2022-01-21 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1588

141 of 141 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

72.3%

in alpha space · 66.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.52%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5186	0.549886	+6.03%	0.482	-7.06%	0.1742	✗	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8678	0.896524	+3.31%	0.9906	+14.15%	0.0318	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-01-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.88	18.3512	+2.64%	17.9	+0.11%	0.0877	✗	1.81	4.1M	2022-01-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0363	0.037002	+1.93%	0.0353	-2.75%	0.0976	✗	1.46	1.1M	2022-01-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0939	0.095692	+1.91%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0784	✗	1.35	2.0M	2022-01-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05388	0.054699	+1.52%	0.05152	-4.38%	0.1117	✗	1.50	2.1M	2022-01-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	95	96.339	+1.41%	77.0062	-18.94%	0.2677	✗	1.26	489k	2022-01-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.356436	+1.26%	0.328	-6.82%	0.1314	✗	1.39	1.8M	2022-01-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6747	0.682259	+1.12%	0.5887	-12.75%	0.2002	✗	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,607.80	36,995.93	+1.06%	37,761.00	+3.15%	0.0142	✗	1.00	18k	2022-01-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0619	0.062508	+0.98%	0.0629	+1.62%	0.0437	✗	1.44	684k	2022-01-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.68	5.732	+0.91%	5.11	-10.04%	0.1494	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-01-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.010083	+0.63%	0.00986	-1.60%	0.0686	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.49	6.5298	+0.61%	5.91	-8.94%	0.1303	✗	0.88	1.0M	2022-01-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.23	21.3471	+0.55%	20.08	-5.42%	0.1142	✗	1.53	944k	2022-01-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4523	+0.51%	1.438	-0.48%	0.0512	✗	1.19	1.8M	2022-01-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.7454	+0.38%	6.49	-3.42%	0.0449	✗	0.18	1.2M	2022-01-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0834	0.083684	+0.34%	0.0812	-2.64%	0.0715	✗	1.20	269k	2022-01-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.97	0.972809	+0.29%	0.85	-12.37%	0.1913	✗	1.63	569k	2022-01-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	114.44	114.6907	+0.22%	97.25	-15.02%	0.1990	✗	0.98	6.9M	2022-01-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.94	9.9594	+0.20%	8.42	-15.29%	0.2083	✗	1.17	3.0M	2022-01-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1225	6.1341	+0.19%	5.7966	-5.32%	0.1060	✗	1.43	263k	2022-01-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.55	15.5768	+0.17%	14.23	-8.49%	0.1277	✗	1.08	841k	2022-01-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0417	0.041754	+0.13%	0.0567	+35.97%	0.2713	✓	1.00	24.3M	2022-01-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2277	3.23	+0.07%	3.0715	-4.84%	0.0800	✗	0.86	2,257	2022-01-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.39	58.4183	+0.05%	47.09	-19.35%	0.2561	✗	1.17	6.3M	2022-01-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.86	24.8665	+0.03%	25.85	+3.98%	0.0206	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-01-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5619	0.561781	-0.02%	0.5223	-7.05%	0.1179	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.94	38.9102	-0.08%	38.97	+0.08%	0.0522	✓	1.55	620k	2022-01-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022082	0.022051	-0.14%	0.020623	-6.61%	0.1051	✓	1.10	3.7M	2022-01-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0634	0.063228	-0.27%	0.0647	+2.05%	0.0157	✓	1.12	21k	2022-01-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	139.37	138.9737	-0.28%	124.2	-10.88%	0.1544	✓	1.21	88k	2022-01-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.95	25.8743	-0.29%	25.23	-2.77%	0.0629	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-01-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1639	0.163341	-0.34%	0.177	+7.99%	0.0566	✗	0.68	536k	