8=======>

2022-01-17 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0186
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.1%
in alpha space · 73.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.09%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.80950.825332+1.96%0.4591-43.29%0.4388✗1.052.7M2022-01-24
LRCLoopringEthereum1.22891.2474+1.51%0.8598-30.03%0.1061✗1.901.3M2022-01-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum24.3324.6165+1.18%16.47-32.31%0.1394✗1.873.9M2022-01-24
XYMSymbolnative0.19060.19233+0.91%0.1572-17.52%0.1056✗0.68536k2022-01-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.777.8359+0.85%5.5-29.21%0.2662✗0.63720k2022-01-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06760.06816+0.83%0.0376-44.38%0.4546✗1.0025.5M2022-01-24
SOLSolanaSolana139.85140.698+0.61%91.96-34.24%0.2790✗1.04152.8M2022-01-24
NANOnanopayBase3.01263.0275+0.50%2.2825-24.23%0.1248✗1.12665k2022-01-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.027860.027997+0.49%0.020919-24.91%0.1468✗1.035.7M2022-01-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0161.021+0.49%0.703-30.81%0.2391✗0.962.2M2022-01-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.066380.066673+0.44%0.05018-24.40%0.1136✗1.2213.3M2022-01-24
XVGVergenative0.013140.013197+0.44%0.00934-28.92%0.1722✗1.242.0M2022-01-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.351.3557+0.42%0.8-40.74%0.2975✗1.64556k2022-01-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8291.8363+0.40%1.474-19.41%0.0592✗1.142.0M2022-01-24
UMAUMAEthereum8.138.1602+0.37%5.94-26.94%0.1805✗0.984.1M2022-01-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0207230.020789+0.32%0.014337-30.82%0.1969✗1.252.7M2022-01-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2461.2498+0.30%0.82-34.19%0.2315✗1.352.4M2022-01-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05330.05346+0.30%0.0337-36.77%0.2682✗1.381.4M2022-01-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17550.175991+0.28%0.1426-18.75%0.0851✗0.89403k2022-01-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,814.5041,921.77+0.26%36,642.30-12.37%0.0031✓0.9814k2022-01-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9528.0105+0.22%20.79-25.62%0.2025✗0.68353k2022-01-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.021.0219+0.18%0.67-34.31%0.1525✗1.921.5M2022-01-24
ETHEthereumEthereum3,210.983,215.80+0.15%2,441.74-23.96%0.1277✗1.05478.4M2022-01-24
COMPCompoundEthereum181.47181.6958+0.12%124.78-31.24%0.2159✗1.14123k2022-01-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3597.3669+0.11%6.128-16.73%0.0825✗0.72178k2022-01-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.4619.4782+0.09%12.81-34.17%0.3134✗0.75841k2022-01-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.22671.2278+0.09%0.8826-28.05%0.1828✗1.052.7M2022-01-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash380.79381.126+0.09%292.51-23.18%0.1248✗1.006.6M2022-01-24
TRXTRONTron0.0708510.070909+0.08%0.055067-22.28%0.1209✗0.94511k2022-01-24
XVSVenusEthereum13.5913.6001+0.07%7.93-41.65%0.3802✗1.142.9M2022-01-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08260.082656+0.07%0.0578-30.02%0.2086✗1.0620k2022-01-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.01631.0168+0.05%0.74957-26.24%0.0602✗1.74896k2022-01-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.552+0.03%4.86-25.80%0.2063✗0.66564k2022-01-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.778.7715+0.02%5.27-39.91%0.4099✗0.71995k2022-01-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.62.6003+0.01%1.76-32.31%0.2068✗1.313.1M2022-01-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.510.510057+0.01%0.312-38.82%0.3111✗1.291.8M2022-01-24
XTZTezosTezos4.05384.0539+0.00%2.9641-26.88%0.1231✗1.353.3M2022-01-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,218.0142,210.45-0.02%36,693.32-13.09%0.0002✓1.00636.6M2022-01-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049790.04978-0.02%0.03766-24.36%0.1317✓1.0521k2022-01-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.00792.0071-0.04%1.6127-19.68%0.0734✓1.0489k2022-01-24
XECeCashnative0.000099540.000099501-0.04%0.00007195-27.72%0.1826✓1.016.5M2022-01-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107180.107134-0.04%0.08158-23.89%0.1153✓1.1227k2022-01-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.350.349847-0.04%0.254-27.43%0.2138✓0.7645k2022-01-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709440.170853-0.05%0.137427-19.61%0.0648✓1.095.6M2022-01-24
