2022-02-09 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1329

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.93%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

73.0%

in alpha space · 78.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.17%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.501	+1.09%	17.65	-17.02%	0.1770	✗	1.72	3.8M	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.529	+0.66%	7.24	-3.21%	0.0353	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.094911	+0.65%	0.0851	-9.76%	0.0946	✗	1.23	219k	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	114.7042	+0.58%	101.94	-10.61%	0.1034	✗	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.2198	+0.44%	1.86	-15.84%	0.1629	✗	1.18	1.7M	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.101	+0.31%	0.9602	-12.52%	0.1187	✗	1.54	672k	2022-02-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.0907	+0.31%	11.78	+17.10%	0.1701	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007462	+0.30%	0.00601	-19.22%	0.1928	✗	2.00	19.8M	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.5288	+0.11%	15.91	-3.63%	0.0258	✗	1.05	590k	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	44,539.40	+0.11%	43,960.80	-1.20%	0.0017	✗	0.97	41k	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.159203	+0.10%	0.148737	-6.48%	0.0559	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	101.5858	+0.08%	94.6	-6.80%	0.0606	✗	0.90	1.4M	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	7.0637	+0.05%	6.08	-13.88%	0.1370	✗	1.10	733k	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.059427	+0.03%	0.05759	-3.06%	0.0145	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.623464	+0.03%	0.5683	-8.82%	0.0772	✗	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	346.254	+0.01%	334.55	-3.37%	0.0224	✗	1.02	7.9M	2022-02-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.069944	+0.00%	0.066472	-4.96%	0.0403	✗	0.90	362k	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.123698	-0.00%	0.1052	-14.96%	0.1437	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.8213	-0.06%	32.25	-4.70%	0.0351	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,242.58	-0.11%	3,124.45	-3.75%	0.0240	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.940064	-0.12%	0.83537	-11.24%	0.1006	✓	1.48	311k	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.6706	-0.17%	20.855	+0.72%	0.0247	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3959	-0.17%	2.2584	-5.90%	0.0451	✓	1.19	845k	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	149.911	-0.18%	129.55	-13.74%	0.1341	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	67.4852	-0.20%	63.42	-6.21%	0.0478	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.186407	-0.21%	0.1747	-6.48%	0.0565	✓	0.71	423k	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.01202	-0.25%	0.01078	-10.54%	0.0970	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.8271	-0.27%	1.688	-7.86%	0.0656	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.07918	-0.28%	0.0757	-4.66%	0.0321	✓	1.09	21k	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.9622	-0.29%	2.2822	+15.97%	0.1584	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.031103	-0.31%	0.03216	+3.08%	0.0439	✗	0.89	6.6M	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.238102	-0.31%	0.21874	-8.42%	0.0728	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1906	-0.34%	1.0833	-9.32%	0.0814	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	44,255.39	-0.36%	43,895.56	-1.17%	0.0036	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	7.0164	-0.37%	6.8827	-2.27%	0.0087	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.599	-0.38%	2.452	-6.02%	0.0458	✓	1.05	22k	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.167138	-0.39%	0.1678	+0.00%	0.0163	✗	1.04	412k	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	6.0559	-0.40%	6.07	-0.16%	0.0145	✗	1.04	773k	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	47.773	-0.41%	46.38	-3.31%	0.0158	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.404226	-0.44%	0.373	-8.13%	0.0644	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	139.5731	-0.45%	127.84	-8.82%	0.0724	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.085335	-0.46%	0.08117	-5.32%	0.0411	✓	0.76	89k	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.1073	-0.51%	0.09789	-9.24%	0.0793	✓	1.06	49k	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013172	-0.51%	0.01389	+4.91%	0.0624	✗	0.79	12k	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.8526	-0.53%	10.78	-1.19%	0.0016	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040784	-0.53%	0.03198	-22.00%	0.2300	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	191.2039	-0.53%	166.77	-13.24%	0.1225	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.822614	-0.53%	0.787	-4.84%	0.0314	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.04655	-0.53%	0.04466	