2022-02-19 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3169

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.58%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

77.3%

in alpha space · 77.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0051	0.005147	+0.91%	0.00431	-15.49%	0.1301	✗	1.94	13.6M	2022-02-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.3136	2.3337	+0.87%	2.2359	-3.36%	0.0202	✗	0.93	28k	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.71	111.4342	+0.65%	110.79	+0.07%	0.0188	✓	1.01	7.2M	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.7	28.8831	+0.64%	28.91	+0.73%	0.0269	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0784	0.07889	+0.63%	0.0685	-12.63%	0.1141	✗	1.12	194k	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.34	91.8115	+0.52%	90.32	-1.12%	0.0142	✓	1.26	179.7M	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5475	0.549959	+0.45%	0.4599	-16.00%	0.1443	✗	1.42	610k	2022-02-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0593	0.05954	+0.41%	0.0712	+20.07%	0.2210	✓	1.73	64.3M	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0963	0.09668	+0.39%	0.0854	-11.32%	0.0875	✗	1.50	903k	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.491	1.4967	+0.38%	1.524	+2.21%	0.0460	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02516	0.025249	+0.36%	0.01784	-29.09%	0.3138	✗	1.38	10.9M	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,901.00	40,039.71	+0.35%	39,589.70	-0.78%	0.0124	✓	0.98	51k	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141002	0.141402	+0.28%	0.127595	-9.51%	0.0783	✗	1.01	5.2M	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	312.05	312.9141	+0.28%	315.57	+1.13%	0.0323	✓	0.98	8.4M	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0679	0.068072	+0.25%	0.0674	-0.74%	0.0164	✓	1.08	16k	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9969	0.999326	+0.24%	0.8873	-10.99%	0.0920	✗	1.11	97.3M	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.57	1.5736	+0.23%	1.276	-18.73%	0.1765	✗	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.64	87.8398	+0.23%	84.76	-3.29%	0.0140	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15998	0.160311	+0.21%	0.15626	-2.33%	0.0095	✓	1.44	32k	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,764.44	2,770.14	+0.21%	2,780.71	+0.59%	0.0309	✓	1.11	588.4M	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9802	1.9833	+0.15%	1.8532	-6.41%	0.0547	✗	0.54	2.9M	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.265	6.2709	+0.09%	5.391	-13.95%	0.1273	✗	0.98	361k	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.839	19.8549	+0.08%	19.708	-0.66%	0.0220	✓	1.21	9.9M	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.254202	+0.08%	0.232	-8.66%	0.0690	✗	0.92	73k	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1444	0.14451	+0.08%	0.1506	+4.29%	0.0662	✓	1.03	470k	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,101.94	40,122.11	+0.05%	39,137.80	-2.40%	0.0005	✓	1.00	646.5M	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.06	14.0565	-0.02%	12.91	-8.18%	0.0601	✓	1.03	483k	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.168	2.1672	-0.04%	2.285	+5.40%	0.0783	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.08	5.078	-0.04%	4.46	-12.20%	0.1043	✓	1.05	510k	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6548	6.6504	-0.07%	6.4106	-3.67%	0.0166	✓	0.83	3.6M	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.59	115.5054	-0.07%	108.29	-6.32%	0.0350	✓	1.21	31.4M	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08925	0.089184	-0.07%	0.08727	-2.22%	0.0049	✗	1.09	50k	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.7961	5.7912	-0.08%	6.0612	+4.57%	0.0548	✗	0.38	441k	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	161.12	160.9498	-0.11%	157.91	-1.99%	0.0057	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.06	16.0428	-0.11%	14.09	-12.27%	0.0886	✓	1.69	3.0M	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.98	1.9778	-0.11%	1.5	-24.24%	0.2512	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.873	6.8652	-0.11%	6.245	-9.14%	0.0861	✓	0.35	36k	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.325	0.324553	-0.14%	0.29	-10.77%	0.0802	✓	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0659	3.0611	-0.16%	2.7384	-10.68%	0.0883	✓	0.95	2.5M	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.99	9.9741	-0.16%	8.98	-10.11%	0.0749	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063482	0.063377	-0.17%	0.059459	-6.34%	0.0433	✓	0.84	330k	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0806	0.080463	-0.17%	0.073	-9.43%	0.0647	✓	1.34	1.1M	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75237	0.751056	-0.17%	0.69949	-7.03%	0.0350	✓	1.48	334k	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.84	54.7309	-0.20%	50.44	-8.02%	0.0507	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.594043	0.592861	-0.20%	0.544581	-8.33%	0.0573	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01032	0.010296	-0.23%	0.00985	-4.55%	0.0128	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.1018	0.101553	-0.24%	0.101	-0.79%	0.0193	✗	1.02	39k	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.11	15.0716	-0.25%	14.7	-2.71%	0.0083	✓	0.69	1.7M	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.204174	0.203636	-0.26%	