2022-03-02 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1661

152 of 152 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-3.13%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

59.2%

in alpha space · 63.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-4.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.421	8.0045	-4.95%	8.061	-4.28%	0.0720	✗	1.42	1.9M	2022-03-09
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7242	0.691822	-4.47%	0.76	+4.94%	0.1095	✗	0.34	1.2M	2022-03-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5029	0.480824	-4.39%	0.4297	-14.56%	0.0206	✓	2.01	2.2M	2022-03-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	71.55	68.9367	-3.65%	54.9209	-23.24%	0.1643	✓	1.38	231k	2022-03-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.3	7.0477	-3.46%	5.441	-25.47%	0.2359	✓	0.50	4.1M	2022-03-09
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.237	2.1632	-3.30%	1.786	-20.16%	0.1557	✓	0.79	76k	2022-03-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6226	1.5713	-3.16%	1.5521	-4.34%	0.0456	✗	1.27	293k	2022-03-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.99	2.8979	-3.08%	3.427	+14.62%	0.2106	✗	0.94	792k	2022-03-09
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.895	2.8133	-2.82%	2.61	-9.84%	0.0156	✓	1.30	584k	2022-03-09
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03397	0.033077	-2.63%	0.0398	+17.16%	0.2257	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.7315	-2.63%	8	+0.76%	0.0760	✗	0.92	461k	2022-03-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021073	0.020542	-2.52%	0.015975	-24.19%	0.2119	✓	0.87	135k	2022-03-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.59	5.4583	-2.36%	4.63	-17.17%	0.1192	✓	1.00	828k	2022-03-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.7751	2.7108	-2.32%	3.1069	+11.96%	0.1763	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-09
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.29e-7	6.15e-7	-2.30%	0.000001482	+135.47%	0.9253	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-09
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.82	1.7782	-2.30%	1.67	-8.24%	0.0077	✓	1.21	411k	2022-03-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.64	6.4938	-2.20%	6.31	-4.97%	0.0357	✗	1.41	942k	2022-03-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0268	0.026214	-2.19%	0.024	-10.45%	0.0277	✓	1.33	500k	2022-03-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.75	0.733922	-2.14%	0.66	-12.00%	0.0279	✓	1.72	1.0M	2022-03-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4033	0.395626	-1.90%	0.3619	-10.27%	0.0142	✓	1.64	14.7M	2022-03-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.31	18.9471	-1.88%	17.47	-9.53%	0.0285	✓	1.15	20.0M	2022-03-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.016	3.9466	-1.73%	3.737	-6.95%	0.0054	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-03-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.57	5.4738	-1.73%	5.23	-6.10%	0.0066	✓	0.85	540k	2022-03-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.25	31.7039	-1.69%	30.07	-6.76%	0.0006	✓	1.15	50.3M	2022-03-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7291	0.717124	-1.64%	0.7336	+0.62%	0.0867	✗	1.40	2.5M	2022-03-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2311	2.1959	-1.58%	2.1758	-2.48%	0.0232	✗	0.71	26k	2022-03-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.496	1.4725	-1.57%	1.376	-8.02%	0.0170	✓	1.11	939k	2022-03-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.164	1.1459	-1.55%	1.024	-12.03%	0.0638	✓	1.07	1.4M	2022-03-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0655	0.064499	-1.53%	0.0648	-1.07%	0.0854	✗	1.77	72.8M	2022-03-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.647	2.6066	-1.53%	2.159	-18.44%	0.1220	✓	1.45	13.6M	2022-03-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5665	0.557897	-1.52%	0.5284	-6.73%	0.0125	✓	0.92	607k	2022-03-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	92.43	91.0289	-1.52%	99.22	+7.35%	0.1514	✗	1.43	4.8M	2022-03-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.389	1.3686	-1.47%	1.2223	-12.00%	0.0514	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-03-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.73	20.4325	-1.44%	18.83	-9.17%	0.0307	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.548	1.5263	-1.40%	1.394	-9.95%	0.0247	✓	1.45	842k	2022-03-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.413	4.352	-1.38%	3.9867	-9.66%	0.0358	✓	1.14	244k	2022-03-09
