8=======>

2022-05-22 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1432
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.1%
in alpha space · 29.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,473.139,659.32+1.97%7,435.40-21.51%0.2291✗1.203.2M2022-05-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.411.6102+1.84%9.59-15.88%0.1521✗1.4321.0M2022-05-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209360.212933+1.71%0.20607-1.57%0.0123✓1.65293k2022-05-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.860.874231+1.65%0.85-1.16%0.0002✓1.0495k2022-05-29
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0151.031+1.58%0.888-12.51%0.1093✗1.47760k2022-05-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009450.009586+1.43%0.00929-1.69%0.0013✓1.101.1M2022-05-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2371.2543+1.40%1.228-0.73%0.0244✓1.67490k2022-05-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.0683.1102+1.38%2.966-3.32%0.0058✓1.53271k2022-05-29
SCSiacoinnative0.005460.005533+1.34%0.0054-1.10%0.0176✓1.54367k2022-05-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07190.072849+1.32%0.06548-8.93%0.0772✗1.0817k2022-05-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.379960.384928+1.31%0.36302-4.46%0.0194✗1.441.1M2022-05-29
BANDBandEthereum1.861.8843+1.30%1.547-16.83%0.1571✗1.47433k2022-05-29
SOLSolanaSolana52.4453.1196+1.30%44.91-14.36%0.1284✗1.4588.2M2022-05-29
UMAUMAEthereum3.5163.5615+1.29%3.186-9.39%0.0655✗1.682.4M2022-05-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.08470.085763+1.25%0.0786-7.20%0.0405✗1.71215k2022-05-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.782.8148+1.25%2.52-9.35%0.0621✗1.78390k2022-05-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1752.2021+1.24%1.757-19.22%0.1843✗1.5287k2022-05-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.20520.207737+1.24%0.162-21.05%0.2187✗1.101,8582022-05-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.6832.0685+1.23%26.13-17.52%0.1648✗1.4750.4M2022-05-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06420.064973+1.20%0.0631-1.71%0.0037✓1.21393k2022-05-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1450.146732+1.19%0.178+22.76%0.2346✓1.523.1M2022-05-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14320.144894+1.18%0.134-6.42%0.0344✗1.605.5M2022-05-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.228.3171+1.18%7.12-13.38%0.1152✗1.487.5M2022-05-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4420.44721+1.18%0.3786-14.34%0.1336✗1.2115.6M2022-05-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.313.4563+1.18%12.27-7.74%0.0668✗0.94568k2022-05-29
NANOnanopayBase1.16351.177+1.16%1.1205-3.69%0.0149✗1.26157k2022-05-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3760.380344+1.16%0.972+158.51%0.9871✓1.791.8M2022-05-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.29671.3115+1.14%1.2441-4.05%0.0219✗1.1370k2022-05-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011910.000012045+1.13%0.00001148-3.61%0.0125✗1.311.1M2022-05-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.162.184+1.11%1.85-14.35%0.1192✗1.72575k2022-05-29
AAVEAaveEthereum94.1895.2171+1.10%95.33+1.22%0.0431✓1.548.7M2022-05-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51550.521076+1.08%0.4944-4.09%0.0115✗1.51211k2022-05-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408560.412889+1.06%0.37228-8.88%0.0685✗1.28197k2022-05-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash197.72199.8085+1.06%184.88-6.49%0.0458✗1.174.9M2022-05-29
DASHDashDash61.5362.1784+1.05%57.69-6.24%0.0425✗1.191.0M2022-05-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009920.010024+1.05%0.00845-14.82%0.1499✗0.77184k2022-05-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004840.004891+1.05%0.00422-12.81%0.1153✗1.181.8M2022-05-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.035166+1.05%0.0377+8.33%0.1078✓1.40198k2022-05-29
ADACardanoCardano0.54130.546945+1.04%0.4817-11.01%0.0906✗1.3448.2M2022-05-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3790.382946+1.04%0.372-1.85%0.0011✓1.111.0M2022-05-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.211.3161+1.04%10.09-9.91%0.0712✗1.60176k2022-05-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16290.16457+1.03%0.1423-12.65%0.1042✗1.518.8M2022-05-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19360.195571+1.02%0.1996+3.10%0.0607✓1.48572k2022-05-29