-4.57%	0.0283	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.537689	-0.54%	0.4754	-12.06%	0.1057	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.9868	-0.57%	1.8241	-8.71%	0.0725	✓	1.10	79k	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0797	-0.58%	0.983	-9.48%	0.0777	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.1611	-0.60%	7.8678	+9.21%	0.1112	✗	1.45	156k	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	47.5401	-0.61%	40.62	-15.07%	0.1392	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.135	-0.63%	6.76	-5.85%	0.0436	✓	0.88	416k	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.7916	-0.65%	2.4	-14.59%	0.1402	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3429	-0.67%	1.1915	-11.86%	0.1074	✓	1.03	279k	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.811	-0.67%	2.67	-5.65%	0.0395	✓	1.02	489k	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.4203	-0.68%	1.274	-10.91%	0.0941	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012444	-0.68%	0.01171	-6.54%	0.0448	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	143.2376	-0.69%	136.01	-5.70%	0.0368	✓	1.27	65k	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	18.0321	-0.70%	16.75	-7.76%	0.0655	✓	0.70	919k	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.120337	-0.71%	0.1142	-5.78%	0.0400	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.8571	-0.72%	3.9514	+1.71%	0.0355	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.316198	-0.72%	0.3067	-3.70%	0.0174	✓	1.11	518k	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2633	-0.73%	2.13	-6.58%	0.0454	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.024055	-0.74%	0.021773	-10.15%	0.0853	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.06	-0.75%	2.809	-8.89%	0.0697	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1389	-0.75%	4.87	+16.79%	0.1776	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.701421	-0.75%	0.677091	-4.19%	0.0218	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-16
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002302	-0.76%	0.00000218	-6.03%	0.0428	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	89.4899	-0.77%	95.39	+5.78%	0.0797	✗	1.35	87.1M	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	57.1039	-0.79%	56.02	-2.68%	0.0026	✓	1.41	8.8M	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.228727	-0.80%	0.17624	-23.57%	0.2420	✓	1.59	36k	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7615	-0.82%	4.803	+0.04%	0.0185	✗	0.83	346k	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8642	-0.84%	3.6017	-7.57%	0.0574	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-16
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.7055	-0.84%	1.55	-9.88%	0.0838	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.2259	-0.84%	11.22	-9.00%	0.0703	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	124.983	-0.85%	125.58	-0.37%	0.0196	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	33.6262	-0.87%	28.63	-15.60%	0.1431	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2788	-0.93%	1.4263	+10.50%	0.1231	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	184.0866	-0.94%	179.36	-3.48%	0.0137	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.293485	-0.95%	0.2693	-9.11%	0.0732	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.482939	-0.98%	0.4872	-0.10%	0.0243	✗	1.32	9.2M	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.7536	-0.99%	19.78	-9.97%	0.0792	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.0693	-0.99%	6.52	-8.68%	0.0714	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.141458	-1.01%	0.1562	+9.31%	0.1154	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.5109	-1.01%	17.14	-8.34%	0.0629	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.3976	-1.02%	4.0382	-9.11%	0.0698	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	28.189	-1.02%	28.31	-0.60%	0.0157	✗	0.97	566k	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.284996	-1.04%	0.288	+0.00%	0.0217	✗	0.95	70k	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.085774	-1.07%	0.09	+3.81%	0.0644	✗	1.38	548k	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	8.1715	-1.11%	7.454	-9.79%	0.0800	✓	1.01	460k	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	113.6599	-1.12%	115.33	+0.33%	0.0280	✗	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1595	-1.13%	1.1125	-5.14%	0.0242	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	9.2215	-1.15%	8.239	-11.68%	0.1088	✓	0.33	38k	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.3075	-1.18%	3.217	-3.88%	0.0182	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.033291	-1.21%	0.0335	-0.59%	0.0240	✗	1.50	490k	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.9901	-1.23%	4.58	+13.37%	0.1417	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.2963	-1.25%	4.8292	-9.96%	0.0779	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-16