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.3195	-1.30%	2.39	+1.70%	0.0756	✗	1.00	422k	2022-03-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0322	2.9937	-1.27%	2.9836	-1.60%	0.0365	✗	0.87	3.6M	2022-03-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7532	2.719	-1.24%	2.4947	-9.39%	0.0313	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-03-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	125.91	124.3618	-1.23%	141.65	+12.50%	0.1813	✗	1.12	7.4M	2022-03-09
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	1.0077	-1.21%	0.94	-7.84%	0.0569	✓	0.28	282k	2022-03-09
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.114683	-1.14%	0.104	-10.34%	0.0726	✓	0.55	44k	2022-03-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	122.45	121.097	-1.10%	108.96	-11.02%	0.0500	✓	1.22	58k	2022-03-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.04679	0.04628	-1.09%	0.041988	-10.26%	0.0486	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2571	0.254353	-1.07%	0.2319	-9.80%	0.0508	✓	0.91	2.0M	2022-03-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.551	5.4931	-1.04%	5.1	-8.12%	0.0321	✓	0.92	71k	2022-03-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0775	0.0767	-1.03%	0.0717	-7.48%	0.0081	✓	1.30	1.0M	2022-03-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.505	4.4596	-1.01%	4.263	-5.37%	0.0067	✓	0.84	453k	2022-03-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.464	1.4499	-0.96%	1.602	+9.43%	0.1479	✗	1.06	3.4M	2022-03-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.27	1.2579	-0.95%	1.23	-3.15%	0.0251	✗	1.04	824k	2022-03-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.3691	-0.95%	6.1	-5.13%	0.0029	✓	0.88	478k	2022-03-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.93	1.9119	-0.94%	1.79	-7.25%	0.0052	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002591	0.000025675	-0.91%	0.00002383	-8.03%	0.0175	✓	1.25	3.9M	2022-03-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.468	0.463786	-0.90%	0.407	-13.03%	0.0717	✓	1.29	4.2M	2022-03-09
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.52	2.4985	-0.85%	2.2	-12.70%	0.0816	✓	1.00	445k	2022-03-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7872	0.780519	-0.85%	0.7395	-6.06%	0.0038	✓	1.10	9.7M	2022-03-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9592	1.9426	-0.85%	2.007	+2.44%	0.0800	✗	1.04	77k	2022-03-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01231	0.012206	-0.85%	0.01242	+0.89%	0.0807	✗	1.39	2.8M	2022-03-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.14	10.055	-0.84%	10.46	+3.16%	0.0696	✗	0.66	928k	2022-03-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.98	2.9551	-0.84%	2.732	-8.32%	0.0380	✓	0.89	223k	2022-03-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1299	0.128817	-0.83%	0.1245	-4.16%	0.0250	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.15	16.0156	-0.83%	14.6	-9.60%	0.0604	✓	0.70	2.3M	2022-03-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.359	1.3478	-0.82%	1.287	-5.30%	0.0119	✗	1.27	2.0M	2022-03-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.098296	-0.81%	0.0841	-15.14%	0.0881	✓	1.49	613k	2022-03-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00469	0.004652	-0.81%	0.0039	-16.84%	0.1017	✓	1.64	9.6M	2022-03-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.197	0.195434	-0.80%	0.2005	+1.78%	0.0879	✗	1.36	2.8M	2022-03-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3742	0.371261	-0.79%	0.3463	-7.46%	0.0077	✓	1.36	8.7M	2022-03-09
STX	Stacks	native	1.25	1.2409	-0.73%	1.12	-10.40%	0.0478	✓	1.20	585k	2022-03-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.56	26.3708	-0.71%	25.07	-5.61%	0.0122	✗	1.38	1.5M	2022-03-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.37	30.1542	-0.71%	28.87	-4.94%	0.0010	✓	0.93	1.5M	2022-03-09
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000196	0.000001947	-0.68%	0.00000186	-5.10%	0.0152	✓	0.66	13.7M	2022-03-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.13	2.1154	-0.68%	1.89	-11.27%	0.0596	✓	1.16	354k	2022-03-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.42	82.8511	-0.68%	77.65	-6.92%	0.0003	✓	1.43	120.2M	2022-03-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2308	0.229251	-0.67%	0.2116	-8.32%	0.0132	✓	1.47	2.5M	2022-03-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.202	1.1944	-0.63%	1.185	-1.41%	0.0462	✗	1.19	2.9M	2022-03-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9424	5.9056	-0.62%	5.8487	-1.58%	0.0044	✓	0.31	385k	2022-03-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,346.94	22,210.11	-0.61%	20,404.96	-8.69%	0.0402	✓	0.98	5.9M	2022-03-09
