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2022-09-10 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2205
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.0%
in alpha space · 89.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000013102-1.34%0.00001197-9.86%0.0242✓0.90951k2022-09-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,430.30-1.39%19,985.60-8.04%0.0004✓0.9413k2022-09-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038819-1.48%0.0359-8.88%0.0158✓0.8584k2022-09-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.6271-1.52%9.254-5.34%0.0281✗0.921.2M2022-09-17
GTGateEthereum4.3244.2554-1.59%4.2761-1.11%0.0601✗0.75702k2022-09-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.183132-1.59%0.1664-10.59%0.0029✓1.341,5202022-09-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.208212-1.60%0.201-5.01%0.0505✗1.16139k2022-09-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.039137-1.62%0.03601-9.48%0.0274✓0.762,2982022-09-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020711-1.66%0.02052-2.56%0.0448✗0.73223k2022-09-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.497441-1.67%0.4774-5.63%0.0395✗1.09384k2022-09-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.217043-1.70%0.21-4.89%0.0351✗0.9257k2022-09-17
QNTQuantEthereum105.47103.6749-1.70%109.47+3.79%0.1101✗0.763.4M2022-09-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.1726-1.70%17.07-2.29%0.0441✗0.681.6M2022-09-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,274.83-1.74%20,113.37-7.10%0.0176✗1.00473.4M2022-09-17
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.14e-7-1.74%8.40e-7-9.68%0.0277✓0.771.7M2022-09-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047055-1.76%0.0461-3.76%0.0447✗0.88132k2022-09-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.067879-1.78%0.0662-4.21%0.0434✗0.936022022-09-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006186-1.81%0.005888-6.54%0.0012✓0.692,0442022-09-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3262.172-1.81%57.82-8.69%0.0025✓0.9513.5M2022-09-17
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.06338-1.87%0.062299-3.54%0.0281✗0.62129k2022-09-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4029-1.90%1.45+1.40%0.0293✗-0.05124k2022-09-17
XVGVergenative0.003220.003159-1.91%0.00337+4.66%0.1341✗0.94481k2022-09-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.024983-1.91%0.02341-8.09%0.0385✗1.412,9582022-09-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.205893-1.96%0.191-9.05%0.0099✓1.15108k2022-09-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.112459-1.96%0.11336-1.17%0.0693✗0.836.5M2022-09-17
XMRMoneroMonero157.51154.3875-1.98%147.56-6.32%0.0292✗1.011.3M2022-09-17
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.224716-2.00%0.2267-1.13%0.0711✗0.85503k2022-09-17
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.3642-2.01%33.69-3.93%0.0567✗1.0458.3M2022-09-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7525-2.04%1.609-10.06%0.0228✓0.85627k2022-09-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.074421-2.05%0.06678-12.11%0.0264✓1.1125k2022-09-17
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6318-2.08%1.5518-6.88%0.0261✗1.04241k2022-09-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.7219-2.08%9.64-11.96%0.0166✓1.22298k2022-09-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.0025-2.10%4.54-11.15%0.0371✓0.81943k2022-09-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006097-2.11%0.006354+2.02%0.0738✗0.4433k2022-09-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.012784-2.11%0.01249-4.36%0.0296✗0.72228k2022-09-17
HIVEHivenative0.57790.565579-2.13%0.5649-2.25%0.0532✗0.74826k2022-09-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,736.85-2.13%1,468.97-17.23%0.0714✓1.30591.2M2022-09-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0117-2.16%0.9979-3.50%0.0237✗0.512.7M2022-09-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.127864-2.17%0.1166-10.79%0.0917✓0.0183k2022-09-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.275669-2.18%0.304+7.88%0.1559✗0.7984k2022-09-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.167556-2.18%0.16418-4.15%0.1057✗1.712952022-09-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64129.7322-2.19%122.08-7.96%0.0212✓1.114.4M2022-09-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.544192-2.20%0.50943-8.44%0.0241✗1.2239k2022-09-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.037068-2.20%0.038+0.26%0.0795✗0.747,8252022-09-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.00917-2.24%0.00859-8.42%0.0120✓0.723.3M2022-09-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.6357-2.25%16.412+2.61%0.1325✗1.1418.7M2022-09-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.224709-2.26%0.1876-18.40%0.1240✓0.7767k2022-09-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.91711-2.26%0.865587-7.75%0.0002✓0.7849k2022-09-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.045097-2.26%0.04315-6.48%0.0081✓0.7114k2022-09-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23653.982-2.27%52.371-5.19%0.0233✗0.73284k2022-09-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8471-2.27%2.69+42.33%0.4132✗0.5161k2022-09-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012769-2.28%0.012503-4.31%0.0239✗0.61929k2022-09-17
