%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0650	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.073468	-3.27%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0311	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.0743	-2.50%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0503	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.078047	-2.67%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0753	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.079996	-2.72%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0811	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.078338	-3.19%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0042	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.078615	-3.32%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0189	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.076344	-3.29%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0279	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.07419	-3.61%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0241	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.077084	-2.05%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0049	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.071574	-1.26%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0891	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075513	-1.30%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0518	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073528	-1.07%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0799	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.073873	-0.31%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0318	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.076937	-0.56%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0236	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.080399	-1.60%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0192	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.087027	-1.92%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1586	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.08761	-2.23%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0880	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.095608	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.091363	-3.37%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1336	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.090459	-3.22%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1080	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.089518	-3.20%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0550	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.090626	-3.05%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0356	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.093556	-3.01%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0180	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.090382	-3.27%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0560	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.095263	-3.26%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0790	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.098429	-3.05%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0167	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.106176	-2.99%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1066	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.105944	-3.22%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1206	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.105606	-2.72%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0916	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.101563	-2.68%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0280	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.099604	-2.83%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0571	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.092715	-2.91%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0579	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.095173	-2.85%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0679	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.099672	-2.61%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1045	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.101664	-2.63%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1013	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.112191	-2.82%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0093	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.115906	-2.95%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0914	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.130833	-4.15%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2190	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.165184	-7.07%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5228	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.099423	-2.03%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0167	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.098758	-2.08%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0524	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.090968	-1.98%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2315	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.089672	-1.75%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.3037	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.087015	-1.53%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4541	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.091681	-1.97%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6448	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.09093	-2.14%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0759	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.090945	-2.13%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0846	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.090868	-2.74%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0168	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.090923	-2.69%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0541	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.093215	-2.54%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1015	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.094933	-2.30%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0410	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.089927	-1.75%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0340	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.092904	-1.85%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0110	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.112699	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.106456	-2.71%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1080	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.099963	-2.39%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0394	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.103944	-2.90%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0829	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.110749	-3.12%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1486	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.105829	-3.43%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2041	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.095173	-2.43%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0294	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088302	-1.78%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2711	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.086547	-2.11%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1945	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.080726	-2.06%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1947	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.07786	-2.17%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2901	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.081603	-2.18%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3188	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.073501	-2.76%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3585	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.076642	-2.39%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.2070	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.07612	-2.39%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1140	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.076231	-2.53%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.1042	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.077354	-2.60%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0139	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.078304	-2.60%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0137	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.07718	-2.99%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0011	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.072418	-2.89%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0183	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.074437	-2.82%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0292	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.071335	-2.61%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.072465	-2.60%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.076312	-2.70%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.07553	-2.53%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0092	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.074694	-2.16%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0315	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.07448	-1.77%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0446	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.07794	-1.65%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0321	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.077831	-1.43%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0699	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.076541	-1.47%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0003	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082435	-1.39%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0029	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.084346	-1.29%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0504	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081473	-1.20%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0030	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079599	-0.98%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0193	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.07879	-1.00%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0458	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.082649	-0.97%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0172	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088169	-0.93%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1093	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.089791	-0.95%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0723	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092191	-1.00%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0257	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.09318	-1.02%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0633	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093445	-1.00%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0742	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.09374	-0.95%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1279	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094574	-0.97%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1182	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.106302	-1.75%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1680	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091023	-0.93%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0200	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.082784	-0.79%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0582	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081566	-0.72%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0460	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.078225	-0.52%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0805	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078075	-0.62%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1297	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.080501	-0.71%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1266	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.083902	-0.95%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2598	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.086324	-1.13%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.1003	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086306	-0.89%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0607	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.083837	-0.89%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0135	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.082914	-0.64%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0565	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.086773	-0.81%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1044	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.088741	-0.78%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1292	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090349	-0.94%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1215	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.090584	-1.00%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1144	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.085985	-0.53%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0630	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.08652	-0.56%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.0956	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.089532	-0.90%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0379	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.092601	-1.02%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0399	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.092505	-1.01%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0032	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.092517	-0.89%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0232	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.094789	-0.89%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0628	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.100207	-1.17%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0911	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.103156	-1.40%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1006	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.10138	-1.31%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.0963	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.103798	-1.52%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0748	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.102711	-1.34%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0812	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097391	-0.68%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0548	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095146	-0.51%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0149	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.095199	-0.62%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0842	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.097651	-0.77%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0883	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.096884	-0.53%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0819	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.099914	-0.30%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0449	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.100693	-0.30%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0604	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.091805	+2.12%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0068	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.103783	-0.45%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0238	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.106286	-0.95%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0142	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.109447	-1.58%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0400	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.103942	-0.63%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0393	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.104828	-0.92%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.1100	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.114764	-2.41%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0797	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.116707	-2.42%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0896	