ALPINE	Alpine F1 Team Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.292	3.2723	-0.60%	5.1595	+56.73%	0.5010	✗	1.00	19.7M	2022-03-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.43	2.4155	-0.60%	2.3	-5.35%	0.0034	✓	1.00	268k	2022-03-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.16	15.0736	-0.57%	14.69	-3.10%	0.0416	✗	1.48	2.4M	2022-03-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	55.59	55.2849	-0.55%	48.63	-12.52%	0.0690	✓	1.30	6.5M	2022-03-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.038	6.005	-0.55%	5.029	-16.71%	0.1296	✓	1.05	166k	2022-03-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0297	3.0132	-0.54%	2.9949	-1.15%	0.0342	✗	0.88	2.4M	2022-03-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0742	1.0684	-0.54%	0.98649	-8.17%	0.0192	✓	1.33	187k	2022-03-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.92	38.7165	-0.52%	41.61	+6.91%	0.1380	✗	1.45	280k	2022-03-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8082	0.804062	-0.51%	0.741	-8.31%	0.0156	✓	1.45	270k	2022-03-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.41	3.3927	-0.51%	3.19	-6.45%	0.0040	✓	1.26	6.8M	2022-03-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0714	0.071038	-0.51%	0.073	+2.24%	0.0733	✗	1.01	13k	2022-03-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.16	45.9292	-0.50%	42.75	-7.39%	0.0230	✓	1.07	22.8M	2022-03-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.397	0.395044	-0.49%	0.3204	-19.29%	0.1444	✓	1.42	1.3M	2022-03-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1064	0.105904	-0.47%	0.101	-5.08%	0.0030	✓	0.97	40k	2022-03-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,262.00	44,075.65	-0.42%	41,967.60	-5.18%	0.0046	✓	0.97	53k	2022-03-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16542	0.164767	-0.39%	0.15435	-6.69%	0.0113	✓	1.18	22k	2022-03-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01634	0.016277	-0.39%	0.01383	-15.36%	0.0935	✓	1.52	12.7M	2022-03-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.917	0.913521	-0.38%	0.921	+0.44%	0.0666	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-03-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01892	0.01885	-0.37%	0.01738	-8.14%	0.0314	✓	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01235	0.012305	-0.37%	0.01282	+3.81%	0.0748	✗	0.74	13k	2022-03-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.7	6.6764	-0.35%	6.28	-6.27%	0.0022	✓	1.39	27k	2022-03-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.29	15.2376	-0.34%	14.02	-8.31%	0.0295	✓	1.18	50.8M	2022-03-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.6342	-0.34%	4.25	-8.60%	0.0175	✓	1.51	471k	2022-03-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.9	100.5705	-0.33%	99.72	-1.17%	0.0430	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.61	18.5495	-0.33%	17.86	-4.03%	0.0175	✗	1.21	28.4M	2022-03-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.76	20.693	-0.32%	20.31	-2.17%	0.0471	✗	1.44	328k	2022-03-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.298	2.2923	-0.25%	2.232	-2.87%	0.0149	✗	0.91	23k	2022-03-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	177.46	177.0208	-0.25%	188.71	+6.34%	0.1097	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-09
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9988	0.996336	-0.25%	0.9131	-8.58%	0.0332	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-03-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02832	0.028264	-0.20%	0.02596	-8.33%	0.0498	✓	0.77	4.0M	2022-03-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,912.34	43,837.35	-0.17%	41,953.97	-4.46%	0.0017	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5144	0.513648	-0.15%	0.4455	-13.39%	0.0796	✓	1.37	484k	2022-03-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.494	3.4891	-0.14%	3.1801	-8.98%	0.0343	✓	1.28	1.9M	2022-03-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01037	0.010356	-0.13%	0.01052	+1.45%	0.0726	✗	1.25	1.3M	2022-03-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1595	0.159403	-0.06%	0.1627	+2.01%	0.0673	✗	1.03	420k	2022-03-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.114	3.1124	-0.05%	2.89	-7.19%	0.0357	✓	0.84	477k	2022-03-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2945	