8=======>

2022-05-12 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.6224
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+68.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.7%
in alpha space · 95.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00870.00252-71.03%0.00014-98.39%3.0282✓3.067.8M2022-05-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.135.0918-0.74%5.0075-2.39%0.0290✓0.27284k2022-05-19
GTGateEthereum5.36745.3393-0.52%5.6031+4.39%0.0240✗0.544.8M2022-05-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.80245+0.31%0.824+3.00%0.0232✗1.103.3M2022-05-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,941.9529,042.24+0.35%30,274.59+4.60%0.0035✗1.00667.2M2022-05-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.6729.8788+0.70%30.91+4.18%0.0091✗0.9613.8M2022-05-19
TRXTRONTron0.0669880.067663+1.01%0.073383+9.55%0.0446✓0.81825k2022-05-19
QNTQuantEthereum73.3774.2033+1.14%68.38-6.80%0.1284✗1.043.5M2022-05-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.087344+1.21%0.0909+5.33%0.0019✓0.85169k2022-05-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.42220.428443+1.48%0.4512+6.87%0.0014✓1.1812.6M2022-05-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,954.391,983.62+1.50%2,017.57+3.23%0.0293✗1.03464.2M2022-05-19
XYMSymbolnative0.06640.067406+1.51%0.0669+0.75%0.0406✗0.74619k2022-05-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.351.3724+1.66%1.39+2.96%0.0359✗1.08134k2022-05-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3041.3261+1.70%1.079-17.25%0.2704✗1.425.3M2022-05-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1204340.122512+1.73%0.130466+8.33%0.0154✓1.0613.8M2022-05-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.0120.012242+2.02%0.01368+14.00%0.0638✓1.053.4M2022-05-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.69197.7109+2.08%196.24+1.32%0.0580✗1.125.3M2022-05-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.6250.6669+2.11%51.12+3.02%0.0342✗0.962.0M2022-05-19
XMRMoneroMonero137.43140.4291+2.18%165.93+20.74%0.1210✓1.023.0M2022-05-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,197.0029,864.51+2.29%30,185.70+3.39%0.0332✗0.9840k2022-05-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.2665.7333+2.29%72.02+12.08%0.0398✓1.1417.8M2022-05-19
GMTGMTEthereum1.1611.188+2.33%1.495+28.77%0.1848✓1.009.5M2022-05-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.826343+2.40%0.93+15.24%0.0689✓1.09643k2022-05-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28350.290552+2.49%0.2492-12.10%0.1749✗0.48485k2022-05-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6832.7568+2.75%2.965+10.51%0.0266✓1.0386k2022-05-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01080.011116+2.93%0.00939-13.06%0.2050✗0.80246k2022-05-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.95111.2724+2.93%15.307+39.78%0.2648✓0.924.1M2022-05-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001040.000001071+2.95%0.00000112+7.69%0.0097✓0.797.8M2022-05-19
ZECZcashZcash86.488.9576+2.96%104.45+20.89%0.1049✓1.245.1M2022-05-19
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2675+2.97%1.365+10.89%0.0291✓1.005.7M2022-05-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38632.4571+2.97%2.4917+4.42%0.0413✗1.23188k2022-05-19
XTZTezosTezos1.68451.7358+3.05%1.754+4.13%0.0462✗1.26866k2022-05-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.6283.7412+3.12%3.9715+9.47%0.0060✓1.19135k2022-05-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.0614.5069+3.18%14.32+1.85%0.0718✗1.31812k2022-05-19
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7858.0369+3.24%8.055+3.47%0.1164✗2.6483.4M2022-05-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,878.0010,204.93+3.31%9,486.67-3.96%0.1253✗1.162.6M2022-05-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0822690.085083+3.42%0.086638+5.31%0.0316✓1.117.1M2022-05-19
DASHDashDash53.7555.5898+3.42%58.55+8.93%0.0008✓1.171.1M2022-05-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.263.3716+3.42%4.22+29.45%0.1920✓0.72777k2022-05-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.60771.6629+3.43%1.6711+3.94%0.0238✓0.6416k2022-05-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.688.9787+3.44%10.02+15.44%0.0528✓1.2611.8M2022-05-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0078870.008178+3.69%0.00901+14.24%0.0510✓1.0232k2022-05-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9974941.0346+3.72%1.0996+10.23%0.0052✓1.24161k2022-05-19
