2022-02-04 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3204

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.93%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

72.1%

in alpha space · 68.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.85%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9113	0.916651	+0.59%	0.9345	+2.55%	0.0114	✗	1.67	783k	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.38	7.4177	+0.51%	7.7	+4.34%	0.0317	✓	0.30	1.1M	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.18	11.2367	+0.51%	10.65	-4.74%	0.0770	✗	1.27	12.5M	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.772	0.775763	+0.49%	0.771	-0.13%	0.0251	✗	1.03	1.6M	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.72	8.7618	+0.48%	8.92	+2.29%	0.0049	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00663	0.006656	+0.40%	0.0062	-6.49%	0.1082	✗	2.03	20.3M	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.207	2.2154	+0.38%	2.1819	-1.13%	0.0362	✗	1.14	888k	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.978	0.981675	+0.38%	0.96	-1.84%	0.0470	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	306.37	307.4671	+0.36%	321.01	+4.78%	0.0245	✓	1.01	7.6M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.69	113.0591	+0.33%	96.5	-14.37%	0.1799	✗	1.17	191.4M	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.4804	+0.32%	6.47	+0.15%	0.0169	✗	0.83	483k	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	15.1776	+0.31%	14.96	-1.12%	0.0323	✗	0.97	731k	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.33	51.4724	+0.28%	59.07	+15.08%	0.1173	✓	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04226	0.042352	+0.22%	0.03653	-13.56%	0.1675	✗	1.07	9.0M	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.27	0.270532	+0.20%	0.301	+11.48%	0.0901	✓	0.90	67k	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.4424	+0.19%	6.24	-2.95%	0.0458	✗	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.209216	0.209589	+0.18%	0.215393	+2.95%	0.0092	✓	0.99	25.3M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.454	6.4655	+0.18%	7.219	+11.85%	0.0922	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.123	6.1328	+0.16%	6.01	-1.85%	0.0353	✗	0.82	103k	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.21	107.304	+0.09%	116.54	+8.70%	0.0598	✓	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,457.70	40,492.31	+0.09%	42,347.70	+4.67%	0.0269	✓	0.97	51k	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0106	0.010608	+0.08%	0.01244	+17.36%	0.1356	✓	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147947	0.148033	+0.06%	0.14485	-2.09%	0.0403	✗	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.84	3.8408	+0.02%	4.25	+10.68%	0.0783	✓	1.25	2.2M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.352048	+0.01%	0.375	+6.53%	0.0396	✓	1.28	1.8M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.373	3.3734	+0.01%	3.4051	+0.95%	0.0097	✗	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03121	0.031213	+0.01%	0.03298	+5.67%	0.0396	✓	0.84	7.7M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.39	5.3899	-0.00%	5.47	+1.48%	0.0015	✗	0.72	398k	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05692	0.056905	-0.03%	0.05622	-1.23%	0.0364	✓	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,998.19	2,996.58	-0.05%	2,929.08	-2.31%	0.0428	✓	1.09	573.1M	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.89908	0.898589	-0.05%	0.82329	-8.43%	0.1169	✓	1.60	351k	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7925	1.7913	-0.07%	1.7756	-0.94%	0.0285	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.87	166.6811	-0.11%	163.71	-1.89%	0.0428	✓	1.35	11.5M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4872	0.486617	-0.12%	0.4583	-5.93%	0.0849	✓	1.36	2.0M	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0871	0.086991	-0.13%	0.0868	-0.34%	0.0233	✓	1.15	256k	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0386	7.0297	-0.13%	6.7399	-4.24%	0.0581	✓	0.87	4.1M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1262	0.126012	-0.15%	0.149	+18.07%	0.1438	✗	1.29	3.3M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.07	102.9119	-0.15%	103.99	+0.89%	0.0104	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.42	121.2321	-0.15%	125.69	+3.52%	0.0123	✗	1.29	33.0M	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.721	1.7183	-0.16%	1.637	-4.88%	0.0686	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.47	6.4595	-0.16%	5.99	-7.42%	0.0936	✓	0.99	818k	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.19	6.1798	-0.16%	5.96	-3.72%	0.0558	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.61	95.4419	-0.18%	94.64	-1.01%	0.0250	✓	0.