8=======>

2021-12-25 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2133
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.7%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.648-7.23%4.49-10.38%0.0203✓1.0012.1M2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.502066-6.33%0.43-19.78%0.1151✓0.7345k2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.908-4.60%1.6281-18.59%0.1226✓0.667.5M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.021882-4.20%0.02333+2.15%0.1190✗1.0035.6M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1515.4893-4.09%13.58-15.91%0.1328✓-0.025.1M2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.755188-4.03%0.715-9.14%0.0155✓1.284.0M2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.079398-3.88%0.0797-3.51%0.0756✗1.312.3M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05715.4359-3.87%13.69-14.74%0.1245✓-0.08134k2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2924.1283-3.81%3.609-15.91%0.0795✓1.003.6M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.65091.5919-3.58%1.5238-7.70%0.0287✓1.328.6M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.709302-3.55%1.0026+36.33%0.4428✗1.7617.7M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.208791-3.47%0.20032-7.38%0.0476✗1.6223k2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.8729-3.46%1.7-12.37%0.0037✓1.701.5M2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1343.0289-3.35%2.681-14.45%0.0687✓0.972.2M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.697816-3.22%0.633-12.21%0.0296✓1.243.0M2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.6304-3.14%3.3501-10.62%0.0322✓0.888.6M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase70.7768.5755-3.10%63.94-9.65%0.0130✓1.511.3M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.227315-3.06%0.2128-9.25%0.0010✓1.226.2M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5743.2204-3.03%41.07-7.85%0.0431✗1.714.2M2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.199874-2.88%0.1885-8.41%0.0041✓1.144.2M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2312.8569-2.82%13.2-0.23%0.0553✗0.532.7M2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash169.64164.9096-2.79%150.36-11.37%0.0200✓1.3212.7M2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4145.1319-2.75%40.17-13.45%0.0151✓1.858.6M2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.019439-2.61%0.0202+1.20%0.0708✗0.5953k2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.4983-2.56%3.73+3.90%0.1199✗1.02787k2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.5353-2.51%1.7433+10.70%0.1859✗1.0733.5M2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.6962-2.46%6.21+6.34%0.1582✗1.3128.7M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.6833-2.37%1.5787-8.43%0.0093✓1.006.2M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.000036831-2.36%0.00003416-9.44%0.0204✓1.002.1M2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.048407-2.33%0.04964+0.16%0.0754✗0.9111.3M2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.38822-2.31%0.3775-5.01%0.0418✗1.275.3M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum11.0810.8249-2.30%11-0.72%0.0683✗0.952.0M2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.1529-2.28%0.9793-17.00%0.1083✓1.00184k2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86112.2678-2.26%114.26-0.52%0.0798✗1.13136.0M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.037015-2.19%0.033863-10.52%0.0329✓1.0211.6M2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.408452-2.19%0.3879-7.11%0.0319✗1.524.4M2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.2343-2.18%2.08-8.94%0.0353✗1.951.9M2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.063237-2.17%0.064208-0.67%0.0955✗1.469.2M2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.5683-2.16%9.33-4.60%0.0339✗1.084.1M2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.018380.017984-2.16%0.01775-3.43%0.0520✗1.182.8M2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.311565-2.12%0.2952-7.26%0.0161✓1.285.8M2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.2745-2.11%1.276-2.00%0.0542✗0.963.7M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum2.01621.9736-2.11%1.835-8.99%0.0344✓0.701.3M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.704777-2.10%0.6647-7.67%0.0116✓1.2813.2M2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.921393-2.08%0.875-7.01%0.0287✗1.468.9M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.110323-2.08%0.10295-8.63%0.0378✓0.57113k2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4138.6104-2.03%35.27-10.50%0.0075✓1.511.3M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.2885-2.02%1.411+7.30%0.1479✗1.0422.8M2022-01-01
DASHDashDash150147.0476-1.97%138.03-7.98%0.0063✓1.272.1M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458181.9005-1.96%189.4715+2.12%0.1032✗1.14704k2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.1370.134319-1.96%0.126-8.03%0.0038✓1.10199k2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7929.2221-1.91%36.33+21.95%0.2646✗0.8539.4M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.016443-1.84%0.01554-7.22%0.0051✓0.931.3M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.295.1931-1.83%4.37-17.39%0.1176✓1.006.5M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.7348-1.82%6.1094-10.94%0.0322✓1.19819k2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2926.7954-1.81%25.61-6.16%0.0317✗1.4024.1M2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.3461-1.78%11.76-6.44%0.0642✓-0.284.9M2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.775-1.78%9.193-7.63%0.0268✓0.63388k2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17065.0787-1.78%4.5517-11.97%0.0684✓0.7528k2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.108939-1.77%0.1001-9.74%0.0097✓1.363.0M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.2725-1.76%2.914-12.52%0.0697✓0.8499k2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.6822-1.75%2.53-7.33%0.0026✓1.024.4M2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.086475-1.74%0.08625-2.00%0.0634✗1.2021.7M2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration293.74288.6881-1.72%289.04-1.60%0.0611✗1.091.5M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.462231-1.72%0.4264-9.33%0.0025✓1.421.1M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.359738-1.68%0.3671+0.33%0.0700✗0.91356k2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.8278-1.67%4.36-11.20%0.0470✓1.001.3M2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.100087-1.67%0.093-8.64%0.0072✓1.474.8M2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.848102-1.66%0.875736+1.54%0.0914✗1.083.4M2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.058076-1.60%0.05488-7.01%0.0046✓1.1116k2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.4802-1.55%2.3965-4.87%0.0307✗1.18147k2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28107.5915-1.55%94.1-13.89%0.0813✓0.968.4M2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.3884-1.52%1.3805-2.08%0.0532✗1.071.3M2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0236.4612-1.51%35.88-3.08%0.0396✗1.0122.7M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000119880.000118078-1.50%0.00011077-7.60%0.0097✓0.9911.6M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.018529-1.49%0.01654-12.07%0.0450✓1.252.9M2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.6145-1.49%1.651+0.73%0.0939✗1.304.8M2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.8043-1.46%8.94-10.15%0.0555✓0.671.0M2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 