8=======>

2022-01-06 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1368
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 49.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.22621.2501+1.95%1.019-16.90%0.1936✗0.923.9M2022-01-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.218.3241+1.39%7.92-3.53%0.0426✗0.61811k2022-01-13
XYMSymbolnative0.19190.194303+1.25%0.1924+0.26%0.0024✓0.64428k2022-01-13
SOLSolanaSolana150.23152.049+1.21%146.24-2.66%0.0273✗0.99203.4M2022-01-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.493.5302+1.15%2.79-20.06%0.2236✗1.003.2M2022-01-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1600070.161637+1.02%0.171588+7.24%0.0725✓1.094.6M2022-01-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0262.0429+0.84%1.823-10.02%0.1008✗1.122.5M2022-01-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash400.02403.3092+0.82%377.35-5.67%0.0548✗1.009.0M2022-01-13
NANOnanopayBase3.36643.394+0.82%3.0395-9.71%0.0979✗1.06754k2022-01-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0209680.021136+0.80%0.01926-8.15%0.0785✗1.232.5M2022-01-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080650.081292+0.80%0.07897-2.08%0.0120✗1.452.7M2022-01-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,406.033,432.71+0.78%3,241.88-4.82%0.0452✗1.02619.8M2022-01-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6731.9097+0.76%30.28-4.39%0.0407✗1.003.4M2022-01-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.421.4302+0.72%1.301-8.38%0.0793✗1.313.4M2022-01-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum79.0279.5827+0.71%73.12-7.47%0.0727✗1.026.3M2022-01-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18120.182478+0.71%0.179-1.21%0.0087✗0.90490k2022-01-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin32.9833.2011+0.67%28.51-13.55%0.1401✗1.0422.1M2022-01-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.3529.5446+0.66%27.72-5.55%0.0561✗0.65385k2022-01-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV111.16111.8967+0.66%109.36-1.62%0.0119✗0.942.8M2022-01-13
XVSVenusEthereum14.5314.624+0.65%13.85-4.68%0.0411✗1.133.5M2022-01-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.1133.316+0.62%25.69-22.41%0.2384✗1.835.4M2022-01-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.9136.7364+0.62%136.82+0.68%0.0162✓1.3336.7M2022-01-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,220.9043,473.06+0.58%42,708.50-1.19%0.0063✗0.9810k2022-01-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8054.833+0.58%4.788-0.35%0.0022✓0.61498k2022-01-13
AAVEAaveEthereum220.94222.1885+0.57%209.41-5.22%0.0461✗1.1216.0M2022-01-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.3632+0.56%2.35+0.00%0.0064✓1.023.7M2022-01-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3860.388124+0.55%0.357-7.51%0.0753✗0.7139k2022-01-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,083.7643,309.98+0.53%42,581.65-1.17%0.0052✓1.00743.8M2022-01-13
TRXTRONTron0.0710750.071438+0.51%0.066158-6.92%0.0658✗0.94589k2022-01-13
DASHDashDash124.32124.9323+0.49%141.37+13.71%0.1383✓1.251.9M2022-01-13
QTUMQtumQtum8.36218.4033+0.49%7.5609-9.58%0.0897✗1.36268k2022-01-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1631.1687+0.49%1.027-11.69%0.1185✗0.912.3M2022-01-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6867.7226+0.48%7.611-0.98%0.0004✓1.21315k2022-01-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8763.8943+0.47%3.783-2.40%0.0210✗0.68454k2022-01-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.776.8009+0.46%6.71-0.89%0.0060✗0.64743k2022-01-13
ADACardanoCardano1.27941.2851+0.45%1.2328-3.64%0.0291✗1.0697.2M2022-01-13
XECeCashnative0.000103440.000103889+0.43%0.00009497-8.19%0.0782✗0.997.0M2022-01-13
COMPCompoundEthereum204.52205.3571+0.41%190-7.10%0.0645✗1.13199k2022-01-13
GTGateEthereum6.27766.3032+0.41%6.7733+7.90%0.0812✓0.793.9M2022-01-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.5088.5418+0.40%7.758-8.82%0.0884✗0.67272k2022-01-13
