2022-01-26 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0037

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.54%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

58.0%

in alpha space · 62.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.477981	+4.07%	0.37	-19.44%	0.2595	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.577686	+3.60%	0.6281	+12.64%	0.0802	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.008071	+3.47%	0.00607	-22.18%	0.2903	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	81.1175	+3.35%	73.5972	-6.23%	0.1000	✗	1.22	445k	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.035109	+3.26%	0.034	+0.00%	0.0354	✗	1.47	927k	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9717	+3.23%	1.9	-0.52%	0.0403	✗	1.46	5.2M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.825585	+3.20%	1.36	+70.00%	0.4956	✓	1.59	538k	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.3925	+3.11%	4.09	-3.99%	0.0744	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	20.4744	+3.09%	21.59	+8.71%	0.0502	✓	1.26	34.9M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.5333	+3.02%	18.01	+5.82%	0.0228	✓	1.81	4.0M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.6841	+2.91%	15.79	+3.61%	0.0040	✓	1.21	84.2M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.8039	+2.91%	5.77	+2.30%	0.0080	✓	0.94	990k	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	8.1409	+2.79%	7.83	-1.14%	0.0419	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	92.2898	+2.73%	98.35	+9.47%	0.0606	✓	1.32	7.8M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.050417	+2.68%	0.05325	+8.45%	0.0513	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	6.0255	+2.65%	5.49	-6.47%	0.0955	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	19.3916	+2.55%	20.09	+6.24%	0.0319	✓	1.55	871k	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.330179	+2.54%	0.316	-1.86%	0.0471	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.686917	+2.52%	0.64	-4.48%	0.0750	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.8468	+2.52%	10.53	-0.47%	0.0326	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	94.4337	+2.44%	101.99	+10.64%	0.0743	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.9401	+2.44%	3.11	+8.36%	0.0531	✓	1.38	27.8M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7709	+2.36%	1.87	+8.09%	0.0514	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.876209	+2.36%	0.883	+3.15%	0.0046	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.5202	+2.33%	3.37	-2.03%	0.0464	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.1901	+2.28%	7.54	+7.25%	0.0468	✓	0.30	2.2M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.943859	+2.23%	0.9235	+0.02%	0.0244	✗	1.16	38.4M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.2869	+2.21%	13.76	+5.85%	0.0327	✓	1.01	841k	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.511753	+2.15%	0.465	-7.19%	0.0993	✗	1.56	6.4M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.1573	+2.12%	5.22	+3.37%	0.0099	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.04483	+2.12%	0.0786	+79.04%	0.5570	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	99.6221	+2.04%	113.54	+16.30%	0.1285	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.7339	+2.03%	6.02	+7.12%	0.0469	✓	0.78	531k	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	149.6002	+2.02%	151.26	+3.15%	0.0080	✓	1.34	14.8M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.668	+2.01%	20.19	+4.72%	0.0235	✓	1.18	14.0M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.5823	+1.95%	1.696	+9.28%	0.0665	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,660.55	+1.94%	23,029.36	-4.80%	0.0705	✗	0.93	20.9M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.760346	+1.92%	0.719	-3.62%	0.0584	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.2447	+1.87%	6.53	+6.53%	0.0442	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009737	+1.85%	0.00983	+2.82%	0.0071	✓	1.06	630k	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3525	+1.84%	2.46	+6.49%	0.0420	✓	1.18	667k	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	127.3011	+1.80%	121.22	-3.06%	0.0518	✗	1.29	80k	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010536	+1.80%	0.00952	-8.02%	0.1043	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	50.4927	+1.76%	49.12	-1.01%	0.0303	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.048022	+1.74%	0.0418	-11.44%	0.1418	✗	1.33	9.9M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	94.774	+1.73%	93.05	-0.12%	0.0210	✗	1.18	3.1M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.175681	+1.73%	0.1803	+4.40%	0.0228	✓	1.38	