OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s7

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,770

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0728

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0146

actual -0.0149

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.126608	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.124813	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.119859	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.120911	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.12478	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.133647	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.133293	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.136782	-2.83%	0.131675	-6.45%	0.0603	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.15337	-3.18%	0.12975	-18.09%	0.1641	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.127936	-2.07%	0.124265	-4.88%	0.0309	✓	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.140276	-2.34%	0.125295	-12.77%	0.0843	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.135961	-2.29%	0.129015	-7.28%	0.0262	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.129992	-1.77%	0.13792	+4.22%	0.0771	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.118093	-0.72%	0.13735	+15.47%	0.1438	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.121413	-1.29%	0.14076	+14.44%	0.1766	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.128016	-1.77%	0.158405	+21.55%	0.2526	✗	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.135961	-1.85%	0.130645	-5.69%	0.0253	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.131957	-1.69%	0.14363	+7.01%	0.1309	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.133673	-1.97%	0.13915	+2.04%	0.0709	✗	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.124675	-1.99%	0.13233	+4.03%	0.0926	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.125292	-2.17%	0.11895	-7.12%	0.0014	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.12638	-2.46%	0.123	-5.07%	0.0223	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.125316	-2.67%	0.130325	+1.22%	0.0067	✓	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.130649	-2.65%	0.138525	+3.22%	0.0203	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.145391	-2.65%	0.134225	-10.13%	0.1127	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.140109	-2.59%	0.136365	-5.20%	0.0324	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.142414	-2.75%	0.1272	-13.14%	0.1197	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.128262	-2.39%	0.12807	-2.53%	0.0092	✓	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.120282	-2.09%	0.129565	+5.47%	0.0881	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.13234	-2.18%	0.128755	-4.83%	0.0127	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.124804	-2.08%	0.1342	+5.30%	0.1203	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.121849	-2.63%	0.14935	+19.35%	0.1485	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.118514	-2.57%	0.14384	+18.26%	0.1405	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.117311	-2.70%	0.146435	+21.46%	0.1675	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.099502	-1.39%	0.1314	+30.23%	0.1563	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.095118	-0.68%	0.12285	+28.28%	0.1326	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.093359	-0.27%	0.135295	+44.52%	0.2176	✗	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.101494	-0.70%	0.12745	+24.69%	0.1152	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.094405	-0.33%	0.12514	+32.12%	0.2230	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.095492	-0.21%	0.121635	+27.11%	0.1886	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.095679	+0.16%	0.120565	+26.21%	0.1819	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.094063	+0.29%	0.1009	+7.58%	0.0728	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.100029	+0.59%	0.095765	-3.70%	0.0144	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.105873	+0.54%	0.093615	-11.10%	0.0833	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.111145	+0.63%	0.10221	-7.46%	0.0713	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.11136	+1.05%	0.094715	-14.05%	0.1142	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.10874	+1.08%	0.095695	-11.05%	0.0932	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.099563	+1.45%	0.095525	-2.66%	0.0084	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.103127	+1.91%	0.09379	-7.31%	0.0319	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.100031	+0.81%	0.099445	+0.22%	0.0210	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.096113	+0.98%	0.1053	+10.63%	0.0748	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.094822	+1.36%	0.11045	+18.07%	0.1452	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.087229	+0.95%	0.1102	+27.53%	0.1972	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.089465	+0.87%	0.10758	+21.30%	0.1639	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.09071	+0.71%	0.09814	+8.96%	0.0551	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.098279	+1.09%	0.10119	+4.08%	0.0172	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.099384	+0.39%	0.09923	+0.23%	0.0203	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.101525	+0.03%	0.09518	-6.22%	0.0500	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.107623	-0.12%	0.09355	-13.18%	0.1348	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.111515	-0.59%	0.08641	-22.97%	0.2542	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.108018	-0.84%	0.08869	-18.58%	0.2126	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.106265	-0.83%	0.09007	-15.94%	0.1589	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.096355	-1.68%	0.09722	-0.80%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.087941	-2.24%	0.099	+10.05%	0.0073	✓	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.079618	-2.89%	0.10149	+23.78%	0.0708	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.081867	-2.74%	0.10775	+28.01%	0.0921	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.081083	-2.72%	0.11218	+34.59%	0.1309	✗	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.08257	