XLMStellarStellar0.2561330.255984-0.06%0.198106-22.66%0.1123✓1.0324.2M2022-01-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.9928.9697-0.07%18.43-36.43%0.3007✓1.0815.1M2022-01-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01450.014488-0.08%0.01025-29.31%0.1652✓1.292.2M2022-01-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3120.311729-0.09%0.2227-28.62%0.1567✓1.282.1M2022-01-24
QTUMQtumQtum7.68797.6802-0.10%5.4487-29.13%0.1502✓1.38263k2022-01-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum76.5576.4731-0.10%51.24-33.06%0.2484✓1.086.4M2022-01-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.389.3704-0.10%6.18-34.12%0.4175✓-0.011.4M2022-01-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative3130.9662-0.11%24.17-22.03%0.1037✓1.032.9M2022-01-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.967.9512-0.11%5.59-29.77%0.2490✓0.74682k2022-01-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.7651-0.13%3.5476-5.90%0.0685✓-0.06361k2022-01-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.077480.077372-0.14%0.05059-34.71%0.2244✓1.432.4M2022-01-24
QNTQuantEthereum159.74159.5134-0.14%102.9-35.58%0.3095✓0.926.4M2022-01-24
RADRadworksEthereum7.897.8786-0.14%5.07-35.74%0.3167✓0.891.1M2022-01-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.6825.6428-0.15%18.03-29.79%0.1663✓1.3360.5M2022-01-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15950.159251-0.16%0.1111-30.34%0.1872✓1.234.2M2022-01-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3911.3888-0.16%1.163-16.39%0.0130✗1.364.0M2022-01-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.9228.872-0.17%19.02-34.23%0.2086✓1.491.0M2022-01-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.54780.546706-0.20%0.3932-28.22%0.1587✓1.2212.2M2022-01-24
ZECZcashZcash138.84138.5548-0.21%94.49-31.94%0.2106✓1.2310.6M2022-01-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.13150.131223-0.21%0.1023-22.21%0.0686✓1.292.4M2022-01-24
XMRMoneroMonero214.7214.2172-0.22%147.04-31.51%0.2461✓0.933.1M2022-01-24
GTGateEthereum6.99686.9809-0.23%6.2431-10.77%0.0015✓0.814.1M2022-01-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.78109.5299-0.23%91.78-16.40%0.0448✓0.941.9M2022-01-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4057.3881-0.23%5.898-20.35%0.0478✓1.27271k2022-01-24
XEMNEMnative0.11480.114536-0.23%0.0977-14.90%0.0157✓1.0249k2022-01-24
MOVRMoonriverBase137.7719137.4469-0.24%75.75-45.02%0.4557✓1.00489k2022-01-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7983.7888-0.24%2.941-22.56%0.1539✓0.71526k2022-01-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00771.0052-0.25%0.554-45.02%0.3985✓1.411.5M2022-01-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.252.2439-0.27%1.58-29.78%0.2059✓1.032.7M2022-01-24
AAVEAaveEthereum226.66226.0408-0.27%152.41-32.76%0.2328✓1.1516.2M2022-01-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0314.9848-0.30%12.53-16.63%0.0841✓0.68998k2022-01-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.32040.31927-0.35%0.2121-33.80%0.2641✓1.03397k2022-01-24
UNIUniswapEthereum16.6416.5776-0.37%10.7-35.70%0.2569✓1.2912.2M2022-01-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3252.3161-0.38%1.504-35.31%0.2758✓1.112.0M2022-01-24
SUSHISushiEthereum6.446.4139-0.41%4.4-31.68%0.1966✓1.2817.7M2022-01-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19064.1728-0.43%3.0465-27.30%0.1377✓1.264.1M2022-01-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.4228-0.45%8.64-17.48%0.0821✓0.75808k2022-01-24
DODODODOEthereum0.7680.764435-0.46%0.477-37.89%0.2676✓1.458.0M2022-01-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.19150.4766-0.47%109.65-27.48%0.1286✓1.3431.1M2022-01-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.688323-0.47%0.5079-26.56%0.1270✓1.263.5M2022-01-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.013580.013514-0.49%0.00795-41.46%0.1883✓2.4424.2M2022-01-24
KSMKusamaHydration259.34258.0773-0.49%174.93-32.55%0.2258✓1.161.4M2022-01-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.040110.039908-0.50%0.02733-31.86%0.2536✓0.898.4M2022-01-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028830.000028684-0.51%0.00002123-26.36%0.1102✓1.361.8M2022-01-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.60181.5934-0.53%1.023-36.14%0.3188✓0.89445k2022-01-24
KCSKuCoinnative20.85120.7399-0.53%15.591-25.23%0.0620✓1.5910.7M2022-01-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08240.081954-0.54%0.0557-32.40%0.1891✓1.40990k2022-01-24