UNIUniswapEthereum4.654.8271+3.81%5.18+11.40%0.0169✓1.194.1M2022-05-19
ADACardanoCardano0.47240.490457+3.82%0.5326+12.74%0.0251✓1.2742.0M2022-05-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021760.022633+4.01%0.02676+22.98%0.1234✓0.9830k2022-05-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06530.067984+4.11%0.0699+7.04%0.0172✓1.004.0M2022-05-19
ZENHorizenBase19.0419.83+4.15%21+10.29%0.0110✓1.52173k2022-05-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.8919.6768+4.17%20.9+10.64%0.0040✓1.254.4M2022-05-19
PROPropyEthereum0.880.916828+4.18%1.14+29.55%0.1877✓0.67528k2022-05-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.566.8383+4.24%7.21+9.91%0.0058✓1.3019.6M2022-05-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360570.375869+4.24%0.39035+8.26%0.0185✓1.25166k2022-05-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16950.176783+4.30%0.196+15.63%0.0383✓1.44634k2022-05-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59350.619521+4.38%0.6916+16.53%0.0471✓1.406.1M2022-05-19
KSMKusamaHydration68.7471.8919+4.59%80.45+17.04%0.0578✓1.221.1M2022-05-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5790.605975+4.66%0.7+20.90%0.0789✓1.45344k2022-05-19
SOLSolanaSolana44.6546.7563+4.72%52.13+16.75%0.0469✓1.3887.4M2022-05-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3120.2213+4.72%21.79+12.84%0.0112✓1.413.8M2022-05-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015020.01575+4.86%0.016399+9.18%0.0094✓1.104.4M2022-05-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.18.4982+4.92%8.21+1.36%0.0906✗1.257.4M2022-05-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4862.6087+4.94%2.67+7.40%0.0519✗1.677.7M2022-05-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.227.5844+5.05%8.18+13.30%0.0127✓1.408.0M2022-05-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058910.06191+5.09%0.07546+28.09%0.1519✓1.0219k2022-05-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.104787+5.10%0.1147+15.05%0.0203✓1.561.8M2022-05-19
AAVEAaveEthereum76.7580.6933+5.14%91.65+19.41%0.0606✓1.488.6M2022-05-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.63e-74.87e-7+5.21%7.44e-7+60.68%0.4002✓0.521.4M2022-05-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29480.310477+5.32%0.3406+15.54%0.0374✓1.238.5M2022-05-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.951.0006+5.33%1.042+9.68%0.0213✓1.37755k2022-05-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010810.000011388+5.34%0.00001183+9.44%0.0207✓1.311.3M2022-05-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.20850.219679+5.36%0.2674+28.25%0.1360✓1.35184k2022-05-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07730.081469+5.39%0.0844+9.18%0.0330✓1.523.7M2022-05-19
COMPCompoundEthereum60.8864.1803+5.42%67.51+10.89%0.0103✓1.3531k2022-05-19
LSKLiskEthereum0.9893911.0438+5.50%1.1742+18.68%0.0713✓1.0396k2022-05-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.09680.102145+5.52%0.1228+26.86%0.1239✓1.341.2M2022-05-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043480.045899+5.56%0.05067+16.54%0.0554✓0.9726k2022-05-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0107130.01131+5.58%0.018136+69.29%0.4386✓0.75198k2022-05-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03020.031908+5.65%0.0343+13.58%0.0124✓1.33179k2022-05-19
HIVEHivenative0.40370.42659+5.67%0.4924+21.97%0.0889✓1.211.5M2022-05-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.008307+5.69%0.00924+17.56%0.0576✓1.081.0M2022-05-19
XEMNEMnative0.04110.043446+5.71%0.0563+36.98%0.2050✓1.2097k2022-05-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6210.1733+5.75%10.82+12.47%0.0020✓1.3220.1M2022-05-19
MOVRMoonriverBase21.312322.5485+5.80%23.0538+8.17%0.0432✓1.45195k2022-05-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.1931.9641+5.88%30.37+0.60%0.1157✗1.4345.0M2022-05-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39390.417264+5.93%0.4864+23.48%0.0877✓1.46299k2022-05-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.13020.137923+5.93%0.1765+35.56%0.1850✓1.37372k2022-05-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5812.269+5.95%13.4+15.72%0.0478✓0.90520k2022-05-19
