8=======>

2022-02-22 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0648
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.7%
in alpha space · 57.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4362.5365+4.12%2.626+7.80%0.1734✗1.39579k2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45850.469468+2.39%0.5253+14.57%0.1042✗1.44586k2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10872.1481+1.87%2.2579+7.08%0.0836✗0.8928k2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.434.5123+1.86%4.86+9.71%0.0920✗1.11471k2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020.020315+1.57%0.01656-17.20%0.4508✗1.6411.1M2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3581.3794+1.57%1.328-2.21%0.2459✗1.391.8M2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0223480.022662+1.41%0.022682+1.49%0.1623✗1.09101k2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.3272+1.32%1.29-1.53%0.2198✗1.28968k2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062480.063299+1.31%0.07633+22.17%0.0650✓0.8180k2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana86.4387.5312+1.27%98.7+14.20%0.0662✗1.24139.1M2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.927640.939301+1.26%1.0846+16.92%0.0191✗1.09165k2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6561.6753+1.16%1.582-4.47%0.2234✗1.113.4M2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2146.2861+1.16%6.823+9.80%0.0257✓0.3829k2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.84660.85641+1.16%1.0352+22.28%0.0439✗1.561.8M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.298356+1.14%0.318+7.80%0.1390✗1.352.0M2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.089582+1.11%0.1048+18.28%0.0660✗1.49684k2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.07123.1036+1.06%3.4918+13.69%0.0758✗1.292.1M2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004520.004566+1.02%0.00471+4.20%0.2535✗1.9012.7M2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.9459+0.97%10.34+16.70%0.0534✗1.3211.0M2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration129.85131.0809+0.95%138.55+6.70%0.1230✗1.19930k2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.072621+0.86%0.0743+3.19%0.1488✗1.14185k2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3914+0.83%1.617+17.17%0.0232✗1.161.8M2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9613.0647+0.81%14.09+8.72%0.0788✗1.03392k2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.683910.689434+0.81%0.75556+10.48%0.1351✗1.51269k2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.4261+0.77%3.47+2.06%0.1957✗1.397.1M2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35360.356309+0.77%0.4218+19.29%0.0804✗1.6616.4M2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8214.9322+0.76%15.26+2.97%0.2278✗1.662.7M2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80190.80787+0.74%0.8359+4.24%0.1904✗1.50361k2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.171.1783+0.71%1.29+10.26%0.1082✗1.33746k2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131320.132233+0.69%0.133991+2.03%0.1379✗1.013.7M2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum8.668.7177+0.67%9.35+7.97%0.1229✗1.293.2M2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4283.9688+0.66%87.68+5.11%0.0906✗0.89986k2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano0.88810.893929+0.66%0.9643+8.58%0.0953✗1.1497.3M2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.012.0223+0.61%2.396+19.20%0.0112✓1.0619k2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.050503+0.60%0.0703+40.04%0.0642✓1.7864.3M2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash293.48295.2471+0.60%328.78+12.03%0.0408✗0.997.6M2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151340.15224+0.59%0.16553+9.38%0.1263✗1.4030k2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13190.132626+0.55%0.1615+22.44%0.0423✓1.03467k2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4119.5166+0.55%22.02+13.45%0.1122✗1.55334k2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.51108.0296+0.48%112.65+4.78%0.1406✗1.2229.9M2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.7323.8419+0.47%27.26+14.88%0.0938✗1.521.8M2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum134.74135.327+0.44%143.34+6.38%0.1590✗1.446.5M2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6115.6353+0.43%5.771+2.85%0.1314✗1.04266k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.6826.7902+0.41%30.35+13.76%0.0402✗1.105.1M2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.21630.217191+0.41%0.2318+7.17%0.1665✗1.543.4M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0044.0205+0.41%4.177+4.32%0.1502✗1.262.3M2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.185640.186319+0.37%0.198927+7.16%0.0928✗1.0621.8M2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum112.33112.7378+0.36%125.94+12.12%0.0838✗1.3064k2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum115.85116.2595+0.35%119.35+3.02%0.1234✗1.006.6M2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.009630.009664+0.35%0.01044+8.41%0.1172✗1.301.2M2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084580.084872+0.34%0.09224+9.06%0.0837✗1.1148k2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.2450.245825+0.34%0.3058+24.82%0.0440✓1.16469k2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,637.982,646.83+0.34%2,977.72+12.88%0.0467✗1.10581.4M2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.19016.2102+0.33%6.7553+9.13%0.0427✗0.853.1M2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04660.046745+0.31%0.04868+4.46%0.1668✗1.38865k2022-03-01
