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2022-09-09 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2596
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.5%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2817.1189-0.93%16.31-5.61%0.0123✗0.801.6M2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012738-1.41%0.00001157-10.45%0.0270✓0.91898k2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.4594-1.58%9.137-4.93%0.0349✗0.921.2M2022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.211079-1.59%0.1907-11.10%0.0074✓1.24139k2022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8021,025.05-1.62%19,713.60-7.76%0.0072✓0.9413k2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.31374.2437-1.62%4.2657-1.11%0.0635✗0.77724k2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.038325-1.63%0.03549-8.91%0.0181✓0.772,4552022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038444-1.68%0.0352-9.97%0.0223✓0.8777k2022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.18191-1.72%0.155-16.26%0.0618✓1.291,5202022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.066158-1.74%0.0652-3.16%0.0523✗0.886022022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.020886-1.76%0.02106-0.94%0.0640✗0.73234k2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.046662-1.76%0.043-9.47%0.0134✓0.90138k2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum103.35101.4939-1.80%107.74+4.25%0.1195✗0.793.4M2022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.490301-1.80%0.4634-7.19%0.0269✗1.10384k2022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.94e-7-1.80%8.20e-7-9.89%0.0288✓0.751.8M2022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1560.0396-1.82%55.93-8.54%0.0022✓0.9613.1M2022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5020,957.64-1.90%19,801.04-7.32%0.0192✓1.00480.9M2022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.062165-1.92%0.061288-3.31%0.0308✗0.59123k2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.4817-1.95%9.36-12.44%0.0202✓1.22281k2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.006093-1.95%0.005888-5.27%0.0181✓0.692,0942022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.133125-1.97%0.119-12.37%0.1113✓0.0187k2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4014-2.00%1.44+0.70%0.0109✓-0.21128k2022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003280.003214-2.01%0.00319-2.74%0.0654✗0.96483k2022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012111-2.02%0.01206-2.43%0.0449✗0.65228k2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.225027-2.03%0.2244-2.31%0.0650✗0.89537k2022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.07256-2.04%0.06705-9.48%0.0057✓1.1125k2022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.058964-2.05%0.0555-7.81%0.0082✓0.9180k2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.208085-2.08%0.1847-13.08%0.0310✓1.16111k2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana34.6933.962-2.10%32.23-7.09%0.0280✗1.0660.5M2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.6975-2.11%11.2265-13.45%0.0534✓0.9222k2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.6105-2.12%1.5208-7.57%0.0225✗1.05247k2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero161.29157.8558-2.13%149.19-7.50%0.0198✓1.001.3M2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.8057-2.13%1.541-16.48%0.0918✓0.88627k2022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.216922-2.16%0.2047-7.67%0.0142✓0.9557k2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.9113-2.17%4.36-13.15%0.0577✓0.81943k2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.57680.564295-2.17%0.5573-3.38%0.0463✗0.77867k2022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006173-2.18%0.006297-0.22%0.0523✗0.4336k2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.111908-2.18%0.107109-6.38%0.0195✓0.836.5M2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.025426-2.21%0.02271-12.65%0.0185✓1.242,9582022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.809-2.21%1.76-4.86%0.0051✓0.4363k2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,681.03-2.22%1,433.73-16.61%0.0607✓1.30617.0M2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.224094-2.23%0.19-17.10%0.1069✓0.7767k2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.485823-2.25%0.418-15.90%0.0597✓1.194,5592022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.036753-2.25%0.0374-0.53%0.0725✗0.727,8252022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.012944-2.30%0.012294-7.20%0.0038✓0.63929k2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.2126.5777-2.32%24.08-11.50%0.0279✓0.936.8M2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6458-2.33%1.475-12.46%0.0524✓0.7551k2022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04691.0225-2.33%0.9744-6.93%0.0080✓0.532.8M2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51254.2095-2.35%52.013-6.30%0.0158✓0.75287k2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9129.7779-2.35%119.59-10.02%0.0029✓1.114.4M2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.643483-2.35%0.616-6.53%0.0264✗0.92178k2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.062099-2.36%0.0646+1.57%0.1006✗0.8082k2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.490338-2.36%0.4748-5.46%0.0359✗0.9037.9M2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.166384-2.36%0.15812-7.21%0.1131✗2.164042022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.045094-2.37%0.04256-7.86%0.0041✓0.7114k2022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.544585-2.38%0.49675-10.96%0.0025✓1.2441k2022-09-16