UNIUniswapEthereum5.495.5453+1.01%4.94-10.02%0.0824✗1.222.9M2022-05-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.4646+1.01%1.5+3.45%0.0651✓1.513.0M2022-05-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13140.132704+0.99%0.1306-0.61%0.0144✓1.1117k2022-05-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.392+0.98%6.71-8.33%0.0603✗1.3418.8M2022-05-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5960.601799+0.97%0.521-12.58%0.1017✗1.56904k2022-05-29
XVGVergenative0.005310.005361+0.97%0.00495-6.78%0.0410✗1.43867k2022-05-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.954.9974+0.96%4.66-5.86%0.0237✗1.702.6M2022-05-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0479+0.96%2.753-8.81%0.0719✗1.1090k2022-05-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2710.273534+0.93%0.2599-4.10%0.0170✗1.25305k2022-05-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7170.723496+0.91%0.612-14.64%0.1267✗1.49294k2022-05-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08450.085261+0.90%0.0663-21.54%0.2065✗1.652.5M2022-05-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.6172.2527+0.90%63.58-11.21%0.0956✗1.1819.5M2022-05-29
GTGateEthereum5.74325.7933+0.87%5.4148-5.72%0.0537✗0.514.9M2022-05-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0859310.086678+0.87%0.082598-3.88%0.0176✗1.125.8M2022-05-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5820.587038+0.87%0.503-13.57%0.1226✗1.1731k2022-05-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.1410.2275+0.86%9.98-1.58%0.0121✓1.3413.8M2022-05-29
BTTCBTTC0.000001140.00000115+0.84%0.00000103-9.65%0.0883✗0.797.5M2022-05-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08910.089838+0.83%0.087-2.36%0.0106✗0.79190k2022-05-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.11770.118666+0.82%0.1147-2.55%0.0103✓1.631.4M2022-05-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.352151+0.82%0.3279-6.13%0.0361✗1.298.6M2022-05-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.12214.1556+0.81%3.8567-6.44%0.0426✗1.18103k2022-05-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2731.2834+0.81%1.253-1.57%0.0125✓1.347.5M2022-05-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.6721.8434+0.80%18.48-14.72%0.1290✗1.403.2M2022-05-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001480.001492+0.80%0.00129-12.84%0.1041✗1.513.3M2022-05-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12330.124271+0.79%0.1136-7.87%0.0537✗1.321.1M2022-05-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9231.9381+0.79%1.63-15.24%0.1307✗1.561.8M2022-05-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027980.028193+0.76%0.02995+7.04%0.0858✓0.93180k2022-05-29
XTZTezosTezos1.9751.9901+0.76%1.9846+0.49%0.0315✓1.261.1M2022-05-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0590.059448+0.76%0.0573-2.88%0.0040✓1.2085k2022-05-29
ETHEthereumEthereum2,040.922,056.38+0.76%1,811.10-11.26%0.0988✗1.03425.9M2022-05-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.448.5033+0.75%7.61-9.83%0.0760✗1.284.9M2022-05-29
QNTQuantEthereum69.4969.9981+0.73%66.36-4.50%0.0240✗1.083.5M2022-05-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.19210.193496+0.73%0.1635-14.89%0.1311✗1.37386k2022-05-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,400.0030,619.19+0.72%29,404.70-3.27%0.0139✗0.9776k2022-05-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.3715.4801+0.72%12.66-17.63%0.1673✗1.24822k2022-05-29
STXStacksnative0.560.563992+0.71%0.52-7.14%0.0499✗1.15260k2022-05-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1352820.136232+0.70%0.130916-3.23%0.0105✗1.0812.0M2022-05-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.366.4041+0.69%6.62+4.09%0.0712✓1.40610k2022-05-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0621.2055+0.69%23.65+12.30%0.1434✓1.263.4M2022-05-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040970.041249+0.68%0.03665-10.54%0.0806✗1.3844k2022-05-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.583.6043+0.68%3.15-12.01%0.1087✗0.96758k2022-05-29