0.294349	-0.05%	0.2736	-7.10%	0.0130	✓	1.32	317k	2022-03-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.308	0.30785	-0.05%	0.279	-9.42%	0.0388	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04078	0.040767	-0.03%	0.04098	+0.49%	0.0504	✗	0.99	29k	2022-03-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.69	13.6858	-0.03%	13.1	-4.31%	0.0064	✗	1.10	331k	2022-03-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07258	0.072558	-0.03%	0.07646	+5.35%	0.1095	✗	1.25	69k	2022-03-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.71	6.7098	-0.00%	6.19	-7.75%	0.0574	✓	0.51	1.2M	2022-03-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04875	0.048751	+0.00%	0.04842	-0.68%	0.0480	✓	1.20	641k	2022-03-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.7	137.7149	+0.01%	127.5	-7.41%	0.0159	✗	1.34	6.8M	2022-03-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.703	0.703159	+0.02%	0.662	-5.83%	0.0112	✗	1.08	2.6M	2022-03-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.4867	6.4884	+0.03%	6.0487	-6.75%	0.0089	✗	1.34	257k	2022-03-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007594	0.000075964	+0.03%	0.00007564	-0.40%	0.0458	✓	1.10	4.5M	2022-03-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.355	20.3661	+0.05%	18.777	-7.75%	0.0361	✗	0.99	9.1M	2022-03-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.73047	0.730928	+0.06%	0.68283	-6.52%	0.0056	✗	1.37	200k	2022-03-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.976	3.9795	+0.09%	4.727	+18.89%	0.2285	✓	1.24	2.2M	2022-03-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.247229	+0.09%	0.237	-4.05%	0.0033	✗	0.85	66k	2022-03-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.149	0.149211	+0.14%	0.1415	-5.03%	0.0161	✗	0.81	294k	2022-03-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.31	138.5079	+0.14%	135.22	-2.23%	0.0284	✓	1.15	1.0M	2022-03-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8204	0.821609	+0.15%	0.7672	-6.48%	0.0170	✗	1.13	19.9M	2022-03-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.52	29.5711	+0.17%	28.04	-5.01%	0.0040	✗	1.08	5.2M	2022-03-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.35	110.5435	+0.18%	106.99	-3.04%	0.0184	✓	1.12	29.5M	2022-03-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.803	6.8157	+0.19%	6.654	-2.19%	0.0080	✓	0.70	2.8M	2022-03-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,948.56	2,954.30	+0.19%	2,727.60	-7.49%	0.0322	✗	1.04	581.4M	2022-03-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.05	10.071	+0.21%	9.21	-8.36%	0.0353	✗	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.091	0.091228	+0.25%	0.09322	+2.44%	0.0699	✓	1.06	43k	2022-03-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133081	0.133415	+0.25%	0.121511	-8.69%	0.0505	✗	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.78	9.807	+0.28%	8.93	-8.69%	0.0383	✗	1.21	3.5M	2022-03-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061505	0.061679	+0.28%	0.060814	-1.12%	0.0209	✓	0.77	307k	2022-03-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00957	0.009601	+0.33%	0.00949	-0.84%	0.0459	✓	1.26	563k	2022-03-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.59	1.5954	+0.34%	1.586	-0.25%	0.0466	✓	1.15	2.0M	2022-03-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012216	0.012259	+0.35%	0.011931	-2.33%	0.0201	✓	1.04	14k	2022-03-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9394	0.943062	+0.39%	0.8495	-9.57%	0.0532	✗	1.12	96.3M	2022-03-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.193624	0.194464	+0.43%	0.188762	-2.51%	0.0192	✓	1.07	19.8M	2022-03-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	100.73	101.2737	+0.54%	88.1	-12.54%	0.0819	✗	1.26	131.2M	2022-03-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570611	0.574128	+0.62%	0.524645	-8.06%	0.0385	✗	1.13	2.8M	2022-03-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	320.43	322.5555	+0.66%	307.25	-4.11%	0.0043	✓	0.97	7.3M	2022-03-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		86.11	86.7206	+0.71%	83.31	-3.25%	0.0017	✓	0.84	905k	2022-03-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	117.95	118.9732	+0.87%	118.86	+0.77%	0.0442	✓	0.99	6.3M	2022-03-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0754	0.076123	+0.96%	0.0713	-5.44%	0.0202	✗	0.99	157k	2022-03-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8782	1.9025	+1.30%	1.7476	-6.95%	0.0312	✗	1.18	179k	2022-03-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.