2022-01-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.906	0.902759	-0.36%	0.931	+2.76%	0.0196	✓	1.46	3.9M	2022-01-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.56	6.5363	-0.36%	6.04	-7.93%	0.1068	✓	0.80	616k	2022-01-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.04	313.8869	-0.37%	296.79	-5.79%	0.0921	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-01-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.9923	-0.38%	1.82	-9.00%	0.1372	✓	1.35	3.1M	2022-01-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05552	0.055294	-0.41%	0.04731	-14.79%	0.2021	✓	1.33	12.0M	2022-01-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142057	0.141476	-0.41%	0.141603	-0.32%	0.0362	✓	1.07	6.7M	2022-01-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3265	2.3167	-0.42%	2.3494	+0.99%	0.0285	✓	1.23	699k	2022-01-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061109	0.060845	-0.43%	0.057631	-5.69%	0.0872	✓	0.95	486k	2022-01-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81011	0.806523	-0.44%	0.86446	+6.71%	0.0097	✗	1.72	848k	2022-01-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016171	0.016099	-0.45%	0.014181	-12.31%	0.1686	✓	1.20	2.7M	2022-01-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.32	111.7974	-0.47%	91.35	-18.67%	0.2423	✓	1.16	142.2M	2022-01-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.31	23.1853	-0.53%	27.6	+18.40%	0.1491	✗	0.73	342k	2022-01-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.097	0.096475	-0.54%	0.0999	+2.99%	0.0022	✓	1.07	41k	2022-01-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4366	0.434185	-0.55%	0.4141	-5.15%	0.0927	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01044	0.010382	-0.55%	0.0101	-3.26%	0.0645	✓	1.07	641k	2022-01-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.238267	-0.56%	0.2523	+5.30%	0.0190	✗	1.10	440k	2022-01-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,569.01	2,554.69	-0.56%	2,546.84	-0.86%	0.0417	✓	1.12	502.4M	2022-01-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.197	2.1846	-0.56%	2.181	-0.73%	0.0386	✓	1.07	24k	2022-01-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.35	101.7342	-0.60%	91.3	-10.80%	0.1542	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-01-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.6	6.5574	-0.65%	6.01	-8.94%	0.1233	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-01-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.45	2.4339	-0.66%	1.97	-19.59%	0.2605	✓	1.42	7.4M	2022-01-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01111	0.011036	-0.66%	0.01046	-5.85%	0.0970	✓	1.25	2.2M	2022-01-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6672	1.656	-0.67%	1.6203	-2.81%	0.0610	✓	1.13	95k	2022-01-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.984	0.977205	-0.69%	0.899	-8.64%	0.1313	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-01-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1848	1.1766	-0.69%	1.1266	-4.91%	0.0776	✓	0.99	402k	2022-01-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.68	94.9786	-0.73%	90.37	-5.55%	0.0823	✓	0.94	1.8M	2022-01-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.271	0.269006	-0.74%	0.247	-8.86%	0.1168	✓	0.91	60k	2022-01-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	171.09	169.8308	-0.74%	149.11	-12.85%	0.1727	✓	1.23	17.6M	2022-01-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08324	0.082626	-0.74%	0.08808	+5.81%	0.0230	✗	1.18	38k	2022-01-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.64	5.596	-0.78%	5.14	-8.87%	0.1083	✓	0.67	494k	2022-01-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.44	17.3027	-0.79%	16.16	-7.34%	0.1107	✓	1.22	75.4M	2022-01-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07197	0.07139	-0.81%	0.07192	-0.07%	0.0201	✓	0.79	56k	2022-01-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202862	0.201219	-0.81%	0.198646	-2.08%	0.0499	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-01-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.31	6.2588	-0.81%	5.81	-7.92%	0.0997	✓	0.73	652k	2022-01-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	172.82	171.3749	-0.84%	149.15	-13.70%	0.1728	✓	0.98	2.7M	2022-01-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.764	