STXStacksnative0.50.529775+5.96%0.53+6.00%0.0485✓1.09260k2022-05-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038670.040973+5.96%0.04528+17.09%0.0576✓0.949,2282022-05-19
STEEMSteemnative0.17710.187797+6.04%0.2599+46.75%0.2799✓1.002.1M2022-05-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.327765+6.07%0.378+22.33%0.0974✓1.001.1M2022-05-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1070.11354+6.11%0.141+31.78%0.1445✓1.60109k2022-05-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6772.8413+6.14%5.251+96.15%0.5690✓1.001.4M2022-05-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343760.354923+6.14%0.390003+16.64%0.0357✓1.306.1M2022-05-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21350.226651+6.16%0.3229+51.24%0.2987✓1.23486k2022-05-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13450.142815+6.18%0.1343-0.15%0.1320✗1.576.2M2022-05-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015050.015985+6.21%0.03198+112.49%0.6625✓0.69391k2022-05-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.9491.0082+6.24%1.122+18.23%0.0637✓0.9625k2022-05-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.258.7747+6.36%11.24+36.24%0.1821✓1.45134k2022-05-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7750.824637+6.40%0.893+15.23%0.0111✓1.528.2M2022-05-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.599.1451+6.46%12.63+47.03%0.2529✓1.565.8M2022-05-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1080.114983+6.47%0.1374+27.22%0.1371✓0.9119k2022-05-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.443160.472248+6.56%0.55387+24.98%0.0963✓1.4093k2022-05-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.009476+6.60%0.01252+40.83%0.2045✓1.6444.1M2022-05-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021330.022763+6.72%0.02719+27.47%0.1307✓1.04222k2022-05-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.055514+6.76%0.0626+20.38%0.0699✓1.11416k2022-05-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031690.033833+6.76%0.03787+19.50%0.0527✓1.3394k2022-05-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7291.8464+6.79%1.958+13.24%0.0154✓1.6587k2022-05-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5370.573459+6.79%0.59+9.87%0.0249✓1.1846k2022-05-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.162.3078+6.84%3.34+54.63%0.3230✓1.04553k2022-05-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19110.204179+6.84%0.2568+34.38%0.1750✓1.21305k2022-05-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L20.8960.959445+7.08%1.429+59.49%0.3387✓1.3316.1M2022-05-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0650.069633+7.13%0.0603-7.23%0.1903✗1.03115k2022-05-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.708950.759538+7.14%1.1185+57.77%0.3227✓1.43886k2022-05-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.771387+7.14%0.91+26.39%0.0969✓1.52842k2022-05-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10080.108013+7.16%0.1345+33.43%0.1699✓1.101.1M2022-05-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.353358+7.17%0.37441+13.55%0.0091✓1.491.4M2022-05-19
XVSVenusEthereum3.623.8814+7.22%6.03+66.57%0.3768✓1.422.9M2022-05-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.879283+7.23%0.91+10.98%0.0072✓0.92142k2022-05-19
BANDBandEthereum1.5141.6255+7.37%1.769+16.84%0.0204✓1.43537k2022-05-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1842.3453+7.39%3.041+39.24%0.1921✓1.50206k2022-05-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1331.2169+7.40%1.208+6.62%0.0830✗1.68582k2022-05-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004569+7.50%0.00527+24.00%0.0785✓1.43403k2022-05-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.288640.310353+7.52%0.36301+25.77%0.0869✓1.5539k2022-05-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01630.01755+7.67%0.0182+11.66%0.0644✓2.2425.3M2022-05-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.17650.190227+7.78%0.2027+14.84%0.0177✓1.022,9402022-05-19