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.0579-2.28%24.62-11.09%0.0230✓0.976.8M2022-09-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6227-2.30%1.489-10.36%0.0309✓0.7544k2022-09-17
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.500333-2.36%0.486-5.15%0.0347✗0.8637.9M2022-09-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.064246-2.36%0.0666+1.22%0.0952✗0.8081k2022-09-17
PROPropyEthereum0.730.712756-2.36%0.7-4.11%0.0098✓0.3850k2022-09-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.641443-2.37%0.629-4.26%0.0479✗0.92178k2022-09-17
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.1476-2.38%11.819-12.24%0.0414✓0.8822k2022-09-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.4618-2.39%6.35-4.08%0.0140✓0.432.1M2022-09-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.044-2.40%1.0116-5.43%0.0274✗0.8034k2022-09-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.8765-2.40%5.727-4.88%0.0052✓0.423.3M2022-09-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.663653-2.40%0.617-9.26%0.0104✓1.133.7M2022-09-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004031-2.41%0.00378-8.47%0.0021✓0.90103k2022-09-17
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.130367-2.42%0.1276-4.49%0.0568✗1.061.4M2022-09-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.324221-2.43%0.31645-4.77%0.0286✗0.72327k2022-09-17
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010705-2.45%0.012891+17.47%0.2595✗1.006082022-09-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022473-2.50%0.02103-8.76%0.0054✓0.839.2M2022-09-17
DASHDashDash48.7747.5464-2.51%44.59-8.57%0.0058✓0.95328k2022-09-17
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7490.4084-2.51%81.44-12.18%0.0003✓1.425.6M2022-09-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.058294-2.52%0.0563-5.85%0.0297✗0.8881k2022-09-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.8206-2.52%4.9846+0.79%0.0404✗0.09115k2022-09-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.175041-2.53%0.1593-11.30%0.0258✓0.93268k2022-09-17
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.393384-2.55%0.38033-5.78%0.0352✗0.9431k2022-09-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.953099-2.55%0.932-4.70%0.0666✗1.211.5M2022-09-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.2951-2.55%5.91-8.51%0.0313✓0.432.2M2022-09-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005778-2.56%0.00543-8.43%0.0160✓0.63911k2022-09-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.409622-2.56%0.357-15.08%0.0615✓1.03209k2022-09-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.1849-2.59%3.989-7.15%0.0159✓0.442.1M2022-09-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.502636-2.59%0.443-14.15%0.0417✓1.154,5592022-09-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.86e-7-2.59%8.50e-7-6.59%0.0133✓0.7515k2022-09-17
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.4129-2.59%14.92-11.45%0.0158✓1.0885k2022-09-17
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.6873-2.61%4.38-9.00%0.0059✓1.001.2M2022-09-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.9201-2.61%5.627+11.38%0.2260✗1.246.2M2022-09-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.7335-2.62%2.603-7.27%0.0102✓0.80630k2022-09-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.8877-2.64%1.8165-6.31%0.0388✗1.0523k2022-09-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.6971-2.64%8.09+2.33%0.1208✗0.9618.0M2022-09-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001507-2.65%0.001621+4.72%0.1294✗0.77343k2022-09-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.135403-2.66%0.1254-9.85%0.0412✓0.482.9M2022-09-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.1895-2.66%1.179-3.52%0.0608✗0.941.1M2022-09-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.100806-2.70%0.0988-4.63%0.0319✗0.712,6892022-09-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.286903-2.71%0.2704-8.31%0.0082✓0.922.7M2022-09-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.139797-2.73%0.13742-4.38%0.0651✗1.12157k2022-09-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.123911-2.74%0.1045-17.97%0.1195✓0.69195k2022-09-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.5385-2.74%2.19-16.09%0.0994✓0.66262k2022-09-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.02098-2.76%0.020559-4.71%0.0352✗0.7512k2022-09-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.096168-2.76%0.096-2.93%0.0639✗0.89336k2022-09-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001557-2.77%0.001493-6.75%0.0065✓0.666,5532022-09-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.049589-2.77%0.042-17.65%0.0967✓0.94546k2022-09-17