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.01091-2.40%0.01195+6.91%0.1671✗1.005862022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.730.712471-2.40%0.7-4.11%0.0052✓0.3052k2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.269844-2.41%0.3024+9.37%0.1751✗0.8184k2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.125.9721-2.42%5.56-9.15%0.0360✓0.473.6M2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.904491-2.43%0.810979-12.52%0.0481✓0.8052k2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.325629-2.44%0.30013-10.08%0.0235✓0.76332k2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.673751-2.50%0.586-15.20%0.0535✓1.133.8M2022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1488.8502-2.51%79.37-12.91%0.0046✓1.426.0M2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.3071-2.52%6.26-3.25%0.0272✗0.462.1M2022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.8432-2.53%4.9422-0.54%0.0271✗0.09115k2022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.8868-2.54%1.7566-9.27%0.0079✓1.0523k2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.131841-2.56%0.1221-9.76%0.0010✓1.021.4M2022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.004053-2.56%0.00373-10.34%0.0130✓0.92111k2022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.372191-2.57%0.3538-7.38%0.0299✗1.066802022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005689-2.58%0.00531-9.08%0.0218✓0.62951k2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.7944-2.59%1.8924+2.73%0.1214✗0.901.2M2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.404679-2.60%0.346-16.73%0.0752✓1.07215k2022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.00151-2.64%0.001658+6.90%0.1516✗0.77374k2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.93662-2.64%0.896-6.86%0.0495✗1.231.5M2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.062311-2.64%0.0575-10.16%0.0105✓1.20608k2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.387015-2.64%0.37431-5.84%0.0367✗0.9231k2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009462-2.65%0.00835-14.09%0.0683✓0.753.5M2022-09-16
DASHDashDash49.0147.7034-2.67%43.69-10.85%0.0155✓0.95338k2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.1103-2.67%3.867-8.43%0.0250✓0.472.1M2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.2194-2.67%5.78-9.55%0.0382✓0.462.2M2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.133706-2.69%0.1213-11.72%0.0597✓0.503.0M2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.6759-2.69%2.56-6.91%0.0188✓0.83630k2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.173975-2.71%0.15442-13.65%0.0477✓0.94268k2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.2004-2.72%1.173-4.94%0.0463✗0.911.1M2022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.284233-2.73%0.2626-10.13%0.0093✓0.922.7M2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.137429-2.73%0.13109-7.22%0.0380✗1.12163k2022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.431839-2.74%0.434-2.25%0.0807✗1.007,7812022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.5307-2.75%7.655-1.15%0.0916✗0.9918.0M2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.095785-2.76%0.0976-0.91%0.0875✗0.90359k2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.05037-2.76%0.0411-20.66%0.1297✓0.97546k2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.5087-2.76%2.13-17.44%0.1116✓0.69262k2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.120767-2.76%0.1059-14.73%0.0797✓0.68195k2022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0504-2.79%1.003-7.17%0.0146✓0.8038k2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.091281-2.79%0.0859-8.52%0.0083✓0.9113k2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12615.6736-2.81%16.596+2.91%0.1443✗1.1515.6M2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.022844-2.83%0.02055-12.59%0.0451✓0.809.2M2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.1992-2.84%3.874-10.37%0.0581✓0.302.2M2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6950.2174-2.85%54.06+4.59%0.1655✗1.219,1802022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.3245-2.85%5.824-10.54%0.0120✓1.246.9M2022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.100438-2.86%0.0959-7.25%0.0070✓0.702,7842022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash66.0164.1153-2.87%56.74-14.04%0.0354✓1.141.2M2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1696-2.87%1.0589-12.07%0.0111✓1.454.5M2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.021164-2.87%0.020411-6.33%0.0228✓0.7813k2022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.134898-2.88%0.1457+4.90%0.1401✗0.8324k2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0474.901-2.89%4.665-7.57%0.0499✗1.316.4M2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001348-2.90%0.001201-13.44%0.0580✓0.752.5M2022-09-16
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,550.93-2.90%1,354.73-15.19%0.0593✓1.003.4M2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.268932-2.91%0.262-5.42%0.0291✓0.73563k2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.3879-2.92%14.36-14.93%0.0493✓1.0987k2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.044862-2.94%0.042068-8.99%0.0034✓0.8029k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.950652-2.95%0.8768-10.48%0.0073✓1.16899k2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.531813-2.95%0.497-9.31%0.0155✓1.0977k2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002812-2.99%0.002807-3.17%0.0652✗0.881.2M2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001575-2.99%0.001455-10.41%0.0292✓0.667,1022022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.31488-2.99%0.2979-8.23%0.0109✓0.875.8M2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.159179-3.00%0.151-7.98%0.0182✓0.931,1642022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.2865-3.00%1.1346-14.45%0.0418✓1.101.1M2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.110965-3.00%0.1034-9.62%0.0086✓0.82169k2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.21e-7-3.01%8.30e-7-12.63%0.0466✓0.7615k2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.023502-3.04%0.025951+7.06%0.1039✗0.06465k2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.2089-3.08%2.9941-9.57%0.0047✓0.9719k2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.343171-3.11%0.32095-9.38%0.0060✓0.9635k2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.061929-3.12%0.060443-5.44%0.0529✗1.021.3M2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.4386-3.12%1.38-7.07%0.0421✗1.1071k2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.9468-3.15%1.715-14.68%0.0041✓1.6165k2