-2.65%	0.10893	+28.42%	0.0944	✗	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.084125	-2.58%	0.10715	+24.09%	0.0424	✗	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.086346	-2.62%	0.098	+10.52%	0.0025	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.083675	-2.62%	0.08996	+4.70%	0.0109	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.089118	-2.60%	0.08199	-10.39%	0.0997	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.088984	-2.75%	0.08417	-8.01%	0.0637	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.085561	-2.77%	0.08335	-5.28%	0.0038	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.085998	-2.83%	0.08482	-4.16%	0.0144	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.083954	-2.94%	0.08635	-0.17%	0.0563	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.084027	-2.86%	0.08867	+2.51%	0.0660	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.084992	-2.87%	0.085925	-1.80%	0.0287	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.085948	-2.88%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0702	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.085939	-2.89%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0560	✗	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.083582	-2.81%	0.088	+2.33%	0.0310	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.080263	-2.71%	0.0885	+7.27%	0.0656	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.082827	-2.56%	0.0865	+1.76%	0.0125	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.085469	-2.32%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0188	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.087603	-2.12%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0118	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.087891	-1.80%	0.0885	-1.12%	0.0038	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.086084	-1.62%	0.0885	+1.14%	0.0311	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.093981	-1.59%	0.086	-9.95%	0.0626	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.091163	-1.45%	0.0825	-10.81%	0.0780	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.091423	-1.16%	0.085	-8.11%	0.0550	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.091612	-0.96%	0.0875	-5.41%	0.0413	✓	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.095582	-0.95%	0.0895	-7.25%	0.0360	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097036	-0.98%	0.0895	-8.67%	0.0447	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.093609	-0.94%	0.0875	-7.41%	0.0479	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.093555	-1.00%	0.0955	+1.06%	0.0121	✗	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.09448	-1.07%	0.0925	-3.14%	0.0147	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.095546	-0.99%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0350	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.097535	-0.98%	0.0925	-6.09%	0.0708	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.101329	-1.14%	0.0965	-5.85%	0.0673	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.10035	-1.13%	0.098	-3.45%	0.0446	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.097535	-0.98%	0.0945	-4.06%	0.0749	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.099404	-1.09%	0.0945	-5.97%	0.0644	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.100473	-1.01%	0.0955	-5.91%	0.0668	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.102447	-1.02%	0.0965	-6.76%	0.0560	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.100968	-1.01%	0.0985	-3.43%	0.0345	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.098533	-0.97%	0.1025	+3.02%	0.0010	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.100881	-1.10%	0.1015	-0.49%	0.0206	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.105677	-1.24%	0.0985	-7.94%	0.0421	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.107082	-1.31%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0661	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.106086	-1.32%	0.1015	-5.58%	0.0558	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.105538	-1.37%	0.1035	-3.27%	0.0463	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.097733	-1.28%	0.102	+3.03%	0.0150	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.093889	-1.17%	0.0995	+4.74%	0.0203	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.095856	-1.18%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0212	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.099084	-1.41%	0.107	+6.47%	0.0118	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.098129	-1.38%	0.1085	+9.05%	0.0290	✗	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.099048	-1.44%	0.1075	+6.97%	0.0266	✗	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.103424	-1.50%	0.107	+1.90%	0.0103	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.104358	-1.55%	0.099	-6.60%	0.0845	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.102696	-1.73%	0.095	-9.09%	0.0592	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.099608	-1.86%	0.097	-4.43%	0.0521	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.098407	-2.08%	0.1005	+0.00%	0.0925	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.09751	-2.00%	0.0995	+0.00%	0.0920	✗	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.101191	-2.23%	0.1005	-2.90%	0.0684	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.101299	-2.13%	0.105	+1.45%	0.0976	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.107134	-2.16%	0.106	-3.20%	0.0479	✗	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.106347	-2.43%	0.1045	-4.13%	0.0461	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.105618	-2.66%	0.1015	-6.45%	0.0146	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.105346	-2.91%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0040	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.10507	-2.71%	0.0995	-7.87%	0.0083	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.1038	-2.54%	0.1035	-2.82%	0.0011	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.097644	-1.86%	0.1035	+4.02%	0.0595	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.094604	-1.45%	0.1095	+14.06%	0.1595	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.090039	