ZECZcashZcash65.3363.5114-2.78%58.71-10.13%0.0079✓1.171.2M2022-09-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.2099-2.79%1.0832-12.97%0.0019✓1.484.4M2022-09-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.096727-2.79%0.0897-9.85%0.0123✓0.8613k2022-09-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.4876-2.79%6.014-9.89%0.0156✓1.246.9M2022-09-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2316-2.81%3.983-8.52%0.0367✓0.322.2M2022-09-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.536397-2.83%0.515-6.70%0.0392✗1.0877k2022-09-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9897-2.83%1.9045-6.99%0.0203✓0.871.2M2022-09-17
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.044438-2.84%0.042628-6.80%0.0166✓0.7928k2022-09-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.313084-2.86%0.3108-3.57%0.0561✗0.865.9M2022-09-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.343916-2.87%0.32877-7.15%0.0248✓0.9534k2022-09-17
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,622.41-2.87%1,396.39-16.41%0.0763✓1.003.4M2022-09-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001341-2.88%0.001205-12.75%0.0582✓0.672.3M2022-09-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.065063-2.89%0.0594-11.34%0.0022✓1.21608k2022-09-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.06285-2.91%0.062199-3.91%0.0634✗1.001.3M2022-09-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.958456-2.94%0.9111-7.74%0.0328✗1.13899k2022-09-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.9875-2.95%1.805-11.87%0.0233✓1.6260k2022-09-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.2956-2.96%1.1798-11.63%0.0121✓1.111.1M2022-09-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.037067-2.97%0.03442-9.90%0.0016✓0.9859k2022-09-17
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0651.4844-2.97%54.2+2.15%0.1397✗1.209,0502022-09-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.1566-3.03%2.022-9.08%0.0165✓1.1033k2022-09-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002823-3.04%0.002846-2.23%0.0707✗0.851.2M2022-09-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.02345-3.06%0.025798+6.64%0.0986✗0.04454k2022-09-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.9104-3.07%6.285-11.84%0.0328✓0.844.3M2022-09-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.2715-3.08%3.0761-8.87%0.0093✓0.9619k2022-09-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4519.8192-3.08%18.48-9.63%0.0163✓1.1718.5M2022-09-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.11096-3.09%0.1051-8.21%0.0027✓0.77169k2022-09-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.4277-3.09%4.009-12.26%0.0332✓0.90289k2022-09-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.4017-3.11%16.36-8.91%0.0166✓0.61384k2022-09-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4668-3.11%1.46-3.57%0.0764✗1.1071k2022-09-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.113612-3.14%0.1088-7.25%0.0327✗1.032.5M2022-09-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049201-3.15%0.0511+0.59%0.1108✗0.99234k2022-09-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.157376-3.15%0.1487-8.49%0.0108✓0.921,0012022-09-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007612-3.16%0.00773-1.65%0.0915✗1.03389k2022-09-17
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.380582-3.18%0.3548-9.74%0.0082✓1.067402022-09-17
KSMKusamaHydration52.3250.643-3.21%44.64-14.68%0.0580✓0.93363k2022-09-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.822773-3.22%0.8328-2.04%0.0777✗0.8913k2022-09-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.302547-3.24%0.291502-6.77%0.0359✗0.99514k2022-09-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.449936-3.25%0.40106-13.76%0.0465✓0.93392k2022-09-17