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.126371	-2.87%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0379	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.127711	-2.81%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0164	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.127161	-2.71%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0006	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.121558	-2.40%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0127	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.132205	-2.65%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0824	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.128224	-2.42%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0164	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.123586	-2.30%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0315	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.126682	-2.33%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0292	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.123351	-2.33%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0529	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.135152	-2.21%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0185	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.135728	-2.14%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0005	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.144223	-2.02%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0100	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.138025	-1.97%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0213	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.13407	-2.00%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0134	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.140294	-1.82%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0086	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.145533	-2.13%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0566	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.132628	-2.55%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0254	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.137812	-2.54%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0258	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.139119	-2.51%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0008	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.141076	-2.44%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0630	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.141674	-2.36%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0889	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.14227	-2.35%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0868	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.148085	-2.32%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0224	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.150453	-2.37%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0561	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.146152	-2.37%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0226	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.143839	-2.35%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0042	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.141162	-2.31%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0147	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.137655	-2.16%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0141	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.127812	-1.91%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0681	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.131147	-1.91%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0578	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.129376	-1.76%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0614	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.130971	-1.75%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0724	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.132441	-1.68%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0600	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.126749	-1.52%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0871	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.123359	-1.47%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.1055	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.12671	-1.55%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0298	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.127092	-1.56%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0342	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.126452	-1.67%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0652	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.123858	-1.70%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0864	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.125903	-1.72%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0764	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.124942	-1.70%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0434	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117724	-1.32%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0319	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.120265	-1.42%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0435	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.123932	-1.64%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0482	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.125577	-1.47%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0135	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.126201	-1.67%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0097	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.134226	-1.88%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0137	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.136136	-1.85%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0313	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.137849	-2.03%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0216	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.139891	-1.97%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0352	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.148474	-2.13%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0819	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.14197	-1.72%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0355	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.138572	-1.65%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0390	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.14125	-1.57%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0487	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.134208	-1.46%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0171	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.140959	-1.77%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0092	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.142154	-1.83%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0272	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.140769	-1.56%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0516	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.138566	-1.02%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0394	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.15081	-1.50%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0686	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.151548	-1.53%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0266	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.155285	-1.59%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1032	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.158454	-1.70%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1128	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.15528	-1.60%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1229	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.154185	-1.29%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1512	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.157044	-1.42%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0762	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.15822	-1.30%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.1022	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.154626	-0.88%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1277	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.152837	-0.76%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0844	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.158976	-1.07%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0803	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.152911	-1.35%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0527	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.157435	-1.60%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1113	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.156788	-1.39%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.0978	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.160077	-1.67%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1549	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.162724	-1.86%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1875	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.162112	-1.63%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1494	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.16606	-2.26%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2512	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.171053	-2.48%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1160	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.173186	-2.59%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1347	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.185212	-2.93%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1681	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.18424	-2.90%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1205	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.182144	-2.70%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0653	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.184273	-2.81%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0921	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.167705	-2.04%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0507	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.170616	-2.34%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0771	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.163349	-1.72%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0504	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.159167	-2.17%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1948	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.176872	-2.71%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.2039	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.178906	-2.66%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2257	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.175988	-2.50%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2198	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.17475	-2.27%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1452	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.183737	-2.42%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0903	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.191187	-2.56%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1238	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.200208	-2.57%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0392	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.208414	-2.61%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0489	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.201961	-2.48%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0577	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.202864	-2.45%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0829	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.201686	-2.33%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0788	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.196407	-1.99%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.0990	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.204951	-2.17%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1474	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.212328	-2.42%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1127	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.21485	-2.50%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1370	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.20992	-2.18%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1166	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.20939	-2.02%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1131	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.2117	-2.17%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0695	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.220681	-2.57%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0214	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.229422	-2.62%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0179	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.242152	-2.57%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0009	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.224006	-2.86%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1248	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.20664	-2.53%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.1188	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.195928	-2.45%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2385	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.27262	-2.01%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0131	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.277883	-1.96%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0170	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.265794	-2.14%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0266	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.278869	-2.05%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0495	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.272359	-2.20%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0180	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.276015	-2.36%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0543	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.280902	-2.50%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1698	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.278975	-2.68%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0217	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.270069	-2.78%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0343	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.248738	-2.65%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0444	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.256999	-2.76%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.0861	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.271135	-2.61%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.1917	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.268486	-2.37%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2029	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.275335	-2.47%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2068	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.264623	-2.50%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1532	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.289992	-3.01%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1479	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.293157	-2.96%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1795	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.296774	-3.08%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1488	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.323987	-3.01%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.0908	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.331383	-3.02%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0647	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.326053	-3.08%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0226	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.357976	-2.95%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1158	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.352704	-3.02%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1039	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.340109	-3.12%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0234	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.33776	-3.15%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0454	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.347202	-3.12%	0.33405	-6.79%	0.0380	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.