XLMStellarStellar0.26750.268524+0.38%0.269407+0.71%0.0151✓1.0124.9M2022-01-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5522.634+0.37%19.79-12.24%0.1259✗0.711.2M2022-01-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.8094+0.37%25.82-3.33%0.0228✗1.2771.0M2022-01-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0306510.030764+0.37%0.028546-6.87%0.0628✗1.037.0M2022-01-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107790.108172+0.35%0.10876+0.90%0.0184✓1.1026k2022-01-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08020.080478+0.35%0.0792-1.25%0.0039✗1.0316k2022-01-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3410.342127+0.33%0.311-8.80%0.0807✗1.252.9M2022-01-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.158.1769+0.33%8.02-1.60%0.0108✗0.73771k2022-01-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.044.0525+0.31%3.9153-3.09%0.0264✗0.6914k2022-01-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.013.0189+0.30%2.73-9.30%0.0853✗1.303.0M2022-01-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5371.5414+0.29%1.451-5.60%0.0445✗1.365.5M2022-01-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.15242.1586+0.29%2.0877-3.01%0.0211✗1.05102k2022-01-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.3210.3494+0.29%9.58-7.17%0.0785✗-0.111.9M2022-01-13
UNIUniswapEthereum17.0617.1063+0.27%15.46-9.38%0.0865✗1.2514.1M2022-01-13
ZECZcashZcash137.22137.5887+0.27%143.25+4.39%0.0553✓1.288.6M2022-01-13
XTZTezosTezos4.4554.4659+0.24%4.1161-7.61%0.0659✗1.344.9M2022-01-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076780.076956+0.23%0.0695-9.48%0.0876✗1.2220.3M2022-01-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10190.102131+0.23%0.0793-22.18%0.2413✗1.0033.0M2022-01-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.5307+0.21%14.71+1.45%0.0203✓0.681.1M2022-01-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.77860.780209+0.21%0.8402+7.91%0.0943✓1.7335.9M2022-01-13
XVGVergenative0.015760.015791+0.19%0.01377-12.63%0.1229✗1.192.1M2022-01-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.1222+0.19%1.08-3.57%0.0183✗1.701.9M2022-01-13
QNTQuantEthereum178.46178.7991+0.19%165.57-7.22%0.0658✗0.957.9M2022-01-13
XEMNEMnative0.12320.123421+0.18%0.1158-6.01%0.0520✗1.01111k2022-01-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18710.187435+0.18%0.1567-16.25%0.1651✗1.194.6M2022-01-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63850.63963+0.18%0.6645+4.07%0.0528✓1.254.7M2022-01-13
LRCLoopringEthereum1.8411.8435+0.13%1.4953-18.78%0.1871✗1.891.4M2022-01-13
XMRMoneroMonero205.35205.533+0.09%223.84+9.00%0.0965✓0.953.2M2022-01-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.1633.1893+0.09%29.3-11.64%0.1076✗1.461.1M2022-01-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0643.0665+0.08%3.355+9.50%0.1084✓1.571.5M2022-01-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052120.052161+0.08%0.05421+4.01%0.0511✓1.0716k2022-01-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.773.7728+0.07%3.8032+0.88%0.0067✓-0.11364k2022-01-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.651.6508+0.05%1.37-16.97%0.1670✗1.66881k2022-01-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30481.3053+0.04%1.3822+5.93%0.0701✓1.09922k2022-01-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63650.636535+0.01%0.5711-10.27%0.0945✗1.1911.8M2022-01-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.40751.4075+0.00%1.2959-7.93%0.0712✗0.983.6M2022-01-13
KSMKusamaHydration269.76269.7438-0.01%266.15-1.34%0.0004✓1.111.3M2022-01-13
LUNATerraTerra 278.3978.3616-0.04%77.85-0.69%0.0052✗1.007.2M2022-01-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018160.018153-0.04%0.01623-10.63%0.1050✓0.6030k2022-01-13
DODODODOEthereum0.8220.821626-0.05%0.77-6.33%0.0483✓1.428.1M2022-01-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.0110.003-0.07%10.34+3.30%0.0420✗0.751.2M2022-01-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017060.017046-0.08%0.01482-13.13%0.1251✓1.262.2M2022-01-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.2267-0.10%3.14-2.79%0.0160✓0.96995k2022-01-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.017050.017029-0.12%0.01444-15.31%0.1374✓2.3529.0M2022-01-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18021.1781-0.18%1.0337-12.41%0.1104✓1.731.1M2022-01-13
FTTFTXEthereum38.6438.5591-0.21%40.93+5.93%0.0716✗1.0220.0M2022-01-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12150.121234-0.22%0.1089-10.37%0.0946✓1.09304k2022-01-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.8162.8097-0.22%2.804-0.43%0.0082✗0.8836k2022-01-13
SUSHISushiEthereum7.457.4323-0.24%7.03-5.64%0.0405✓1.2918.2M2022-01-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7980090.795875-0.27%0.737451-7.59%0.0635✓1.092.8M2022-01-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.069908-0.27%0.0547-21.97%0.2294✓1.361.5M2022-01-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.16620.165742-0.28%0.1388-16.49%0.1631✓1.222.0M2022-01-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.63885.6225-0.29%5.9355+5.26%0.0676✗1.15480k2022-01-13
