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2022-03-12 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2321
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.0%
in alpha space · 62.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CTSICartesiEthereum0.28750.291972+1.56%0.3558+23.76%0.0853✓1.33857k2022-03-19
ADACardanoCardano0.78970.799734+1.27%0.903+14.35%0.0339✓1.0470.9M2022-03-19
SOLSolanaSolana81.4482.4748+1.27%92.39+13.45%0.0063✓1.27100.5M2022-03-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.763.8072+1.26%4.65+23.67%0.0779✓1.45341k2022-03-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.114730.116143+1.23%0.123635+7.76%0.0113✓0.873.1M2022-03-19
UNIUniswapEthereum8.458.5491+1.17%9.74+15.27%0.0416✓1.056.3M2022-03-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.7578.6366+1.14%83.33+7.18%0.0058✓0.75899k2022-03-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06790.068639+1.09%0.0761+12.08%0.0220✓0.96152k2022-03-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41070.414961+1.04%0.4542+10.59%0.0254✗1.37407k2022-03-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.92293.8794+1.02%328.01+12.75%0.0302✓0.947.2M2022-03-19
AAVEAaveEthereum120.43121.6452+1.01%157.26+30.58%0.1521✓1.247.0M2022-03-19
ORCAOrcaSolana2.062.0805+0.99%2.13+3.40%0.0351✗0.69213k2022-03-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.19340.195302+0.98%0.2115+9.36%0.0344✗1.352.1M2022-03-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.1613.2878+0.97%15.01+14.06%0.0288✓1.1045.9M2022-03-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,000.0039,378.58+0.97%42,269.50+8.38%0.0112✗0.9742k2022-03-19
KCSKuCoinnative18.01518.1863+0.95%18.631+3.42%0.0564✗0.958.3M2022-03-19
MINAMina Protocolnative1.711.7255+0.90%2.16+26.32%0.1363✓1.05343k2022-03-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.6154.6565+0.90%5.261+14.00%0.0421✓0.95122k2022-03-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,392.2518,556.32+0.89%20,673.79+12.40%0.0274✓0.955.3M2022-03-19
KSMKusamaHydration123.75124.8493+0.89%146.84+18.66%0.0666✓1.13664k2022-03-19
XTZTezosTezos3.01953.0458+0.87%3.2577+7.89%0.0295✗1.151.2M2022-03-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70510.711188+0.86%0.7651+8.51%0.0169✗1.0718.4M2022-03-19
TRXTRONTron0.0596310.060142+0.86%0.061921+3.84%0.0288✗0.69265k2022-03-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.717.8474+0.83%20.56+16.16%0.0275✓1.35260k2022-03-19
NANOnanopayBase1.71811.7318+0.80%2.2702+32.14%0.1794✓1.08133k2022-03-19
SUSHISushiEthereum2.912.9325+0.77%3.36+15.46%0.0432✓1.106.1M2022-03-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.162.1767+0.77%2.4+11.11%0.0153✓0.98151k2022-03-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67240.677449+0.75%0.8804+30.93%0.1548✓1.273.1M2022-03-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31850.320806+0.72%0.4109+29.01%0.1430✓1.247.6M2022-03-19
GTGateEthereum6.45196.4981+0.72%6.3214-2.02%0.0838✗0.672.8M2022-03-19
XLMStellarStellar0.185150.186475+0.72%0.20054+8.31%0.0134✗1.0219.7M2022-03-19
QNTQuantEthereum115.96116.7496+0.68%119.96+3.45%0.0525✗0.945.2M2022-03-19
GITCOINGITCOIN5.3445.38+0.67%7.016+31.29%0.1527✓1.3425k2022-03-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.07880.079328+0.67%0.0886+12.44%0.0069✗1.39494k2022-03-19
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.302,586.32+0.66%2,952.16+14.90%0.0438✓1.05511.3M2022-03-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.1262.1394+0.63%2.249+5.79%0.0187✗0.8118k2022-03-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.58106.2326+0.62%116.82+10.65%0.0088✓1.0226.4M2022-03-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.631.6399+0.61%1.93+18.40%0.0550✓1.281.4M2022-03-19