MOVRMoonriverBase24.62324.7794+0.64%21.9295-10.94%0.0830✗1.44215k2022-05-29
COMPCompoundEthereum71.0671.5114+0.64%56.08-21.08%0.2050✗1.4028k2022-05-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4189+0.63%1.27-9.93%0.0812✗1.09132k2022-05-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.26860.270261+0.62%0.2573-4.21%0.0114✗1.39156k2022-05-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91294.9432+0.62%5.1363+4.55%0.0446✓0.23307k2022-05-29
KSMKusamaHydration80.4480.9276+0.61%71.55-11.05%0.0892✗1.251.4M2022-05-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13330.13409+0.59%0.13-2.48%0.0002✓1.131.0M2022-05-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.013290.013368+0.59%0.0118-11.21%0.0964✗1.042.6M2022-05-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.10091.1073+0.58%0.97298-11.62%0.0867✗1.561.2M2022-05-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0175760.017675+0.56%0.017158-2.38%0.0000✓1.093.1M2022-05-29
ZECZcashZcash106.66107.2516+0.55%92.3-13.46%0.1150✗1.295.1M2022-05-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67440.678077+0.55%0.6218-7.80%0.0472✗1.455.0M2022-05-29
HIVEHivenative0.52060.523436+0.54%0.4727-9.20%0.0671✗1.281.5M2022-05-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3250.326716+0.53%0.2784-14.34%0.1262✗1.24438k2022-05-29
XECeCashnative0.000047860.000048112+0.53%0.00004779-0.15%0.0292✓1.325.7M2022-05-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.64550.9113+0.53%52.582+3.82%0.0587✓0.971.5M2022-05-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8042.8168+0.46%2.496-10.98%0.0716✗1.8121k2022-05-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.62.6113+0.44%2.5584-1.60%0.0135✓1.2593k2022-05-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068698+0.44%0.0655-4.24%0.0204✗1.003.0M2022-05-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.592350.594829+0.42%0.55015-7.12%0.0379✗1.4787k2022-05-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.23940.240346+0.40%0.1593-33.46%0.3947✗0.61369k2022-05-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.7336+0.39%2.6-4.52%0.0028✓1.745.4M2022-05-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004680.004697+0.37%0.00448-4.27%0.0178✗1.0813k2022-05-29
FTTFTXEthereum30.7430.8527+0.37%27.28-11.26%0.0968✗0.9610.6M2022-05-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.072.0772+0.35%2.17+4.83%0.0737✓1.10258k2022-05-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,260.8730,362.84+0.34%29,447.07-2.69%0.0034✗1.00718.8M2022-05-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.940.94295+0.31%0.84-10.64%0.0735✗1.55639k2022-05-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9991.0021+0.31%0.918-8.11%0.0583✗1.08714k2022-05-29
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0198.0421+0.29%6.232-22.28%0.1900✗2.3877.0M2022-05-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.231.2333+0.27%1.1-10.57%0.0924✗0.81192k2022-05-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15560.156022+0.27%0.1462-6.04%0.0198✗1.6697k2022-05-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.40090.401937+0.26%0.314-21.68%0.2114✗1.3070k2022-05-29
ZENHorizenBase21.0121.0624+0.25%20.25-3.62%0.0034✓1.57156k2022-05-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1442.1489+0.23%1.905-11.15%0.0689✗1.89789k2022-05-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2430.243546+0.22%0.205-15.64%0.1288✗1.602.1M2022-05-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana44.0084+0.21%4.44+11.00%0.1245✓0.82798k2022-05-29
XEMNEMnative0.06020.060285+0.14%0.0491-18.44%0.1680✗1.3743k2022-05-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.11e-77.12e-7+0.14%6.90e-7-2.94%0.0054✗0.951.5M2022-05-29
XMRMoneroMonero187.32187.574+0.14%185.63-0.90%0.0189✓1.082.5M2022-05-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.009250.009261+0.12%0.00924-0.11%0.0251✓1.0011k2022-05-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8380.83899+0.12%0.846+0.95%0.0385✓1.113.0M2022-05-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.033.0323+0.08%3.72+22.77%0.2318✓1.00557k2022-05-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028440.028447+0.02%0.026899-5.42%0.0281✗1.0220k2022-05-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.990.98946-0.05%1.011+2.12%0.0641✗1.566.3M2022-05-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13420.134095-0.08%0.1083-19.30%0.1659✓1.75613k2022-05-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04880.048745-0.11%0.04791-1.82%0.0093✗0.987,9612022-05-29