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0566	-1.25%	0.97	-9.35%	0.0737	✓	1.00	286k	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000095963	-1.28%	0.00008539	-12.16%	0.1033	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014895	-1.29%	0.01344	-10.93%	0.0852	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.8074	-1.30%	6.358	-7.81%	0.0576	✓	0.90	81k	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.583309	-1.30%	0.539	-8.80%	0.0621	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	185.7493	-1.30%	170.44	-9.44%	0.0696	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.593759	-1.32%	0.602	+0.05%	0.0264	✗	1.07	1.2M	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.317538	-1.32%	0.285	-11.44%	0.0898	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.9205	-1.32%	5.47	-8.83%	0.0699	✓	0.78	377k	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016778	-1.35%	0.016969	-0.22%	0.0252	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.2947	-1.40%	3.2632	-2.35%	0.0018	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-02-16
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.126186	-1.42%	0.116	-9.37%	0.0724	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.749983	-1.43%	0.6989	-8.15%	0.0525	✓	1.53	938k	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.7553	-1.45%	4.9	-16.10%	0.1465	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.5625	-1.46%	6.53	-1.95%	0.0066	✓	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2463	-1.48%	1.86	-18.42%	0.1725	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.0214	-1.51%	0.9791	-5.59%	0.0294	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.7	-1.55%	5.8668	-13.79%	0.1293	✓	0.29	407k	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.237343	-1.60%	0.2202	-8.71%	0.0585	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	25.3863	-1.60%	24.03	-6.86%	0.0364	✓	1.57	398k	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	25,864.48	-1.63%	23,690.00	-9.90%	0.0767	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.084595	-1.63%	0.0695	-19.19%	0.1768	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.8977	-1.67%	1.81	-6.22%	0.0326	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.804	-1.69%	3.7402	-3.34%	0.0065	✓	0.88	28k	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.7297	-1.75%	3.514	-7.43%	0.0493	✓	0.87	536k	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000032362	-1.87%	0.00003095	-6.16%	0.0281	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.3591	-1.88%	1.6305	+17.71%	0.2003	✗	1.55	107k	2022-02-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.555278	-1.98%	0.4482	-20.88%	0.1931	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	1.0014	-1.98%	0.8933	-12.56%	0.1019	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.8319	-2.01%	23.08	-5.10%	0.0180	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	30.2913	-2.10%	28.51	-7.85%	0.0475	✓	1.11	96.8M	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	104.7207	-2.19%	95.5515	-10.76%	0.0749	✓	1.42	320k	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.8754	-2.20%	2.65	-9.86%	0.0666	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0645	-2.34%	1.05	-3.67%	0.0092	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.108	-2.41%	1.952	-9.63%	0.0617	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-02-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.036533	-2.50%	0.028284	-24.52%	0.2408	✓	1.28	114k	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.056671	-2.61%	0.056084	-3.62%	0.0037	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	22.4863	-2.66%	22.08	-4.42%	0.0047	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.3998	-2.86%	3.17	-9.43%	0.0536	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-02-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.7961	-2.94%	0.625	-23.80%	0.2203	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.6155	-3.04%	4.3	-9.66%	0.0547	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3804	-3.47%	1.12	-21.68%	0.1932	✓	1.35	523k	2022-02-16
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.045333	-3.53%	0.04583	-2.47%	0.0227	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	8.9719	-3.63%	8.24	-11.49%	0.0810	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-16
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.3634	-3.93%	2.34	-4.88%	0.0018	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-16
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.2897	-4.53%	1.2019	-11.04%	0.0587	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-16
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.6	-5.21%	5.046	-14.59%	0.0924	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-16
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.0758	-5.91%	2.348	-28.17%	0.2582	✓	1.00	67k	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.