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2023	0.201915	-0.19%	0.2056	+1.63%	0.0053	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01084	0.010819	-0.19%	0.01151	+6.18%	0.0387	✗	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008267	0.000082507	-0.20%	0.00008391	+1.50%	0.0032	✓	1.09	5.5M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.41	0.409176	-0.20%	0.6358	+55.07%	0.4119	✗	1.57	1.8M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04407	0.043981	-0.20%	0.04188	-4.97%	0.0686	✓	1.07	29k	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4406	0.439686	-0.21%	0.4181	-5.11%	0.0738	✓	1.28	9.7M	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.51	20.4666	-0.21%	18.99	-7.41%	0.0991	✓	1.32	44.7M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0704	0.070244	-0.22%	0.072	+2.27%	0.0054	✗	1.05	19k	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1398	1.1372	-0.22%	1.0803	-5.22%	0.0715	✓	1.10	113.2M	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.172	1.1693	-0.23%	1.0976	-6.35%	0.0854	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.234	3.2261	-0.24%	3.154	-2.47%	0.0368	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.7	29.6252	-0.25%	32.74	+10.24%	0.0811	✗	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1886	0.188094	-0.27%	0.1735	-8.01%	0.0933	✓	0.68	423k	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.51	17.4627	-0.27%	16.22	-7.37%	0.0952	✓	1.16	79.4M	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9987	0.995993	-0.27%	0.9169	-8.19%	0.1030	✓	1.10	29.7M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	180.53	180.0378	-0.27%	165.1	-8.55%	0.1080	✓	1.16	1.1M	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000222	0.000022139	-0.27%	0.00002872	+29.37%	0.2369	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2513	0.250607	-0.28%	0.2594	+3.22%	0.0143	✗	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.2837	-0.28%	1.99	-13.10%	0.1596	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09859	0.098314	-0.28%	0.09752	-1.09%	0.0260	✓	0.97	47k	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0224	0.022337	-0.28%	0.022611	+0.94%	0.0067	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.8	0.797698	-0.29%	0.92	+15.00%	0.1084	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0141	4.0021	-0.30%	4.3129	+7.44%	0.0515	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.65	2.6418	-0.31%	2.58	-2.64%	0.0419	✓	0.99	604k	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06445	0.064247	-0.31%	0.063958	-0.76%	0.0210	✓	0.90	396k	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.44	5.4228	-0.32%	5.4	-0.74%	0.0224	✓	0.99	952k	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.8761	6.8542	-0.32%	6.5603	-4.59%	0.0695	✓	1.40	174k	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.373	4.3584	-0.33%	4.453	+1.83%	0.0069	✗	0.79	351k	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.65	20.5799	-0.34%	17.24	-16.51%	0.2089	✓	1.73	3.9M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.1	2.0922	-0.37%	2.07	-1.43%	0.0341	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1096	0.109187	-0.38%	0.1086	-0.91%	0.0229	✓	0.95	40k	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.823	1.8161	-0.38%	1.833	+0.55%	0.0122	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.63	21.5456	-0.39%	21.09	-2.50%	0.0422	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.06	53.8472	-0.39%	50.35	-6.86%	0.0932	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	132.7	132.1639	-0.40%	124.54	-6.15%	0.0820	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	134.25	133.7044	-0.41%	129.51	-3.53%	0.0485	✓	0.91	8.1M	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.01	7.9763	-0.42%	7.97	-0.50%	0.0074	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.71	2.6986	-0.42%	2.54	-6.27%	0.0821	✓	1.17	494k	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.77	1.7624	-0.43%	1.71	-3.39%	0.0526	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,614.64	41,435.29	-0.43%	42,386.47	+1.85%	0.0043	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.89	9.8404	-0.50%	10.1	+2.12%	0.0132	✗	0.70	660k	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5902	0.587154	-0.52%	0.5696	-3.49%	0.0534	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040588	-0.52%	0.047719	+16.96%	0.1394	✗	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.99	21.8735	-0.53%	22.36	+1.68%	0.0061	✓	1.53	418k	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.186	3.1689	-0.54%	3.6	+12.99%	0.1103	✗	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6793	0.675626	-0.54%	0.6537	-3.77%	0.0592	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.543	0.539981	-0.56%	0.52	-4.24%	0.0633	✓	1.40	4.6M	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01119	0.011128	-0.56%	0.01056	-5.63%	0.0709	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.97	14.8858	-0.56%	16.98	+13.43%	0.1196	✗	0.66	908k	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.647332	0.643596	-0.58%	0.616904	-4.70%	0.0630	✓	1.12	3.5M	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	165.31	164.3359	-0.59%	169.21	+2.36%	0.0106	✗	1.01	1.8M	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08239	0.081903	-0.59%	0.07747	-5.97%	0.0693	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3064	0.304581	-0.59%	0.2842	-7.25%	0.0888	✓	1.06	566k	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01363	0.013543	-0.64%	0.01359	-0.29%	0.0127	✓	0.88	13k	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3098	0.307761	-0.66%	0.2888	-6.78%	0.0917	✓	1.53	4.1M	