RADRadworksEthereum9.599.5618-0.29%8.04-16.16%0.1630✓0.881.2M2022-01-13
API3Api3Ethereum43.9882-0.29%3.64-9.00%0.0796✓1.00957k2022-01-13
IMXImmutableEthereum4.154.1372-0.31%3.49-15.90%0.1584✓1.002.5M2022-01-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.28110.280187-0.32%0.264-6.08%0.0443✓1.294.6M2022-01-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.0460.045842-0.34%0.04068-11.57%0.1091✓0.898.2M2022-01-13
KCSKuCoinnative20.96820.8937-0.35%19.585-6.60%0.0460✓1.5913.6M2022-01-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07041.0665-0.36%1.0137-5.30%0.0344✓1.401.6M2022-01-13
BANDBandEthereum5.835.8077-0.38%5.84+0.17%0.0179✗1.052.1M2022-01-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.00212.9898-0.41%3.249+8.22%0.0971✗1.202.7M2022-01-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09230.091905-0.43%0.0827-10.40%0.0894✓1.381.4M2022-01-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.64761.6402-0.44%1.5749-4.41%0.0307✓0.85663k2022-01-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5910.58834-0.45%0.512-13.37%0.1242✓1.262.2M2022-01-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3925.2697-0.47%24.88-2.01%0.0019✓1.1769.2M2022-01-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5732.5607-0.48%2.371-7.85%0.0648✓1.041.9M2022-01-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.5930.4426-0.48%31.39+2.62%0.0468✗1.3824.4M2022-01-13
ZENHorizenBase57.7957.5064-0.49%55.99-3.11%0.0102✓1.41805k2022-01-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.33460.332876-0.52%0.3204-4.24%0.0263✓1.02293k2022-01-13
SCSiacoinnative0.01450.014424-0.52%0.01348-7.03%0.0565✓0.96777k2022-01-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.1494.6312-0.53%89.76-5.65%0.0403✓1.07114.6M2022-01-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100880.100283-0.59%0.09247-8.34%0.0732✓0.6755k2022-01-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.182170.181055-0.61%0.1801-1.14%0.0129✗1.555,9572022-01-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.37080.368494-0.62%0.3308-10.79%0.0913✓1.413.4M2022-01-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.683.6559-0.66%3.28-10.87%0.0969✓0.99626k2022-01-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.965.9208-0.66%5.08-14.77%0.1400✓1.123.3M2022-01-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030790.000030582-0.68%0.00002968-3.61%0.0154✓1.241.7M2022-01-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3384.3082-0.69%4.18-3.64%0.0213✓0.761.1M2022-01-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18411.1752-0.75%1.1086-6.38%0.0473✓0.9521.2M2022-01-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0621160.061645-0.76%0.0577-7.11%0.0513✓1.267.4M2022-01-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64920.644256-0.76%0.7059+8.73%0.1070✗1.342.8M2022-01-13
UMAUMAEthereum9.769.6853-0.77%8.3-14.96%0.1430✓0.974.1M2022-01-13
MOVRMoonriverBase185.613183.956-0.89%161-13.26%0.1222✓0.94574k2022-01-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,933.6935,582.40-0.98%31,460.45-12.45%0.1153✓0.6721.4M2022-01-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.910.7877-1.03%9.54-12.48%0.1154✓0.641.2M2022-01-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95040.940478-1.04%1+5.22%0.0731✗1.00143k2022-01-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4514.404-1.06%4.3443-2.40%0.0012✓1.274.5M2022-01-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.56311.5435-1.25%1.3616-12.89%0.1126✓1.0930.0M2022-01-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.112.9284-1.31%11.04-15.73%0.1564✓0.133.5M2022-01-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.493.4345-1.59%3.72+6.59%0.0952✗1.3110.7M2022-01-13
HIVEHivenative1.48681.462-1.67%1.2902-13.22%0.1091✓1.365.2M2022-01-13
GITCOINGITCOIN13.0912.8698-1.68%11.091-15.27%0.1480✓0.0678k2022-01-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.415.308-1.89%5.03-7.02%0.0377✓1.3729.4M2022-01-13
MANADecentralandEthereum3.38723.3178-2.05%2.8936-14.57%0.1254✓0.985.6M2022-01-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5530.540906-2.19%0.6418+16.06%0.1876✗1.42650k2022-01-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.0439.1273-2.28%37.62-6.04%0.0285✓0.9243.4M2022-01-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8440.7059-2.71%35.73-14.60%0.1116✓1.602.8M2022-01-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.