4.1M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.030378	+1.67%	0.02927	-2.04%	0.0392	✗	0.93	9.2M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009942	+1.66%	0.00978	+0.00%	0.0194	✗	1.32	1.7M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.116896	+1.65%	0.1348	+17.22%	0.1404	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.021245	+1.62%	0.020246	-3.16%	0.0507	✗	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.486	+1.60%	26.55	+10.17%	0.0772	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9896	+1.60%	3.7524	+27.52%	0.2242	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.120252	+1.56%	0.1092	-7.77%	0.0994	✗	1.32	4.1M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.014815	+1.56%	0.014783	+1.34%	0.0048	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	7.0908	+1.56%	7.564	+8.34%	0.0640	✓	0.26	38k	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.042414	+1.52%	0.035872	-14.14%	0.1703	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.880472	+1.52%	0.9455	+9.02%	0.0679	✓	1.50	3.5M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	167.8275	+1.52%	162.31	-1.82%	0.0361	✗	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.227586	+1.51%	0.278	+24.00%	0.1976	✓	1.11	469k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.100563	+1.48%	0.11	+11.00%	0.0863	✓	1.49	1.9M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.7089	+1.46%	23.57	+15.48%	0.1278	✓	0.74	377k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	18.3138	+1.46%	18.76	+3.93%	0.0210	✓	1.39	58.4M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	150.4405	+1.36%	145.08	-2.25%	0.0385	✗	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.537924	+1.34%	0.5718	+7.72%	0.0583	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.6663	+1.29%	6.025	+7.70%	0.0582	✓	1.42	229k	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.409734	+1.24%	0.4048	+0.02%	0.0150	✗	1.28	11.7M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.250039	+1.23%	0.25	+1.21%	0.0023	✓	0.96	70k	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,494.92	+1.21%	2,682.66	+8.83%	0.0701	✓	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.610084	+1.19%	0.4666	-22.61%	0.2724	✗	1.88	52.0M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000072685	+1.19%	0.00007582	+5.55%	0.0397	✓	1.11	5.9M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.038773	+1.18%	0.03913	+2.11%	0.0066	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.4174	+1.17%	1.589	+13.42%	0.1116	✓	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	292.5795	+1.16%	278	-3.88%	0.0535	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6688	+1.11%	1.6005	-3.04%	0.0443	✗	1.11	93k	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021343	+1.11%	0.00002064	-2.23%	0.0367	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.237512	+1.07%	0.2314	-1.53%	0.0288	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.199033	+1.07%	0.193151	-1.92%	0.0323	✗	1.05	27.5M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.079	+1.03%	1.1125	+4.17%	0.0284	✓	0.99	402k	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.454885	+1.02%	0.4277	-5.02%	0.0647	✗	1.38	2.6M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.9911	+1.01%	38.13	+4.12%	0.0268	✓	1.57	626k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.736	+0.99%	6.05	+6.51%	0.0514	✓	0.84	561k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.080672	+0.97%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0187	✗	1.24	342k	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0824	+0.95%	0.8664	-19.19%	0.2270	✗	1.98	1.2M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.1083	+0.95%	5.754	-4.91%	0.0616	✗	0.81	156k	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	108.0054	+0.94%	108.36	+1.27%	0.0003	✓	1.34	35.8M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0377	+0.92%	1.0423	+1.36%	0.0015	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.80973	+0.90%	0.8404	+4.72%	0.0347	✓	1.10	20.8M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	59.3257	+0.89%	47.6	-19.05%	0.2241	✗	1.75	8.6M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012288	+0.89%	0.0126	+3.45%	0.0230	✓	0.89	19k	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.816916	+0.86%	0.81012	+0.02%	0.0123	✗	1.78	698k	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.3952	+0.85%	5.081	-30.71%	0.3776	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.163863	+0.84%	0.1756	+8.06%	0.0677	✓	0.65	570k	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.3393	+0.83%	2.41	+3.88%	0.0275	✓	1.02	800k	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6433	+0.82%	1.63	+0.00%	