FTTFTXEthereum40.9341.1725+0.59%44.92+9.75%0.0018✓1.0516.3M2022-03-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.5913.6675+0.57%16.43+20.90%0.0755✓1.292.2M2022-03-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3752.3882+0.56%2.85+20.00%0.0871✓1.06555k2022-03-19
XYMSymbolnative0.13530.136024+0.53%0.137+1.26%0.0624✗0.82292k2022-03-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091080.091564+0.53%0.09651+5.96%0.0249✗0.9235k2022-03-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14780.148562+0.52%0.155+4.87%0.0449✗1.03253k2022-03-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6914.7151+0.51%5.284+12.64%0.0333✓0.9576k2022-03-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.25760.258885+0.50%0.2986+15.92%0.0451✓1.16217k2022-03-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49390.496117+0.45%0.5182+4.92%0.0242✗0.80456k2022-03-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,813.0238,987.23+0.45%42,232.26+8.81%0.0045✗1.00700.4M2022-03-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.7667+0.45%22.51+77.10%0.4754✓1.09331k2022-03-19
XVGVergenative0.009640.009682+0.44%0.00967+0.31%0.0986✗1.151.4M2022-03-19
SCSiacoinnative0.008750.008788+0.44%0.00981+12.11%0.0151✓1.12489k2022-03-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4671.4733+0.43%1.639+11.72%0.0201✓1.031.7M2022-03-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.2926.4015+0.42%33.99+29.29%0.1681✓1.004.7M2022-03-19
COMPCompoundEthereum102.32102.7424+0.41%118.78+16.09%0.0510✓1.1143k2022-03-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.662870.665454+0.39%0.84022+26.75%0.1344✓1.17118k2022-03-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.02611.03+0.38%1.0989+7.09%0.0333✗1.16112k2022-03-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9781.9854+0.37%2.286+15.57%0.0286✓1.339.5M2022-03-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6260.628291+0.37%0.654+4.47%0.0382✗0.932.4M2022-03-19
XVSVenusEthereum8.578.6011+0.36%9.14+6.65%0.0304✗1.083.3M2022-03-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7770.779809+0.36%0.863+11.07%0.0122✗1.342.0M2022-03-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0390.039138+0.35%0.04149+6.38%0.0160✗0.8826k2022-03-19
RADRadworksEthereum4.324.3349+0.34%4.69+8.56%0.0008✓0.92521k2022-03-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4949960.496609+0.33%0.547794+10.67%0.0088✓1.062.1M2022-03-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21920.219888+0.31%0.2536+15.69%0.0711✓0.851.9M2022-03-19
MOVRMoonriverBase48.553348.6994+0.30%56.5062+16.38%0.0358✓1.34175k2022-03-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.0716.1168+0.29%17.62+9.65%0.0003✓1.0515.5M2022-03-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70.701901+0.27%0.7509+7.27%0.0168✗1.007.6M2022-03-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1318.1791+0.27%19.42+7.12%0.0277✗1.1125.2M2022-03-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.29950.300309+0.27%0.3541+18.23%0.0455✓1.4110.5M2022-03-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.99464.0048+0.26%4.7092+17.89%0.0803✓0.97204k2022-03-19
XEMNEMnative0.09330.093538+0.26%0.1011+8.36%0.0051✓0.8640k2022-03-19
HIVEHivenative0.86610.867879+0.21%0.9324+7.66%0.0247✗1.141.8M2022-03-19
PROPropyEthereum1.471.473+0.20%1.53+4.08%0.0570✗1.12307k2022-03-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001784+0.20%0.00000187+5.06%0.0047✗0.6213.3M2022-03-19