0.75754	-0.85%	0.736	-3.66%	0.0667	✓	1.09	2.0M	2022-01-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2523	0.250129	-0.86%	0.2434	-3.53%	0.0708	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.561	0.556045	-0.88%	0.491	-12.48%	0.1779	✓	1.55	8.0M	2022-01-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.957	5.9018	-0.93%	6.131	+2.92%	0.0108	✗	0.79	163k	2022-01-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.12	4.0814	-0.94%	3.923	-4.78%	0.0654	✓	0.75	445k	2022-01-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.808	16.6497	-0.94%	16.846	+0.23%	0.0434	✓	1.59	10.7M	2022-01-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,456.94	36,094.04	-1.00%	37,741.90	+3.52%	0.0100	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-01-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7186	4.6702	-1.02%	4.5826	-2.88%	0.0599	✓	1.18	443k	2022-01-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.51	113.332	-1.03%	109.49	-4.38%	0.0806	✓	1.33	30.5M	2022-01-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.42	13.2809	-1.04%	12.86	-4.17%	0.0561	✓	0.69	813k	2022-01-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03977	0.039354	-1.05%	0.04014	+0.93%	0.0188	✓	1.11	25k	2022-01-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.55846	0.552564	-1.06%	0.544057	-2.58%	0.0571	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-01-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.795	2.7655	-1.06%	2.647	-5.30%	0.0968	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-01-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.67	19.459	-1.07%	18.34	-6.76%	0.1069	✓	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.71	2.6796	-1.12%	2.82	+4.06%	0.0042	✓	1.60	2.2M	2022-01-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.198	0.195746	-1.14%	0.1798	-9.19%	0.1330	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-01-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.9139	-1.16%	3.46	-12.63%	0.1638	✓	1.17	2.4M	2022-01-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.91734	0.906562	-1.17%	1.0442	+13.83%	0.0998	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.2622	-1.22%	2.25	-1.75%	0.0546	✓	1.42	2.7M	2022-01-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.392	3.3504	-1.23%	3.294	-2.89%	0.0463	✓	0.85	1.1M	2022-01-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.73	0.721044	-1.23%	0.64	-12.33%	0.1843	✓	1.88	1.3M	2022-01-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.17	4.1183	-1.24%	4.57	+9.59%	0.0623	✗	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.857	0.846218	-1.26%	0.8173	-4.63%	0.0724	✓	1.09	22.7M	2022-01-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.98	21.7019	-1.27%	19.63	-10.69%	0.1409	✓	1.17	14.5M	2022-01-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1474	0.145527	-1.27%	0.1177	-20.15%	0.2448	✓	0.94	362k	2022-01-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041641	0.041109	-1.28%	0.038917	-6.54%	0.0992	✓	1.28	9.3M	2022-01-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.826	7.7257	-1.28%	7.091	-9.39%	0.0968	✓	0.32	38k	2022-01-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.555	3.5094	-1.28%	3.1165	-12.33%	0.1601	✓	1.19	3.9M	2022-01-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	213.87	211.0986	-1.30%	169	-20.98%	0.2633	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-01-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.168	3.126	-1.33%	3.011	-4.96%	0.0638	✓	0.76	526k	2022-01-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.061424	0.060601	-1.34%	0.046901	-23.64%	0.2909	✓	1.00	644k	2022-01-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1211	1.1061	-1.34%	1.0486	-6.47%	0.0926	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-01-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.118937	-1.38%	0.1183	-1.91%	0.0519	✓	1.34	4.3M	2022-01-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002226	0.000021953	-1.38%	0.00002134	-4.13%	0.0767	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.243	6.1544	-1.42%	6.5861	+5.50%	0.0364	✗	0.91	4.3M	2022-01-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5345	3.4841	-1.42%	3.4691	-1.85%	0.0050	✓	0.02	371k	2022-01-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.4245	