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007593-3.15%0.00771-1.66%0.0961✗1.06406k2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.419.7526-3.17%18.06-11.47%0.0021✓1.2118.8M2022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.829026-3.20%0.8516-0.56%0.1312✗1.3794k2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.16.8717-3.21%6.185-12.89%0.0410✓0.854.4M2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0917.5042-3.24%16-11.55%0.0407✓0.65396k2022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.051378-3.24%0.0498-6.21%0.0453✗1.01234k2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.5211-3.27%4.006-14.29%0.0532✓0.89298k2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.303646-3.28%0.283015-9.85%0.0069✓1.02514k2022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.818756-3.28%0.82039-3.09%0.0709✗0.9114k2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.108899-3.29%0.1057-6.13%0.0495✗1.042.7M2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1197-3.30%1.988-9.31%0.0199✓1.1134k2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration52.6550.8962-3.33%43.86-16.70%0.0762✓0.96395k2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.402079-3.37%0.38821-6.70%0.0371✗0.95392k2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.9532-3.40%14.52-6.20%0.0383✗0.891.7M2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.2059-3.42%5.31-1.48%0.0535✗0.442.0M2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000043015-3.42%0.00004223-5.19%0.0431✗0.812.5M2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.279909-3.48%0.26134-9.89%0.0065✓0.9914k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.449-3.49%4.31-6.51%0.0087✓0.531.3M2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.1259-3.52%2.987-7.81%0.0033✓0.55720k2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.037689-3.53%0.03294-15.69%0.0588✓1.0072k2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.041047-3.58%0.039113-8.12%0.0106✓0.5025k2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.3018-3.58%1.2302-8.88%0.0148✓0.941.2M2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.699-3.59%5.5996-19.41%0.1628✓0.228.6M2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.435048-3.60%0.4409-2.30%0.1017✗1.1675k2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.8896-3.65%2.596-13.44%0.0002✓1.413.0M2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.069396-3.68%0.06472-10.17%0.0597✓0.13397k2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.6268-3.70%6.63-16.29%0.0579✓1.08255k2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.777759-3.75%0.7411-8.28%0.0143✓0.82537k2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.5432-3.79%8.46-4.73%0.0260✓0.472.2M2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.847569-3.79%0.7965-9.59%0.0140✓1.001.0M2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.19748-3.81%0.2101+2.34%0.1265✗0.853.2M2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.4632-3.81%6.906-10.99%0.0019✓1.0010.0M2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.304-3.83%3.6957-17.42%0.1099✓0.567.3M2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum32.4231.178-3.83%24.55-24.28%0.1089✓1.71185k2022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.14414-3.84%0.1384-7.67%0.0337✓0.98128k2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.049983-3.88%0.0476-8.46%0.0177✓0.88204k2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4225-3.88%1.28-13.51%0.0361✓0.9181k2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.3897-3.89%4.6927+2.75%0.1844✗1.55129k2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.38130.366352-3.92%0.3492-8.42%0.0364✓1.11348k2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.318977-3.92%0.3144-5.30%0.0652✗1.0587k2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.511498-3.93%0.4698-11.76%0.0322✓0.69467k2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.381.3257-3.94%1.237-10.36%0.0196✓1.17385k2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38711.8921-4.00%11.384-8.10%0.0069✓0.4816.0M2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.0510,010.72-4.10%8,661.73-17.03%0.0396✓1.384.5M2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51527.2052-4.12%5.9681-20.59%0.1659✓0.309.9M2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.040.996846-4.15%0.928-10.77%0.0428✓0.382.9M2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1937.5436-4.20%34.05-13.12%0.0127✓1.4511.8M2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.356299-4.25%0.3247-12.74%0.0142✓1.0471k2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.148216-4.25%0.1558+0.65%0.1293✗1.04421k2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7114.0806-4.28%12.83-12.78%0.0130✓1.05925k2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.4775-4.37%1.34-13.27%0.0132✓1.1143k2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2238-4.45%1.9192-17.54%0.0643✓1.0913k2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.654434-4.46%0.605-11.68%0.0158✓0.83129k2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.294547-4.71%0.2667-13.72%0.0227✓1.0195k2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.2336-4.95%1.92-18.30%0.0639✓1.15232k2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.532872-5.01%0.489-12.83%0.0042✓1.0757k2022-09-16
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.017434-5.17%0.016065-12.61%0.0058✓1.004152022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.3367-5.27%1.112-21.19%0.0604✓1.632.8M2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000407693-5.33%0.00030458-29.27%0.2537✓0.501.5M2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.1111.9977-5.37%1.78-15.68%0.0156✓1.311.1M2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.73959-5.71%0.6518-16.90%0.0187✓1.42210k2022-09-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-76.89e-7-5.79%5.40e-7-26.18%0.1904✓0.702.3M2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3796.0068-5.83%5.824-8.70%0.0338✓0.856.2M2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.065286-6.35%0.06104-12.44%0.0171✓1.111.5M2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.