0.0109	✗	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.0993	+0.81%	3.1357	+2.00%	0.0092	✓	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.069408	+0.81%	0.07379	+7.18%	0.0594	✓	0.79	60k	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.5325	+0.79%	26.29	+8.01%	0.0668	✓	1.08	4.1M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.083967	+0.79%	0.08941	+7.32%	0.0602	✓	1.18	45k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.144167	+0.77%	0.137104	-4.16%	0.0525	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.2886	+0.75%	17.776	+9.95%	0.0840	✓	1.53	10.9M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	66.3786	+0.74%	67.87	+3.01%	0.0193	✓	1.31	92.3M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.257997	+0.74%	0.2783	+8.67%	0.0723	✓	1.53	4.3M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.816	+0.74%	3.998	+5.54%	0.0448	✓	0.79	396k	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.9075	+0.71%	3.03	+4.95%	0.0395	✓	0.79	478k	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.1006	+0.70%	2.235	+7.14%	0.0595	✓	1.10	23k	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.9443	+0.70%	5.04	+2.65%	0.0176	✓	0.72	457k	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.504936	+0.69%	0.5398	+7.64%	0.0637	✓	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.056537	+0.66%	0.058639	+4.41%	0.0344	✓	0.95	491k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,556.06	+0.66%	37,883.40	+4.31%	0.0334	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.9144	+0.65%	5.883	+0.12%	0.0075	✗	0.98	320k	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.062185	+0.62%	0.0643	+4.05%	0.0309	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3948	+0.61%	2.1064	-11.51%	0.1312	✗	1.29	841k	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.1739	+0.61%	2.537	+17.41%	0.1521	✓	1.08	3.1M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.3966	+0.55%	6.8016	+6.92%	0.0593	✓	0.94	4.3M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0535	+0.51%	3.166	+4.21%	0.0342	✓	0.87	993k	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.098188	+0.50%	0.1015	+3.89%	0.0308	✓	1.05	43k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.0831	+0.44%	1.0268	-4.78%	0.0560	✗	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5515	+0.41%	2.582	+1.61%	0.0085	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.3083	+0.36%	2.18	-5.22%	0.0607	✗	1.56	2.6M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	90.9457	+0.36%	90	-0.68%	0.0126	✗	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.050652	+0.34%	0.04359	-13.65%	0.1524	✗	1.00	9.1M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,965.46	+0.34%	36,923.39	+0.22%	0.0034	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5991	+0.14%	4.1355	+15.07%	0.1389	✓	-0.01	375k	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.8705	+0.14%	3.3042	+15.27%	0.1388	✓	0.86	4,332	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.2263	+0.07%	4.6307	+9.64%	0.0887	✓	1.21	403k	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.6366	+0.05%	14.09	+11.56%	0.1073	✓	0.68	801k	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9989	-0.04%	3.03	+1.00%	0.0068	✗	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	32.3158	-0.11%	26.33	-18.61%	0.2074	✓	1.15	125.9M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.4395	-0.11%	42.9	+17.60%	0.1605	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.848	-0.14%	9.36	+5.64%	0.0546	✗	0.74	744k	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.064359	-0.22%	0.0599	-7.13%	0.0751	✓	1.47	605k	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.2512	-0.28%	1.24	-1.17%	0.0112	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6826	-0.30%	3.0352	+12.81%	0.1212	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.3281	-0.37%	1.279	-4.05%	0.0405	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.052254	-0.41%	0.037204	-29.09%	0.3419	✓	1.00	363k	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.6098	-0.44%	5.33	+15.12%	0.1423	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.857382	-0.44%	0.8666	+0.63%	0.0073	✗	1.51	107k	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.164577	-0.45%	0.19118	+15.64%	0.1463	✗	1.57	16k	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.7487	-0.83%	3.4	-10.05%	0.0981	✓	0.23	493k	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.52377	-1.19%	0.5361	+1.13%	0.0207	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.7002	-1.52%	1.8613	+7.81%	0.0887	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4253	-2.21%	2.12	-14.52%	0.1368	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.