-1.44%	2.4	-2.44%	0.0455	✓	1.02	869k	2022-01-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.209	1.1914	-1.46%	1.436	+18.78%	0.1425	✗	1.28	4.0M	2022-01-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007968	0.000078508	-1.47%	0.00007277	-8.67%	0.1118	✓	1.04	6.5M	2022-01-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0303	0.029854	-1.47%	0.03024	-0.20%	0.0215	✓	0.99	8.3M	2022-01-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.4	9.2567	-1.52%	9.05	-3.72%	0.0479	✓	0.73	800k	2022-01-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.96	4.8843	-1.53%	4.16	-16.13%	0.2061	✓	1.32	17.0M	2022-01-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.63	12.4361	-1.54%	10.67	-15.52%	0.1985	✓	1.31	12.7M	2022-01-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16704	0.164446	-1.55%	0.1835	+9.85%	0.0567	✗	1.53	6,849	2022-01-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.73	104.0817	-1.56%	95.64	-9.54%	0.1265	✓	1.21	2.8M	2022-01-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.52	37.9064	-1.59%	40.01	+3.87%	0.0137	✓	1.16	25.7M	2022-01-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.3417	3.2883	-1.60%	3.0264	-9.44%	0.1294	✓	1.34	3.1M	2022-01-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2219	2.1859	-1.62%	2.2835	+2.77%	0.0043	✓	1.14	4.3M	2022-01-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.11	3.0578	-1.68%	2.7962	-10.09%	0.1239	✓	0.99	2.2M	2022-01-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.84	1.8071	-1.79%	1.65	-10.33%	0.1273	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-01-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4321	1.4064	-1.79%	1.7954	+25.37%	0.2147	✗	0.85	1.4M	2022-01-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.738	1.7068	-1.80%	1.639	-5.70%	0.0833	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-01-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5351	0.525377	-1.82%	0.5555	+3.81%	0.0119	✓	1.27	1.7M	2022-01-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.97	7.8219	-1.86%	7.1	-10.92%	0.1094	✓	0.36	3.1M	2022-01-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4811	0.47216	-1.86%	0.4527	-5.90%	0.0908	✓	1.40	2.6M	2022-01-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	64.94	63.7143	-1.89%	50.6	-22.08%	0.2937	✓	1.83	7.7M	2022-01-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2921	0.286471	-1.93%	0.3094	+5.92%	0.0217	✗	1.60	4.6M	2022-01-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	66.07	64.7704	-1.97%	67.06	+1.50%	0.0099	✓	1.29	87.3M	2022-01-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01394	0.013665	-1.98%	0.01255	-9.97%	0.1150	✓	0.86	21k	2022-01-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.19	23.692	-2.06%	20.31	-16.04%	0.1990	✓	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6365	0.622528	-2.20%	0.6272	-1.46%	0.0549	✓	1.80	46.2M	2022-01-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,741.64	25,124.34	-2.40%	23,506.67	-8.68%	0.0953	✓	0.83	20.9M	2022-01-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0092	0.008979	-2.40%	0.00547	-40.54%	0.5793	✓	2.41	23.2M	2022-01-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.31	3.2278	-2.48%	2.93	-11.48%	0.1482	✓	1.48	32.4M	2022-01-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.8254	-2.57%	2.29	-21.03%	0.2490	✓	1.12	737k	2022-01-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0303	1.0029	-2.66%	0.9591	-6.91%	0.0861	✓	1.20	32.1M	2022-01-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8913	0.867475	-2.67%	0.8915	+0.02%	0.0153	✓	1.23	108k	2022-01-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.5661	1.5186	-3.04%	1.2839	-18.02%	0.2025	✓	1.00	4.2M	2022-01-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.64	33.5401	-3.18%	29.5	-14.84%	0.1620	✓	0.97	104.1M	2022-01-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.351	8.0771	-3.28%	5.923	-29.07%	0.3450	✓	1.01	301k	2022-01-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	8.647	8.3509	-3.42%	6.452	-25.38%	0.2926	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-01-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.65	4.4475	-4.36%	3.75	-19.35%	0.1855	✓	0.43	471k	2022-01-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.