XYMSymbolnative0.06780.067708-0.14%0.056-17.40%0.1693✓0.75305k2022-05-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.2351.2327-0.19%1.1693-5.32%0.0250✓1.0210k2022-05-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.453.4435-0.19%4.28+24.06%0.2399✗0.82575k2022-05-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6940.692496-0.22%0.647-6.77%0.0271✓1.501.7M2022-05-29
KCSKuCoinnative16.92616.8852-0.24%16.474-2.67%0.0019✓0.976.3M2022-05-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012740.012704-0.28%0.01239-2.75%0.0156✗1.4935.4M2022-05-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.9514-0.31%5.37-10.05%0.0826✓0.743.1M2022-05-29
PROPropyEthereum1.091.0863-0.34%0.98-10.09%0.0844✓0.68337k2022-05-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.66961.6636-0.36%1.4863-10.98%0.0966✓0.5912k2022-05-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0193090.019191-0.61%0.014329-25.79%0.2755✓0.61208k2022-05-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3124.2843-0.64%3.332-22.73%0.2260✓0.931.9M2022-05-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4494960.446409-0.69%0.390059-13.22%0.0989✓1.325.6M2022-05-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05540.054971-0.77%0.0493-11.01%0.0747✓1.251.3M2022-05-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6112.5109-0.79%10.14-19.59%0.1669✓1.586.9M2022-05-29
TRXTRONTron0.0781080.077482-0.80%0.080459+3.01%0.0594✗0.80990k2022-05-29
DIADIAEthereum0.538810.534476-0.80%0.4546-15.63%0.1474✓0.5382k2022-05-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.9461.9299-0.83%2.604+33.81%0.3250✗0.93783k2022-05-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.027470.027194-1.00%0.02383-13.25%0.1133✓0.69402k2022-05-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.17310.171327-1.02%0.1578-8.84%0.0550✓1.003,4222022-05-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4273.3894-1.10%3.251-5.14%0.0011✓1.499.8M2022-05-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.0493.0144-1.13%2.593-14.96%0.1233✓1.00155k2022-05-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.32572.2969-1.24%2.3481+0.96%0.0490✗0.992.5M2022-05-29
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3561.3363-1.46%1.247-8.04%0.0419✓1.003.4M2022-05-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5091.4869-1.46%1.316-12.79%0.0837✓1.4110.7M2022-05-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7810.769429-1.48%0.617-21.00%0.1801✓1.4916k2022-05-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.065010.063915-1.68%0.0545-16.17%0.1307✓1.0520k2022-05-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.288.1384-1.71%7.61-8.09%0.0545✓0.471.2M2022-05-29
GMTGMTEthereum1.4211.3965-1.72%1.078-24.14%0.2316✓1.004.2M2022-05-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.17722.1373-1.83%2.2171+1.83%0.0614✗0.914.3M2022-05-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.3982.3531-1.87%2.436+1.58%0.0639✗1.08730k2022-05-29
STEEMSteemnative0.28180.276415-1.91%0.2466-12.49%0.0669✓1.731.1M2022-05-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1070.104746-2.11%0.0871-18.60%0.1422✓1.55162k2022-05-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02940.028774-2.13%0.0225-23.47%0.1856✓2.2223.0M2022-05-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.451720.441542-2.25%0.42876-5.08%0.0171✓1.7026k2022-05-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.60532.538-2.58%1.9491-25.19%0.2287✓1.297.4M2022-05-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7224.5331-4.00%4.277-9.42%0.0480✓0.372.4M2022-05-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.00020.000183477-8.26%0.00010328-48.36%0.4953✓2.916.3M2022-05-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.963360.864196-10.29%0.61656-36.00%0.2970✓1.49327k2022-05-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.