0.192899	-5.52%	0.0292	✓	1.03	22.0M	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0275	1.0246	-0.27%	0.99036	-3.61%	0.0085	✓	1.05	193k	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.58	1.5756	-0.28%	1.24	-21.52%	0.2100	✓	1.21	1.2M	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000275	0.000027419	-0.29%	0.00002435	-11.45%	0.0851	✓	1.38	3.8M	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.071	2.0642	-0.33%	1.8651	-9.94%	0.0712	✓	1.24	263k	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8878	0.884825	-0.34%	0.7651	-13.82%	0.1099	✓	1.46	453k	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9635	0.960104	-0.35%	0.9533	-1.06%	0.0308	✗	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6691	1.6628	-0.38%	1.5733	-5.74%	0.0281	✓	1.12	75k	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.857697	-0.38%	0.895	+3.95%	0.0752	✗	1.34	2.4M	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.48	20.3987	-0.40%	21.2	+3.52%	0.0758	✗	1.53	371k	2022-02-26
STX	Stacks	native	1.31	1.3048	-0.40%	1.19	-9.16%	0.0609	✓	1.28	845k	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.03	9.9882	-0.42%	9.06	-9.67%	0.0658	✓	1.31	11.7M	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.273	0.271856	-0.42%	0.2767	+1.36%	0.0443	✗	1.09	538k	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.472	4.4529	-0.43%	4.058	-9.26%	0.0732	✓	0.81	395k	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6074	3.5918	-0.43%	3.4172	-5.27%	0.0192	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5576	0.555119	-0.44%	0.504	-9.61%	0.0647	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.132	1.127	-0.45%	1.148	+1.41%	0.0487	✗	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1581	0.157386	-0.45%	0.1441	-8.86%	0.0714	✓	0.69	362k	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.37	4.3501	-0.45%	3.874	-11.35%	0.0862	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.78	42.5841	-0.46%	43.29	+1.19%	0.0448	✗	1.17	28.5M	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.18	145.4938	-0.47%	136.67	-6.51%	0.0280	✓	1.42	6.8M	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.31	5.2825	-0.52%	4.47	-15.82%	0.1419	✓	1.03	682k	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00967	0.009618	-0.54%	0.00906	-6.31%	0.0346	✓	1.03	504k	2022-02-26
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.82	2.8042	-0.56%	2.56	-9.22%	0.0668	✓	1.00	698k	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.9	9.8438	-0.57%	9.33	-5.76%	0.0375	✓	0.66	821k	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.247	0.245541	-0.59%	0.2129	-13.81%	0.1056	✓	1.52	3.7M	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.787	6.7467	-0.59%	6.1323	-9.65%	0.0601	✓	1.45	198k	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8087	-0.62%	1.67	-8.24%	0.0473	✓	1.34	2.0M	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04064	0.040385	-0.63%	0.04014	-1.23%	0.0205	✗	1.09	32k	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2985	4.2711	-0.64%	4.0234	-6.40%	0.0309	✓	1.19	330k	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07126	0.070776	-0.68%	0.06611	-7.23%	0.0496	✓	0.76	88k	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	37.8682	-0.69%	33.26	-12.77%	0.0917	✓	1.56	405k	2022-02-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.99	0.983196	-0.69%	1.139	+15.05%	0.1778	✗	1.26	818k	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015145	0.01504	-0.69%	0.01194	-21.16%	0.2041	✓	1.10	170k	2022-02-26
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.74	2.7201	-0.73%	2.35	-14.23%	0.1219	✓	1.00	723k	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.46	50.0924	-0.73%	78.15	+54.88%	0.4790	✗	1.41	5.3M	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.86	17.7266	-0.75%	18.04	+1.01%	0.0502	✗	1.34	32.4M	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	112.33	111.4889	-0.75%	107.8	-4.03%	0.0039	✓	1.22	7.6M	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	85.07	84.424	-0.76%	81.79	-3.86%	0.0022	✓	1.39	110.8M	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.27	7.211	-0.81%	6.27	-13.76%	0.1348	✓	0.21	1.4M	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1527	1.1433	-0.82%	1.2108	+5.04%	0.0882	✗	1.27	2.6M	2022-02-26
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000202	0.000002003	-0.82%	0.00000191	-5.45%	0.0234	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.4	25.1859	-0.84%	24.45	-3.74%	0.0069	✓	1.50	1.9M	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.749	0.74228	-0.90%	0.679	-9.35%	0.0634	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007811	0.000077402	-0.91%	0.00007538	-3.50%	0.0011	✓	1.13	4.8M	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	151.15	149.7625	-0.92%	124.78	-17.45%	0.1539	✓	1.17	973k	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.85	0.841944	-0.95%	0.7	-17.65%	0.1367	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0416	3.0122	-0.97%	2.7102	-10.90%	0.0816	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05154	0.051028	-0.99%	0.04782	-7.22%	0.0316	✓	1.37	951k	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.94	30.6218	-1.03%	30.18	-2.46%	0.0084	✓	0.94	1.3M	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.973	2.942	-1.04%	2.576	-13.35%	0.1138	✓	0.78	206k	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2512	