ORCAOrcaSolana2.612.6179+0.30%2.58-1.15%0.1646✗1.00683k2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52090.522409+0.29%0.7582+45.56%0.1717✓1.342.3M2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,333.5038,437.21+0.27%44,139.10+15.14%0.0069✗0.9742k2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7990.801041+0.26%0.89+11.39%0.1005✗1.372.1M2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative18.9418.9875+0.25%20.746+9.54%0.0896✗1.199.6M2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5433540.544627+0.23%0.573577+5.56%0.1213✗1.153.3M2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06290.063043+0.23%0.0729+15.90%0.0154✗1.0714k2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9814.0065+0.19%15.36+9.87%0.0895✗1.2161.5M2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6925+0.15%1.99+17.75%0.0417✗1.362.0M2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.008780.008791+0.13%0.00979+11.50%0.0501✗1.05525k2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78861.7908+0.12%2.5724+43.82%0.2823✓0.532.8M2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.24026+0.11%0.242+0.83%0.1283✗0.9068k2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3952.3974+0.10%2.546+6.30%0.1731✗1.5613.8M2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3722.3743+0.10%3.193+34.61%0.1057✓1.27792k2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1551.1975+0.09%57.19+11.81%0.0850✗1.307.8M2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38530.38561+0.08%0.3996+3.71%0.1793✗1.431.4M2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.115.114+0.08%5.12+0.20%0.1467✗0.99682k2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase35.2735.2888+0.05%39.34+11.54%0.1275✗1.58335k2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase1.9641.9646+0.03%1.9211-2.18%0.2073✗1.23210k2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.266.2613+0.02%6.82+8.95%0.0229✓0.421.3M2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.17780.177838+0.02%0.1954+9.90%0.1171✗1.413.0M2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero150.97150.9898+0.01%177.8+17.77%0.0135✓1.00966k2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.81110.811126+0.00%0.8569+5.65%0.1312✗1.2423.2M2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6116.6097-0.00%18.9+13.79%0.0701✓1.3329.5M2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,251.4838,246.61-0.01%44,439.95+16.18%0.0001✓1.00646.5M2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum41.5141.4765-0.08%46.25+11.42%0.0653✓1.1627.6M2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22690.226662-0.10%0.2576+13.53%0.0259✓1.031.8M2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.00726.0003-0.11%6.7053+11.62%0.1106✓1.48153k2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.062640.062568-0.12%0.062179-0.74%0.1335✓0.85299k2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash102.96102.8391-0.12%119.02+15.60%0.0327✓1.197.6M2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9962.9924-0.12%3.203+6.91%0.0723✓0.94481k2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07080.07069-0.15%0.0786+11.02%0.1005✓1.381.1M2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.3713-0.16%8.27+53.72%0.3003✗0.88398k2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86772.8631-0.16%3.0922+7.83%0.0735✓1.002.4M2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0781.0762-0.17%1.224+13.54%0.0605✓1.262.9M2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.8199-0.17%6.51+11.66%0.0196✓0.88430k2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase69.821769.7002-0.17%66.4156-4.88%0.2726✓1.50249k2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84815.8375-0.18%5.9499+1.74%0.0375✓0.38412k2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.6261.6229-0.19%1.9861+22.15%0.0334✗1.1275k2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.09870.098504-0.20%0.1097+11.14%0.0467✓1.0337k2022-03-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.1565.1457-0.20%9.447+83.22%0.4555✗1.011.8M2022-03-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001936-0.20%0.00000199+2.58%0.1225✓1.0014.6M2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4540.453059-0.21%0.479+5.51%0.1501✓1.374.5M2022-03-01