XECeCashnative0.000031730.000034238+7.90%0.00004707+48.35%0.2577✓1.356.7M2022-05-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.192.3654+8.01%3.64+66.21%0.3882✓0.95429k2022-05-19
XVGVergenative0.004130.004462+8.03%0.00528+27.85%0.1085✓1.33885k2022-05-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34290.370606+8.08%0.3534+3.06%0.1048✗1.2794k2022-05-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.3238+8.08%2.65+23.26%0.0534✓1.73357k2022-05-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.4832.6861+8.18%3.243+30.61%0.1140✓1.652.4M2022-05-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.62.8142+8.24%4.06+56.15%0.3252✓0.92817k2022-05-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1722.3549+8.42%2.65+22.01%0.0418✓1.7023k2022-05-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003590.003893+8.43%0.00478+33.15%0.1528✓1.171.7M2022-05-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29541.4048+8.44%2.6871+107.43%0.5950✓1.199.8M2022-05-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.2261+8.50%1.36+20.35%0.0377✓1.464.1M2022-05-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13370.145157+8.57%0.1603+19.90%0.0324✓1.487.3M2022-05-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.7327+8.97%1.89+18.87%0.0112✓1.68399k2022-05-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03890.042391+8.98%0.0581+49.36%0.2637✓1.141.7M2022-05-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.8214+9.06%2.07+23.95%0.0827✓1.00392k2022-05-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003590.003917+9.10%0.00469+30.64%0.1379✓0.9420k2022-05-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06480.070836+9.32%0.0767+18.36%0.0053✓1.88194k2022-05-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.635.0628+9.35%6.53+41.04%0.1942✓1.34666k2022-05-19
DODODODOEthereum0.1350.147802+9.48%0.15+11.11%0.0501✓1.444.7M2022-05-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.4571.5959+9.53%1.875+28.69%0.0981✓1.402.6M2022-05-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.06820.07472+9.56%0.0857+25.66%0.0628✓1.65204k2022-05-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.696+9.56%2.065+33.40%0.1086✓1.961.0M2022-05-19
DIADIAEthereum0.321210.352229+9.66%0.57117+77.82%0.4495✓0.7570k2022-05-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.2641.3869+9.72%2.138+69.15%0.3871✓1.01724k2022-05-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.294.7147+9.90%8.41+96.04%0.5430✓0.791.2M2022-05-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.231.3532+10.01%1.913+55.53%0.3050✓0.92826k2022-05-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5830.641672+10.06%0.584+0.17%0.1597✗1.4624k2022-05-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001210.001332+10.08%0.00137+13.22%0.0385✓1.483.9M2022-05-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.094.5032+10.10%7.17+75.31%0.4273✓0.842.8M2022-05-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.0571.1648+10.20%2.0434+93.32%0.5152✓1.044.2M2022-05-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2430.267807+10.21%0.337+38.68%0.1529✓1.711.7M2022-05-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.289990.320028+10.36%0.37965+30.92%0.0983✓1.61365k2022-05-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.3810.42097+10.49%0.709+86.09%0.4547✓1.481.7M2022-05-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.208981+10.57%0.259+37.04%0.1490✓1.464.1M2022-05-19
AVTAventusEthereum0.730.807461+10.61%1.26+72.60%0.4116✓0.74221k2022-05-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.172360.191348+11.02%0.20476+18.80%0.0046✓1.61250k2022-05-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.4211.5805+11.22%3.704+160.66%0.8205✓0.691.8M2022-05-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4050.452224+11.66%0.538+32.84%0.1090✓1.44869k2022-05-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.05571.1822+11.98%2.2129+109.61%0.5798✓1.052.5M2022-05-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07850.088257+12.43%0.1238+57.71%0.2569✓1.81734k2022-05-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.42711.6076+12.65%3.2829+130.04%0.6435✓1.567.0M2022-05-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.