-0.51%	0.109	+20.44%	0.1334	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.095788	-0.74%	0.1085	+12.44%	0.0502	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.095531	-0.49%	0.1085	+13.02%	0.0664	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.096768	-0.24%	0.108	+11.34%	0.0648	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.094913	+0.97%	0.1065	+13.30%	0.0459	✓	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.09896	+0.98%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0431	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.111444	-0.50%	0.096	-14.29%	0.1449	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.121714	-1.05%	0.0905	-26.42%	0.2508	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.114299	-0.61%	0.0965	-16.09%	0.0747	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.120809	-2.57%	0.096	-22.58%	0.0891	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.115828	-2.25%	0.097	-18.14%	0.0056	✓	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.11785	-2.20%	0.094	-21.99%	0.0020	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.116661	-1.55%	0.098	-17.30%	0.0421	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.116867	-1.38%	0.112	-5.49%	0.1241	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.121445	-2.06%	0.123	-0.81%	0.1829	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.123747	-2.56%	0.115	-9.45%	0.0749	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.125843	-2.82%	0.124	-4.25%	0.0753	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.123096	-2.30%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0130	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.127384	-2.39%	0.1205	-7.66%	0.0141	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.123853	-1.70%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0140	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.129261	-2.44%	0.1185	-10.57%	0.0298	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.126098	-2.25%	0.124	-3.88%	0.0265	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.123001	-1.99%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0444	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.126658	-2.19%	0.1295	+0.00%	0.0180	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.125374	-2.43%	0.126	-1.95%	0.0108	✓	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.129164	-2.52%	0.1305	-1.51%	0.0299	✗	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.132873	-2.66%	0.126	-7.69%	0.0041	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.140715	-2.62%	0.1325	-8.30%	0.0138	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.142677	-2.61%	0.129	-11.95%	0.0764	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.148141	-2.54%	0.1255	-17.43%	0.1170	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.153607	-2.16%	0.1295	-17.52%	0.1088	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.16045	-1.87%	0.1285	-21.41%	0.1605	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.160974	-1.84%	0.1325	-19.21%	0.1615	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.168715	-1.91%	0.1365	-20.64%	0.1973	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.145557	-1.65%	0.1445	-2.36%	0.0208	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.140498	-1.40%	0.1465	+2.81%	0.0682	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.126669	-1.42%	0.152	+18.29%	0.1877	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.122011	-1.60%	0.157	+26.61%	0.2289	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.12092	-1.69%	0.1635	+32.93%	0.2556	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.124063	-1.54%	0.164	+30.16%	0.2540	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.119112	-1.56%	0.172	+42.15%	0.3425	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.118367	-1.77%	0.148	+22.82%	0.1739	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.117227	-1.90%	0.1425	+19.25%	0.1196	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.119222	-1.87%	0.1285	+5.76%	0.0123	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.120453	-1.67%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0050	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.123695	-1.44%	0.123	-1.99%	0.0041	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.12358	-1.53%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0051	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.123481	-1.61%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0311	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.119592	-1.57%	0.1205	-0.82%	0.0355	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.119053	-1.61%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0386	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.121081	-1.96%	0.1215	-1.62%	0.0039	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.120993	-2.03%	0.1225	-0.81%	0.0093	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.117085	-2.43%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0011	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.12305	-1.95%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0078	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.132259	-1.67%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0576	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.129735	-2.09%	0.1215	-8.30%	0.1105	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.117303	-1.84%	0.121	+1.26%	0.0173	✓	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.109263	-2.01%	0.1235	+10.76%	0.0911	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.114293	-1.89%	0.1235	+6.01%	0.0571	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.103987	-2.36%	0.12	+12.68%	0.0956	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.112191	-2.02%	0.1255	+9.61%	0.0725	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.113211	-1.98%	0.1345	+16.45%	0.1116	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.111615	-2.09%	0.1325	+16.23%	0.1206	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.112037	-2.15%	0.1195	+4.37%	0.0073	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.115923	-2.17%	0.1115	-5.91%	0.0734	