DIADIAEthereum0.90.90179+0.20%0.94+4.44%0.0124✓0.34274k2022-03-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048150.048242+0.19%0.05148+6.92%0.0288✗1.11481k2022-03-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2630.263499+0.19%0.698+165.40%0.8743✓1.181.8M2022-03-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1191.121+0.18%1.285+14.83%0.0521✓1.003.0M2022-03-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.2127.2568+0.17%28.65+5.29%0.0481✗1.1645.1M2022-03-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3181.3202+0.17%1.51+14.57%0.0159✓1.40583k2022-03-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.024680.024721+0.17%0.02695+9.20%0.0232✓0.753.2M2022-03-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.6146.6845+0.16%52.05+11.67%0.0025✓1.265.4M2022-03-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.690.690854+0.12%0.936+35.65%0.1881✓1.37112k2022-03-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9722.9969+0.12%27.71+20.64%0.0766✓1.30875k2022-03-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2250.225147+0.07%0.239+6.22%0.0121✗0.8552k2022-03-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1811.1817+0.06%1.588+34.46%0.1901✓1.252.2M2022-03-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1824.1844+0.06%5.173+23.70%0.1044✓1.282.3M2022-03-19
DASHDashDash99.0999.1296+0.04%103.03+3.98%0.0465✗1.011.5M2022-03-19
AVTAventusEthereum2.182.1807+0.03%2.15-1.38%0.0480✗0.40277k2022-03-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016790.016793+0.02%0.02061+22.75%0.1213✓0.991.4M2022-03-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.011510.011508-0.02%0.012233+6.28%0.0218✓0.9811k2022-03-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84895.8471-0.03%6.054+3.51%0.0008✗0.40189k2022-03-19
STXStacksnative1.321.3196-0.03%1.32+0.00%0.0756✓0.90419k2022-03-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0141710.014165-0.04%0.019485+37.50%0.2579✗0.72143k2022-03-19
ZENHorizenBase37.4837.4536-0.07%41.99+12.03%0.0040✗1.31261k2022-03-19
QTUMQtumQtum5.8175.8119-0.09%6.3544+9.24%0.0091✓1.16148k2022-03-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20060.200414-0.09%0.2114+5.38%0.0479✓1.202.3M2022-03-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1090.108868-0.12%0.11+0.92%0.0353✓0.5444k2022-03-19
XMRMoneroMonero184.77184.4896-0.15%197.76+7.03%0.0084✓0.921.5M2022-03-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.6227.569-0.18%29.06+5.21%0.0242✓0.91925k2022-03-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.13182.1275-0.20%2.1759+2.07%0.0497✓0.86112k2022-03-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.315.2985-0.22%7.03+32.39%0.1683✗1.36583k2022-03-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071340.071156-0.26%0.07465+4.64%0.0447✓1.1054k2022-03-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00350.003489-0.31%0.0036+2.86%0.0942✓1.495.3M2022-03-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3291.3247-0.32%1.635+23.02%0.1277✗0.98711k2022-03-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.31042.3027-0.33%2.508+8.55%0.0167✓1.212.4M2022-03-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.14841.1443-0.36%1.1565+0.70%0.1036✓1.352.6M2022-03-19
XECeCashnative0.000073390.000073126-0.36%0.00008321+13.38%0.0448✗1.004.2M2022-03-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011450.011405-0.39%0.01214+6.03%0.0426✓1.243.1M2022-03-19
DODODODOEthereum0.3770.375499-0.40%0.435+15.38%0.0521✗1.133.3M2022-03-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.071.0655-0.42%1.21+13.08%0.0355✗1.09573k2022-03-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.713.6418-0.43%13.17-3.87%0.0745✓0.473.2M2022-03-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068460.068168-0.43%0.07384+7.86%0.0074✗0.8613k2022-03-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9720.967203-0.49%1.512+55.56%0.3693✗0.921.0M2022-03-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013550.013483-0.50%0.03602+165.83%0.8633✗1.4112.7M2022-03-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.9470.5796-0.51%89.58+26.28%0.1263✗1.33120.2M2022-03-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.695.66-0.53%6.43+13.01%0.0639✗0.75604k2022-03-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011760.011692-0.58%0.01239+5.36%0.0064✓0.7611k2022-03-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.8157-0.59%6.3+7.69%0.0165✗0.75931k2022-03-19