0.248538	-1.06%	0.226	-10.03%	0.0708	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01191	0.011779	-1.10%	0.00997	-16.29%	0.1287	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.25	119.8788	-1.13%	113.35	-6.52%	0.0247	✓	1.29	66k	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.92	5.8517	-1.15%	5.38	-9.12%	0.0639	✓	0.83	398k	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4201	0.415243	-1.16%	0.3655	-13.00%	0.0928	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02878	0.028446	-1.16%	0.02842	-1.25%	0.0196	✗	0.84	5.2M	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.28	5.2187	-1.16%	4.68	-11.36%	0.0904	✓	0.76	415k	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.3352	-1.17%	5.7	-11.08%	0.0848	✓	0.86	430k	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.42	101.2239	-1.17%	93.68	-8.53%	0.0504	✓	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.3521	-1.17%	2.3	-3.36%	0.0025	✓	1.02	327k	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.827	0.817275	-1.18%	0.7459	-9.81%	0.0651	✓	1.08	10.1M	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.87	3.8236	-1.20%	3.25	-16.02%	0.1291	✓	1.38	7.4M	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02609	0.025772	-1.22%	0.02263	-13.26%	0.1023	✓	1.14	89k	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020617	0.020366	-1.22%	0.01882	-8.72%	0.0511	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.198	0.195585	-1.22%	0.1751	-11.57%	0.0774	✓	1.36	3.5M	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012503	-1.24%	0.01217	-3.87%	0.0073	✓	0.81	15k	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.586	2.553	-1.28%	2.305	-10.87%	0.0709	✓	1.28	845k	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5485	0.54148	-1.28%	0.5505	+0.36%	0.0384	✗	0.90	741k	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.281	3.2389	-1.28%	2.874	-12.40%	0.0980	✓	0.89	502k	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8917	2.8538	-1.31%	2.6813	-7.28%	0.0339	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.766	5.6837	-1.43%	5.009	-13.13%	0.1071	✓	0.79	65k	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4172	0.411205	-1.44%	0.3486	-16.44%	0.1314	✓	1.39	8.8M	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.52	15.2933	-1.46%	14.72	-5.15%	0.0088	✓	1.21	67.7M	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1472	0.145	-1.49%	0.1212	-17.66%	0.1477	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9001	0.885624	-1.61%	0.8598	-4.48%	0.0006	✓	1.24	25.9M	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.489	0.480887	-1.66%	0.438	-10.43%	0.0596	✓	1.39	4.7M	2022-02-26
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.186	2.1491	-1.69%	1.808	-17.29%	0.1485	✓	1.00	76k	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.99	6.8698	-1.72%	6.27	-10.30%	0.0823	✓	0.37	1.4M	2022-02-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4814	0.473031	-1.74%	0.4281	-11.07%	0.0541	✓	1.88	1.9M	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.664	1.6341	-1.80%	1.441	-13.40%	0.0926	✓	1.36	1.1M	2022-02-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.419	0.411266	-1.85%	0.3507	-16.30%	0.1190	✓	1.65	17.3M	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.42	2.3748	-1.87%	2.05	-15.29%	0.1177	✓	1.21	383k	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.82	20.4285	-1.88%	19.06	-8.45%	0.0396	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,669.76	21,258.25	-1.90%	20,876.08	-3.66%	0.0064	✓	1.01	6.2M	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.5497	-1.92%	1.437	-9.05%	0.0457	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.03	0.029393	-2.02%	0.0274	-8.67%	0.0348	✓	1.45	499k	2022-02-26
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.989524	-2.03%	1.08	+6.93%	0.1118	✗	1.00	274k	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.69	5.5695	-2.12%	4.934	-13.29%	0.0967	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.135	0.131792	-2.38%	0.141	+4.44%	0.0940	✗	1.09	54k	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.69	26.0408	-2.43%	29.89	+11.99%	0.1634	✗	1.05	61.0M	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.675	3.5824	-2.52%	2.581	-29.77%	0.3005	✓	1.12	579k	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.81	2.7388	-2.53%	2.394	-14.80%	0.0978	✓	1.51	15.0M	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8854	1.833	-2.78%	1.6235	-13.89%	0.0843	✓	1.52	189k	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.5568	82.172	-2.82%	64.8155	-23.35%	0.2014	✓	1.47	305k	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.7908	-2.82%	3.6	-26.98%	0.2560	✓	1.22	1.9M	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20	19.4227	-2.89%	17.73	-11.35%	0.0630	✓	1.16	23.2M	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03967	0.038448	-3.08%	0.03453	-12.96%	0.0903	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059376	0.057219	-3.63%	0.048351	-18.57%	0.1387	✓	1.22	7.5M	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.16	2.0744	-3.96%	1.86	-13.89%	0.0655	✓	1.79	708k	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.47	7.1593	-4.16%	6.528	-12.61%	0.0870	✓	0.22	2.0M	2022-02-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.9816	0.936853	-4.56%	0.794	-19.11%	0.1470	✓	0.76	1.5M	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.