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.106932	-2.35%	0.1165	+6.39%	0.0005	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.107885	-2.37%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0403	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.107872	-2.38%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0315	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.107941	-2.32%	0.1155	+4.52%	0.0279	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.104263	-2.10%	0.114	+7.04%	0.0110	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.108083	-2.19%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0103	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.108096	-2.18%	0.1185	+7.24%	0.0325	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.103567	-1.83%	0.1095	+3.79%	0.0208	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.100056	-1.42%	0.1105	+8.87%	0.0490	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.10101	-1.45%	0.1105	+7.80%	0.0736	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.10254	-1.40%	0.1105	+6.25%	0.0646	✗	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.106718	-1.64%	0.1065	-1.84%	0.0289	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.111663	-1.62%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0409	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.11201	-1.31%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0239	✗	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.112116	-1.22%	0.1055	-7.05%	0.0068	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.113298	-1.05%	0.1015	-11.35%	0.0775	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.116528	-0.83%	0.1025	-12.77%	0.0842	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.122846	-0.53%	0.104	-15.79%	0.0972	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121105	-0.33%	0.1085	-10.70%	0.0910	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.12616	-0.27%	0.1135	-10.28%	0.1067	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136206	-0.22%	0.1135	-16.85%	0.1283	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.137121	-0.28%	0.1135	-17.45%	0.1252	✓	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.128151	-0.27%	0.1145	-10.89%	0.0317	✓	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.12318	-0.26%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0096	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122601	-0.32%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0145	✗	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119073	-0.36%	0.1215	+1.67%	0.0301	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120497	-0.42%	0.1265	+4.55%	0.0320	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.117927	-0.48%	0.1365	+15.19%	0.0839	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.117984	-0.44%	0.1375	+16.03%	0.0507	✗	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114724	-0.24%	0.1285	+11.74%	0.0005	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116751	-0.21%	0.1235	+5.56%	0.0102	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.120759	-0.20%	0.123	+1.65%	0.0285	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.124988	-0.41%	0.1195	-4.78%	0.0391	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.128293	-0.55%	0.121	-6.20%	0.0181	✓	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.125656	-0.27%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0869	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.124637	-0.29%	0.1185	-5.20%	0.0434	✓	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121523	+0.02%	0.115	-5.35%	0.0590	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122421	-0.06%	0.117	-4.49%	0.0508	✓	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.120143	+0.12%	0.121	+0.83%	0.0356	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119462	-0.03%	0.1255	+5.02%	0.0137	✓	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.123904	-0.08%	0.129	+4.03%	0.0452	✓	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118746	+0.63%	0.126	+6.78%	0.0247	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.122165	+0.55%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0580	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122591	+0.07%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0274	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.128613	+0.09%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0294	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129225	+0.17%	0.12	-6.98%	0.0325	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140317	+0.23%	0.1195	-14.64%	0.1709	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.164955	-0.03%	0.124	-24.85%	0.3178	✓	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.186729	-0.41%	0.118	-37.07%	0.3898	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.189541	-0.50%	0.1215	-36.22%	0.3597	✓	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.188739	-0.40%	0.1225	-35.36%	0.4091	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.195926	-0.55%	0.1285	-34.77%	0.3860	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.188562	-0.23%	0.129	-31.75%	0.3634	✓	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.183071	+0.31%	0.14	-23.29%	0.2837	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.178358	+0.48%	0.165	-7.04%	0.0658	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.183166	+0.37%	0.1875	+2.74%	0.0495	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.18911	+0.32%	0.1905	+1.06%	0.0311	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.191551	+0.55%	0.1895	-0.52%	0.0180	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.198253	+0.89%	0.197	+0.25%	0.0170	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.199915	+0.97%	0.189	-4.55%	0.0227	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.186653	+2.84%	0.1825	+0.55%	0.1014	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.220181	+0.77%	0.1775	-18.76%	0.0709	✗	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.214377	+0.88%	0.1825	-14.12%	0.0054	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.230135	+0.28%	0.1885	-17.86%	0.0042	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.229558	+0.90%	0.1905	-16.26%	0.0319	