AVTAventusEthereum2.492.4843-0.23%2.33-6.43%0.2141✓1.00639k2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.14840.148045-0.24%0.1523+2.63%0.0936✓0.81354k2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010374-0.25%0.01146+10.19%0.1323✓1.552.2M2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9430.940214-0.30%1.245+32.03%0.0941✗1.24934k2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.748667-0.30%0.8+6.54%0.1054✓1.149.8M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.96.8779-0.32%6.72-2.61%0.0561✓0.221.3M2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6932.6843-0.32%3.071+14.04%0.0076✗0.85205k2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000072220.000071986-0.32%0.00007896+9.33%0.0815✓1.164.5M2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.92222.9121-0.35%3.1217+6.83%0.0805✓1.002.6M2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4661.4609-0.35%1.607+9.62%0.1202✓1.44970k2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98473.9702-0.36%4.2804+7.42%0.1055✓1.21291k2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.4455-0.38%15.79+8.90%0.0231✓0.751.8M2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2665.2454-0.39%5.445+3.40%0.0821✓0.8065k2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.92-0.41%5.52+11.74%0.0038✓0.79415k2022-03-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8591.8515-0.41%1.81-2.64%0.1726✓1.0084k2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,636.0720,552.18-0.41%21,756.24+5.43%0.0980✓1.035.8M2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037930.037773-0.41%0.04187+10.39%0.0648✓1.1232k2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125030.01245-0.42%0.01249-0.10%0.1690✓1.1544k2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02650.026374-0.48%0.0282+6.42%0.1482✓1.43497k2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018930.018836-0.50%0.02045+8.03%0.0883✓1.142.2M2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.710.706426-0.50%0.78+9.86%0.1913✓1.941.0M2022-03-01
DIADIAEthereum0.890.885268-0.53%1.06+19.10%0.0302✗1.00284k2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38230.380193-0.55%0.3753-1.83%0.2251✓1.418.7M2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.252.237-0.58%2.46+9.33%0.0581✓1.02283k2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49760.494631-0.60%0.5765+15.86%0.0148✗0.92684k2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1669-0.60%2.18+0.00%0.1754✓1.21324k2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.4273.9701-0.60%86.96+16.85%0.0631✓1.50106.7M2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.9217.8105-0.61%19.34+7.92%0.0918✓1.1622.7M2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.026710.026546-0.61%0.02885+8.01%0.0333✓0.784.6M2022-03-01
DASHDashDash93.5692.9816-0.62%100.01+6.89%0.1026✓1.171.5M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.519.447-0.66%10.14+6.62%0.0363✓0.71758k2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1524.1242-0.67%4.502+8.43%0.0410✓0.86395k2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.1819.0465-0.70%20.98+9.38%0.0888✓1.249.6M2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024950.000024765-0.74%0.00002713+8.74%0.1167✓1.393.7M2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8424.6503-0.76%31.14+25.36%0.0691✗1.1055.4M2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65332.6283-0.95%2.8371+6.93%0.1153✓1.283.3M2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4231.4091-0.98%1.522+6.96%0.1081✓1.231.1M2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7070.699741-1.03%0.697-1.41%0.1681✓1.091.9M2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4530.447969-1.11%0.5394+19.07%0.1024✓1.922.0M2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012370.01223-1.13%0.01223-1.13%0.1131✓0.7515k2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.8743.83-1.14%4.227+9.11%0.0915✓1.271.9M2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum1.831.8058-1.32%1.84+0.55%0.2275✓1.64635k2022-03-01
API3Api3Ethereum5.9795.886-1.56%8.094+35.37%0.2649✗0.362.0M2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8180.805204-1.56%0.7268-11.15%0.2060✓0.691.5M2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 254.7753.8898-1.61%89.72+63.81%0.3039✗1.374.5M2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1429.6117-1.75%30.86+2.39%0.1105✓1.011.5M2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.721.6898-1.76%1.7018-1.06%0.2220✓1.53213k2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.136377-1.89%0.123-11.51%0.2608✓1.0551k2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.2721.2467-1.99%1.3652+7.32%0.1076✓1.322.6M2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.129164-2.00%0.1362+3.34%0.1423✓1.303.1M2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510030.049858-2.25%0.049485-2.98%0.1966✓1.267.5M2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039970.038666-3.26%0.03426-14.29%0.2519✓0.871.7M2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.