SCSiacoinnative0.013520.013443-0.57%0.00936-30.77%0.2234✓0.99654k2022-01-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10640.105785-0.58%0.0759-28.67%0.1741✓1.13269k2022-01-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016520.016424-0.58%0.01192-27.85%0.2270✓0.6724k2022-01-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.823.6618-0.58%15.61-34.41%0.2565✓1.1470.4M2022-01-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0540690.05374-0.61%0.036957-31.65%0.2096✓1.187.9M2022-01-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.7352.7181-0.62%2.007-26.62%0.1773✓0.9025k2022-01-24
MINAMina Protocolnative3.413.3881-0.64%2.34-31.38%0.2215✓1.06808k2022-01-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088780.088209-0.64%0.06212-30.03%0.2480✓0.7345k2022-01-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.25690.255241-0.65%0.1756-31.65%0.1896✓1.323.9M2022-01-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.073.0499-0.66%2.34-23.78%0.1290✓0.97891k2022-01-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.984.947-0.66%4.22-15.26%0.0065✓1.183.2M2022-01-24
IMXImmutableEthereum3.763.7351-0.66%2.31-38.56%0.2771✓1.452.2M2022-01-24
BANDBandEthereum5.35.2646-0.67%3.37-36.42%0.2946✓1.082.1M2022-01-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.6886.0755-0.70%63.05-27.26%0.1528✓1.13100.4M2022-01-24
DASHDashDash135.73134.7742-0.70%90.49-33.33%0.2345✓1.172.8M2022-01-24
HIVEHivenative1.25611.2471-0.72%0.8485-32.45%0.1918✓1.383.7M2022-01-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.61910.614535-0.74%0.4258-31.22%0.1736✓1.382.7M2022-01-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7277760.722335-0.75%0.505092-30.60%0.2030✓1.102.4M2022-01-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.90532.8833-0.76%2.08-28.41%0.1825✓1.034.9M2022-01-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,588.0731,343.71-0.77%23,944.84-24.20%0.1730✓0.6922.2M2022-01-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.34151.3308-0.79%0.9125-31.98%0.2175✓1.1430.5M2022-01-24
ZENHorizenBase53.2752.7534-0.97%34.11-35.97%0.2384✓1.41642k2022-01-24
API3Api3Ethereum43.9607-0.98%3.94-1.50%0.1238✗0.92471k2022-01-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9844.9349-0.99%3.711-25.54%0.1929✓0.66469k2022-01-24
LUNATerraTerra 277.0676.2537-1.05%65.92-14.46%0.1169✗1.877.5M2022-01-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1884.1435-1.06%3.081-26.43%0.1869✓0.781.1M2022-01-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.4434.0691-1.08%23.47-31.85%0.1401✓1.662.7M2022-01-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.6229.2848-1.13%20.73-30.01%0.1504✓1.3934.3M2022-01-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.34093.3021-1.16%2.7044-19.05%0.0337✓1.182.3M2022-01-24
FTTFTXEthereum44.3843.8203-1.26%35.59-19.81%0.0581✓1.0722.8M2022-01-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.16161.1458-1.36%0.7906-31.94%0.2358✓0.9623.2M2022-01-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.98020.966463-1.40%0.8142-16.94%0.0223✓1.06108k2022-01-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.1954.1292-1.57%2.9084-30.67%0.2534✓0.692,2572022-01-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2943.2421-1.58%2.568-22.04%0.0080✓1.721.1M2022-01-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.4728-1.62%2.02-42.78%0.3626✓1.288.5M2022-01-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60761.5806-1.68%1.5542-3.32%0.1027✗0.851.1M2022-01-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.784.6947-1.78%2.82-41.00%0.3164✓1.3832.4M2022-01-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.27316.1538-1.90%4.1138-34.42%0.2391✓1.17457k2022-01-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206250.20216-1.98%0.16604-19.50%0.0215✗1.566,3502022-01-24
ADACardanoCardano1.60271.57-2.04%1.0664-33.46%0.2328✓1.1097.1M2022-01-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.38076-2.07%0.2619-32.64%0.1751✓1.423.9M2022-01-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.5812.3141-2.11%6.71-46.66%0.5808✓0.192.6M2022-01-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1538.1828-2.47%36.03-7.97%0.0775✗0.9798.5M2022-01-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.363.2705-2.66%2.6-22.62%0.0547✓1.252.9M2022-01-24
GITCOINGITCOIN12.47712.1352-2.74%6.712-46.21%0.5750✓0.1244k2022-01-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62140.604347-2.74%0.5315-14.47%0.0670✗1.391.5M2022-01-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0789720.076444-3.20%0.053067-32.80%0.2248✓1.001.6M2022-01-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94320.900293-4.55%0.5732-39.23%0.2061✓1.7546.2M2022-01-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.