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.235586	+0.68%	0.1965	-16.03%	0.0490	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.260364	-0.81%	0.198	-24.57%	0.0468	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.266807	-1.00%	0.1815	-32.65%	0.1573	✗	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.294655	-2.11%	0.2185	-27.41%	0.0605	✗	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.295318	-2.05%	0.2125	-29.52%	0.0309	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.291962	-1.86%	0.2295	-22.86%	0.0351	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.282144	-1.52%	0.2275	-20.59%	0.0033	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.297101	-2.11%	0.234	-22.90%	0.0162	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.297578	-2.11%	0.2625	-13.65%	0.0153	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.300459	-2.13%	0.2695	-12.21%	0.0075	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.301711	-2.20%	0.301	-2.43%	0.0017	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.292735	-2.26%	0.3015	+0.67%	0.0134	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.311136	-2.62%	0.2975	-6.89%	0.0412	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.314059	-2.77%	0.2865	-11.30%	0.0498	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.33757	-2.58%	0.3035	-12.41%	0.0102	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.331215	-2.58%	0.304	-10.59%	0.0306	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.332495	-2.49%	0.307	-9.97%	0.0384	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.343543	-2.26%	0.3085	-12.23%	0.0374	✗	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.356706	-2.81%	0.2995	-18.39%	0.0339	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.2997	-2.85%	0.3195	+3.57%	0.0383	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.306811	-2.75%	0.323	+2.38%	0.0002	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.309302	-2.58%	0.3465	+9.13%	0.0252	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.307025	-2.38%	0.34	+8.11%	0.0091	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.306485	-2.24%	0.341	+8.77%	0.0207	✓	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.31032	-2.11%	0.3515	+10.88%	0.0038	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.32533	-2.01%	0.367	+10.54%	0.0830	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.323453	-1.98%	0.3085	-6.52%	0.0145	✓	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.312732	-1.96%	0.3155	-1.10%	0.0235	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.304134	-1.89%	0.3175	+2.42%	0.0483	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.299316	-1.86%	0.3145	+3.11%	0.0362	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.29083	-1.75%	0.3135	+5.91%	0.0205	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.263498	-1.50%	0.317	+18.50%	0.0961	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.267574	-1.45%	0.332	+22.28%	0.0920	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.265498	-1.30%	0.33	+22.68%	0.0610	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.270586	-1.25%	0.319	+16.42%	0.0801	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.274654	-1.20%	0.31	+11.51%	0.0563	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.264804	-1.01%	0.305	+14.02%	0.0798	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.250006	-0.79%	0.296	+17.46%	0.1325	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.261276	-0.84%	0.2675	+1.52%	0.0261	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.268211	-0.85%	0.2715	+0.37%	0.0102	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.268683	-0.85%	0.269	-0.74%	0.0347	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.270293	-0.81%	0.274	+0.55%	0.0312	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.27633	-0.78%	0.278	-0.18%	0.0181	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.277618	-0.67%	0.2675	-4.29%	0.0184	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.259166	-0.32%	0.252	-3.08%	0.0687	✓	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.271667	-0.49%	0.2635	-3.48%	0.0636	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.291229	-0.77%	0.2705	-7.84%	0.0639	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.290555	-0.67%	0.271	-7.35%	0.1200	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.297949	-0.85%	0.2725	-9.32%	0.1003	✓	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.312288	-1.02%	0.2785	-11.73%	0.0697	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.304456	-0.99%	0.2795	-9.11%	0.0348	✓	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.31096	-1.13%	0.26	-17.33%	0.0126	✓	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.319712	-1.17%	0.273	-15.61%	0.0208	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.333951	-1.34%	0.2935	-13.29%	0.0169	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.314523	-1.25%	0.2925	-8.16%	0.0263	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.300849	-1.36%	0.3005	-1.48%	0.0503	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.309985	-1.44%	0.3155	+0.32%	0.0053	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.296239	-1.42%	0.3075	+2.33%	0.0157	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.313382	-1.76%	0.3145	-1.41%	0.0066	✓	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.32111	-1.95%	0.3235	-1.22%	0.0394	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.310856	-1.78%	0.3385	+6.95%	0.0536	✗	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.284441	-1.06%	0.3185	+10.78%	0.0077	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.313558	-1.55%	0.305	-4.24%	0.0285	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.321372	-1.57%	0.3145	-3.68%	0.0153	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.326753	-1.58%	0.3005	-9.49%	0.0469	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.328059	-1.63%	0.319	-4.35%	0.0461	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.320473	-1.54%	0.3275	+0.61%	0.0468	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.320851	-1.12%	0.3165	-2.47%	0.1115	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.314926	-1.12%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0411	