298.496.9964-1.43%91.66-6.85%0.0017✓1.006.1M2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44225.2703-1.39%210.69-7.77%0.0066✓1.10239k2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.755.6714-1.37%5.18-9.91%0.0252✓1.193.0M2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.8788-1.36%8.39-6.79%0.0164✗1.33455k2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative22.9222.6116-1.35%22.386-2.33%0.0824✗1.6820.1M2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.2816-1.32%24.52-4.29%0.0283✗1.072.7M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.212-1.31%4.7558-9.95%0.0174✓1.355.4M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.138777-1.30%0.1339-4.77%0.0222✗1.06413k2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2535-1.30%1.17-7.87%0.0141✓1.002.4M2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158155.9564-1.29%150.83-4.54%0.0429✗1.3956.9M2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.1924-1.28%40.2-5.94%0.0097✓1.0621.2M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.322-1.26%1.2582-6.03%0.0474✗1.761.6M2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.057.9494-1.25%7.24-10.06%0.0588✓0.631.0M2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum10.05269.9281-1.24%8.9613-10.86%0.0233✓1.44309k2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.5587-1.19%9.14+19.48%0.2657✗1.3815.1M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7349-1.19%3.58-5.29%0.0158✗1.06819k2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.088464-1.16%0.0839-6.26%0.0069✓1.0919k2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4087-1.12%5.211-4.73%0.0018✓0.65846k2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.5441-1.12%3.2078-10.50%0.0312✓1.253.4M2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.121966-1.11%0.11476-6.95%0.0006✓1.1029k2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1811.0683-1.00%10.37-7.25%0.0227✓0.771.4M2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4434.0965-1.00%32.46-5.75%0.0124✓0.67611k2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6745-0.96%4.83+2.33%0.0876✗1.002.5M2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.5159-0.96%3.35-5.63%0.0058✓0.991.2M2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.054.0112-0.96%4.221+4.22%0.0901✗0.71473k2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.240102-0.95%0.2245-7.38%0.0414✓0.47393k2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.1078-0.92%1.2912+15.48%0.2347✗1.482.4M2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.9341-0.92%1.748-10.45%0.0289✓1.327.9M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.8545-0.91%15.4-9.47%0.0524✓0.691.4M2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.215444-0.90%0.2061-5.20%0.0033✓0.87756k2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.080984-0.89%0.076625-6.23%0.0025✓0.96655k2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.2586-0.87%8.65-7.39%0.0255✓0.77934k2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.8296-0.86%5.98+1.70%0.0864✗1.114.6M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.3211-0.84%16.08-2.31%0.0473✗1.134.9M2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.6178-0.84%28.61-0.87%0.0682✗1.2577.3M2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.2454-0.81%5.069+18.43%0.2229✗0.83719k2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.3311-0.79%17.47+0.00%0.0799✗1.3114.6M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7130,951.22-0.79%36,545.69+17.15%0.1949✗0.527.7M2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.1054-0.79%3.1-0.96%0.0689✗1.293.2M2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.287792-0.78%0.276802-4.57%0.0161✗1.0035.1M2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero211.35209.7128-0.77%250.04+18.31%0.2301✗0.992.8M2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.443-0.77%1.3797-5.12%0.0136✗1.06120.7M2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.3896.3403-0.76%6.7635+5.86%0.1085✗0.804.3M2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3150,048.91-0.75%47,733.43-5.34%0.0076✓1.00750.8M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.785701-0.75%0.7302-7.76%0.0045✓1.257.7M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.5504-0.73%4.7494+3.61%0.1136✗1.295.4M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91262.0165-0.72%266.48+0.97%0.0757✗1.0711.4M2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.137.8359-0.69%34.87-8.48%0.0241✓1.055.9M2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana193.06191.7559-0.68%179.21-7.17%0.0117✓1.02257.1M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,073.85-0.58%3,765.72-8.10%0.0212✓1.05768.5M2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.2969-0.57%2.133-7.66%0.0133✓1.113.3M2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1221.9947-0.57%20.75-6.19%0.0134✗1.3069.7M2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36453.3951-0.43%445.07-2.26%0.0378✗1.0313.1M2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21127.84-0.29%123.03-4.04%0.0159✗0.993.2M2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5431-0.26%3.7989+6.94%0.0650✗-0.09384k2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum195.44194.9984-0.23%179.87-7.97%0.0291✓0.9412.0M2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4050,968.56-0.08%47,429.60-7.02%0.0180✓0.988,5662022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023798-0.04%0.022463-5.65%0.0083✗1.202.2M2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.190669-0.04%0.173118-9.24%0.0357✓1.116.1M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.