BANDBandEthereum3.3773.3555-0.64%3.81+12.82%0.0296✗1.15977k2022-03-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.454.4204-0.66%4.875+9.55%0.0360✗0.73509k2022-03-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6817.5521-0.72%18.21+3.00%0.0478✓1.006.7M2022-03-19
FIDABonfidaSolana1.651.6376-0.75%1.718+4.12%0.0220✓0.8364k2022-03-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.74652.7256-0.76%3.3286+21.19%0.1308✗0.824.1M2022-03-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8125.767-0.78%6.523+12.23%0.0388✗1.00462k2022-03-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022130.000021956-0.79%0.00002416+9.17%0.0055✓1.203.5M2022-03-19
LUNATerraTerra 286.0385.3495-0.79%92.1+7.06%0.0433✓1.417.6M2022-03-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.146420.145247-0.80%0.15441+5.46%0.0132✓0.8816k2022-03-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.546.4869-0.81%6.42-1.83%0.0760✓0.78625k2022-03-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.053.0246-0.83%3.759+23.25%0.1538✗0.75427k2022-03-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0396920.039277-1.04%0.042197+6.31%0.0119✓0.995.3M2022-03-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.70950.701813-1.08%0.766+7.96%0.0589✗0.34959k2022-03-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.4790.473781-1.09%0.593+23.80%0.1400✗1.004,7232022-03-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02320.022946-1.10%0.02698+16.29%0.0694✗1.10384k2022-03-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.21390.211388-1.17%0.2493+16.55%0.0805✗1.00142k2022-03-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.99531.9713-1.20%2.2005+10.28%0.0465✗0.7520k2022-03-19
ZECZcashZcash151.6149.7474-1.22%179.68+18.52%0.0970✗1.017.6M2022-03-19
API3Api3Ethereum5.014.9486-1.23%5.02+0.20%0.0393✓0.647.0M2022-03-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.35481.3378-1.25%1.5032+10.95%0.0056✓1.31289k2022-03-19
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8651.8404-1.32%2.084+11.74%0.0427✗0.973.3M2022-03-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9272.8875-1.35%3.33+13.77%0.0746✗0.80330k2022-03-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.581638-1.42%0.66+11.86%0.0091✓1.60745k2022-03-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.652.6095-1.53%2.713+2.38%0.0456✓1.0053k2022-03-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.9311.7228-1.74%12.43+4.19%0.0111✓0.561.2M2022-03-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05390.052955-1.75%0.066+22.45%0.0748✗1.7247.7M2022-03-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.147.9954-1.78%8.09-0.61%0.0508✓0.74946k2022-03-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11510.113029-1.80%0.1318+14.51%0.0525✗1.202.9M2022-03-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.7687.6194-1.91%7.689-1.02%0.1025✓1.324.8M2022-03-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041020.040235-1.91%0.03453-15.82%0.2158✓0.751.1M2022-03-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06650.06517-2.00%0.072+8.27%0.0001✓1.18574k2022-03-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38970.379072-2.73%0.4445+14.06%0.0040✓1.932.2M2022-03-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.11353.9932-2.92%3.779-8.13%0.1129✓0.683.4M2022-03-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010860.000001048-3.54%0.000001196+10.09%0.0477✗1.001.5M2022-03-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0324.7688-5.23%4.1949-16.64%0.1916✓0.752.4M2022-03-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.5976.2009-6.00%5.895-10.64%0.0924✓0.491.6M2022-03-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.52898.7454-8.22%9.1368-4.11%0.0406✓1.0019.7M2022-03-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.