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.299549	-0.65%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0267	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.301862	-0.21%	0.3265	+7.93%	0.0803	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.307242	-0.25%	0.332	+7.79%	0.0730	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.357699	-0.78%	0.3335	-7.49%	0.1889	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.369248	-1.40%	0.3255	-13.08%	0.1004	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.374362	-1.61%	0.3245	-14.72%	0.0030	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.359692	-1.32%	0.3185	-12.62%	0.0214	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.376057	-1.56%	0.3015	-21.07%	0.0300	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.383009	-1.67%	0.3025	-22.34%	0.0480	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.372521	-1.45%	0.308	-18.52%	0.0573	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.382946	-1.93%	0.3605	-7.68%	0.2905	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.39121	-2.08%	0.3745	-6.26%	0.2215	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.397311	-2.14%	0.3805	-6.28%	0.2214	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.432899	-2.50%	0.3645	-17.91%	0.1913	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.418113	-2.31%	0.382	-10.75%	0.1839	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.414671	-2.20%	0.3895	-8.14%	0.1167	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.413223	-2.54%	0.378	-10.85%	0.1396	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.359693	-1.45%	0.3905	+6.99%	0.1241	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.366582	-1.72%	0.3995	+7.10%	0.1409	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.341822	-0.92%	0.406	+17.68%	0.1340	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.347084	-1.54%	0.444	+25.96%	0.2609	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.412737	-1.85%	0.428	+1.78%	0.1778	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.409713	-1.75%	0.424	+1.68%	0.2261	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.392267	-1.56%	0.424	+6.40%	0.2320	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.394571	-1.48%	0.365	-8.86%	0.0982	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.432811	-1.75%	0.373	-15.32%	0.0001	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.428773	-1.66%	0.345	-20.87%	0.0660	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.443387	-1.80%	0.3525	-21.93%	0.0483	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.455478	-1.94%	0.4205	-9.47%	0.0147	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.438164	-1.87%	0.417	-6.61%	0.0109	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.440297	-1.83%	0.3985	-11.15%	0.0639	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.426321	-1.66%	0.4005	-7.61%	0.0186	✓	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.413982	-1.32%	0.4405	+5.01%	0.0023	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.426813	-1.54%	0.436	+0.58%	0.0879	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.438839	-1.94%	0.4515	+0.89%	0.0565	✓	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.431974	-1.60%	0.4645	+5.81%	0.0682	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.422506	-1.17%	0.4465	+4.44%	0.0540	✓	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.416875	-0.74%	0.4485	+6.79%	0.0395	✓	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.422907	-1.07%	0.4335	+1.40%	0.0225	✓	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.448626	-1.72%	0.4195	-8.11%	0.0115	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.475623	-2.03%	0.4335	-10.71%	0.0205	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.49117	-2.35%	0.4475	-11.03%	0.0183	✓	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.47627	-2.40%	0.439	-10.04%	0.0670	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.448707	-1.60%	0.4275	-6.25%	0.0378	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.486177	-2.37%	0.42	-15.66%	0.0083	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.688747	-2.65%	0.4275	-39.58%	0.2361	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.71261	-2.58%	0.4565	-37.59%	0.2281	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.692869	-2.69%	0.4855	-31.81%	0.2076	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.739172	-2.55%	0.503	-33.68%	0.2198	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.699048	-2.71%	0.488	-32.08%	0.2118	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.704812	-2.78%	0.456	-37.10%	0.2266	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.724732	-2.72%	0.498	-33.15%	0.2100	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.729055	-2.99%	0.7075	-5.85%	0.0490	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.683995	-2.98%	0.7315	+3.76%	0.0148	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.65208	-2.75%	0.712	+6.19%	0.0480	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.655211	-2.79%	0.7585	+12.54%	0.0429	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.665479	-2.57%	0.7185	+5.20%	0.1409	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.658775	-2.19%	0.725	+7.65%	0.1606	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.655515	-2.16%	0.745	+11.19%	0.1290	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.626982	-2.19%	0.7515	+17.24%	0.0565	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.663171	-2.83%	0.705	+3.30%	0.0492	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.663554	-2.78%	0.6705	-1.76%	0.0336	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.683834	-2.86%	0.674	-4.26%	0.0487	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.756248	-2.92%	0.683	-12.32%	0.0388	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.786161	-2.82%	0.6735	-16.75%	0.0277	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.770675	-2.75%	0.67	-15.46%	0.0141	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.808402	-2.72%	0.641	-22.86%	0.0617	✓	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.812	0.789647	-2.75%	0.6825	-15.95%	0.0807	✓	2.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.