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000043106-3.26%0.00004289-3.75%0.0529✗0.792.5M2022-09-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2812-3.31%1.2443-6.09%0.0377✗0.911.1M2022-09-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.428618-3.33%0.4523+2.01%0.1374✗1.1381k2022-09-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.0463-3.36%14.56-6.49%0.0314✓0.871.7M2022-09-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.2268-3.39%5.4-0.18%0.0631✗0.412.0M2022-09-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.280488-3.40%0.27068-6.77%0.0355✗0.9614k2022-09-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.871337-3.40%0.8495-5.82%0.0750✗1.3694k2022-09-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.47-3.46%4.45-3.89%0.0324✓0.501.3M2022-09-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.7368-3.46%5.798-16.91%0.1389✓0.158.6M2022-09-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.041052-3.49%0.040142-5.63%0.0153✓0.5123k2022-09-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.1579-3.49%3.155-3.58%0.0356✗0.50653k2022-09-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.273999-3.52%0.266-6.34%0.0232✓0.72563k2022-09-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,067.70-3.58%9,343.58-10.51%0.0280✓1.394.2M2022-09-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.167585-3.58%0.1447-16.74%0.0857✓0.8324k2022-09-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.143721-3.61%0.1415-5.10%0.0546✗0.95117k2022-09-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.9137-3.65%2.735-9.56%0.0420✗1.433.0M2022-09-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.069328-3.67%0.06385-11.28%0.0726✓0.13389k2022-09-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.4907-3.68%7.059-9.23%0.0132✓0.9810.0M2022-09-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.839747-3.69%0.8104-7.05%0.0373✓0.99988k2022-09-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.6872-3.69%8.49-5.88%0.0097✓0.442.2M2022-09-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.194151-3.69%0.2252+11.71%0.2097✗0.833.2M2022-09-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.4035-3.71%3.732-18.39%0.1279✓0.517.3M2022-09-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.4871-3.77%6.96-10.54%0.0028✓1.03237k2022-09-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.050226-3.78%0.0492-5.75%0.0427✗0.86204k2022-09-17
METISMetisEthereum32.5531.3069-3.82%25.23-22.49%0.0900✓1.71178k2022-09-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.782534-3.83%0.7528-7.48%0.0225✓0.83584k2022-09-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.496208-3.84%0.464-10.08%0.0059✓0.997,7812022-09-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3184-3.90%1.293-5.76%0.0610✗1.09385k2022-09-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.504341-3.92%0.4808-8.40%0.0011✓0.66444k2022-09-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.2768-3.92%4.9164+10.45%0.2513✗1.52129k2022-09-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21411.735-3.92%11.72-4.04%0.0310✓0.4416.0M2022-09-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.326763-3.92%0.3183-6.41%0.0512✗1.0582k2022-09-17
STXStacksnative0.38460.369488-3.93%0.3564-7.33%0.0442✗1.09335k2022-09-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4312-3.95%1.33-10.74%0.0075✓0.8981k2022-09-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.351858-4.00%0.3309-9.71%0.0140✓1.0271k2022-09-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2337.6454-4.04%34.42-12.26%0.0168✓1.4411.7M2022-09-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.1143-4.06%6.1857-16.58%0.1233✓0.229.9M2022-09-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.1098-4.15%13.21-10.26%0.0096✓1.02925k2022-09-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.146907-4.17%0.1591+3.78%0.1535✗1.00361k2022-09-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.984872-4.20%0.947-7.88%0.0068✓0.442.8M2022-09-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.657027-4.22%0.621-9.48%0.0013✓0.78116k2022-09-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.5434-4.43%1.403-13.13%0.0152✓1.0943k2022-09-17
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3248-4.49%1.133-18.31%0.0396✓1.582.8M2022-09-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2227-4.49%1.9947-14.29%0.0276✓1.0913k2022-09-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.5423-4.52%0.516-9.15%0.0292✓1.0763k2022-09-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.714405-4.63%0.6797-9.26%0.0505✗1.36210k2022-09-17
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018067-4.63%0.01789-5.57%0.0638✗1.006792022-09-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.299261-4.69%0.2713-13.60%0.0229✓1.0292k2022-09-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.2269-4.83%1.99-14.96%0.0283✓1.14229k2022-09-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000413587-4.88%0.00030987-28.73%0.2518✓0.501.8M2022-09-17
FLOWFlownative2.112.0062-4.92%1.839-12.84%0.0075✓1.281.1M2022-09-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.0057-5.56%5.909-7.08%0.0457✓0.846.2M2022-09-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.44e-7-5.92%6.21e-7-9.31%0.0245✓0.832.3M2022-09-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.061938-5.98%0.06229-5.45%0.0863✗1.091.4M2022-09-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.