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.447	19.3177	-0.67%	19.087	-1.85%	0.0379	✓	1.41	10.5M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9795	-0.68%	2.31	-23.00%	0.2719	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	43.19	42.891	-0.69%	40.36	-6.55%	0.0891	✓	1.54	568k	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1601	0.15899	-0.69%	0.1566	-2.19%	0.0342	✓	1.04	337k	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2494	1.2407	-0.69%	1.1623	-6.97%	0.0832	✓	0.97	333k	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1207	0.119815	-0.73%	0.1086	-10.02%	0.1245	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016562	0.016422	-0.85%	0.015872	-4.17%	0.0553	✓	1.15	2.7M	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.495	2.4733	-0.87%	2.354	-5.65%	0.0680	✓	1.01	21k	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0663	0.065669	-0.95%	0.0869	+31.07%	0.2578	✗	1.22	540k	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.734	2.7079	-0.95%	2.754	+0.73%	0.0075	✓	1.33	986k	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.47	4.4272	-0.96%	4.09	-8.50%	0.1037	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,905.44	24,664.71	-0.97%	23,115.13	-7.19%	0.0817	✓	0.92	12.5M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.534	-1.01%	3.97	+11.20%	0.1110	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.91	77.1045	-1.03%	81.81	+5.01%	0.0347	✗	1.33	89.7M	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.458	1.4423	-1.08%	1.257	-13.79%	0.1601	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.67	29.3447	-1.10%	29.96	+0.98%	0.0090	✓	1.62	2.1M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.2258	-1.14%	1.1	-11.29%	0.1317	✓	1.27	490k	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.56	3.5185	-1.17%	3.29	-7.58%	0.0822	✓	0.82	708k	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.996	7.9012	-1.19%	7.923	-0.91%	0.0035	✓	0.34	40k	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.03	45.477	-1.20%	43.46	-5.58%	0.0666	✓	1.15	34.8M	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1073	1.0939	-1.21%	1.074	-3.01%	0.0440	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8185	2.7824	-1.28%	2.9222	+3.68%	0.0328	✗	0.88	2.8M	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5318	0.524931	-1.29%	0.4503	-15.33%	0.1864	✓	1.80	44.4M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.964	0.951316	-1.32%	1.1483	+19.12%	0.1617	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.4552	-1.35%	4.9	-11.39%	0.1294	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.9837	4.9156	-1.37%	4.7016	-5.66%	0.0669	✓	1.22	364k	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9567	0.943416	-1.39%	0.8754	-8.50%	0.0936	✓	1.02	14.7M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.43	3.3808	-1.43%	2.89	-15.74%	0.1825	✓	1.40	21.7M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4217	3.372	-1.45%	3.5941	+5.04%	0.0484	✗	0.84	26k	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.27	21.9446	-1.46%	19.82	-11.00%	0.1229	✓	1.14	28.0M	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	88.7362	87.3279	-1.59%	84.8321	-4.40%	0.0537	✓	1.35	351k	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.13	30.6348	-1.59%	26.56	-14.68%	0.1629	✓	1.10	110.8M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0881	2.0534	-1.66%	1.9151	-8.29%	0.0819	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000223	0.000002192	-1.72%	0.00000216	-3.14%	0.0330	✓	1.00	15.7M	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5994	0.588899	-1.75%	0.5956	-0.63%	0.0087	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20472	0.201077	-1.78%	0.18907	-7.64%	0.0890	✓	1.49	32k	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.14	2.1005	-1.85%	1.95	-8.88%	0.0996	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-02-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.55	1.5202	-1.92%	1.51	-2.58%	0.0251	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.4	28.7582	-2.18%	28.06	-4.56%	0.0421	✓	0.95	484k	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.1583	5.0339	-2.41%	6.1868	+19.94%	0.2016	✗	0.25	376k	2022-02-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.985575	-2.42%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0447	✓	1.00	369k	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039645	0.038686	-2.42%	0.032124	-18.97%	0.2094	✓	1.28	123k	2022-02-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.120805	-2.58%	0.117	-5.65%	0.0504	✓	1.00	110k	2022-02-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05094	0.049388	-3.05%	0.05111	+0.33%	0.0159	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0798	0.077038	-3.46%	0.0654	-18.05%	0.1983	✓	1.88	26.7M	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0408	0.039357	-3.54%	0.0319	-21.81%	0.2386	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.1	2.0217	-3.73%	2.28	+8.57%	0.1018	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.748	5.4413	-5.34%	5.157	-10.28%	0.0720	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2609	1.1917	-5.49%	1.2269	-2.70%	0.0107	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.